The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Tuesday, February 3, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* NBA teams playing on the road in the 2 Days Rest scenario are 25-5 Under the total vs. teams in 3rd Home in 4 Days games over the last two seasons
System Match (PLAY UNDER): ATL-MIA (o/u at 241.5)

* Teams on losing streaks of five games or more have struggled as divisional underdogs, going 15-53 SU and 28-37-3 ATS (43.1%) since the start of the 2023-24 season.
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE (+2.5 vs CHI)

* NBA teams that committed 20+ turnovers in the previous game have done well in expected-tight matchups (within -4 to +4 line range) in the follow-up game, going 90-63 SU and 93-59-1 ATS (61.2%) in their last 153 tries.
System Match (PLAY): UTAH (+3.5 at IND), PORTLAND (+2.5 vs PHX)

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures. 

* NBA teams playing on the road in the One Day Rest scenario are 213-269 SU but 271-203-8 ATS vs. teams in 2 Days Rest games over the last four seasons
System Match (PLAY): BOSTON (-6.5 at DAL)

* NBA teams playing in the 3rd in 4Days scenario are 53-29 Under the total vs. teams in 4th in 10+ Days games over the last two seasons
* NBA teams playing in the One Day Rest scenario are 161-88 Under the total vs. teams in 4th in 10+ Days games over the last two seasons
* MILWAUKEE is 22-8 Over the total playing at home in the OneDayRest scenario since January 2025
Systems/Trend Match: 1 PLAY OVER, 2 PLAYS UNDER in CHI-MIL (o/u at 223.5)

* NBA teams playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario were 100-75 Over the total vs. teams in 4th Straight Road games since the start of last season
* BROOKLYN is 16-8 Over the total playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since February 2025
System/Trend Match (PLAY OVER): LAL-BKN (o/u at 222.5)

* DENVER is 87-56 Over the total playing in 4th in 6 Days games since March 2021
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DEN-DET (o/u at 228.5)

* NBA teams playing on the road in the 2 Days Rest scenario are 25-5 Under the total vs. teams in 3rd Home in 4 Days games over the last two seasons
* MIAMI is 26-11 Over the total playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since January 2025
System/Trend Match: 1 PLAY OVER, 1 PLAY UNDER in ATL-MIA (o/u at 241.5)

* OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-8 SU and 35-15-1 ATS playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since March 24
Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-6.5 vs ORL)

* ORLANDO is 117-85 Under the total playing in all One Day Rest games since March 2022
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): ORL-OKC (o/u at 219.5)

* NBA teams playing at home in the 3+ Days Rest scenario are 22-13 SU and 24-10-1 ATS vs. teams in 3rd in 4 Days games over the last four seasons
* NBA teams playing at home in the 3+ Days Rest scenario are 42-20 SU and 40-20-2 ATS vs. teams in 4th in 6 Days games over the last three seasons
* PHILADELPHIA is 11-19 SU and 12-18 ATS playing in 3rd in 4 Days games since November 2024
Systems/Trend Match (PLAY): GOLDEN STATE (-3.5 vs PHI)

* NBA teams playing on the road in the One Day Rest scenario were 62-46 SU and 60-47 ATS vs. teams in b2b games since the start of last season
System Match (PLAY): UTAH (+3.5 at IND)

* UTAH is 98-69 Over the total playing in One Day Rest games since November 2022
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): UTA-IND (o/u at 236.5)

* WASHINGTON is 6-39 SU and 15-30 ATS playing at home in 4th in 6 Days games since April 2022
Trend Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (+13.5 vs NYK)

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games: 

(559) NEW YORK at (560) WASHINGTON
* NEW YORK is 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in its last eight trips to Washington D.C.
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW YORK (-13.5 at WSH)

(561) DENVER at (562) DETROIT
* DENVER is 5-1 SU and ATS in its last six games against Detroit
Trend Match (PLAY): DENVER (+3.5 at DET)

