The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Thursday, October 30, 2025. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

 

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

NBA Streak Betting System #6: Teams having lost their last four games or more have been fantastic in the rare role of playing as road favorites, going 42-13 SU and 37-16-2 ATS (69.8%) in their last 55 tries.
System Match (PLAY): ORLANDO (-3.5 at CHA) 

* OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-5 SU and 30-7-1 ATS playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since March 2024
Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-15.5 vs WSH) 

* NBA teams who won their previous game by 25+ points have gone Under the total at a 26-11-1 (70.3%) rate in games 2-5 of the season in the last 38 tries.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): MIA-SAS (o/u at 229.5)

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based on their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based on the schedule pressures. 

* CHARLOTTE is 131-98 Under the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since Mar 2021
System Match (PLAY UNDER): ORL-CHA (o/u at 240.5) 

* GOLDEN STATE is 116-88 Over the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since Dec 2021
* MILWAUKEE is 15-2 Over the total playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since Jan 2025
Trends Match (PLAY OVER): GSW-MIL (o/u at 231.5) 

* OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-5 SU and 30-7-1 ATS playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since Mar 2024
Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-15.5 vs WSH) 

* NBA teams playing on the road in One Day Rest scenario are 189-237 SU but 244-174-8 ATS vs. teams in 2 Days Rest games over the last four Seasons
* NBA teams playing at home in 2 Days Rest scenario were 53-36 SU but 34-53-2 ATS vs. teams in One Day Rest games since the start of last season
Systems Match (PLAY): MIAMI (+5.5 at SAS) 

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based upon various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons. 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #1:
In games between two teams with 60%+ winning percentages, home teams favored in the -4.5 to -9.5 range are on a 162-61 SU and 133-89-1 ATS (59.9%) run.
System Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (-5.5 vs MIA) 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #3:
NBA road favorites winning 36% of their games or less are on an impressive surge of 82-33 SU and 69-45-1 ATS (60.5%).
System Match (PLAY): ORLANDO (-3.5 at CHA) 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #7:
Double-digit NBA favorites in non-conference games have gone 271-48 SU but just 152-161-6 ATS (48.6%) over the last five seasons.
System Match (SLIGHT FADE ATS): OKLAHOMA CITY (-15.5 vs WSH) 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #8:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the last five seasons, depending on what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 114-93 (55.1%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 226-178 (55.9%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, Over the total was 295-227 (56.5%).
System Match (PLAY): WSH-OKC (o/u at 231.5) 

The following handicapping information details betting systems for divisional games. 

Eastern Southeast Division Betting System #2:
In Eastern Southeast divisional games, road teams playing on a back-to-back are 11-17 SU and 10-18 ATS (35.7%) since the start of the 2021-22 season.
System Match (FADE): ORLANDO (-3.5 at CHA)

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted. 

Allowing 135+ points in a game is a sign of trouble
NBA teams off a game in which they allowed 135+ points and are now favored have gone 160-95 SU but 117-134-4 ATS (46.6%) in the follow-up contest over the last seven seasons.
System Match (FADE): ORLANDO (-3.5 at CHA) 

Teams losing despite scoring well are dangerous
Since the start of the 2018-19 season, NBA teams coming off back-to-back losses in which they scored 115+ points offensively have bounced back extremely well in the next outing, going 128-134 SU but 134-113-5 ATS (54.3%), including 93-62-1 ATS (60%) when installed as underdogs.
System Match (PLAY): ORLANDO (-3.5 at CHA) 

Early-season large wins lead to Unders
NBA teams who won their previous game by 25+ points have gone Under the total at a 26-11-1 (70.3%) rate in games 2-5 of the season in the last 38 tries.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): MIA-SAS (o/u at 229.5) 

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams off a game in which they were granted 35 or more free throw attempts trended Under the total the next game, 331-281 (54.1%) since 2021.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): MIA-SAS (o/u at 229.5)

NBA road teams coming off a game in which they made 20+ 3-point shots have gone just 169-187 SU and 159-187-10 ATS (46%) in that next contest over the last seven seasons.
System Match (FADE): MIAMI (+5.5 at SAS) 

Teams not making many free throws bounce back well
NBA teams that come off a game in which they made six free throws or fewer have bounced back well in the next outing, and are on a 184-155 SU and 188-141-10 ATS (57.1%) run.
System Match (PLAY): GOLDEN STATE (-3.5 at MIL)

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA. 

