The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Friday, October 24, 2025. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

 

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* Underdogs are on an insane 9-6 SU and 14-1 ATS run in the Pistons-Rockets series, including a 9-1 ATS run at Houston
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (+6.5 at HOU) 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #3: It is a somewhat rare situation but when there was a majority handle backing a home underdog in the NBA over the last three seasons, that group produced a 94-70 ATS record (57.3%).  This has netted +17 units and an ROI of 10.4%. This lot of 164 games was only about 4.0% of the total sample size.
System Match (PLAY): PORTLAND 

* NBA teams who won their previous game by 25+ points have gone Under the total at a 23-7-1 (76.7%) rate in games 2-5 of the season in the last 31 tries.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): SAS-NOP (o/u at 232.5) 

* BROOKLYN is 10-1 Over the total playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since Feb 2025
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CLE-BKN (o/u at 229.5)

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures. 

We will be tracking 50+ top scheduling situations all season long! 

* NBA teams playing on road in One Day Rest scenario are 188-234 SU but 243-171-8 ATS vs. teams in 2 Days Rest games over the last four seasons (including 52-31-2 ATS last season)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): DETROIT (+6.5 at HOU), MINNESOTA (-2.5 at LAL) 

* ATLANTA is 117-84 Over the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since Nov 2021
* ORLANDO is 101-71 Under the total playing in all One Day Rest games since Mar 2022
Trends Match: 1 PLAY OVER, 1 PLAY UNDER in ATL-ORL (o/u at 236.5) 

* BROOKLYN is 10-1 Over the total playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since Feb 2025
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CLE-BKN (o/u at 229.5)

* SAN ANTONIO is 3-15 SU and ATS playing on the road in the One Day Rest scenario since Jan 2025
Trend Match (FADE): SAN ANTONIO (-4.5 at NOP) 

* TORONTO is 12-10 SU and 16-5 ATS playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since Oct 2024
Trend Match (PLAY): TORONTO (-1.5 vs MIL)

* UTAH is 87-54 Over the total playing in One Day Rest games since Nov 2022
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): UTA-SAC (o/u at 233.5)

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons. 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #3:
NBA road favorites winning 36% of their games or less are on an impressive surge of 77-30 SU and 66-40-1 ATS (62.3%).
System Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (-11.5 at BKN)
*WATCH FOR BOSTON +3.5 at NYK and MIAMI +2.5 at MEM* 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #6:
Divisional single-digit home underdogs winning 38% of their games or less have gone 35-115 SU and 61-84-5 ATS (42.1%) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (FADE): NEW ORLEANS (+4.5 vs SAS) 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #7:
Double-digit NBA favorites in non-conference games have gone 268-48 SU but just 150-160-6 ATS (48.4%) over the last five seasons.
System Match (FADE ATS): DALLAS (-10.5 vs WSH)

NBA Team Strength Betting System #8:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the last five seasons, depending on what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 114-92 (55.3%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 225-176 (56.1%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, Over the total was 293-226 (56.5%).
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): CLE-BKN (spread at 11.5, total at 229.5), WSH-DAL (spread at -10.5, total at 227.5) 

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted. 

Fade teams off of overtime games
Teams that played in an overtime game the prior day are on a 59-93 SU and 61-86-5 ATS (41.5%) slide, including 32-55-3 ATS in the last 90 games and 20-37 ATS when a pick ’em or favorite.
System Match (FADE): GOLDEN STATE (-1.5 at POR) 

135 points in a win is a team score to watch for
Teams that won their last game while scoring 135 or more points are on a 252-136 SU but 179-201-8 ATS (47.1%) skid in the follow-up contest when favored. The record versus divisional foes among these games is 33-37-1 ATS.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TORONTO (-1.5 vs MIL), GOLDEN STATE (-1.5 at POR) 

Allowing 120+ points in a win has led to more high-scoring games
NBA teams off a previous day win but having allowed 120+ points have had their totals go Over at a 84-53-1 (61.3%) rate (sub-system: 48-23-1 (67.6%) to the Over when on the road next game) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY OVER): GSW-POR (o/u at 227.5) 

Early-season large wins lead to Unders
NBA teams who won their previous game by 25+ points have gone Under the total at a 23-7-1 (76.7%) rate in games 2-5 of the season in the last 31 tries.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): SAS-NOP (o/u at 232.5)