(563) UTAH at (564) INDIANA
* Home teams are 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in the last eight of this non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY): INDIANA (-3.5 vs UTA)

(565) LA LAKERS at (566) BROOKLYN
* Underdogs are on an 8-3 ATS surge in the Lakers-Nets series
Trend Match (PLAY): BROOKLYN (+8.5 vs LAL)

(567) ATLANTA at (568) MIAMI
* MIAMI is 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four meetings with divisional foe Atlanta
Trend Match (PLAY): MIAMI (-3.5 vs ATL)

(569) BOSTON at (570) DALLAS
* Under the total is 6-1-1 in the last eight matchups between Boston and Dallas at the American Airlines Center
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): BOS-DAL (o/u at 223.5)

(571) CHICAGO at (572) MILWAUKEE
* Under the total has converted in all five games between CHI and MIL since November 2024
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): CHI-MIL (o/u at 223.5)

(573) ORLANDO at (574) OKLAHOMA CITY
* OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-1 SU and ATS in its last seven times hosting Orlando
Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-6.5 vs ORL)

(575) PHILADELPHIA at (576) GOLDEN STATE
* Favorites are a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in 76ers-Warriors non-conference set at Golden State since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): GOLDEN STATE (-3.5 vs PHI)

(577) PHOENIX at (578) PORTLAND
* Underdogs are 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine of the PHX-POR series
Trend Match (PLAY): PORTLAND (+2.5 vs PHX)
* Over the total is 7-1-1 in the last nine of the series at the Moda Center as well
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): PHX-POR (o/u at 218.5)

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on some various team strength indicator or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons.

NBA Team Strength Betting System #1:
In games between teams with 60%+ winning percentages, home teams favored in the -4.5 to -9.5 range are on a 178-67 SU and 143-101-1 ATS (58.6%) run.
System Match (PLAY): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR DETROIT vs DEN, -3.5 CURRENTLY

NBA Team Strength Betting System #2:
In games between two teams with 40% or less winning percentages, and lines of 4.5 or less either way, road teams are on a 132-104 SU and 134-99-3 ATS (57.5%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): UTAH (+3.5 at IND)

NBA Team Strength Betting System #7:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the L5 seasons, depending on what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 134-105 (56.1%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 246-207 (54.3%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, Over the total was 330-263 (55.6%).
System Match (PLAY): OVER – NYK-WSH (spread +13.5, total 227.5)

The following handicapping information details betting systems for divisional games.

Eastern Southeast Division Betting System #1:
In Eastern Southeast divisional games, teams playing a third straight home game are 23-11 SU and 22-10-2 ATS (68.8%) since early March 2023.
System Match (PLAY): MIAMI (-3.5 vs ATL)

NBA Extreme Stats Next-Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted. 

Back-to-back scoring outbursts could be the beginning of a trend
NBA teams coming off back-to-back wins in which they scored 130+ points in each outing have gone 93-64 SU and 84-71-2 ATS (54.2%) in the follow-up game since 2018.
System Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-3.5 vs DEN)

Road favorites bounce back after losing as home favorite
NBA teams that come off a game in which they lost as home favorites flush that result quickly when next a road favorite, going 172-80 SU and 142-106-4 ATS (57.3%) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY): PHOENIX (-2.5 at POR)

Rout wins are a warning sign for the next contest for hosts
NBA home teams coming off any game in which they beat the point spread by 20 points or more are 333-254 SU but 268-304-15 ATS (46.9%) over the last seven seasons. The worst situation for these teams comes against divisional rivals, 46-74-1 ATS (38.3%).
System Matches (FADE ALL ATS): MIAMI (-3.5 vs ATL), DETROIT (-3.5 vs DEN)

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams off a game in which they were granted 35 or more free throw attempts trended Under the total the next game, 381-331 (53.5%) since 2021.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): PHI-GSW (o/u at 221.5)

