We’re nearing the end of the 2024-25 NBA season. I’ll continue giving out NBA best bets and player props here as often as possible, and I’ll also occasionally write up features on big news that shakes up the league. So, make sure you check out my work throughout the season. With that out of the way, let’s get into some NBA best bets and NBA player props for Monday, April 7th. Also, make sure you check out the picks page (linked right below) before games tip off. I occasionally add picks throughout the day.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on April 7th
NBA Best Bets Today – April 7th
Sacramento Kings at Detroit Pistons – 7:00 pm ET
I would normally look to fade a team like the Kings, as they’re playing the second leg of a back-to-back and are in a classic letdown spot after having defeated the Cavaliers last night. However, Sacramento has also won two games in a row, with Domantas Sabonis’ return seemingly providing the team with a spark. The Kings also have a little left to play for moving forward, as they’re looking to edge out the Mavericks for home-court advantage in the 9 vs. 10 Play-In Tournament game. So, I’m not sure Sacramento is in a position to succumb to fatigue. The Kings need to battle and treat this like the winnable game it is. The Pistons have been a great story all year long, but they’re not operating on another level when compared to the Kings. These teams are very similar, meaning Sacramento is getting a lot of points — and the moneyline price is hard to pass on.
Unless multiple players sit for the Kings, the team has a pretty big advantage when it comes to firepower in the backcourt. Sabonis should also be able to impose his will in the paint. The only thing I’m worried about here is that Sacramento is the second-worst team in the league when it comes to guarding the 3-point line. The Kings are giving up 14.7 made 3s per game this season. Opponents are also shooting 38.3% from deep against them. So, they’re going to need to be disciplined when it comes to guarding guys like Malik Beasley and Tim Hardaway Jr. off the ball. But I do like that Sacramento will have Keon Ellis to throw on Cade Cunningham. While Ellis will be giving up size in that matchup, he’s going to take pride in getting up and playing chest-to-chest defense.
Realistically, this just feels like a game that could go down to the wire, so it makes sense to grab some points and sprinkle the moneyline. In terms of talent, Sacramento has a small advantage over Detroit. And the matchups are pretty strong for the Kings. Detroit’s home-court advantage in a regular-season game shouldn’t be enough to scare you off Sacramento.
Bet: Kings +7 (-110 – 1.5 units) & Kings ML (+222 – 0.5 units)
NBA Player Props Today – April 7th
Nothing for me with this being a two-game slate.
Additional Plays
This is where I’ll include any late added plays, teasers/parlays or in-season futures. Come back before tip if you don’t want to miss anything. It’s always possible I’ll add something to my card.
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2024-25 NBA Record: 350-356-2 (-7.97 units)