Rout wins are a warning sign for next contest for hosts
NBA home teams coming off any game in which they beat the point spread by 20 points or more are 303-237 SU but 241-284-15 ATS (45.9%) over the last seven seasons.
System Match (FADE): TORONTO (-1.5 vs MIL)

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams off a game in which they were granted 35 or more free throw attempts trended Under the total the next game, 320-272 (54.1%) since 2021.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): ATL-ORL (o/u at 236.5), BOS-NYK (o/u at 230.5), MIA-MEM (o/u at 233.5), GSW-POR (o/u at 227.5) 

NBA teams that have made 50% or more of their 3PT field goal attempts in a contest have responded the next time out by going just 297-317 SU and 275-331-8 ATS (45.4%) in the next game over the last five seasons.
System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (-2.5 at LAL) 

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games:

(533) ATLANTA (0-1) at (534) ORLANDO (1-0)
* ORLANDO is 4-1 SU and ATS in the last five games hosting Atlanta
Trend Match (PLAY): ORLANDO (-4.5 vs ATL)

(535) CLEVELAND (0-1) at (536) BROOKLYN (0-1)
* Road teams have covered six straight ATS in the CLE-BKN series
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (-11.5 at BKN)

(537) BOSTON (0-1) at (538) NEW YORK (1-0)
* Favorites are 3-1 ATS in the last four of the Celtics-Knicks divisional rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW YORK (-3.5 vs BOS)

(539) MILWAUKEE (1-0) at (540) TORONTO (1-0)
* Over the total has converted in the last four meetings between MIL and TOR at Scotiabank Arena
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MIL-TOR (o/u at 234.5) 

(541) DETROIT (0-1) at (542) HOUSTON (0-1)
* Underdogs are on an insane 9-6 SU and 14-1 ATS run in the DET-HOU series, including a 9-1 ATS run at Houston
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (+6.5 at HOU) 

(543) MIAMI (0-1) at (544) MEMPHIS (1-0)
* Under the total is 6-1 in the last seven of the Heat-Grizzlies set
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIA-MEM (o/u at 233.5) 

(545) SAN ANTONIO (1-0) at (546) NEW ORLEANS (0-1)
* NEW ORLEANS is on a 10-3 SU and ATS run versus divisional foe San Antonio
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (+4.5 vs SAS) 

(547) WASHINGTON (0-1) at (548) DALLAS (0-1)
* Over the total is 8-1 in the last nine of the Wizards-Mavs non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): WSH-DAL (o/u at 227.5) 

(549) UTAH (1-0) at (550) SACRAMENTO (0-1)
* SACRAMENTO is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in the last seven matchups with Utah
Trend Match (PLAY): SACRAMENTO (-4.5 vs UTA) 

(551) MINNESOTA (1-0) at (552) LA LAKERS (0-1)
* Under the total is 13-4 in the Twolves-Lakers series at Los Angeles since April 2018
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIN-LAL (o/u at 225.5)

(553) GOLDEN STATE (2-0) at (554) PORTLAND (0-1)
* GOLDEN STATE is on a 13-1 SU surge versus West Coast foe Portland
Trend Match (PLAY): GOLDEN STATE ML (-125 at POR)

(555) PHOENIX (1-0) at (556) LA CLIPPERS (0-1)
* Over the total is 9-3 in the last 12 of the Suns-Clippers divisional series, including four straight Overs when at Los Angeles
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): PHX-LAC (o/u at 224.5) 

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA. 

NO QUALIFYING STREAK PLAYS YET THIS SEASON

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money & ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals.

In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:30 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage.

To summarize the findings from the full 2024-25 season, the sample contained 1,321 games, and for the most part, to summarize, majority handle bettors were much more successful than majority number of bets groups on point spreads and totals, while both struggled on money lines. The full season performance by the majority handle on totals last year in the NBA was better than any other sports I have covered. In fact, these were the results: 