Unusual defensive performances
NBA teams that hold an opponent to 36% or less field goal percentage in any given game have produced well in the next game as well, going 175-115 SU and 164-119-7 ATS (58%) since 2021.
System Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-3.5 vs DEN), MIAMI (-3.5 vs ATL), BOSTON (-6.5 at DAL)

Massive rebounding differentials
NBA teams that had a -15 or worse rebounding differential have struggled to tighten up in a back-to-back situation, going Over the total at a 105-71 (59.7%) rate since 2021, including 50-28 (64.1%) to the Over in the last 78.
System Match (PLAY OVER): UTA-IND (o/u at 236.5)

High turnover games can be significant
NBA teams that committed 20+ turnovers in the previous game have done well in expected-tight matchups (within -4 to +4 line range) in the follow-up game, going 90-63 SU and 93-59-1 ATS (61.2%) in their last 153 tries.
System Match (PLAY): UTAH (+3.5 at IND), PORTLAND (+2.5 vs PHX)

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA. 

NBA Streak Betting System #2:
Teams having won their last four games or more have been a solid wager when playing as large road favorites of 7.5 points or more, going 89-24 SU and 60-50-3 ATS (54.5%) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY): NEW YORK (-13.5 at WSH)

NBA Streak Betting System #10:
Teams having lost their last four games or more have been a solid wager when they are a capable offensive team, as those scoring 114 PPG or more are on a 108-117 SU but 129-94-3 ATS (57.8%) surge.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): UTAH (+3.5 at IND), DALLAS (+6.5 vs BOS), PORTLAND (+2.5 vs PHX)

NBA Streak Betting System #12:
Teams on losing streaks of five games or more have struggled as divisional underdogs, going 15-53 SU and 28-37-3 ATS (43.1%) since the start of the 2023-24 season.
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE (+2.5 vs CHI)

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:30 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the first half data of the 2025-26 season, the sample contained 633 games, and for the most part, majority bettors have lost on all six point spread, money line, and total categories. In fact, this has been the worst half-season they have endured since I started studying this subject a few years ago. Here are the results: 

– Majority handle on point spreads: 291-335 ATS (46.5%), -77.5 units – ROI: -12.4%
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 287-323 ATS (47%), -68.3 units – ROI: -11.2%
– Majority handle on money lines: 379-247 (60.5%). -123.2 units – ROI: -20.2%
– Majority number of bets on money lines: 404-227 (64%). -113.7 units – ROI: -18%
– Majority handle on totals: 306-310 (49.7%). -35 units – ROI: -5.7%
– Majority number of bets on totals: 307-318 (49.1%), -42.8 units – ROI: -6.8% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 868-785 ATS (52.5%) over the last 3+ seasons. This has produced a profit of +4.5 units and an ROI of 0.3%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. However, it is down over 20 units so far in 2025-26, so perhaps tread lightly. Even still, remember that handle is the total amount of money on a game and is generally considered sharper. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): NEW YORK, DENVER, UTAH, LA LAKERS, ATLANTA, BOSTON

DK NBA Betting Splits system #3: It is a somewhat rare situation, but when there was a majority handle backing a home underdog in the NBA over the last 3+ seasons, that group produced a 135-106 ATS record (56%). This has netted +18.4 units and an ROI of 7.6%. Most bettors tend to bet favorites. This lot of 241 games was only about 5.0% of the total sample size.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MILWAUKEE, PORTLAND

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation, when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 3+ seasons, that group produced a 456-412 ATS record (52.5%), good for +2.8 units of profit and an ROI of 0.3%. This is another system that has dropped a bit this season but has still outperformed the normal levels by a decent amount. We’ll see if it can stay positive in the second half of the season.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): DENVER, ATLANTA, MILWAUKEE, GOLDEN STATE, PORTLAND

