The following is a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Tuesday, January 6, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* NBA teams that come off a game in which they lost as home favorites flush that result quickly when next a road favorite, going 167-77 SU and 138-102-4 ATS (57.5%) (sub-system: 81-26 SU and 66-37-4 ATS (64.1%) when favored by four points or more versus intraconference foes) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CLEVELAND (-5.5 at IND), SAN ANTONIO (-6.5 at MEM)

* Favorites are on runs of 19-0 SU and 12-2 ATS in Magic-Wizards divisional series
Trend Match (PLAY): ORLANDO (-7.5 at WSH)

* Teams that have lost at least their last four games and are facing an opponent on 2+ Days Rest have had their games go Over the total at a 131-91-2 (59%) rate since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): SAS-MEM (o/u at 239.5), DAL-SAC (o/u at 233.5)

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based on their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based on the schedule pressures. 

* ORLANDO is 112-82 Under the total playing in all One Day Rest games since March 2022
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): ORL-WSH (o/u at 233.5)

Here are the top head-to-head series NFL betting trends in play for all of today’s games: 

(517) CLEVELAND at (518) INDIANA
* Road teams are on an extended 17-4 ATS run in the CLE-IND divisional rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (-5.5 at IND)

(519) ORLANDO at (520) WASHINGTON
* Favorites are on runs of 19-0 SU and 12-2 ATS in Magic-Wizards divisional series
Trend Match (PLAY): ORLANDO (-7.5 at WSH)

(521) SAN ANTONIO at (522) MEMPHIS
* SAN ANTONIO is 5-1 ATS in its last six visits to Memphis
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (-5.5 at MEM)

(523) MIAMI at (524) MINNESOTA
* Underdogs are 6-1-2 ATS in the last nine of the Heat-Timberwolves series in Minnesota
Trend Match (PLAY): MIAMI (+6.5 at MIN)

(525) LA LAKERS at (526) NEW ORLEANS
* LA LAKERS are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings with New Orleans
Trend Match (PLAY): LA LAKERS (-6.5 at NOP)

(527) DALLAS at (528) SACRAMENTO
* Under the total is 15-5 in the last 20 of the DAL-SAC series
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): DAL-SAC (o/u at 233.5)

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons.

NBA Team Strength Betting System #6:
Divisional single-digit home underdogs winning 38% of their games or less have gone 44-129 SU and 74-94-5 ATS (44%) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Matches (FADE ALL): INDIANA (+5.5 vs CLE), WASHINGTON (+7.5 vs ORL)

The following handicapping information details betting systems for divisional games.

Eastern Southeast Division Betting System #1:
In Eastern Southeast divisional games, teams playing a third straight home game are 22-11 SU and 21-10-2 ATS (67.7%) since early-March 2023.
System Match (PLAY): WASHINGTON (+7.5 vs ORL)

Western Southwest Division Betting System #1:
In Western Southwest divisional games, favorites of 3.5 points or more are on a 43-11 SU and 34-20 ATS (63%) run since mid-February 2024.
System Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (-6.5 at MEM)

NBA Extreme Stats Next-Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted. 

Road favorites bounce back after losing as home favorite
NBA teams that come off a game in which they lost as home favorites flush that result quickly when next a road favorite, going 167-77 SU and 138-102-4 ATS (57.5%) (sub-system: 81-26 SU and 66-37-4 ATS (64.1%) when favored by four points or more versus intraconference foes) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CLEVELAND (-5.5 at IND), SAN ANTONIO (-6.5 at MEM)

Divisional upsets can create urgency
NBA teams that lose as favorites to divisional opponents have bounced back well when facing another divisional foe, going 107-69 SU and 101-72-3 ATS (58.4%) in that follow-up try over the last five seasons.
System Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (-5.5 at IND)

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams off a game in which they were granted 35 or more free throw attempts trended Under the total the next game, 372-323 (53.5%) since 2021.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): LAL-NOP (o/u at 244.5)

Teams not making many free throws bounce back well
NBA teams that coming off a game in which they made six free throws or fewer have bounced back well in the next outing, and are on a 187-160 SU and 192-145-10 ATS (57%) run.
System Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (+6.5 vs LAL)

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA. 

