The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Friday, February 6, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* Teams reaching an eight-game winning streak have become profitable fade opportunities, going 71-95-1 ATS (42.8%) in the next game, including 32-47 ATS (40.5%) on the road over the last five seasons.
System Match (FADE): NEW YORK (-1.5 at DET) 

* Under the total is 13-3-1 in the last 17 of the Grizzlies-Trail Blazers series, including 7-1 in the last eight at the Moda Center
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MEM-POR (o/u at 233.5) 

* NBA teams that committed 20+ turnovers in the previous game have done well in expected-tight matchups (within -4 to +4 line range) in the follow-up game, going 91-64 SU and 94-60-1 ATS (61%) in their last 155 tries.
System Match (PLAY): LA CLIPPERS (-3.5 at SAC) 

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures. 

* NBA teams playing on the road in One Day Rest scenario were 63-48 SU and 61-49 ATS vs. teams in back-to-back home games since the start of last season
System Match (PLAY): NEW YORK (-1.5 at DET) 

* NBA teams playing on roadin One Day Rest scenario are 216-269 SU but 273-204-8 ATS vs. teams in 2 Days Rest games over the last four seasons
System Match (PLAY): MEMPHIS (+8.5 at POR) 

* NBA teams playing at home in One Day Rest scenario were 101-75 Over the total vs. teams in 4th Straight Road games since the start of last season
System Match (PLAY OVER): NOP-MIN (o/u at 236.5) 

* MIAMI is 14-6 SU and 15-5 ATS playing on the road in the 2 Days Rest scenario since June 2023
Trend Match (PLAY): MIAMI (+5.5 at BOS) 

* NBA teams playing on the road in 2 Days Rest scenario are 25-6 Under the total vs. teams in 3rd Home in 4 Days games over the last two seasons
* MILWAUKEE is 23-8 Over the total playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since January 2025
System/Trend Match: 1 PLAY OVER, 1 PLAY UNDER in IND-MIL (o/u at 222.5)

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for today’s games: 

(531) NEW YORK at (532) DETROIT
* Road teams are 13-4 ATS in the NYK-DET series since November 2022
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW YORK (-1.5 at DET) 

(533) MIAMI at (534) BOSTON
* BOSTON is 8-1 SU and ATS in the last nine meetings with Miami
Trend Match (PLAY): BOSTON (-5.5 vs MIA) 

(537) NEW ORLEANS at (538) MINNESOTA
* Over the total is 8-1 in the last nine of the Pelicans-Timberwolves set
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): NOP-MIN (o/u at 236.5) 

(539) MEMPHIS at (540) PORTLAND
* Under the total is 13-3-1 in the last 17 of the Grizzlies-Trail Blazers series, including 7-1 in the last eight at the Moda Center
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MEM-POR (o/u at 233.5) 

(541) LA CLIPPERS at (542) SACRAMENTO
* Under the total is 6-2 in the last eight of the LAC-SAC divisional series at the Golden1 Center
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): LAC-SAC (o/u at 222.5) 

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons. 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #3:
NBA road favorites winning 36% of their games or less are on an impressive surge of 94-39 SU and 81-51-1 ATS (61.4%).
System Match (PLAY): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR INDIANA at MIL, +1.5 CURRENTLY

NBA Team Strength Betting System #6:
Divisional single-digit home underdogs winning 38% of their games or less have gone 47-132 SU and 79-95-5 ATS (45.4%) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (FADE): SACRAMENTO (+3.5 vs LAC) 

The following handicapping information details betting systems for divisional games. 

Eastern Central Division Betting System #1:
In Eastern Central divisional games, home favorites in the -0.5 to -10 line range are on a 24-18 Over (57.1%) run since April 2024.
System Match (PLAY OVER): IND-MIL (spread MIL -1.5, total 222.5) 

Eastern Central Division Betting System #3:
In Eastern Central divisional games, favorites of <= 7.5 points playing on two days rest or more are 23-7 SU and 22-8 ATS (73.3%).
System Match (PLAY): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR INDIANA at MIL, +1.5 CURRENTLY 

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted. 

