Player props have become one of the NBA’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value beyond the standard spread or total. Each night, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board using matchup data, recent performances, and betting trends to find edges. Keep reading for some of the top OptaAI player prop projections for Wednesday, November 11. Then, right below those, you’ll see the player props I’m personally taking. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts should be all over the NBA, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
Noteworthy Wednesday OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the OptaAI Player Props NBA pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Derik Queen Over 8.5 Points (-115) vs. Nets
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 13.25 points, suggesting these odds should be -1027 — a +37.6% edge to the Over.
Cameron Boozer Under 8.5 Rebounds (+107) vs. Nuggets
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 6.66 rebounds, suggesting these odds should be -338 — a +28.9% edge to the Under.
Desmond Bane Over 2.5 Assists (-168) vs. Jazz
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 4.08 assists, suggesting these odds should be -340 — a +14.6% edge to the Over.
Wednesday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Wednesday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record.
Trae Young Over 26.5 Points + Assists (-125) & Double-Double (+135 – 0.5 units) vs. Pacers
Wizards at Pacers – 7:00 pm ET
Young hasn’t won people over with his play in Washington, and plenty are ripping the extension he got in the offseason. But while he might not be doing enough to contribute to winning, he’s still putting up numbers. The 28-year-old is averaging 18.5 points and 8.7 assists per game this season, and I like him to have a productive night against the Pacers.
Young has gone Over 26.5 combined points and assists in seven of his 11 games, and he now faces a Pacers team that plays at the league’s fifth-fastest pace (101.3). There’s a chance this turns into a track meet, which should allow Young to showcase his off-the-dribble scoring and elite playmaking.
Young is averaging 22.0 points and 8.3 assists against teams that rank in the top 10 in pace this season. A performance like that would comfortably put him Over his total tonight, and I also think he’ll flirt with a double-double.
Meleek Thomas Over 8.5 Points (-129) & Alt Points 15+ (+360 – 0.25 units) vs. Knicks
Cavaliers at Knicks – 7:00 pm ET
Sam Merrill will miss this game for Cleveland, which should open up minutes for Thomas. If those minutes are there, the rookie has a good chance to contribute.
Thomas has scored at least nine points in all eight of his appearances this season. That makes a total of 8.5 especially appealing, though I’d also play Over 9.5 if that’s what’s available.
Thomas is a complete afterthought for opposing defenses. He’s attempting 4.6 threes per game with the closest defender at least six feet away, which meets the NBA’s definition of “wide open.” The Knicks already struggle to defend the three-point line, so there should be some high-quality looks for him here.
Thomas can also score in other ways, so he isn’t entirely dependent on his jumper. And if his outside shot is falling, attacking closeouts should become much easier. That’s why I’m taking him to go Over his standard point total and adding 15+ at +360. He has scored at least 16 points in two of his last five games, including 18 against the Hornets in his last outing.
Nolan Traore Over 10.5 Points (-110 – 1.5 units) & Alt Points 15+ (+275 – 0.5 units) & Alt Points 18+ (+525 – 0.25 units) & Alt Points 20+ (+875 – 0.1 units) vs. Pelicans
Nets at Pelicans – 8:00 pm ET
Traore is listed as questionable, so his availability is worth watching before tip-off. But if the Frenchman can play, he should be in position to turn in a strong performance.
Traore is averaging 15.4 points over his last eight games, taking full advantage of Jordi Fernandez’s trust in him. He’s lightning fast with the basketball in his hands, which allows him to consistently get two feet in the paint. Against the Pelicans, that should mean good things. New Orleans is the league’s worst defense at guarding shots inside 10 feet.
Traore should also get some spot-up opportunities, as opponents tend to send extra help at Julius Randle and Michael Porter Jr. If he knocks down a few outside shots, a season high in points is absolutely on the table. Guards are lighting up this Pelicans backcourt.
Late Additions
Nothing yet.
More NBA Content
My NBA sides/totals for Wednesday, November 11!
Check out the Harwood Handicappers YouTube channel! I’ll likely be dishing out more player props every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday when I go LIVE on YouTube to run through each slate.
