The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA First Round Game Twos. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

 

AI’s Takes of the Day

Following Bill Adee’s lead from recent VSiN newsletters, I’ve decided to run these reports through an online AI service to get that perspective. AI’s record starting January 30th: 81-68-3 (54.4%). Here are today’s results: 

– LA CLIPPERS (-1 at DEN)
Three DK Betting Splits systems and a playoff post-loss trend favor LAC 

– MIA-CLE UNDER 215
Two DK Betting Splits systems, multiple playoff trends/systems, and the scheduling situation all favor Under

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* Under the total was 17-2 (89.5%) since the start of last season when the home team was playing a 4th Home in 10+ Days game versus a road team on 3rd in 8+ Days scenario.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): ORL-BOS (o/u at 200.5)

* Teams that shot 40.0% or better on 3-point shots but still lost have gone just 16-33-1 ATS (32.7%) in the next contest since 2016 in the first round.
System Matches (FADE ALL): DETROIT (+6.5 at NYK), MIAMI (+12 at CLE) 

* NBA teams that have made 50% or more of their 3PT field goal attempts in a contest have responded the next time out by going just 294-312 SU and 270-328-8 ATS (45.2%) in the next game over the last 4 seasons.

System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (+5.5 at LAL) 

* OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head matchups with Memphis
Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-15 vs. MEM)

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. 

In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that was developed in the last two seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for Game Two as of 12:30 PM ET on Monday, April 21. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the first half data of the 2024-25 season, the sample contained 638 games, and for the most part, to summarize, majority handle bettors were much more successful than majority number of bets groups on point spreads and totals, while majority bets groups were far superior on money lines. In fact, these were the results:

– Majority handle on point spreads: 317-295 ATS (51.8%), -7.5 units – ROI: -1.2%
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 288-317 ATS (47.6%), -60.7 units – ROI: -10%
– Majority handle on money lines: 395-238 (62.4%). -103.17 units – ROI: -16.3%
– Majority number of bets on money lines: 442-188 (70.2%). -11.09 units – ROI: -1.8%
– Majority handle on totals: 332-295 (53.0%). +7.5 units – ROI: +1.2%
– Majority number of bets on totals: 314-309 (50.4%), -25.9 units – ROI: -4.2% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #1: When 63% or more of the handle was on the side of a home team playing as a 4-point favorite or less (or as an underdog) on ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 129-109 ATS (54.2%) over the last 2+ seasons. This is a fairly profitable system that the public seems to get right consistently.  If you see nearly 2/3 of the handle backing a host in an expected competitive NBA game this season, it’s a solid bet to follow it.
System Match (PLAY): HOUSTON 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 616-546 ATS (53%) over the two seasons. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. Remember, handle is the total amount of money on a game. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LA CLIPPERS, MILWAUKEE 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation, when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 2+ seasons, that group produced a 258-207 ATS record (55.5%). This lot of 465 games was only around 20% of the total sample size.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LA CLIPPERS, MILWAUKEE 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #5: Concerning number of bets. When 70% or more of the number of bets has been on a home side of an ATS wager since January 2023, this “super” majority group has gone just 70-104 ATS (40.2%), well below the overall performance of all majorities.
System Matches (FADE ALL): OKLAHOMA CITY, BOSTON 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 2+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 390-334 ATS record, good for 53.9%. This is another near 3% improvement on the overall majority figures.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NEW YORK, LA CLIPPERS, OKLAHOMA CITY, LA LAKERS, BOSTON, CLEVELAND, HOUSTON 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #10: Majority handle money line wagerers have struggled in each of the last two playoff seasons, with handle majorities going 97-76 for -33.6 units and an ROI of -19.4%. Compare this to the usual ML return of -5.2% and you can see bettors are losing on a lot of favorite plays. This system will be significant starting in April.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NEW YORK ML, LA CLIPPERS ML, MILWAUKEE ML, OKLAHOMA CITY ML, LA LAKERS ML, BOSTON ML, CLEVELAND ML, HOUSTON ML 

These last three systems involve totals. 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in a NBA game. I told you earlier that most NBA bettors love taking Overs. When any majority number have favored the Under option over the last 2+ seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 349-280, good for 55.5%, +41 units, and a ROI of +6.5% since January ’23.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DET-NYK, MEM-OKC, MIN-LAL, MIA-CLE, GSW-HOU 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #13: There has been some decent success for number of bets majorities when they don’t get too heavily invested. In fact, majorities on either side of the total (Over or Under) of 57% or less have gone 282-242 (53.8%) for +15.8 units and an ROI of +3% since January 2023.
System Match (PLAY): OVER – MIL-IND