Back-to-back scoring outbursts could be the beginning of a trend
NBA teams coming off back-to-back wins in which they scored 130+ points in each outing have gone 94-64 SU and 84-72-2 ATS (53.8%) in the follow-up contest since 2018, including 34-18 ATS (65.4%) as underdogs.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NEW YORK (-1.5 at DET), MILWAUKEE (-1.5 vs IND)

Close wins haven’t provided for momentum going forward
NBA teams that won as favorites by a close margin (1-3 points) have gone 301-169 SU but just 196-261-13 ATS (42.9%) in the next contest when favored again.
System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (-9.5 vs NOP) 

Rout wins are a warning sign for the next contest for the hosts
NBA home teams coming off any game in which they beat the point spread by 20-points or more are 334-255 SU but 268-306-15 ATS (46.7%) over the last seven seasons.
System Match (FADE ATS): BOSTON (-5.5 vs MIA) 

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams that have made 50% or more of their 3PT field goal attempts in a contest have responded the next time out by going just 337-348 SU and 309-368-8 ATS (45.6%) in the next game over the last five seasons.
System Match (FADE): NEW ORLEANS (+9.5 at MIN)

NBA road teams coming off a game in which they made 20+ 3-point shots have gone just 194-209 SU and 183-210-10 ATS (46.6%) in that next contest over the last seven seasons.
System Match (FADE): NEW ORLEANS (+9.5 at MIN) 

High TO games can be significant
NBA teams that committed 20+ turnovers in the previous game have done well in expected-tight matchups (within -4 to +4 line range) in the follow-up game, going 91-64 SU and 94-60-1 ATS (61%) in their L155 tries.
System Match (PLAY): LA CLIPPERS (-3.5 at SAC) 

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA.

NBA Streak Betting System #3:
Teams having won their last five games or more but are playing as underdogs against elite teams with a win pct >= 65% have seen their totals go Under at a 33-18-1 (64.7%) rate since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR NYK-DET (spread NYK -1.5, total 222.5) 

NBA Streak Betting System #9:
Teams having lost their last four games or more have been solid in the rare role of playing as double-digit favorites, going 16-1 SU and 13-3-1 ATS (81.3%) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR PORTLAND vs MEM, -8.5 CURRENTLY

NBA Streak Betting System #10:
Teams having lost their last four games or more have been a solid wager when they are a capable offensive team, as those scoring 114 PPG or more are on a 109-119 SU but 130-96-3 ATS (57.5%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): PORTLAND (-8.5 vs MEM) 

NBA Streak Betting System #12:
Teams on losing streaks of seven games or more as divisional underdogs are 10-40 SU and 15-31-4 ATS (32.6%) since April 2022.
System Match (FADE): SACRAMENTO (+3.5 vs LAC)

NBA Streak Betting System #14:
Teams reaching winning or losing streaks of 7 games or more become play against teams in general, going 295-336-4 ATS (46.8%) in the next outing since 2020.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NEW YORK (-1.5 at DET), SACRAMENTO (+3.5 vs LAC) 

NBA Streak Betting System #15:
Teams reaching an 8-game winning streak have become profitable fade opportunities, going 71-95-1 ATS (42.8%) in the next game, including 32-47 ATS (40.5%) on the road over the last five seasons.
System Match (FADE): NEW YORK (-1.5 at DET) 

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. 

