The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Saturday, February 7, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* Teams reaching an 8-game winning streak have become profitable fade opportunities, going 71-96-1 ATS (42.5%) in the next game, including 32-48 ATS (40%) on the road over the last five seasons.
System Match (FADE): CHARLOTTE (-1.5 at ATL) 

* Over the total is on an extended 20-6 run in the Nuggets-Bulls non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DEN-CHI (o/u at 232.5) 

* NBA teams playing on road in 2 Days Rest scenario are 26-6 Under the total vs. teams in 3rd Home in 4 Days games over the last two seasons
System Match (PLAY UNDER): CLE-SAC (o/u at 234.5) 

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures. 

* NBA teams playing in back-to-back away scenario are 29-46 SU and 28-46-1 ATS vs. teams in 4th Straight Home games over the last three seasons
System Match (FADE): MEMPHIS (+8.5 at POR) 

* NBA teams playing at home in One Day Rest scenario were 101-76 Over the total vs. teams in 4th Straight Road games since the start of last Season
* PHILADELPHIA is 23-8 Over the total playing on the road in One Day Rest games since November 2024
System/Trend Match (PLAY OVER): PHI-PHX (o/u at 223.5) 

* BROOKLYN is 17-8 Over the total playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since February 2025
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): WSH-BKN (o/u at 218.5) 

* CHARLOTTE is 149-107 Under the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since March 2021
* ATLANTA is 134-101 Over the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since November 2021
Trends Match: 1 PLAY OVER, 1 PLAY UNDER in CHA-ATL (o/u at 231.5) 

* LA LAKERS are 34-12 SU and 32-14 ATS playing at home in One Day Rest games since January 2024
Trend Match (PLAY): LA LAKERS (-2.5 vs GSW) 

* GOLDEN STATE is 134-99 Over the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since December 2021
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): GSW-LAL (o/u at 223.5) 

* NBA teams playing on the road in One Day Rest scenario are 216-270 SU but 273-205-8 ATS vs. teams in 2 Days Rest games over the last four seasons
System Match (PLAY): HOUSTON (+4.5 at OKC) 

* HOUSTON is 122-101 Over the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since December 2021
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): HOU-OKC (o/u at 213.5) 

* UTAH is 99-70 Over the total playing in One Day Rest games since November 2022
* ORLANDO is 118-86 Under the total playing in all One Day Rest games since March 2022
* NBA teams playing at home in One Day Rest scenario were 101-76 Over the total vs. teams in 4th Straight Road games since the start of last Season
System/Trends Match: 2 PLAYS OVER, 1 PLAY UNDER in UTA-ORL (o/u at 237.5) 

* CLEVELAND is 15-3 SU and 12-6 ATS playing in the 2 Days Rest scenario since December 2024
* SACRAMENTO is 8-16 SU and 6-18 ATS playing in 3rd Straight Home games since November 2024
Trends Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (-12.5 at SAC) 

* NBA teams playing on the road in 2 Days Rest scenario are 26-6 Under the total vs. teams in 3rd Home in 4 Days games over the last two seasons
System Match (PLAY UNDER): CLE-SAC (o/u at 234.5) 

Here are the top head-to-head series trends in play for all of today’s games:

(543) WASHINGTON at (544) BROOKLYN
* UNDERDOGS are 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in the last seven of the WSH-BKN series
Trend Match (PLAY): WASHINGTON (+6.5 at BKN)

(545) HOUSTON at (546) OKLAHOMA CITY
* Over the total has converted in the last four meetings between Houston and Oklahoma City at the Paycom Center
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): HOU-OKC (o/u at 214.5)

(547) DALLAS at (548) SAN ANTONIO
* Over the total is 8-1-1 in the last 10 of the Mavs-Spurs divisional rivalry in San Antonio
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DAL-SAS (o/u at 229.5)

(549) UTAH at (550) ORLANDO
* UTAH is 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings with cross-country foe Orlando
Trend Match (PLAY): UTAH (+7.5 at ORL) 

(551) CHARLOTTE at (552) ATLANTA
* Underdogs are on an 11-3 ATS surge in the Hornets-Hawks divisional set
Trend Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (+1.5 vs CHA) 

(553) DENVER at (554) CHICAGO
* Over the total is on an extended 20-6 run in the DEN-CHI non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DEN-CHI (o/u at 232.5) 

(555) GOLDEN STATE at (556) LA LAKERS
* Over the total is 10-1 in the last 11 of the Warriors-Lakers divisional rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): GSW-LAL (o/u at 223.5) 

(557) PHILADELPHIA at (558) PHOENIX
* Over the total is on extended 18-7-1 run in the PHI-PHX non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): PHI-PHX (o/u at 223.5) 

(559) MEMPHIS at (560) PORTLAND
* Under the total is 13-4-1 in the last 18 matchups between Memphis and Portland
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MEM-POR (o/u at 234.5)

