I only have a few official picks for the packed NBA slate on Wednesday, February 11. Normally I break things down with two separate articles, but I’m bringing everything under one roof instead of splitting up sides/totals and player props — a streamlined look at my favorite bets for the day’s slate. Keep reading for my NBA picks and predictions for Wednesday.
There’s a good chance I end up adding some plays later in the afternoon or early in the evening. I’ll be flying on Wednesday, so I put some of this stuff in earlier than usual. I also didn’t get a look at all of the player prop odds for the slate. That said, check the Pro Picks page closer to tip-off if you want some of my other picks.
RELATED: Check out the Pro Picks page for more selections from our talented VSiN hosts and analysts!
NBA Best Bets Today (Sides/Totals)
PARLAY: Raptors Alt +8.5 vs. Pistons & Spurs ML vs. Warriors (+102 – 1.5 units)
Pistons at Raptors – 7:30 pm ET
Spurs at Warriors – 10:00 pm ET
I liked the Pistons to beat the Hornets the other night, but this is a tough spot for Detroit. This Raptors team is coming off two full days of rest, and there isn’t that big of a difference between these teams when taking location into consideration. The Pistons have the second-highest net rating (+8.1) in basketball this season, but that number drops to +3.7 on the road. Meanwhile, the Raptors have a net rating of +1.9 at home. It also shouldn’t surprise anyone if Detroit doesn’t have Jalen Duren and Isaiah Stewart tonight. Both players threw punches last game, so suspensions are coming. It’s just a matter of when. But overall, this is a game I think the Raptors can win, I just want a little extra cushion. Cade Cunningham is one of the best crunch-time performers in the NBA, so I’d hate to lose with Detroit creating some separation in the final five minutes.
To get a better number with the Raptors, I’m grabbing the Spurs to beat the Warriors. San Antonio is playing the second leg of a back-to-back, but Golden State won’t have Stephen Curry — to go along with Kristaps Porzingis and Jimmy Butler. It’s going to be hard for the Warriors to create offense against a Spurs team that is fourth in the league in adjusted defensive rating (111.8). Also, with San Antonio having blown out Los Angeles last night, there’s a chance the Spurs won’t be missing many bodies. Their key rotation pieces should have fresh legs after the straightforward win.
Pelicans ML (-118) vs. Heat
Heat at Pelicans – 8:00 pm ET
The Pelicans are hosting a Heat team that will be playing a third game in four nights, so New Orleans has a nice rest advantage here. Miami also happens to be coming off a loss to Utah in a game that the Jazz wanted to lose. Will Hardy pulled Utah’s best players after the third quarter, which is the franchise’s new way of tanking. Still, the Jazz ended up beating the Heat in Miami, showing how poorly this group is playing right now.
The Heat will also be without Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, and Pelle Larsson here, and Andrew Wiggins is questionable. That said, this team, which is just 12-16 on the road this season, will be missing a lot of talent on the perimeter.
I’m just not sure there’s any reason the Pelicans shouldn’t be bigger favorites in this one, so I’m taking a shot on this lousy New Orleans squad. Zion Williamson and Trey Murphy III should be the most dangerous offensive players on the floor.
Miami is getting a little too much respect these days, with the “Heat Culture” reputation carrying too much weight at this point.
NBA Player Props Today
Scoot Henderson Over 4.5 Assists (-109) vs. Timberwolves
Trail Blazers at Timberwolves – 8:00 pm ET
Henderson has looked awesome since returning to action. While the talented guard is playing only 21.5 minutes per game, he’s averaging 8.0 assists per game. He’s also averaging 13.5 potential assists per game. His explosive first step is still there, so he’s looking like a walking paint-touch again. The game also appears to be slowing down for him, so he should continue to produce in limited action.
Wednesday’s matchup is a tough one, as Minnesota is a top-10 defensive team in adjusted defensive rating (113.2). However, this total is low enough. Henderson should be able to go Over, even in an inefficient outing.
2025-26 NBA Record: 336-316 (+8.69 units)