DK NBA Betting Splits system #14: The average NBA game total since January of 2023 has been a touch under 228. In NBA games with “low” totals, or those less than 220, majority handle bettors have gone an impressive 304-266 (53.3%), while majority number of bets groups are a bit less at 304-270 (53.0%). Both groups have proven profitable regardless of which side of the total they have chosen.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – LAC-DEN, ORL-BOS
UNDER – MIN-LAL, MIA-CLE, GSW-HOU 

First Round Game Trends by Line/Total Range

• Big favorites have held a significant edge – Since the start of the 2014 playoffs, NBA first round favorites of 8.5 points or more are 92-14 SU and 65-41 ATS (61.3%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OKLAHOMA CITY (-15 vs. MEM), BOSTON (-12.5 vs. ORL), CLEVELAND (-12 vs. MIA)

• First round home favorites of 4 points or less have proven to be a bad investment lately, as since 2014, they are just 42-37 SU and 32-46-1 ATS (41%).
System Match (FADE): HOUSTON (-2 vs. GSW)

• The last three NBA first round playoffs saw 70 Unders, 58 Overs, 1 Push– (57%). This year, they are 6-2 to the Under.
System Matches: PLAY UNDER IN ALL EIGHT GAMES 

• With the meteoric rise in scoring over the last few years in the NBA, it is interesting to note that in the lowest totaled first round playoff games over the last five postseasons, 218 or less, Under the total is 73-50-4 (59.3%). In all games with totals above 218, Over the total is 72-62-2 (53.7%).
System Matches (PLAY): OVER – DET-NYK, MIL-IND, MEM-OKC
UNDER – LAC-DEN, MIN-LAL, ORL-BOS, MIA-CLE, GSW-HOU 

Last Game Trends

• Home teams are a better wager when coming off a win in a series – Home teams coming off a win in the prior game of a series are 79-46 SU and 65-60 ATS (52%) since 2016. Those coming off a loss are 86-71 SU and 72-82-3 ATS (46.7%) in that same span. Naturally, the latter are often the lower-seeded team in a series, but this 5.3% ATS swing is a good indication of how momentum aids a team.
System Matches (FADE ALL ATS): LA LAKERS (-5.5 vs. MIN), HOUSTON (-2 vs. GSW) 

• Blowout losses carry over – There is a bit of a misconception when it comes to teams “bouncing back” from rough first round losses. In fact, teams that lost their previous game by 12 points or more are just 63-118 SU and 73-106-2 ATS (40.8%) in the next contest since 2013. This includes a 6-11 ATS mark last year.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MILWAUKEE (+4.5 at IND), MEMPHIS (+15 at OKC), LA LAKERS (-5.5 vs. MIN), ORLANDO (+12.5 at BOS), MIAMI (+12 at CLE) 

• Heartbreaking losses have a galvanizing effect – Teams that lose close games, or those decided by 3 points or less, in the first round of the NBA playoffs have bounced back with a 39-16 SU and 35-18-2 ATS (66%) mark in the next game since 2014. In the line range of +5 to -5, these teams are on an amazing 24-7 SU and 21-8-2 ATS (72.4%) surge! Of note, only nine of the last two seasons’ 86 first round games were decided by 3 points or fewer.
System Match (PLAY): LA CLIPPERS (-1 at DEN) 

• Teams that shoot 40% or less from the floor in a first round game have been lousy bets in the next contest, going 52-77-3 ATS (40.3%) since 2014.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MEMPHIS (+15 at OKC), LA LAKERS (-5.5 vs. MIN), HOUSTON (-2 vs. GSW) 

• Beware of teams that shoot the 3pt shot well in one game but still lose. Those that shot 40.0% or better on 3-point shots but still lost have gone just 16-33-1 ATS (32.7%) in the next contest since 2016 in the first round.
System Matches (FADE ALL): DETROIT (+6.5 at NYK), MIAMI (+12 at CLE)

First Round Trends by Game Number

• Over the last eight non-neutral playoff seasons, first round Game Two hosts are on a 51-13 SU and 44-20 ATS (68.8%) run! Prior to last year’s 5-3 SU and 3-5 ATS performance, they were on a 27-5 SU and ATS surge.
System Matches: PLAY ALL EIGHT HOME TEAMS 