NBA Streak Betting System #1:
Teams having won their last four games or more have been a risky bet when playing as double-digit home favorites, going 130-24 SU but 67-84-3 ATS (44.4%) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (FADE ATS): OKLAHOMA CITY (-15.5 vs WSH)

NBA Streak Betting System #6:
Teams having lost their last four games or more have been fantastic in the rare role of playing as road favorites, going 42-13 SU and 37-16-2 ATS (69.8%) in their last 55 tries.
System Match (PLAY): ORLANDO (-3.5 at CHA)

NBA Streak Betting System #10:
Teams having lost their last four games or more have been a solid wager when they are a capable offensive team, as those scoring 114 PPG or more are on an 84-90 SU but 99-73-3 ATS (57.6%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): ORLANDO (-3.5 at CHA)

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games: 

(501) ORLANDO (1-4) at (502) CHARLOTTE (2-2)
* ORLANDO has dominated divisional foe Charlotte recently, going 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 meetings
Trend Match (PLAY): ORLANDO (-3.5 at CHA) 

(503) GOLDEN STATE (4-1) at (504) MILWAUKEE (3-1)
* GOLDEN STATE is on a 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS run versus Milwaukee since 2023
Trend Match (PLAY): GOLDEN STATE (-3.5 at MIL) 

(505) WASHINGTON (1-3) at (506) OKLAHOMA CITY (5-0)
* OKLAHOMA CITY is on a 8-2-1 ATS run versus non-conference foe Washington
Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-15.5 vs WSH)

* Over the total is 7-0 in the WSH-OKC series since 2022
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): WSH-OKC (o/u at 231.5) 

(507) MIAMI (3-1) at (508) SAN ANTONIO (4-0)
* Under the total has converted in five of the last six MIA-SAS games in San Antonio
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIA-SAS (o/u at 229.5)

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:00 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the full 2024-25 season, the sample contained 1,321 games, and for the most part, majority handle bettors were much more successful than majority number of bets groups on point spreads and totals, while both struggled on money lines. The full season performance by the majority handle on totals last year in the NBA was better than any other sport I have covered. In fact, these were the results: 

–  Majority handle on point spreads: 660-614 ATS (51.8%), -15.4 units – ROI: -1.2%
–  Majority number of bets on point spreads: 618-645 ATS (48.9%), -91.5 units – ROI: -7.2%
–  Majority handle on money lines: 842-458 (64.8%). -123.18 units – ROI: -9.5%
–  Majority number of bets on money lines: 886-421 (67.8%). -137.95 units – ROI: -10.6%
–  Majority handle on totals: 708-594 (54.4%). +54.6 units – ROI: +4.2%
–  Majority number of bets on totals: 670-621 (51.9%), -13.1 units – ROI: -1% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation,  when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 2+ seasons, that group produced a 352-298 ATS record (54.2%), good for +24.2 units of profit and an ROI of 3.7%. This lot of 650 games was only around 20% of the total sample size.
System Match (PLAY): ORLANDO 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #9: There has been a massive disparity of success levels for majority groups on handle when they back the home or road team on money line wagers. On home teams, these majorities have gone 1252-561 over the last three seasons but for -220.99 units and an ROI of -12.2%. On road teams, these majorities have gone 943-612 but for just -6.38 units and an ROI of -0.4%. This 11.8% disparity warrants fading ML majorities on home teams and at least considering ML majorities when they opt for road teams until something definitively changes.
System Matches (FADE ALL): OKLAHOMA CITY ML, SAN ANTONIO ML 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: There has been some decent success for number of bets majorities when they don’t get too heavily invested. In fact, majorities on either side of the total (Over or Under) of 57% or less have gone 346-301 (53.5%) for +14.9 units and a ROI of +2.3% since January 2023.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): OVER – ORL-CHA

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MILWAUKEE +3.5 (+5.1)
2. WASHINGTON +15.5 (+1.1)
3. CHARLOTTE +3.5 (+0.2) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MILWAUKEE +3.5 (+6.7)
2. CHARLOTTE +3.5 (+0.7) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SAN ANTONIO -5.5 (+3.5)
2. OKLAHOMA CITY -15.5 (+2.5) 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: GSW-MIL OVER 231.5 (+1.6) 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. WSH-OKC UNDER 231.5 (-2.4)
2. ORL-CHA UNDER 240.5 (-1.8)
3. MIA-SAS UNDER 228.5 (-0.9) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MILWAUKEE +3.5 (+4.3)
2. WASHINGTON +15.5 (+0.4) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ORLANDO -3.5 (+0.2)
2. SAN ANTONIO -5.5 (+0.1) 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: GSW-MIL OVER 231.5 (+2.3) 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ORL-CHA UNDER 240.5 (-4.2)
2. MIA-SAS UNDER 228.5 (-3.9)
3. WSH-OKC UNDER 231.5 (-2.6)

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