The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Tuesday, December 2, 2025. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

 

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* NBA teams off a previous day win but having allowed 120+ points have had their totals go Over at a 91-58-1 (61.1%) rate (sub-system: 52-25-1 to the Over (67.5%) when on the road next game) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY OVER): WSH-PHI (o/u at 234.5)

* Teams reaching an eight-game winning streak have become profitable fade opportunities, going 67-94-1 ATS (41.6%) in the next game, including 30-47 ATS (39%) on the road over the last five seasons.
System Match (FADE): OKLAHOMA CITY (-11.5 at GSW)

* In Southwest divisional games, favorites of 3.5 points or more are on a 41-8 SU and 33-16 ATS (67.3%) run since mid-February 2024.
System Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (-5.5 vs. MEM)

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based on their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based on the schedule pressures. 

* NBA teams playing on the road in the One Day Rest scenario are 197-252 SU but 254-187-8 ATS vs. teams in 2 Days Rest games over the last four seasons
* OKLAHOMA CITY is 74-13 SU and 55-29-3 ATS playing in all One Day Rest games since April 2024
System/Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-11.5 at GSW)

* NBA teams playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario were 84-55 Over the total vs. teams in 4th Straight Road games since the start of last season
System Match (PLAY OVER): MEM-SAS (o/u at 232.5)

* TORONTO is 18-12 SU and 19-10 ATS playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since October 2024
Trend Match (PLAY): TORONTO (-5.5 vs. POR)

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games: 

(551) WASHINGTON at (552) PHILADELPHIA
* Road teams are 5-0 ATS in WSH-PHI series since start of 2024
Trend Match (PLAY): WASHINGTON (+13.5 at PHI)

(553) PORTLAND at (554) TORONTO
* PORTLAND is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in its last seven trips to Toronto
Trend Match (PLAY): PORTLAND (+5.5 at TOR)

(555) NEW YORK at (556) BOSTON
* Home teams have won four straight SU and ATS in the Knicks-Celtics divisional rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): BOSTON (-1.5 vs. NYK)

(557) MINNESOTA at (558) NEW ORLEANS
* Over the total is 6-1 in this series in the last two seasons
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MIN-NOP (o/u at 234.5)

(559) MEMPHIS at (560) SAN ANTONIO
* MEMPHIS is 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five trips to divisional foe San Antonio
Trend Match (PLAY): MEMPHIS (+5.5 at SAS)

(561) OKLAHOMA CITY at (562) GOLDEN STATE
* Over the total is 11-1 in the OKC-GSW series since the start of 2023
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): OKC-GSW (o/u at 222.5)

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons. 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #8:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the last five seasons, depending on what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 124-99 (55.6%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 229-185 (55.3%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, Over the total was 317-239 (57%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – WSH-PHI (spread -13.5, total 234.5), MIN-NOP (spread +10.5, total 234.5), OKC-GSW (spread +11.5, total 222.5)

The following handicapping information details betting systems for divisional games.

Eastern Atlantic Division Betting System #1:
In Eastern Atlantic divisional games, single-digit favorites have gone 89-32 SU and 75-53-3 ATS (58.6%) since the start of the 2022-23 season.
System Match (PLAY): BOSTON (-1.5 vs. NYK)

Western Southwest Division Betting System #1:
In Western Southwest divisional games, favorites of 3.5 points or more are on a 41-8 SU and 33-16 ATS (67.3%) run since mid-February 2024.
System Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (-5.5 vs. MEM)

NBA Extreme Stats Next-Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted. 

Allowing 135+ points in a game is a sign of trouble
NBA teams off a game in which they allowed 135+ points and are now favored have gone 173-100 SU but 127-142-4 ATS (47.2%) in the follow-up game over the last seven seasons. Included among this is a 104-125 ATS (45.4%) mark when not playing the next day.
System Match (FADE): PHILADELPHIA (-13.5 vs. WSH)

Allowing 120+ points in a win has led to more high-scoring games
NBA teams off a previous day win but having allowed 120+ points have had their totals go Over at a 91-58-1 (61.1%) rate (sub-system: 52-25-1 to the Over (67.5%) when on the road next game) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY OVER): WSH-PHI (o/u at 234.5)

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams off a game in which they were granted 35 or more free throw attempts trended Under the total the next game, 353-309 (53.3%) since 2021.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): WSH-PHI (o/u at 234.5), POR-TOR (o/u at 231.5)

NBA teams that have made 50% or more of their 3-point field goal attempts in a game have responded the next time out by going just 312-323 SU and 285-342-8 ATS (45.5%) in the next game over the last five seasons.
System Match (FADE): NEW ORLEANS (+10.5 vs. MIN)

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA. 