• Opening game home winners are, of course, also a solid Game Two bet – Contrary to popular “yin-and-yang” bettors’ beliefs, home teams that won in Game One of a first round series are 35-10 SU and 31-14 ATS (68.9%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NEW YORK (-6.5 vs. DET), DENVER (+1 vs. LAC), INDIANA (-4.5 vs. MIL), OKLAHOMA CITY (-15 vs. MEM), BOSTON (-12.5 vs. ORL), CLEVELAND (-12 vs. MIA) 

• Game Twos with double-digit home favorites have gone Under the total at a 14-4 (77.8%) clip since 2013, with only six of the visiting foes eclipsing 100 points. However, Miami (+14.5) did pull an outright upset against Boston in a 111-101 Over last year.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): MEM-OKC (o/u at 229), ORL-BOS (o/u at 200.5), MIA-CLE (o/u at 215)

Trends by Seed Number

•  #2 seeds have been crazy good as bigger chalk – #2 seeded teams are on a strong run of 70-16 SU and 54-32 ATS (62.8%) when favored by 4.5 points or more.
System Match (PLAY): BOSTON (-12.5 vs. ORL) 

• #2 seeds start fast – #2 seeded teams are on a run of 40-8 SU and 31-17 ATS (64.6%) in the first two games of first round series over the last 12 years.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BOSTON (-12.5 vs. ORL), HOUSTON (-2 vs. GSW) 

• #2 seeds have also bounced back quickly from losses, 21-3 SU and 18-6 ATS (75%) in their last 24.
System Match (PLAY): HOUSTON (-2 vs. GSW)

First Round Game Scoring Trends

• Success in first round games comes with topping the 117-point mark, as teams that have scored 118 points or more are on a 116-28 SU and 115-29 ATS (79.9%) run over the last six postseasons.

• In terms of points allowed, 99 points is the key benchmark. Teams that have allowed 98 points or fewer in the last six first round playoff seasons are 100-17 SU and 97-18-2 ATS (84.3%). 

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based on their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based on the schedule pressures.

We will be tracking 90 top scheduling situations all season long! 

* Home teams on 2 Days Rest are 160-102 SU but 115-144-3 ATS (44.4%) versus teams playing a 3rd Straight Road game over the last four seasons.

* Home teams playing on 2 Days Rest are 86-46 SU BUT 60-71-1 ATS (45.8%) hosting teams playing a 4th Straight Road game over the last four seasons.
Systems Match (FADE): CLEVELAND (-12 vs. MIA)

* Teams playing a 3rd in 8+ Days game are 86-52 SU and 83-52-3 ATS (61.5%) versus teams playing a 2 Days Rest game over the last four seasons.
System Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (-12 vs. MIA) 

* Home teams playing a 3rd in 8+ Days game are 89-64 SU and 84-66-3 ATS (56%) hosting road teams on One Day Rest over the last four seasons.
System Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-15 vs. MEM) 

* Home teams on One Day Rest are 59-51 SU and 60-47-3 ATS (56.1%) hosting teams playing on a 3rd Game in 8+ Days game over the last four seasons.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NEW YORK (-6.5 vs. DET), DENVER (+1 vs. LAC), OKLAHOMA CITY (-15 vs. MEM)

* Home teams playing a 3rd in 8+ Days game are 38-19 SU and 36-18-3 ATS (66.7%) hosting teams playing a 2 Days Rest game over the last four seasons.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): INDIANA (-4.5 vs. MIL), LA LAKERS (-5.5 vs MIN), BOSTON (-12.5 vs. ORL), CLEVELAND (-12 vs. MIA), HOUSTON (-2 vs. GSW) 

* Home teams playing on One Day Rest game are 17-11 SU and 18-10 ATS (64.3%) hosting teams playing in a 3rd Road in 8+ Days game over the last four seasons.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NEW YORK (-6.5 vs. DET), DENVER (+1 vs. LAC) 

* Home teams playing in a 3rd Home in 8+ Days scenario are 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS (77.8%) hosting teams playing on 2 Days Rest over the last three seasons.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BOSTON (-12.5 vs. ORL), CLEVELAND (-12 vs. MIA), HOUSTON (-2 vs. GSW) 

* Under the total was 82-62 (56.9%) over the L4 seasons when one team was on 2 Days Rest and the opponent was playing a 3rd in 8+ Days game.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): MIL-IND (o/u at 227.5), MIN-LAL (o/u at 212), ORL-BOS (o/u at 200.5), MIA-CLE (o/u at 215), GSW-HOU (o/u at 205) 