(561) CLEVELAND at (562) SACRAMENTO
* SACRAMENTO is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 games with non-conference opponent Cleveland
Trend Match (PLAY): SACRAMENTO (+12.5 vs CLE) 

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons. 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #1:
In games between two teams with 60%+ winning percentages, home teams favored in the -4.5 to -9.5 range are on a 182-68 SU and 146-103-1 ATS (58.6%) run.
System Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-4.5 vs HOU) 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #7:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the last five seasons, dependent upon what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 134-105 (56.1%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 246-208 (54.2%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, Over the total was 332-263 (55.8%).
System Match (PLAY): OVER – CLE-SAC (spread +12.5, total 234.5)

The following handicapping information details betting systems for divisional games.

WC Southwest Division Betting System #1:
In WC Southwest divisional games, favorites of 3.5 points or more are on a 49-14 SU and 37-26 ATS (58.7%) run since mid-February 2024.
System Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (-9.5 vs DAL) 

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted. 

Close wins haven’t provided for momentum going forward
NBA teams that won as favorites by a close margin (1-3 points) have gone 301-170 SU but just 196-262-13 ATS (42.8%) in the next contest when favored again.
System Match (FADE): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR ATLANTA vs CHA, +1.5 CURRENTLY 

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA road teams coming off a game in which they made 20+ 3-point shots have gone just 195-209 SU and 184-210-10 ATS (46.7%) in that next contest over the last seven seasons.
System Match (FADE): GOLDEN STATE (+2.5 at LAL)

Teams not making many free throws bounce back well
NBA teams that are coming off a game in which they made six free throws or fewer have bounced back well in the next outing, and are on a 193-166 SU and 198-151-10 ATS (56.7%) run.
System Match (PLAY): PHOENIX (-1.5 vs PHI) 

High TO games can be significant
NBA teams that committed 20+ turnovers in the previous game have done well in expected-tight matchups (within -4 to +4 line range) in the follow-up game, going 92-64 SU and 94-61-1 ATS (60.6%) in their last 156 tries.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CHARLOTTE (-1.5 at ATL), LA LAKERS (-2.5 vs GSW) 

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA. 

NBA Streak Betting System #7:
Teams who have lost at least their last four games and are facing an opponent on 2+ Days Rest have had their games go Over the total at a 135-97-2 (58.2%) rate since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY OVER): CLE-SAC (o/u at 234.5) 

NBA Streak Betting System #10:
Teams having lost their last four games or more have been a solid wager when they are a capable offensive team, as those scoring 114 PPG or more are on a 110-119 SU but 131-96-3 ATS (57.7%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS (+9.5 at SAS) 

NBA Streak Betting System #12:
Teams on losing streaks of six games or more as divisional underdogs are 8-41 SU and 18-28-3 ATS (39.1%) since the start of the 2023-24 season.
System Match (FADE): DALLAS (+9.5 at SAS) 

NBA Streak Betting System #14:
Teams reaching winning or losing streaks of 7 games or more become play against teams in general, going 296-337-4 ATS (46.8%) in the next outing since 2020.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CHARLOTTE (-1.5 at ATL), SACRAMENTO (+12.5 vs CLE)

NBA Streak Betting System #15:
Teams reaching an 8-game winning streak have become profitable fade opportunities, going 71-96-1 ATS (42.5%) in the next game, including 32-48 ATS (40%) on the road over the last five seasons.
System Match (FADE): CHARLOTTE (-1.5 at ATL)

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals.

In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:00 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the first half data of the 2025-26 season, the sample contained 633 games, and for the most part, majority bettors have lost on all six point spread, money line, and total categories. In fact, this has been the worst half-season they have endured since I started studying this subject a few years ago. Here are the results: 

