Today’s NBA Betting Trends:
The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Thursday, November 20, 2025. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
* Under the total is 11-1-2 in the last 14 of the Clippers-Magic cross-country series
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): LAC-ORL (o/u at 218.5)
* Teams who have lost at least their last four games and are playing their fourth straight road game have been bad, going 8-32 SU and 13-26-1 ATS (33.3%) against conference opponents since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (FADE): SACRAMENTO (+2.5 at MEM)
#1 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen Power Ratings: MILWAUKEE +2.5 vs PHI (projections have line at MIL -0.7)
Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping
The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based on their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based on the schedule pressures.
* NBA teams playing at home in One Day Rest scenario were 81-53 Over the total vs. teams in 4th Straight Road games since the start of last Season
System Match (PLAY OVER): SAC-MEM (o/u at 235.5)
* ATLANTA is 122-88 Over the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since Nov 2021
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): ATL-SAS (o/u at 232.5)
* NBA teams playing at home in One Day Rest scenario were 81-53 Over the total vs. teams in 4th Straight Road games since the start of last Season
* ORLANDO is 105-76 Under the total playing in all One Day Rest games since Mar 2022
System/Trend Match: 1 PLAY OVER, 1 PLAY UNDER in LAC-ORL (o/u at 218.5)
* PHILADELPHIA is 5-17 SU and 7-15 ATS playing in 3rd in 4 Days games since Nov 2024
Trend Match (FADE): PHILADELPHIA (-2.5 at MIL)
Top Daily Head-to-Head Series NBA Betting Trends
Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games:
(519) LA CLIPPERS at (520) ORLANDO
* Under the total is 11-1-2 in the last 14 of the LAC-ORL cross-country series
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): LAC-ORL (o/u at 218.5)
(521) ATLANTA at (522) SAN ANTONIO
* Home teams have covered all six meetings between Atlanta and San Antonio since 2023
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (-1.5 vs ATL)
(523) SACRAMENTO at (524) MEMPHIS
* Under the total is 8-1 in the last nine of the Kings-Grizzlies set at Memphis
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): SAC-MEM (o/u at 235.5)
(525) PHILADELPHIA at (526) MILWAUKEE
* MILWAUKEE is on runs of 8-0 SU and 6-0 ATS in matchups with Philadelphia
Trend Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (+2.5 vs PHI)
NBA Team Strength Systems
The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons.
NBA Team Strength Betting System #2:
In games between two teams with 40% or less winning percentages, and lines of 4.5 or less either way, road teams are on a 121-83 SU and 123-78-3 ATS (61.2%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): SACRAMENTO (+2.5 at MEM)
NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems
These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted.
Teams not making many free throws bounce back well
NBA teams that come off a game in which they made six free throws or fewer have bounced back well in the next outing, and are on a 184-157 SU and 189-142-10 ATS (57.1%) run.
System Match (PLAY): MEMPHIS (-2.5 vs SAC)
High TO games can be significant
NBA teams that committed 20+ turnovers in the previous game have done well in expected-tight matchups (within -4 to +4 line range) in the follow-up game, going 71-54 SU and 73-51-1 ATS (58.9%) in their last 125 tries.
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-2.5 at MIL)
NBA Streak Systems
The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA.
NBA Streak Betting System #8:
Teams who have lost at least their last four games and are playing their fourth straight road game have been bad, going 8-32 SU and 13-26-1 ATS (33.3%) against conference opponents since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (FADE): SACRAMENTO (+2.5 at MEM)
NBA Streak Betting System #14:
Teams reaching winning or losing streaks of 7 games or more become play against teams in general, going 266-315-4 ATS (45.8%) in the next outing since 2020, and in particular, teams on losing streaks of 7 games or more have been terrible in road games, going 32-140 SU and 74-92-6 ATS (44.6%).
System Match (FADE): SACRAMENTO (+2.5 at MEM)
Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data
One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:00 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage.
