Odds on when LeBron James will break the NBA scoring record


LeBron is 35 points behind Kareem Abdul-Jabbar as the NBA’s all-time leading scorer

LeBron James is on the verge of breaking the NBA scoring record and he’s going to do so in style. The 38-year-old is nearly on track for his fourth season with an average of at least 30 points per game and seems to have found a second gear recently to try and get the Lakers back into the NBA playoffs discussion.

LeBron is 35 points behind Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, who has held the record since 1989, so his 36th point will be the record-setter. Odds are posted at DraftKings Sportsbook for the day when King James breaks the record.


When will LeBron James become the NBA’s all-time leading scorer?​

  • Feb. 7 vs. Oklahoma City Thunder +250
  • Feb. 9 vs. Milwaukee Bucks -295
  • Feb. 11 at Golden State Warriors +850
  • Feb. 13 at Portland Trail Blazers +3500
  • Feb. 15 vs. New Orleans Pelicans +9000
  • Feb. 23 vs. Golden State Warriors +15000
  • Feb. 26 at Dallas Mavericks +15000
  • Feb. 28 at Memphis Grizzlies (or later) +4500

If you’re into handicapping this sort of thing, the Lakers play the Bucks on TNT on Feb. 9 and the Warriors on ABC on Feb. 11.

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How will LeBron James break the scoring record?

  • 2-point shot -150
  • 3-point shot +240
  • Free Throw +370

A line of -150 implies 60% probability that he does it with a 2-pointer. LeBron has only made an average of 1.9 3-pointers out of 11.5 made field goals per game. He’s averaging 4.8 made free throws on 6.3 attempts. This is largely guesswork, but you could certainly see LeBron wanting to do this with some kind of monster dunk.

We’ll continue to update this with current pricing on the odds and LeBron’s progress on his path towards making NBA history.