The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games on 11/1. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s NBA games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

* LA LAKERS are 8-0 SU and ATS playing at home in 4th in 6 Days scenario since February 2026
Trend Match (PLAY): LA LAKERS (-2.5 vs TOR)

* In games between two teams with 40% or less winning percentages, and lines of 4.5 or less either way, road teams are on a 144-118 SU and 147-112-3 ATS (56.8%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): BROOKLYN (+3.5 at IND)

The following are 40 of the top team-specific trends that have developed in the NBA over the last few seasons when considering scheduling situations. Like the league-wide systems introduced earlier, naturally, there are reasons that certain teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures.

* GOLDEN STATE is 132-127 SU but 111-144 ATS playing in One Day Rest games since January 2022
Trend Match (FADE): GOLDEN STATE (-2.5 vs LAC)

* LA LAKERS are 8-0 SU and ATS playing at home in 4th in 6 Days scenario since February 2026
* LA LAKERS are 102-64 SU and 97-68 ATS playing with One Day Rest since November 2023
Trends Match (PLAY): LA LAKERS (-2.5 vs TOR)

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games:

(535) BOSTON at (536) ORLANDO
* BOSTON is 5-1 ATS in the last six games with Orlando
Trend Match (PLAY): BOSTON (-7 vs IND.5 at ORL)

(539) LA CLIPPERS at (540) GOLDEN STATE
* LA CLIPPERS are 9-2 SU and ATS in the last 11 meetings with divisional foe Golden State
Trend Match (PLAY): LA CLIPPERS (+2.5 at GSW)

(541) TORONTO at (542) LA LAKERS
* Over the total is 7-2 in the last nine of the Raptors-Lakers non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): TOR-LAL (o/u at 225.5)

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last six NBA seasons.

NBA Team Strength Betting System #2:
In games between two teams with 40% or less winning percentages, and lines of 4.5 or less either way, road teams are on a 144-118 SU and 147-112-3 ATS (56.8%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): BROOKLYN (+3.5 at IND)

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last six seasons unless noted.

Allowing 135+ points in a game is a sign of trouble
NBA teams off of a game in which they allowed 135+ points and are now favored have gone 205-117 SU but 149-169-4 ATS (46.9%) in the follow-up contest over the last eight seasons. Included among this is a 121-151 ATS (44.5%) mark when not playing the next day.
System Match (FADE): INDIANA (-3.5 vs BKN)

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams off a game in which they were granted 35 or more free throw attempts trended Under the total the next game, 427-367 (53.8%) since 2021.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BOS-ORL (o/u at 220.5)

NBA teams that have made 50% or more of their 3PT field goal attempts in a contest have responded the next time out by going just 367-370 SU and 336-393-8 ATS (46.1%) in the next game over the last six seasons.
System Match (FADE): ORLANDO (+7.5 vs BOS)

High TO games can be significant
NBA teams that committed 20+ turnovers in the previous game have done well in expected-tight matchups (within -4 to +4 line range) in the follow-up game, going 108-80 SU and 110-77-1 ATS (58.8%) in their last 188 tries.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BROOKLYN (+3.5 at IND), LA LAKERS (-2.5 vs TOR)

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA.

NBA Streak Betting System #2:
Teams having won their last four games or more have been a solid wager when playing as large road favorites of 7.5 points or more, going 111-25 SU and 75-58-3 ATS (56.4%) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY): BOSTON (-7.5 at ORL)

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:45 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage.

DK NBA Betting Splits system #1: When 63% or more of the handle was on the side of a home team playing as a 4-point favorite or less (or as an underdog) on ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 239-208 ATS (53.5%) over the last four seasons, good for +10.2 units of profit and a ROI of 2.3%. This is fairly a profitable system that the public seems to get right consistently.
System Match (PLAY): LA LAKERS (-2.5 vs TOR)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 980-899 ATS (52.2%) over the last four seasons. This has produced -8.9 units and a ROI of -0.5%. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Match (PLAY): BOSTON (-7.5 at ORL)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #5: Concerning number of bets. When 70% or more of the number of bets has been on a home side of an ATS wager since January ‘23, this “super” majority group has gone just 114-156 ATS (42.2%), well below the overall performance of all majorities. This has resulted in a net loss of -57.6 units for an ROI of -21.3%.
System Matches (FADE ALL): INDIANA (-3.5 vs BKN), GOLDEN STATE (-2.5 vs LAC)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-Conference games (East versus West) of the last three seasons, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been successful, as they are 552-487 ATS (53.1%). This simple angle has produced +16.3 units of profit and an ROI of +1.6%.
System Match (PLAY): LA LAKERS (-2.5 vs TOR)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 3+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 682-604 ATS record, good for 53%. This is about a 3% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +17.6 units of profit and an ROI of +1.4%.
System Match (PLAY): BOSTON (-7.5 at ORL)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #9: There has been a massive disparity of success levels for majority groups on handle when they back the home or road team on money line wagers. On home teams, these majorities have gone 1752-782 over the last three seasons but for -307.37 units and a ROI of -12.1%. On road teams, these majorities have gone 1342-884 but for just -49.62 units and an ROI of -2.2%. This 9.9%+ disparity warrants fading ML majorities on home teams consistently.
System Matches (FADE ALL): INDIANA ML (-170 vs BKN), GOLDEN STATE ML (-135 vs LAC), LA LAKERS ML (-148 vs TOR)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. When any majority number has favored the Under option over the last four seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 560-467, good for 54.5%, +46.3 units, and an ROI of +4.5% since January ’23.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): BKN-IND (o/u at 231.5), LAC-GSW (o/u at 222.5)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #13: Majority handle Under bettors have been successful when sticking to their guns despite DraftKings raising the total off of its opening number. These Under majorities have gone 223-176 (55.9%) since January 2023 by not getting baited into this totals trap. This has been a very profitable angle in terms of ROI, producing +29.4 units of profit for +7.4%.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): BKN-IND (o/u at 231.5), LAC-GSW (o/u at 222.5)

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team,
current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ORLANDO +7.5 (+2.9)
2. BROOKLYN +3.5 (+0.2)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. GOLDEN STATE -2.5 (+1.9)
2. LA LAKERS -2.5 (+1.8)

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ORLANDO +7.5 (+4.3)
2. BROOKLYN +3.5 (+0.8)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. GOLDEN STATE -2.5 (+2.3)
2. LA LAKERS -2.5 (+2.0)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BOS-ORL OVER 220.5 (+2.4)
2. TOR-LAL OVER 225.5 (+2.0)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BKN-IND UNDER 231.5 (-2.6)
2. LAC-GSW UNDER 222.5 (-1.0)

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: ORLANDO +7.5 (+2.9)

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. GOLDEN STATE -2.5 (+2.2)
2. LA LAKERS -2.5 (+1.5)
3. INDIANA -3.5 (+0.3)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BOS-ORL OVER 220.5 (+4.6)
2. TOR-LAL OVER 225.5 (+4.5)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BKN-IND UNDER 231.5 (-2.3)
2. LAC-GSW UNDER 222.5 (-1.3)

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Steve Makinen
Steve Makinen
As one of the original founders of StatFox, Steve Makinen has been in the business of sports betting and data analysis for almost 25 years now. In his time in the industry, Steve has worked in a variety of capacities on both sides of the betting counter, from his early days of developing the StatFox business, to almost a decade of oddsmaking consulting for one of the world's leading sportsbooks, to his last seven years as Point Spread Weekly and Analytics Director with VSiN. Steve has always believed that number crunching and handicapping through foundational trends and systems is the secret to success and he shares this data with VSiN readers on a daily basis for all of the major sports.

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