* Under the total was 58-24 (70.7%) over the last three seasons when the home team was on OneDayRest and the road team was playing a 3rd in 8+ Days game.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DET-NYK (o/u at 220), LAC-DEN (o/u at 217.5) 

* Under the total was 116-69 (62.7%) since the start of last season when one of the teams in a matchup was on a 4th Game in 10+ Days schedule scenario and the opponent was playing a 3rd in 8+ Days game, in other words, two pretty rested teams.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DET-NYK (o/u at 220), LAC-DEN (o/u at 217.5), MIL-IND (o/u at 227.5), MIN-LAL (o/u at 212), ORL-BOS (o/u at 200.5), MIA-CLE (o/u at 215), GSW-HOU (o/u at 205)

* Under the total is on a 84-37-1 (69.4%) in the last 122 when one of the teams in a matchup was on a 4th Game in 10+ Days schedule scenario and the opponent was playing a One Day Rest game.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DET-NYK (o/u at 220), LAC-DEN (o/u at 217.5), MEM-OKC (o/u at 229) 

* Under the total was 75-49 (60.5%) since the start of last season when both teams in an NBA matchup were in the same 3rd in 8+ Days game scenario…two rested teams.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DET-NYK (o/u at 220), LAC-DEN (o/u at 217.5), MIL-IND (o/u at 227.5), MIN-LAL (o/u at 212), ORL-BOS (o/u at 200.5), GSW-HOU (o/u at 205) 

* Under the total was 39-19 (67.2%) since the start of last season when the home team was playing a 3rdStraightHome game versus a road team on 4th in 10+ Days scenario.

* Under the total was 23-9 (71.9%) since the start of last season when the home team was playing a 3rd Home in 8+ Days game versus a road team on 4th in 10+ Days scenario.
Systems Match (PLAY UNDER ALL): ORL-BOS (o/u at 200.5), MIA-CLE (o/u at 215), GSW-HOU (o/u at 205) 

* Under the total was 17-2 (89.5%) since the start of last season when the home team was playing a 4th Home in 10+ Days game versus a road team on 3rd in 8+ Days scenario.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): ORL-BOS (o/u at 200.5) 

* MIAMI is on a 19-16 SU and 21-13-1 ATS run when playing a 4th Straight Road game
Trend Match (PLAY ATS): MIAMI (+12 at CLE) 

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details five NBA betting trend systems for teams based upon some various team strength indicator or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last four NBA seasons.

NBA Team Strength Betting System #5:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the last four seasons, depending on what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 112-90 (55.4%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 224-175 (56.1%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, Over the total was 286-224 (56.1%).
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): MEM-OKC (o/u at 229), ORL-BOS (o/u at 200.5), MIA-CLE (o/u at 215) 

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last four seasons unless noted. 

Favorites flush low-scoring totals quickly
NBA teams that come off a game in which they scored 90 points or fewer have responded well when favored in the next outing, going 150-56 SU and 121-83-2 ATS (59.3%) in their last 206 tries.
System Match (PLAY): HOUSTON (-2 vs. GSW) 

Close wins haven’t provided momentum going forward
NBA teams that won as favorites by a close margin (1-3 points) have gone 277-146 SU but just 179-231-13 ATS (43.7%) in the next contest when favored again.
System Match (FADE): DENVER (*if they become favored vs. LAC, +1 currently)

Rout wins are a warning sign for the next contest for hosts
NBA home teams coming off any game in which they beat the point spread by 20 points or more are 300-232 SU but 238-279-15 ATS (46%) over the last 6 seasons.  The worst situation for these teams comes against divisional rivals, 42-68-1 ATS.
System Match (FADE): OKLAHOMA CITY (-15 vs. MEM) 

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams that have made 50% or more of their 3PT field goal attempts in a contest have responded the next time out by going just 294-312 SU and 270-328-8 ATS (45.2%) in the next game over the last four seasons.
System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (+5.5 at LAL)

Similarly, NBA teams that have made 20 or more 3PT field goals in a game have struggled the next time out, going 338-307 SU but 291-334-18 ATS (46.6%) the next game over the last four seasons.
System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (+5.5 at LAL)

NBA road teams coming off a game in which they made 20+ 3-point shots have gone just 168-184 SU and 158-184-10 ATS (46.2%) in that next contest over the last six seasons.
System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (+5.5 at LAL) 

Unusual defensive performances
NBA teams that hold an opponent to 36% or less field goal percentage in any given game have produced well in the next contest as well, going 159-102 SU and 151-103-7 ATS (59.4%) since 2021.
System Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-15 vs. MEM)

Alternatively to #13 above, NBA teams that have allowed 20 or more 3PT field goals in a game have rebounded well when favored the next time out, going 199-76 SU and 145-127-3 ATS (53.3%) over the last four seasons.
System Match (PLAY): LA LAKERS (-5.5 vs MEM)

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details nine NBA betting trend systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA.