In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:30 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the first half data of the 2025-26 season, the sample contained 633 games, and for the most part, majority bettors have lost on all six point spread, money line, and total categories. In fact, this has been the worst half-season they have endured since I started studying this subject a few years ago. Here are the results: 

– Majority handle on point spreads: 291-335 ATS (46.5%), -77.5 units – ROI: -12.4%
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 287-323 ATS (47%), -68.3 units – ROI: -11.2%
– Majority handle on money lines: 379-247 (60.5%). -123.2 units – ROI: -20.2%
– Majority number of bets on money lines: 404-227 (64%). -113.7 units – ROI: -18%
– Majority handle on totals: 306-310 (49.7%). -35 units – ROI: -5.7%
– Majority number of bets on totals: 307-318 (49.1%), -42.8 units – ROI: -6.8%

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 868-785 ATS (52.5%) over the last 3+ seasons. This has produced a profit of +4.5 units and an ROI of 0.3%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. However, it is down over 20 units so far in ’25-26 so perhaps tread lightly. Even still, remember that handle is the total amount of money on a game and is generally considered sharper. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): NEW ORLEANS, LA CLIPPERS 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation, but when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 3+ seasons, that group produced a 456-412 ATS record (52.5%), good for +2.8 units of profit and an ROI of 0.3%. This is another system that has dropped a bit this season but has still outperformed the normal levels by a decent amount. We’ll see if it can stay positive in the second half of the season.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): NEW YORK, NEW ORLEANS 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 3+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 579-508 ATS record, good for 54.2%. This is over a 4% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +20.2 units of profit and an ROI of 1.9%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NEW ORLEANS, PORTLAND 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #8: Naturally, with super majority handles doing well on non-conference and non-divisional conference games as compared to the overall, the area where these groups would figure to struggle would be in divisional games. The super-majority number is a little higher, however, 67% in fact. When this super-majority number has backed a team in divisional games over the last three seasons, they are just 166-189 ATS, good for 46.8%. This is a 3%+ drop compared to the overall majority figures and has resulted in -41.9 units of loss and an ROI of -11.8%.
System Match (FADE): LA CLIPPERS 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #9: There has been a massive disparity of success levels for majority groups on handle when they back the home or road team on money line wagers. On home teams, these majorities have gone 1454-663 over the last 3+ seasons but for -277.83 units and an ROI of -13.1%. On road teams, these majorities have gone 1113-757 but for -72.73 units and an ROI of -3.9%. This 9.2% disparity warrants outright fading ML majorities on home teams until something definitively changes.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BOSTON ML, MILWAUKEE ML, PORTLAND ML 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. It is generally believed that most NBA bettors prefer taking Overs. When any majority number have favored the Under option over the last 3+ seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 484-393, good for 55.2%, +51.7 units, and an ROI of +5.9% since January 2023.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): MIA-BOS 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: There has been some decent success for number of bets majorities when they don’t get too heavily invested. In fact, majorities on either side of the total (Over or Under) of 57% or less have gone 409-367 (52.7%) for +5.3 units and an ROI of +0.7% since January ’23.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – NOP-MIN
UNDER – MEM-POR 

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MEMPHIS +8.5 (+1.9)
2. INDIANA +1.5 (+1.7)
3. DETROIT +1.5 (+1.1) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BOSTON -5.5 (+2.4)
2. MINNESOTA -9.5 (+0.5) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. PORTLAND +8.5 (+1.6)
2. DETROIT +1.5 (+1.0)
3. INDIANA +1.5 (+0.5) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MINNESOTA -9.5 (+1.2)
2. BOSTON -5.5 (+0.3) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MIA-BOS OVER 227.5 (+1.2)
2. IND-MIL OVER 222.5 (+0.7)
3. LAC-SAC OVER 222.5 (+0.6) 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: NOP-MIN UNDER 236.5 (-0.8) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MEMPHIS +8.5 (+2.8)
2. INDIANA +1.5 (+1.9)
3. DETROIT +1.5 (+1.4) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BOSTON -5.5 (+2.3)
2. MINNESOTA -9.5 (+0.3) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. LAC-SAC OVER 222.5 (+2.3)
2. NOP-MIN OVER 236.5 (+1.8)
3. IND-MIL OVER 222.5 (+1.6) 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. NYK-DET UNDER 222.5 (-0.6)
2. MEM-POR UNDER 233.5 (-0.4)

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