– Majority handle on point spreads: 291-335 ATS (46.5%), -77.5 units – ROI: -12.4%
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 287-323 ATS (47%), -68.3 units – ROI: -11.2%
– Majority handle on money lines: 379-247 (60.5%). -123.2 units – ROI: -20.2%
– Majority number of bets on money lines: 404-227 (64%). -113.7 units – ROI: -18%
– Majority handle on totals: 306-310 (49.7%). -35 units – ROI: -5.7%
– Majority number of bets on totals: 307-318 (49.1%), -42.8 units – ROI: -6.8% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #1: When 63% or more of the handle was on the side of a home team playing as a 4-point favorite or less (or as an underdog) on ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 211-174 ATS (54.8%) over the last 3+ seasons, good for +19.6 units of profit and an ROI of 5.1%. This is a fairly profitable system that the public seems to get right consistently.  If you see nearly 2/3 of the handle backing a host in an expected competitive NBA game this season, it’s a solid bet to follow it.
System Match (PLAY): ATLANTA 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 868-785 ATS (52.5%) over the last 3+ seasons. This has produced a profit of +4.5 units and an ROI of 0.3%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. However, it is down over 20 units so far in 2025-26 so perhaps tread lightly. Even still, remember that handle is the total amount of money on a game and is generally considered sharper. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): WASHINGTON, DALLAS, DENVER, CLEVELAND 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #3: It is a somewhat rare situation, but when there was a majority handle backing a home underdog in the NBA over the last 3+ seasons, that group produced a 135-106 ATS record (56%).  This has netted +18.4 units and an ROI of 7.6%. As a general rule, most bettors tend to bet favorites. This lot of 241 games was only about 5.0% of the total sample size.
System Match (PLAY): ATLANTA 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation, when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 3+ seasons, that group produced a 456-412 ATS record (52.5%), good for +2.8 units of profit and an ROI of 0.3%. This is another system that has dropped a bit this season but has still outperformed the normal levels by a decent amount. We’ll see if it can stay positive in the second half of the season.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): DALLAS, UTAH, MEMPHIS 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #5: Concerning number of bets. When 70% or more of the number of bets has been on a home side of an ATS wager since January 2023, this “super” majority group has gone just 104-142 ATS (42.3%), well below the overall performance of all majorities. This has resulted in a net loss of -52.2 units for an ROI of -21.2%.
System Match (FADE): LA LAKERS 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-Conference games (East versus West) of the last 3+ seasons, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been mildly successful, as they are 461-417 ATS (52.5%). If you consider that the overall majority numbers showed just over a 50% success rate, they were about 2.5% improved on these more-rare contests. This simple angle has produced +2.3 units of profit and an ROI of 0.3%.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): DENVER, CLEVELAND 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 3+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 579-508 ATS record, good for 54.2%. This is over a 4% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +20.2 units of profit and an ROI of 1.9%.
System Match (PLAY): WASHINGTON 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #8: Naturally, with super majority handles doing well on non-conference and non-divisional conference games as compared to the overall, the area where these groups would figure to struggle would be in divisional games. The super-majority number is a little higher, however, 67% in fact. When this super-majority number has backed a team in divisional games over the last three seasons, they are just 166-189 ATS, good for 46.8%. This is a 3%+ drop compared to the overall majority figures and has resulted in -41.9 units of loss and an ROI of -11.8%.
System Match (FADE): DALLAS 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. It is generally believed that most NBA bettors prefer taking Overs. When any majority number have favored the Under option over the last 3+ seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 484-393, good for 55.2%, +51.7 units, and an ROI of +5.9% since January 2023.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): GSW-LAL, MEM-POR 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: There has been some decent success for number of bets majorities when they don’t get too heavily invested. In fact, majorities on either side of the total (Over or Under) of 57% or less have gone 409-367 (52.7%) for +5.3 units and an ROI of +0.7% since January 2023.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – DAL-SAS, MEM-POR
UNDER – UTA-ORL 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #13: The average NBA game total since January of 2023 has been a bit more than 228. In NBA games with “low” totals, or those less than 220, majority handle bettors have gone an impressive 408-345 (54.2%), while majority number of bets groups are a bit less at 398-359 (52.6%). Both groups have proven profitable regardless of which side of the total they have chosen.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – WSH-BKN, HOU-OKC 

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ATLANTA +1.5 (+3.0)
2. DALLAS +9.5 (+2.3)
3. CHICAGO +5.5 (+2.0) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BROOKLYN -6.5 (+3.5)
2. LA LAKERS -2.5 (+0.8)
3. ORLANDO -7.5 (+0.4) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ATLANTA +1.5 (+3.7)
2. HOUSTON +4.5 (+0.9)
3. CHICAGO +5.5 (+0.8) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ORLANDO -7.5 (+2.4)
2. BROOKLYN -6.5 (+2.0)
3. LA LAKERS -2.5 (+0.5) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DEN-CHI OVER 232.5 (+2.7)
2. WSH-BKN OVER 218.5 (+1.7)
3. UTA-ORL OVER 237.5 (+1.6) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MEM-POR UNDER 234.5 (-2.2)
2. HOU-OKC UNDER 214.5 (-0.7)
3. GSW-LAL UNDER 223.5 (-0.2) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ATLANTA +1.5 (+2.7)
2. DALLAS +9.5 (+2.5)
3. SACRAMENTO +12.5 (+2.3) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BROOKLYN -6.5 (+3.3)
2. LA LAKERS -2.5 (+0.8) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DAL-SAS OVER 229.5 (+4.0)
2. WSH-BKN OVER 218.5 (+3.7)
3. MEM-POR OVER 234.5 (+2.0) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. PHI-PHX UNDER 223.5 (-5.9)
2. CLE-SAC UNDER 234.5 (-3.7)
3. HOU-OKC UNDER 214.5 (-0.4)

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