The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Tuesday, January 13, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* Home teams are on an extended 13-1 ATS run in the last 14 of the Nuggets-Pelicans series
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (+2.5 vs DEN)

* OKLAHOMA CITY is 41-6 SU and 34-12-1 ATS playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since March 2024
Trends Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-7.5 vs SAS)

* NBA teams that committed 20+ turnovers in the previous game have done well in expected-tight matchups (within -4 to +4 line range) in the follow-up game, going 84-58 SU and 87-54-1 ATS (61.7%) in their last 142 tries.
System Match (PLAY): MIAMI (-1.5 vs PHX)

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games: 

(545) PHOENIX at (546) MIAMI
* Road teams are 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 of PHX-MIA non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY): PHOENIX (+1.5 at MIA)

(547) SAN ANTONIO at (548) OKLAHOMA CITY
* San Antonio has been a thorn in OKC’s side as of late, going 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (+7.5 at OKC)

(549) CHICAGO at (550) HOUSTON
* Over the total is 8-0 in the Bulls-Rockets series since the start of the ‘21-22 season
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CHI-HOU (o/u at 224.5)

(551) MINNESOTA at (552) MILWAUKEE
* Milwaukee is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in the last seven games with Minnesota
Trend Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-3.5 vs MIN)

(553) DENVER at (554) NEW ORLEANS
* Home teams are on an extended 13-1 ATS run in the last 14 of the series
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (+2.5 vs DEN)

(555) ATLANTA at (556) LA LAKERS
* Home teams are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in Hawks-Lakers non-conference set since the start of 2022
Trend Match (PLAY): LA LAKERS (+3.5 vs ATL)

(557) PORTLAND at (558) GOLDEN STATE
* Over the total is 5-1 in the POR-GSW series since the start of last season
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): POR-GSW (o/u at 227.5)

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons. 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #1:
In games between two teams with 60%+ winning percentages, home teams favored in the -4.5 to -9.5 range are on a 173-66 SU and 140-98-1 ATS (58.8%) run.
System Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-7.5 vs SAS)

NBA Team Strength Betting System #5:
Home teams with a winning record that are underdogs of five points or more have gone 12-41 SU and 21-30-2 ATS (41.2%) in their last 53 non-conference games.
System Match (FADE): NONE YET, BUT WATCH FOR LA LAKERS vs MIAMI, +3.5 currently

NBA Team Strength Betting System #7:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the last five seasons, depending on what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 128-103 (55.4%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 238-199 (54.5%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, Over the total was 328-256 (56.2%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – CHI-HOU (spread -12.5, total 224.5), POR-GSW (spread -10.5, total 227.5)

The following are 40 of the top team-specific trends that have developed in the NBA over the last few seasons when considering scheduling situations. Like the league-wide systems introduced earlier, naturally, there are reasons that certain teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures.

* NBA teams playing on the road in the One Day Rest scenario are 54-44 SU and 58-38 ATS vs. teams in A2H b2b games over the last two seasons
* ATLANTA is 18-33 SU and 15-36 ATS playing its 3rd Straight Road game since April 2021
System/Trend Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of ATLANTA (-3.5 at LAL)

* NBA teams playing on the road in the One Day Rest scenario are 52-46 Over the total vs. teams in A2H b2b games over the last two seasons
* ATLANTA is 130-96 Over the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since November 2021
System/Trend Match (PLAY OVER): ATL-LAL (o/u at 230.5)

* GOLDEN STATE is 31-32 SU and 21-39 ATS playing home games in the One Day Rest scenario since November 23
Trend Match (FADE): GOLDEN STATE (-10.5 vs POR)

* GOLDEN STATE is 128-97 Over the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since December 2021
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): POR-GSW (o/u at 227.5)

* HOUSTON is 119-95 Over the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since December 2021
* NBA teams playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario are 59-18 Under the total vs. teams in 3rd in 8+ Days games over the last three seasons
* NBA teams playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario are 83-33 Under the total vs. teams in 4th in 10+ Days games over the last two seasons
System/Trends Match: 1 PLAY OVER, 2 PLAYS UNDER in CHI-HOU (o/u at 224.5)

* MIAMI is 23-10 Over the total playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since January 2025
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): PHX-MIA (o/u at 230.5)

* MILWAUKEE is 21-6 Over the total playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since January 2025
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MIN-MIL (o/u at 226.5)

* SAN ANTONIO is 10-17 SU and 8-19 ATS playing on the road in the One Day Rest scenario since January 2025
* OKLAHOMA CITY is 41-6 SU and 34-12-1 ATS playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario since March 2024
Trends Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-7.5 vs SAS)

NBA Extreme Stats Next-Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted. 

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams that have made 50% or more of their 3-point field goal attempts in a game have responded the next time out by going just 326-340 SU and 300-358-8 ATS (45.6%) in the next game over the last five seasons.
System Match (FADE): MIAMI (-1.5 vs PHX), NEW ORLEANS (+2.5 vs DEN)

High turnover games can be significant
NBA teams that committed 20+ turnovers in the previous game have done well in expected-tight matchups (within -4 to +4 line range) in the follow-up game, going 84-58 SU and 87-54-1 ATS (61.7%) in their last 142 tries.
System Match (PLAY): MIAMI (-1.5 vs PHX)

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA. 