DK NBA Betting Splits system #5: Concerning number of bets. When 70% or more of the number of bets has been on a home side of an ATS wager since January 2023, this “super” majority group has gone just 104-142 ATS (42.3%), well below the overall performance of all majorities. This has resulted in a net loss of -52.2 units for an ROI of -21.2%.
System Match (FADE): OKLAHOMA CITY

DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-conference games (East versus West) of the last 3+ seasons, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been mildly successful, as they are 461-417 ATS (52.5%). If you consider that the overall majority numbers showed just over a 50% success rate, they were about 2.5% improved on these more-rare contests. This simple angle has produced +2.3 units of profit and an ROI of 0.3%.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): DENVER, UTAH, LA LAKERS, OKLAHOMA CITY

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 3+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 579-508 ATS record, good for 54.2%. This is over a 4% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +20.2 units of profit and an ROI of 1.9%.
System Match (PLAY): NEW YORK

DK NBA Betting Splits system #8: Naturally, with super majority handles doing well on non-conference and non-divisional conference games as compared to the overall, the area where these groups would figure to struggle would be in divisional games. The super-majority number is a little higher, however, 67% in fact. When this super-majority number has backed a team in divisional games over the last three seasons, they are just 166-189 ATS, good for 46.8%. This is a 3%+ drop compared to the overall majority figures and has resulted in -41.9 units of loss and an ROI of -11.8%.
System Match (FADE): ATLANTA

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. It is generally believed that most NBA bettors prefer taking Overs. When any majority number has favored the Under option over the last 3+ seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 484-393, good for 55.2%, +51.7 units, and an ROI of +5.9% since January 2023.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): CHI-MIL

DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: There has been some decent success for number of bets majorities when they don’t get too heavily invested. In fact, majorities on either side of the total (Over or Under) of 57% or less have gone 409-367 (52.7%) for +5.3 units and an ROI of +0.7% since January 2023.
System Match (PLAY): UNDER – UTA-IND

DK NBA Betting Splits system #13: The average NBA game total since January of 2023 has been a bit more than 228. In NBA games with “low” totals, or those less than 220, majority handle bettors have gone an impressive 408-345 (54.2%), while majority number of bets groups are a bit less at 398-359 (52.6%). Both groups have proven profitable regardless of which side of the total they have chosen.
System Match (PLAY): OVER – ORL-OKC

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. BROOKLYN +9.5 (+4.6)
2. ORLANDO +6.5 (+3.0)
3. PORTLAND +2.5 (+1.9)

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. INDIANA -2.5 (+6.4)
2. DETROIT -3.5 (+3.2)
3. BOSTON -6.5 (+0.3)

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. BROOKLYN +9.5 (+4.6)
2. PHILADELPHIA +3.5 (+2.9)
3. ORLANDO +6.5 (+1.5)

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. INDIANA -2.5 (+4.8)
2. NEW YORK -13.5 (+1.4)
3. BOSTON -6.5 (+1.2)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1 (tie). UTA-IND OVER 236.5 (+0.2)
LAL-BKN OVER 222.5 (+0.2)

Today’s Top 3 TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DEN-DET UNDER 228.5 (-2.6)
2. ATL-MIA UNDER 241.5 (-1.4)
3. PHX-POR UNDER 218.5 (-1.3)

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. BROOKLYN +9.5 (+4.7)
2. ORLANDO +6.5 (+2.6)
3. PHILADELPHIA +3.5 (+2.0)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. INDIANA -2.5 (+6.4)
2. DETROIT -3.5 (+3.2)
3. CHICAGO -2.5 (+0.1)

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. PHI-GSW OVER 221.5 (+5.7)
2. UTA-IND OVER 236.5 (+3.9)
3. ATL-MIA OVER 241.5 (+2.4)

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DEN-DET UNDER 228.5 (-2.7)
2. CHI-MIL UNDER 223.5 (-1.2)
3. PHX-POR UNDER 218.5 (-0.7)

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