NBA Streak Betting System #2:
Teams having won their last four games or more have been a solid wager when playing as large road favorites of 7.5 points or more, going 87-19 SU and 58-45-3 ATS (56.3%) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-11.5 at GSW)

NBA Streak Betting System #4:
Teams having won their last six games and are favored by >= 9-points versus a team averaging 114 PPG or more have gone just 29-9 SU but 12-26 ATS (31.6%) since the start of the 2020-21 season. Over the total is also 26-12 (68.4%) in these games.
System Match (FADE): OKLAHOMA CITY (-11.5 at GSW)
System Match (PLAY OVER): OKC-GSW (o/u at 222.5)

NBA Streak Betting System #15:
Teams reaching an eight-game winning streak have become profitable fade opportunities, going 67-94-1 ATS (41.6%) in the next game, including 30-47 ATS (39%) on the road over the last five seasons.
System Match (FADE): OKLAHOMA CITY (-11.5 at GSW)

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:15 p.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage.

To summarize the findings from the full 2024-25 season, the sample contained 1321 games, and for the most part, majority handle bettors were much more successful than majority number of bets groups on point spreads and totals, while both struggled on money lines. The full season performance by the majority handle on totals last year in the NBA was better than any other sport I have covered. In fact, these were the results: 

– Majority handle on point spreads: 660-614 ATS (51.8%), -15.4 units – ROI: -1.2%
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 618-645 ATS (48.9%), -91.5 units – ROI: -7.2%
– Majority handle on money lines: 842-458 (64.8%). -123.18 units – ROI: -9.5%
– Majority number of bets on money lines: 886-421 (67.8%). -137.95 units – ROI: -10.6%
– Majority handle on totals: 708-594 (54.4%). +54.6 units – ROI: +4.2%
– Majority number of bets on totals: 670-621 (51.9%), -13.1 units – ROI: -1% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 748-665 ATS (52.9%) over the last three seasons. This has produced a profit of +16.5 units and an ROI of 1.2%. This has been a very consistent system, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. Remember, handle is the total amount of money on a game. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NEW YORK, MINNESOTA, OKLAHOMA CITY

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation, but when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 2+ seasons, that group produced a 352-298 ATS record (54.2%), good for +24.2 units of profit and an ROI of 3.7%. This lot of 650 games was only around 20% of the total sample size.
System Match (PLAY): WASHINGTON

DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-conference games (East versus West) of the last three seasons, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been successful, as they are 395-348 ATS (53.2%). If you consider that the overall majority numbers showed a 51.2% success rate, they were about 2% improved on these more-rare contests. This simple angle has produced +12.2 units of profit and an ROI of 1.6%.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): TORONTO

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 2+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 494-413 ATS record, good for 54.5%. This is over a 3% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +39.7 units of profit and an ROI of 4.4%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MINNESOTA, OKLAHOMA CITY

DK NBA Betting Splits system #8: Naturally, with super majority handles doing well on non-conference and non-divisional conference games as compared to the overall, the area where these groups would figure to struggle would be in divisional games. The super-majority number is a little higher, however, 67% in fact. When this super-majority number has backed a team in divisional games over the last three seasons, they are just 137-153 ATS, good for 47.2%. This is over a 4% drop-off compared to the overall majority figures and has resulted in -31.3 units of loss and an ROI of -10.8%.
System Match (FADE): NEW YORK

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. It is generally believed that most NBA bettors prefer taking Overs. When any majority number has favored the Under option over the last three seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 434-351, good for 55.3%, +47.9 units, and an ROI of +6.1% since January 2023.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): WSH-PHI, NYK-BOS

DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: There has been some decent success for number of bets majorities when they don’t get too heavily invested. In fact, majorities on either side of the total (Over or Under) of 57% or less have gone 346-301 (53.5%) for +14.9 units and an ROI of +2.3% since January 2023.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): OVER – WSH-PHI

DK NBA Betting Splits system #14: Majority handle Under bettors have been successful when sticking to their guns despite DraftKings raising total off of its opening number. These Under majorities have gone 176-126 (58.3%) since January 2023 by not getting baited into this totals trap. This has been the most profitable angle of all in terms of ROI, producing +37.4 units of profit for 12.4%.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): NYK-BOS

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NEW YORK +1.5 (+3.1)
2. WASHINGTON +13.5 (+2.5)
3. PORTLAND +5.5 (+1.7)

Today’s Top 2 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. OKLAHOMA CITY -11.5 (+4.0)
2. MINNESOTA -10.5 (+2.1)

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: NEW YORK +1.5 (+1.4)

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MINNESOTA -10.5 (+4.0)
2. SAN ANTONIO -5.5 (+2.4)
3. TORONTO -5.5 (=2.1)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. OKC-GSW OVER 222.5 (+1.0)
2. MEM-SAS OVER 232.5 (+0.4)

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. WSH-PHI UNDER 234.5 (-0.9)
2. NYK-BOS UNDER 231.5 (-0.8)
3. MIN-NOP UNDER 234.5 (-0.6)

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NEW YORK +1.5 (+4.6)
2. PORTLAND +5.5 (+1.9)
3. WASHINGTON +13.5 (+1.3)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. OKLAHOMA CITY -11.5 (+4.6)
2. MINNESOTA -10.5 (+2.6)
3. SAN ANTONIO -5.5 (+0.5)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. POR-TOR OVER 231.5 (+2.0)
2. MIN-NOP OVER 234.5 (+0.6)

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. WSH-PHI UNDER 234.5 (-1.2)
2 (tie). NYK-BOS UNDER 231.5 (-0.5)
OKC-GSW UNDER 222.5 (-0.5)

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