To summarize the findings from the full 2024-25 season, the sample contained 1,321 games, and for the most part, majority handle bettors were much more successful than majority number of bets groups on point spreads and totals, while both struggled on money lines. The full season performance by the majority handle on totals last year in the NBA was better than any other sport I have covered. In fact, these were the results:
– Majority handle on point spreads: 660-614 ATS (51.8%), -15.4 units – ROI: -1.2%
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 618-645 ATS (48.9%), -91.5 units – ROI: -7.2%
– Majority handle on money lines: 842-458 (64.8%). -123.18 units – ROI: -9.5%
– Majority number of bets on money lines: 886-421 (67.8%). -137.95 units – ROI: -10.6%
– Majority handle on totals: 708-594 (54.4%). +54.6 units – ROI: +4.2%
– Majority number of bets on totals: 670-621 (51.9%), -13.1 units – ROI: -1%
DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 748-665 ATS (52.9%) over the last three seasons. This has produced a profit of +16.5 units and an ROI of 1.2%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. Remember, handle is the total amount of money on a game. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): ATLANTA, PHILADELPHIA
DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation, when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 2+ seasons, that group produced a 352-298 ATS record (54.2%), good for +24.2 units of profit and an ROI of 3.7%. This lot of 650 games was only around 20% of the total sample size.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): ATLANTA, SACRAMENTO
DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-conference games (East versus West) of the last three seasons, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been successful, as they are 395-348 ATS (53.2%). If you consider that the overall majority numbers showed a 51.2% success rate, they were about 2% improved on these more-rare contests. This simple angle has produced +12.2 units of profit and an ROI of 1.6%.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): ORLANDO, ATLANTA
DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 2+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 494-413 ATS record, good for 54.5%. This is over a 3% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +39.7 units of profit and an ROI of 4.4%.
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA
DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. It is generally believed that most NBA bettors prefer taking Overs. When any majority number have favored the Under option over the last three seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 434-351, good for 55.3%, +47.9 units, and a ROI of +6.1% since January 2023.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): LAC-ORL, SAC-MEM, PHI-MEM
DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: There has been some decent success for number of bets majorities when they don’t get too heavily invested. In fact, majorities on either side of the total (Over or Under) of 57% or less have gone 346-301 (53.5%) for +14.9 units and a ROI of +2.3% since January 2023.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): UNDER – SAC-MEM
DK NBA Betting Splits system #13: The average NBA game total since January of 2023 has been a bit less than 228. In NBA games with “low” totals, or those less than 220, majority handle bettors have gone an impressive 396-334 (54.2%), while majority number of bets groups are a bit less at 386-348 (52.6%). Both groups have proven profitable regardless of which side of the total they have chosen.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): UNDER – LAC-MEM
DK NBA Betting Splits system #14: Majority handle Under bettors have been successful when sticking to their guns despite DraftKings raising total off of its opening number. These Under majorities have gone 176-126 (58.3%) since January 2023 by not getting baited into this totals trap. This has been the most profitable angle of all in terms of ROI, producing +37.4 units of profit for 12.4%.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): SAC-MEM
Today’s NBA Strength Ratings
The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).
Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MILWAUKEE +2.5 (+3.2)
2. LA CLIPPERS +5.5 (+2.5)
Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SAN ANTONIO -1.5 (+1.3)
2. MEMPHIS -2.5 (+0.3)
Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. PHILADELPHIA -2.5 (+1.5)
2. ORLANDO -5.5 (+1.2)
3. MEMPHIS -2.5 (+0.2)
Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: LAC-ORL OVER 218.5 (+2.3)
Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SAC-MEM UNDER 235.5 (-2.6)
2(tie). ATL-SAS UNDER 232.5 (-1.0)
PHI-MIL UNDER 224.5 (-1.0)
Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MILWAUKEE +2.5 (+2.7)
2. LA CLIPPERS +5.5 (+2.4)
Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SAN ANTONIO -1.5 (+2.9)
2. MEMPHIS -2.5 (+2.4)
Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ATL-SAS UNDER 232.5 (-8.5)
2. LAC-ORL UNDER 218.5 (-4.2)
3. SAC-MEM UNDER 235.5 (-0.8)