NO QUALIFYING STREAK PLAYS TODAY

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. 

In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:30 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the full 2024-25 season, the sample contained 1,321 games, and for the most part, majority handle bettors were much more successful than majority number of bets groups on point spreads and totals, while both struggled on money lines. The full season performance by the majority handle on totals last year in the NBA was better than any other sport I have covered. In fact, these were the results: 

– Majority handle on point spreads: 660-614 ATS (51.8%), -15.4 units – ROI: -1.2%
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 618-645 ATS (48.9%), -91.5 units – ROI: -7.2%
– Majority handle on money lines: 842-458 (64.8%). -123.18 units – ROI: -9.5%
– Majority number of bets on money lines: 886-421 (67.8%). -137.95 units – ROI: -10.6%
– Majority handle on totals: 708-594 (54.4%). +54.6 units – ROI: +4.2%
– Majority number of bets on totals: 670-621 (51.9%), -13.1 units – ROI: -1% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #1: When 63% or more of the handle was on the side of a home team playing as a four-point favorite or less (or as an underdog) on ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 170-136 ATS (55.6%) over the last three seasons, good for +20.4 units of profit and an ROI of 6.7%. This is fairly a profitable system that the public seems to get right consistently.  If you see nearly two-thirds of the handle backing a host in an expected competitive NBA game this season, it’s a solid bet to follow it.
System Match (PLAY): MILWAUKEE

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 748-665 ATS (52.9%) over the last three seasons. This has produced a profit of +16.5 units and an ROI of 1.2%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. Remember, handle is the total amount of money on a game. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PHOENIX, DENVER, ATLANTA

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation but when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 2+ seasons, that group produced a 352-298 ATS record (54.2%), good for +24.2 units of profit and an ROI of 3.7%. This lot of 650 games was only around 20% of the total sample size.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MILWAUKEE, ATLANTA

DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-conference games (East versus West) of the last three seasons, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been successful, as they are 395-348 ATS (53.2%). If you consider that the overall majority numbers showed a 51.2% success rate, they were about 2% improved on these more-rare games. This simple angle has produced +12.2 units of profit and an ROI of 1.6%.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): PHOENIX, HOUSTON, MILWAUKEE, ATLANTA

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 2+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 494-413 ATS record, good for 54.5%. This is over a 3% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +39.7 units of profit and a ROI of 4.4%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): GOLDEN STATE, DENVER

DK NBA Betting Splits system #9: There has been a massive disparity of success levels for majority groups on handle when they back the home or road team on money line wagers. On home teams, these majorities have gone 1252-561 over the last three seasons but for -220.99 units and a ROI of -12.2%. On road teams, these majorities have gone 943-612 but for just -6.38 units and a ROI of -0.4%.
System Matches (FADE ALL): HOUSTON ML, MILWAUKEE ML

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. It is generally believed that most NBA bettors prefer taking Overs. When any majority number have favored the Under option over the last three seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 434-351, good for 55.3%, +47.9 units, and an ROI of +6.1% since January ’23.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): PHX-MIA, CHI-HOU, MIN-MIL, DEN-NOP, ATL-LAL

DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: There has been some decent success for number of bets majorities when they don’t get too heavily invested. In fact, majorities on either side of the total (Over or Under) of 57% or less have gone 346-301 (53.5%) for +14.9 units and an ROI of +2.3% since January 2023.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): OVER – PHX-MIA, DEN-NOP, ATL-LAL

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MINNESOTA +3.5 (+3.2)
2. PORTLAND +10.5 (+3.0)
3. LA LAKERS +3.5 (+1.4)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: DENVER -2.5 (+0.6)

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. PORTLAND +10.5 (+2.0)
2. LA LAKERS +3.5 (+1.2)
3. SAN ANTONIO +7.5 (+0.7)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DENVER -2.5 (+2.3)
2. HOUSTON -12.5 (+0.6)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DEN-NOP OVER 233.5 (+5.1)
2. POR-GSW OVER 227.5 (+4.9)
3. SAS-OKC OVER 229.5 (+3.6)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1 (tie). PHX-MIA UNDER 230.5 (-1.2)
MIN-MIL UNDER 226.5 (-1.2)
3. CHI-HOU UNDER 224.5 (-0.1)

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MINNESOTA +3.5 (+3.1)
2. PORTLAND +10.5 (+2.3)
3. PHOENIX +1.5 (+1.9)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DENVER -2.5 (+1.1)
2. HOUSTON -12.5 (+0.4)
3. ATLANTA -3.5 (+0.1)

Today’s Top 3 TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DEN-NOP OVER 233.5 (+7.2)
2. POR-GSW OVER 227.5 (+6.3)
3. SAS-OKC OVER 229.5 (+2.1)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: MIN-MIL UNDER 226.5 (-2.6)

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