Today’s NBA Betting Trends:
The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Tuesday, December 17, 2024. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
* UNDER the total is 5-0 in all five Las Vegas NBA Cup games in the last two seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIL-OKC (o/u at 215.5)
* UNDER the total was 72-41 (63.7%) since the start of last season when one of the teams in a matchup was on a 4th Game in 10+ Days schedule scenario and the opponent was playing a 3rd in 8+ Days game, in other words two pretty rested teams.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): MIL-OKC (o/u at 215.5)
* FAVORITES have covered five straight ATS in MIL-OKC series
Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-5 vs MIL)
Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data
One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals.
In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that developed in the last two seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:15 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage.
DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: When there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 1 1/2 seasons, that group produced a 156-117 ATS record (57.1%). This lot of 273 games was only 13.1% of the total sample size.
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE
DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-conference games (East versus West) of the last season and a half, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been successful, as they are 242-201 ATS (54.6%). If you consider that the overall majority numbers showed a 51.8% success rate, they were 2.8% improved in these rare games.
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE
This last system involves totals.
DK NBA Betting Splits system #15: The average NBA game total since January of 2023 has been a touch under 228. In NBA games with “low” totals, or those less than 220, majority handle bettors have gone an impressive 226-198 (53.3%), while majority number of bets groups are a bit better at 234-194 (54.7%). Both groups have proven profitable regardless of which side of the total they have chosen.
System Match (PLAY OVER): MIL-OKC
Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping
The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based on their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures.
We will be tracking 90 top scheduling situations all season long!
* Under the total was 78-51 (60.5%) over the last four seasons when one team was on 2 Days Rest and the opponent was playing a 3rd in 8+ Days game.
12/17: Under the total in MILWAUKEE-OKLAHOMA CITY
System Match (PLAY UNDER): MIL-OKC (o/u at 215.5)
* Under the total was 72-41 (63.7%) since the start of last season when one of the teams in a matchup was on a 4th Game in 10+ Days schedule scenario and the opponent was playing a 3rd in 8+ Days game, in other words two pretty rested teams.
12/17: Under the total in MILWAUKEE-OKLAHOMA CITY
System Match (PLAY UNDER): MIL-OKC (o/u at 215.5)
* Under the total was 39-24 (61.9%) since the start of last season when both teams in an NBA matchup were in the same 3rd in 8+ Days game scenario … two rested teams.
12/17: UNDER the total in MILWAUKEE-OKLAHOMA CITY
System Match (PLAY UNDER): MIL-OKC (o/u at 215.5)
* OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-16 SU and 29-13-1 ATS in its last 43 games playing on 2 Days Rest
12/17: OKLAHOMA CITY vs. Milwaukee
Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-5 vs MIL)
NBA Cup Trends
* Under the total is 5-0 in all five Las Vegas NBA Cup games in the last two seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIL-OKC (o/u at 215.5)
* Favorites are 4-1 SU and ATS in the five Las Vegas NBA Cup games in the last two seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-5 vs MIL)
NBA Streak Systems
The following handicapping information details nine NBA betting trends for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA.
NO QUALIFYING STREAK PLAYS TODAY
Today’s NBA Strength Ratings
The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parenthesis).
Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: MILWAUKEE +5 (+0.8)
Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: MILWAUKEE +5 (+1.6)
Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: MIL-OKC OVER 215.5 (+0.1)
Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: MILWAUKEE +5 (+1.1)
Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: MIL-OKC OVER 215.5 (+3.2)
Top Daily Head-to-Head Series NBA Betting Trends
Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for today’s game:
(539) MILWAUKEE vs (540) OKLAHOMA CITY
* FAVORITES have covered five straight ATS in the MIL-OKC series
Trend Match: PLAY OKLAHOMA CITY ATS