NBA Streak Betting System #7:

Teams that have lost at least their last four games and are facing an opponent on 2+ Days Rest have had their games go Over the total at a 131-91-2 (59%) rate since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): SAS-MEM (o/u at 239.5), DAL-SAC (o/u at 233.5)

NBA Streak Betting System #10:
Teams having lost their last four games or more have been a solid wager when they are a capable offensive team, as those scoring 114 PPG or more are on a 98-108 SU but 117-87-3 ATS (57.4%) surge.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MEMPHIS (+5.5 vs SAS), NEW ORLEANS (+6.5 vs LAL)

NBA Streak Betting System #12:
Teams on losing streaks of seven games or more as divisional underdogs are 10-38 SU and 13-31-4 ATS (29.5%) since April 2022.
System Match (FADE): INDIANA (+5.5 vs CLE)

NBA Streak Betting System #14:
Teams reaching winning or losing streaks of seven games or more become play-against teams in general, going 286-330-4 ATS (46.4%) in the next outing since 2020, and in particular, teams on losing streaks of seven games or more have been terrible in road games, going 34-147 SU and 79-96-6 ATS (45.1%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): INDIANA (+5.5 vs CLE), NEW ORLEANS (+6.5 vs LAL)

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:00 AM ET. These can AND WILL change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the full 2024-25 season, the sample contained 1321 games, and for the most part, majority handle bettors were much more successful than majority number of bets groups on point spreads and totals, while both struggled on money lines. The full season performance by the majority handle on totals last year in the NBA was better than any other sport I have covered. In fact, these were the results: 

–  Majority handle on point spreads: 660-614 ATS (51.8%), -15.4 units – ROI: -1.2%
–  Majority number of bets on point spreads: 618-645 ATS (48.9%), -91.5 units – ROI: -7.2%
–  Majority handle on money lines: 842-458 (64.8%). -123.18 units – ROI: -9.5%
–  Majority number of bets on money lines: 886-421 (67.8%). -137.95 units – ROI: -10.6%
–  Majority handle on totals: 708-594 (54.4%). +54.6 units – ROI: +4.2%
–  Majority number of bets on totals: 670-621 (51.9%), -13.1 units – ROI: -1% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the ROAD side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 748-665 ATS (52.9%) over the last three seasons. This has produced a profit of +16.5 units and an ROI of 1.2%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. Remember, handle is the total amount of money on a game. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CLEVELAND, SAN ANTONIO, DALLAS

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 2+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 494-413 ATS record, good for 54.5%. This is over a 3% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +39.7 units of profit and an ROI of 4.4%.
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS

DK NBA Betting Splits system #8: Naturally, with super majority handles doing well on non-conference and non-divisional conference games as compared to the overall, the area where these groups would figure to struggle would be in divisional games. The super-majority number is a little higher, however, 67% in fact. When this super-majority number has backed a team in divisional games over the last three seasons, they are just 137-153 ATS, good for 47.2%. This is over a 4% drop off compared to the overall majority figures and has resulted in -31.3 units of loss and an ROI of -10.8%.
System Match (FADE): CLEVELAND

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest and most frequent angles I have uncovered is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. It is generally believed that most NBA bettors prefer taking Overs. When any majority number has favored the Under option over the last three seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 434-351, good for 55.3%, +47.9 units, and a ROI of +6.1% since January ’23.

System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): ORL-WSH, SAS-MEM, MIA-MIN

DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: There has been some decent success for number of bets majorities when they don’t get too heavily invested. In fact, majorities on either side of the total (OVER or UNDER) of 57% or less have gone 346-301 (53.5%) for +14.9 units and a ROI of +2.3% since January ’23.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): OVER – CLE-IN, MIA-MIN, DAL-SAC
UNDER – ORL-WSH, SAS-MEM, LAL-NOP

DK NBA Betting Splits system #14: Majority handle Under bettors have been successful when sticking to their guns despite DraftKings raising the total off of its opening number. These Under majorities have gone 176-126 (58.3%) since January ’23 by not getting baited into this totals trap. This has been the most profitable angle of all in terms of ROI, producing +37.4 units of profit for 12.4%.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): SAS-MEM, MIA-MIN

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. WASHINGTON +7.5 (+3.0)
2. MEMPHIS +6.5 (+2.3)
3. SACRAMENTO +5.5 (+2.1)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: MINNESOTA -6.5 (+1.4)

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MEMPHIS +6.5 (+0.9)
2. NEW ORLEANS +5.5 (+0.4)

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DALLAS -5.5 (+0.7)
2 (tie). ORLANDO -7.5 (+0.4)
MINNESOTA -6.5 (+0.4)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. ORL-WSH OVER 233.5 (+1.3)
2 (tie). SAS-MEM OVER 239.5 (+0.1)
LAL-NOP OVER 244.5 (+0.1)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DAL-SAC UNDER 233.5 (-3.1)
2. MIA-MIN UNDER 239.5 (-2.2)
3. CLE-IND UNDER 236.5 (-1.1)

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MEMPHIS +6.5 (+2.6)
2. WASHINGTON +7.5 (+2.1)
3. INDIANA +5.5 (+1.8)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. MINNESOTA -6.5 (+1.5)
2. LA LAKERS -5.5 (+1.2)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: ORL-WSH OVER 233.5 (+1.8)

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DAL-SAC UNDER 233.5 (-2.3)
2. MIA-MIN UNDER 239.5 (-2.0)
3. SAS-MEM UNDER 239.5 (-1.1)

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