NBA Streak Betting System #3:
Teams having won their last four games or more have been a risky bet when playing as double-digit home favorites, going 129-23 SU but 66-83-3 ATS (44.3%) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (FADE ATS): OKLAHOMA CITY (-15 vs. MEM) 

Game Two NBA Strength Ratings

The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Game Two Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DENVER +1 (+3.7)
2. MINNESOTA +5.5 (+2.6)
3. GOLDEN STATE +2 (+1.8) 

Game Two Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. INDIANA -4.5 (+2.0)
2. NEW YORK -6.5 (+0.9)
3. BOSTON -12.5 (+0.4) 

Game Two Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. LA LAKERS +5.5 (+4.0)
2. DENVER +1 (+3.7)
3. MEMPHIS +15 (+0.8) 

Game Two Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. HOUSTON -2 (+2.5)
2. CLEVELAND -12 (+1.6)
3. INDIANA -4.5 (+1.4) 

Game Two Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. GSW-HOU OVER 204.5 (+4.4)
2. MIN-LAL OVER 211 (+4.1)
3. LAC-DEN OVER 217.5 (+4.0)

Game Two Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MIL-IND UNDER 227.5 (-0.5)
2. ORL-BOS UNDER 200.5 (-0.4)
3. DET-NYK UNDER 220.5 (-0.3) 

Game Two Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DENVER +1 (+3.9)
2. MINNESOTA +5.5 (+2.4)
3. GOLDEN STATE +2 (+1.5)

Game Two Top 2 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. INDIANA -4.5 (+3.1)
2. BOSTON -12.5 (+0.1) 

Game Two Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. GSW-HOU OVER 204.5 (+8.0)
2. LAC-DEN OVER 217.5 (+4.7)
3. MIN-LAL OVER 211 (+4.4) 

Game Two TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: MIL-IND UNDER 227.5 (-1.2) 

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all the Game Twos:

Monday, April 21, 2025

(521) DETROIT at (522) NEW YORK
* Over the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the DET-NYK head-to-head series at New York
Trend Match: PLAY OVER the total 

(523) LA CLIPPERS at (524) DENVER
* Underdogs are 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS in the last nine of the LAC-DEN head-to-head series
Trend Match: PLAY DENVER

Tuesday, April 22, 2025

(529) MILWAUKEE at (530) INDIANA
* Favorites are 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in the last six of the MIL-IND head-to-head divisional rivalry
Trend Match: PLAY INDIANA ATS 

(531) MEMPHIS at (532) OKLAHOMA CITY
* OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head matchups with Memphis
Trend Match: PLAY OKLAHOMA CITY ATS

* Under the total is 9-2 in the last 11 of the MEM-OKC head-to-head series
Trend Match: PLAY UNDER the total 

(533) MINNESOTA at (534) LA LAKERS
* Under the total has converted in five straight head-to-head meetings between MIN and LAL
Trend Match: PLAY UNDER the total

Wednesday, April 23, 2025

(537) ORLANDO at (538) BOSTON
* Home teams are 8-0 SU and ATS in the last eight of the ORL-BOS head-to-head series
Trend Match: PLAY BOSTON ATS 

(539) MIAMI at (540) CLEVELAND
* Over the total is 7-2 in the last nine of the MIA-CLE head-to-head series
Trend Match: PLAY OVER the total

(541) GOLDEN STATE at (542) HOUSTON
* GOLDEN STATE is 10-1 SU and ATS in the last 11 visits to Houston
Trend Match: PLAY GOLDEN STATE

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Steve Makinen
Steve Makinen
As one of the original founders of StatFox, Steve Makinen has been in the business of sports betting and data analysis for almost 25 years now. In his time in the industry, Steve has worked in a variety of capacities on both sides of the betting counter, from his early days of developing the StatFox business, to almost a decade of oddsmaking consulting for one of the world's leading sportsbooks, to his last seven years as Point Spread Weekly and Analytics Director with VSiN. Steve has always believed that number crunching and handicapping through foundational trends and systems is the secret to success and he shares this data with VSiN readers on a daily basis for all of the major sports.

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