The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games on 10/22. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s NBA games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

* Underdogs are 5-6 SU but 9-2 ATS in the last 11 of the Cavs-76ers series
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (+3.5 at PHI)

* When majority DK betting handle has favored the Under option over the last four seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 547-454, good for 54.6%, +47.6 units, and an ROI of +4.8% since January 2023.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): CLE-PHI (o/u at 236.5)

The following are 40 of the top team-specific trends that have developed in the NBA over the last few seasons when considering scheduling situations. Like the league-wide systems introduced earlier, naturally, there are reasons that certain teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures.

* CLEVELAND is just 27-32 SU and 19-40 ATS (32.2%) vs. teams that have winning records, since the start of last season
Trend Match (FADE): CLEVELAND (+3.5 at PHI)

* OKLAHOMA CITY is 182-100 SU and 161-113 ATS playing in the popular One Day Rest scenario since Oct 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-8.5 vs DEN)

Here are the top head-to-head series trends in play for all of today’s games:

(529) CLEVELAND at (530) PHILADELPHIA
* Underdogs are 5-6 SU but 9-2 ATS in the last 11 of Cavs-76ers series
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (+3.5 at PHI)

(531) DENVER at (532) OKLAHOMA CITY
* Over the total has converted in the last six matchups between Denver and Oklahoma City
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DEN-OKC (o/u at 235.5)
* DENVER is 3-6 SU but 7-2 ATS in the last nine of the overall series as well
Trend Match (PLAY): DENVER (+8.5 at OKC)

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA.

NO QUALIFYING STREAK PLAYS YET THIS SEASON

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 10:30 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage.

DK NBA Betting Splits system #1: When 63% or more of the handle was on the side of a home team playing as a four-point favorite or less (or as an underdog) on an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 234-201 ATS (53.8%) over the last four seasons, good for +12.9 units of profit and an ROI of 3%. This is fairly a profitable system that the public seems to get right consistently.
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-3.5 vs CLE)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 972-886 ATS (52.3%) over the last four seasons. This has produced -2.6 units and an ROI of about dead even. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Match (PLAY): DENVER (+8.5 at OKC)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation, but when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 3+ seasons, that group produced a 563-504 ATS record (52.7%), good for +8.6 units of profit and an ROI of 0.8%.
System Match (PLAY): DENVER (+8.5 at OKC)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #5: Concerning number of bets. When 70% or more of the number of bets has been on a home side of an ATS wager since January 2023, this “super” majority group has gone just 113-155 ATS (42.2%), well below the overall performance of all majorities. This has resulted in a net loss of -57.5 units for an ROI of -21.5%.
System Match (FADE): PHILADELPHIA (-3.5 vs CLE)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 3+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 673-588 ATS record, good for 53.4%. This is about a 3% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +26.2 units of profit and an ROI of +2.1%.
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-3.5 vs CLE)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #9: There has been a massive disparity of success levels for majority groups on handle when they back the home or road team on money line wagers. On home teams, these majorities have gone 1727-766 over the last three seasons but for -305.92 units and an ROI of -12.3%. On road teams, these majorities have gone 1322-872 but for just -54.33 units and an ROI of -2.5%.
System Matches (FADE ALL): PHILADELPHIA ML (-148 vs CLE), OKLAHOMA CITY ML (-340 vs DEN)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. When any majority number have favored the Under option over the last four seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 547-454, good for 54.6%, +47.6 units, and an ROI of +4.8% since January 2023.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): CLE-PHI (o/u at 236.5)

DK NBA Betting Splits system #13: Majority handle Under bettors have been successful when sticking to their guns despite DraftKings raising total off of its opening number. These Under majorities have gone 221-167 (57%) since January 2023 by not getting baited into this totals trap. This has been a very profitable angle in terms of ROI, producing +37.3 units of profit for +9.6%.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): CLE-PHI (o/u at 236.5)

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DENVER +8.5 (+2.0)
2. CLEVELAND +3.5 (+0.8)

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. CLEVELAND +3.5 (+6.8)
2. DENVER +8.5 (+0.4)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: DEN-OKC OVER 235.5 (+2.0)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: CLE-PHI UNDER 236.5 (-0.1)

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DENVER +8.5 (+2.0)
2. CLEVELAND +3.5 (+0.6)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: DEN-OKC OVER 235.5 (+0.4)

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