–  Majority handle on point spreads: 660-614 ATS (51.8%), -15.4 units – ROI: -1.2%
–  Majority number of bets on point spreads: 618-645 ATS (48.9%), -91.5 units – ROI: -7.2%
–  Majority handle on money lines: 842-458 (64.8%). -123.18 units – ROI: -9.5%
–  Majority number of bets on money lines: 886-421 (67.8%). -137.95 units – ROI: -10.6%
–  Majority handle on totals: 708-594 (54.4%). +54.6 units – ROI: +4.2%
–  Majority number of bets on totals: 670-621 (51.9%), -13.1 units – ROI: -1% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #1: When 63% or more of the handle was on the side of a home team playing as a four-point favorite or less (or as an underdog) on ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 170-136 ATS (55.6%) over the last three seasons, good for +20.4 units of profit and an ROI of 6.7%. This is a fairly profitable system that the public seems to get right consistently.  If you see nearly 2/3 of the handle backing a host in an expected competitive NBA game this season, it’s a solid bet to follow it.
System Match (PLAY): PORTLAND 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 748-665 ATS (52.9%) over the last three seasons. This has produced a profit of +16.5 units and an ROI of 1.2%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. Remember, handle is the total amount of money on a game. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CLEVELAND, SAN ANTONIO, MINNESOTA, PHOENIX 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #3: It is a somewhat rare situation, when there was a majority handle backing a home underdog in the NBA over the last three seasons, that group produced a 94-70 ATS record (57.3%).  This has netted +17 units and an ROI of 10.4%. As a general rule, most bettors tend to bet favorites. This lot of 164 games was only about 4.0% of the total sample size.
System Match (PLAY): PORTLAND 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation, when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 2+ seasons, that group produced a 352-298 ATS record (54.2%), good for +24.2 units of profit and an ROI of 3.7%. This lot of 650 games was only around 20% of the total sample size.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PORTLAND, SACRAMENTO 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-conference games (East versus West) of the last three seasons, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been successful, as they are 395-348 ATS (53.2%). If you consider that the overall majority numbers showed a 51.2% success rate, they were about 2% improved on these more-rare contests. This simple angle has produced +12.2 units of profit and an ROI of 1.6%.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): HOUSTON 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 2+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 494-413 ATS record, good for 54.5%. This is over a 3% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +39.7 units of profit and an ROI of 4.4%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CLEVELAND, MINNESOTA, SACRAMENTO, PORTLAND

DK NBA Betting Splits system #9: There has been a massive disparity of success levels for majority groups on handle when they back the home or road team on money line wagers. On home teams, these majorities have gone 1252-561 over the last three seasons but for -220.99 units and an ROI of -12.2%. On road teams, these majorities have gone 943-612 but for just -6.38 units and an ROI of -0.4%. This 11.8% disparity warrants fading ML majorities on home teams and at least considering ML majorities when they opt for road teams until something definitively changes.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TORONTO ML, ORLANDO ML, NEW YORK ML, BROOKLYN ML, HOUSTON ML, MEMPHIS ML, DALLAS ML

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. NEW ORLEANS +4.5 (+5.9)
2. UTAH +4.5 (+2.0)
3. MILWAUKEE +1.5 (+1.9) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. GOLDEN STATE -1.5 (+2.0)
2. MEMPHIS -2.5 (+1.7)
3. LA CLIPPERS -9.5 (+1.6) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BROOKLYN +11.5 (+3.0)
2. WASHINGTON +9.5 (+2.2)
3. NEW ORLEANS +4.5 (+1.9)

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MEMPHIS -2.5 (+3.2)
2. MINNESOTA -2.5 (+2.2)
3. HOUSTON -6.5 (+2.1) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. CLE-BKN OVER 230.5 (+2.2)
2. UTA-SAC OVER 234.5 (+0.9)
3. PHX-LAC OVER 223.5 (+0.4) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ATL-ORL UNDER 236.5 (-6.6)
2. WSH-DAL UNDER 228.5 (-5.0)
3. BOS-NYK UNDER 230.5 (-4.7) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. NEW ORLEANS +4.5 (+5.4)
2(tie). ATLANTA +4.5 (+1.1)
BROOKLYN +11.5 (+1.1) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MEMPHIS -2.5 (+2.3)
2. MINNESOTA -2.5 (+2.0)
3. HOUSTON -6.5 (+1.2) 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. CLE-BKN OVER 230.5 (+2.1)
2. UTA-SAC OVER 234.5 (+0.8) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BOS-NYK UNDER 230.5 (-8.2)
2. ATL-ORL UNDER 236.5 (-7.7)
3. WSH-DAL UNDER 228.5 (-6.7)

Unlimited access to betting splits and the NBA Analytics Reports is available to VSiN Pro subscribers.

RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR