The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Wednesday, March 26, 2025. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

 

AI’s Takes of the Day

Following Bill Adee’s lead from recent VSiN newsletters, I’ve decided to run these reports through an online AI service to get that perspective. AI’s record starting January 30th: 60-48-1 (55.6%). Here are today’s results: 

– INDIANA (+1 vs LAL)
Scheduling trend and recent head-to-head trend both favor IND + all three Makinen ratings projections have IND underpriced 

– TOR-BKN UNDER 213.5
Two DK Betting Splits systems, both Makinen ratings projections, and recent head-to-head trend all favor Under

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* Favorites are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 of Clippers-Knicks head-to-head series in New York
Trend Match (PLAY): LA CLIPPERS (-3.5 at NYK)

* MILWAUKEE is on a 4-19 SU and 3-19-1 ATS skid when playing a 4th Straight Road game
Systems Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE (+6 at DEN) 

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. 

In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that developed in the last two seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 9:30 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the first half data of the 2024-25 season, the sample contained 638 games, and for the most part, to summarize, majority handle bettors were much more successful than majority number of bets groups on point spreads and totals, while majority bets groups were far superior on money lines. In fact, these were the results: 

–  Majority handle on point spreads: 317-295 ATS (51.8%), -7.5 units – ROI: -1.2%
–  Majority number of bets on point spreads: 288-317 ATS (47.6%), -60.7 units – ROI: -10%
–  Majority handle on money lines: 395-238 (62.4%). -103.17 units – ROI: -16.3%
–  Majority number of bets on money lines: 442-188 (70.2%). -11.09 units – ROI: -1.8%
–  Majority handle on totals: 332-295 (53.0%). +7.5 units – ROI: +1.2%
–  Majority number of bets on totals: 314-309 (50.4%), -25.9 units – ROI: -4.2% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #1: When 63% or more of the handle was on the side of a home team playing as a 4-point favorite or less (or as an underdog) on ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 129-109 ATS (54.2%) over the last 2+ seasons. This is a fairly profitable system that the public seems to get right consistently.  If you see nearly 2/3 of the handle backing a host in an expected competitive NBA game this season, it’s a solid bet to follow it.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PHILADELPHIA, BROOKLYN 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 616-546 ATS (53%) over the two seasons. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. Remember, the handle is the total amount of money on a game. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LA LAKERS, LA CLIPPERS, BOSTON 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation, when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 2+ seasons, that group produced a 258-207 ATS record (55.5%). This lot of 465 games was only around 20% of the total sample size.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LA CLIPPERS, BROOKLYN 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-conference games (East versus West) of the last 2+ seasons, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been successful, as they are 314-258 ATS (54.9%). If you consider that the overall majority numbers showed a 51.8% success rate, they were more than 3% improved on these more-rare contests.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LA LAKERS, LA CLIPPERS, DENVER, BOSTON

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 2+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 390-334 ATS record, good for 53.9%. This is another near 3% improvement on the overall majority figures.
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA

DK NBA Betting Splits system #8: Naturally, with super majority handles doing well on non-conference and non-divisional conference games as compared to the overall, the area where these groups would figure to struggle would be in divisional games. The super-majority number is a little higher, however, 67% in fact. When this super-majority number has backed a team in divisional games over the last 2+ seasons, they are just 105-120 ATS, good for 46.7%. This is over a 5% drop off compared to the overall majority figures.
System Match (FADE): BROOKLYN 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #9: There has been a massive disparity of success levels for majority groups on handle when they back the home or road team on money line wagers. On home teams, these majorities have gone 1002-470 over the last 2+ seasons but for -214.88 units and an ROI of -14.6%. On road teams, these majorities have gone 746-483 but for +3.48 units and an ROI of +0.2%. This 14.8% disparity warrants fading ML majorities on home teams and backing ML majorities when they opt for road teams until something definitively changes.
System Matches (FADE ALL): HOME TEAMS – PHILADELPHIA ML, DENVER ML

These last two systems involve totals. 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. I told you earlier that most NBA bettors love taking Overs. When any majority number have favored the Under option over the last 2+ seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 349-280, good for 55.5%, +41 units, and an ROI of +6.5% since January 2023.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): TOR-BKN 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #14: The average NBA game total since January of ’23 has been a touch under 228. In NBA games with “low” totals, or those less than 220, majority handle bettors have gone an impressive 304-266 (53.3%), while majority number of bets groups are a bit less at 304-270 (53.0%). Both groups have proven profitable regardless of which side of the total they have chosen.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – LAC-NYK, BOS-PHX
UNDER – TOR-BKN 

The following are 40 of the top team-specific NBA betting trends that have developed in the NBA over the last few seasons when considering scheduling situations. Like the league-wide systems introduced earlier, naturally, there are reasons that certain teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures.

* INDIANA is 14-2 SU and 13-2-1 ATS in its last 16 4th Straight Home games
3/26: INDIANA vs. La Lakers
System Match (PLAY): INDIANA (+1 vs. LAL) 

* MILWAUKEE is on a 4-19 SU and 3-19-1 ATS skid when playing a 4th Straight Road game
* MILWAUKEE is on a 53-48 SU and 41-57-3 ATS skid in last 101 when playing on standard One Day Rest
3/26: Fade MILWAUKEE at Denver
Systems Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE (+6 at DEN)

* PHOENIX is 25-18 SU but 15-26-2 ATS in its last 43 3rd Straight Home games
3/26: Fade PHOENIX vs. Boston
System Match (FADE): PHOENIX (+4.5 vs. BOS)

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details five NBA betting trend systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last four NBA seasons. 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #2:
In games between two teams with 40% or less winning percentages, and lines of 4.5 or less either way, road teams are on a 109-76 SU and 110-72-3 ATS (60.4%) surge.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): WASHINGTON (+2.5 at PHI), TORONTO (+2.5 at BKN) 

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last four seasons unless noted. 

NO QUALIFYING EXTREME STATS SYSTEMS TODAY

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details nine NBA betting trend systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA.

NBA Streak Betting System #5:
There has been a 2.9% swing in ATS success rate when teams that have lost their last four games or more have taken on losing teams (201-221 ATS, 47.6%) versus when they’ve faced winning teams (275-270 ATS, 50.5%) over the last four seasons.
System Match (SLIGHT FADE): BROOKLYN (-2.5 vs TOR) 

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parenthesis). 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. INDIANA +1 (+2.4)
2. PHOENIX +4.5 (+0.8)
3. MILWAUKEE +6 (+0.4) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: BROOKLYN -2.5 (+1.1) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. INDIANA +1 (+2.7)
2. MILWAUKEE +6 (+0.5)
3. NEW YORK +3.5 (+0.3) 

Today’s Top 2 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. BROOKLYN -2.5 (+4.0)
2. PHILADELPHIA -2.5 (+1.5)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: MIL-DEN OVER 223 (+5.0)

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. WSH-PHI UNDER 232 (-1.3)
2. TOR-BKN UNDER 232 (-1.3)
3. LAC-NYK UNDER 216.5 (-0.4) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. INDIANA +1 (+2.2)
2(tie). NEW YORK +3.5 (+1.7)
PHOENIX +4.5 (+1.7) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MIL-DEN OVER 223 (+7.1)
2. LAC-NYK OVER 216.5 (+1.9)
3. BOS-PHX OVER 219.5 (+1.2) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. TOR-BKN UNDER 213.5 (-1.8)
2. WSH-PHI UNDER 232 (-1.1)
3. LAL-IND UNDER 235.5 (-0.9) 

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games:

(503) LA LAKERS at (504) INDIANA
* INDIANA is 6-1 ATS in the last seven games hosting LAL
Trend Match: PLAY INDIANA ATS 

(505) LA CLIPPERS at (506) NEW YORK
* Favorites are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 of the LAC-NYK head-to-head series in New York
Trend Match: PLAY LA CLIPPERS ATS 

(507) TORONTO at (508) BROOKLYN
* Under the total is 9-2 in the last 11 of the TOR-BKN head-to-head series
Trend Match: PLAY UNDER the total 

(509) MILWAUKEE at (510) DENVER
* Favorites have covered five straight ATS in the MIL-DEN head-to-head series at Denver
Trend Match: PLAY DENVER ATS 

(511) BOSTON at (512) PHOENIX
* Under the total is 8-1 in the last nine of the BOS-PHX head-to-head series at Phoenix
Trend Match: PLAY UNDER the total

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