The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Tuesday, November 25, 2025. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

 

AJ’s Angles

These are the top trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* NBA Cup favorites are on a 41-14 SU and 33-22 ATS (60%) run in their last 55 tries
Trend Matches (PLAY ALL): ATLANTA (-10.5 at WSH), ORLANDO (-1.5 at PHI), LA LAKERS (-5.5 vs LAC)

* Teams on losing streaks of seven games or more have struggled as divisional underdogs, going 9-38 SU and 12-31-4 ATS (27.9%) since April 2022.
System Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (+10.5 vs ATL)

* NBA teams playing at home in 3rd in 8+ Days scenario are 45-20 SU and 42-21-2 ATS vs. teams in 4th in 6 Days games over the last three seasons
System Match (PLAY): LA LAKERS (-5.5 vs LAC)

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures. 

* NBA teams playing on the road in the One Day Rest scenario are 195-247 SU but 250-184-8 ATS vs. teams in 2 Days Rest games over last four seasons
System Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (-10.5 at WSH)

* ATLANTA is 124-88 Over the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since November 2021
* WASHINGTON is 17-6 Over the total playing at home in the 2 Days Rest scenario since December 2020
Trends Match (PLAY OVER): ATL-WSH (o/u at 236.5)

* ORLANDO is 105-78 Under the total playing in all One Day Rest games since March 2022

Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): ORL-PHI (o/u at 230.5)

* NBA teams playing at home in the 3rd in 8+ Days scenario are 42-16 SU and 34-21 ATS vs. teams in 4th Straight Road games over the last four seasons
* NBA teams playing at home in the 3rd in 8+ Days scenario are 45-20 SU and 42-21-2 ATS vs. teams in 4th in 6 Days games over the last three seasons
* LA LAKERS are 30-8 SU and 29-9 ATS playing at home in One Day Rest games since January 2024
Systems/Trend Match (PLAY): LA LAKERS (-5.5 vs LAC)

* NBA teams playing at home in the 3rd in 8+ Days scenario are 14-5 Under the total vs. teams in 3rd in 4 Days games over the last two seasons
* NBA teams playing in the 3rd in 4 Days scenario are 43-19 Under the total vs. teams in 4th in 10+ Days games over the last two seasons
* NBA teams playing at home in the One Day Rest scenario were 82-55 Over the total vs. teams in 4th Straight Road games since the start of last season
Systems Match: 1 PLAY OVER, 2 PLAYS UNDER in LAC-LAL (o/u at 228.5)

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games: 

(521) ATLANTA at (522) WASHINGTON
* Over the total was 3-1 in the ATL-WSH divisional series last season
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): ATL-WSH (o/u at 236.5)

(523) ORLANDO at (524) PHILADELPHIA
* HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in the last six of this series
Trend Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (+2.5 vs ORL)

(525) LA CLIPPERS at (526) LA LAKERS
* LA LAKERS are 6-2 ATS versus LA Clippers in the the last two seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): LA LAKERS (-5.5 vs LAC)

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons. 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #7:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the last five seasons, depending on what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 123-97 (55.9%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 229-185 (55.3%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, Over the total was 311-236 (56.9%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): ATL-WSH (spread +10.5, total 236.5)

The following handicapping information details betting systems for divisional games.

Eastern Southeast Division Betting System #3:
In Eastern Southeast divisional games, home teams on two days rest or more are 18-6 to the Over (75%) since the start of the 2022-23 season.
System Match (PLAY OVER): ATL-WSH (o/u at 236.5)

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted. 

Allowing 135+ points in a game is a sign of trouble
NBA teams off a game in which they allowed 135+ points and are now favored have gone 168-98 SU but 123-139-4 ATS (46.9%) in the follow-up game over the last seven seasons. Included among this is a 101-122 ATS (45.3%) mark when not playing the next day.
System Match (FADE): ORLANDO (-2.5 at PHI)

Close wins haven’t provided momentum
NBA teams that won as favorites by a close margin (1-3 points) have gone 285-152 SU but just 184-240-13 ATS (43.4%) in the next game when favored again.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ATLANTA (-10.5 at WSH), LA LAKERS (-5.5 vs LAC)

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA.

NBA Streak Betting System #12:
Teams on losing streaks of seven games or more have struggled as divisional underdogs, going 9-38 SU and 12-31-4 ATS (27.9%) since April 2022.
System Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (+10.5 vs ATL)

NBA Streak Betting System #14:
Teams reaching winning OR losing streaks of seven games or more become play-against teams in general, going 274-319-4 ATS (46.2%) in the next outing since 2020.
System Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (+10.5 vs ATL)

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. 

In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 9:45 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the full 2024-25 season, the sample contained 1321 games, and for the most part, majority handle bettors were much more successful than majority number of bets groups on point spreads and totals, while both struggled on money lines. The full season performance by the majority handle on totals last year in the NBA was better than any other sport I have covered. In fact, these were the results: 

–  Majority handle on point spreads: 660-614 ATS (51.8%), -15.4 units – ROI: -1.2%
–  Majority number of bets on point spreads: 618-645 ATS (48.9%), -91.5 units – ROI: -7.2%
–  Majority handle on money lines: 842-458 (64.8%). -123.18 units – ROI: -9.5%
–  Majority number of bets on money lines: 886-421 (67.8%). -137.95 units – ROI: -10.6%
–  Majority handle on totals: 708-594 (54.4%). +54.6 units – ROI: +4.2%
–  Majority number of bets on totals: 670-621 (51.9%), -13.1 units – ROI: -1% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 748-665 ATS (52.9%) over the last three seasons. This has produced a profit of +16.5 units and a ROI of 1.2%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. Remember, handle is the total amount of money on a game. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Match (PLAY): ORLANDO

DK NBA Betting Splits system #5: Concerning number of bets. When 70% or more of the number of bets has been on the home side of an ATS wager since January ’23, this “super” majority group has gone just 92-129 ATS (41.6%), well below the overall performance of all majorities. This has resulted in a net loss of -49.9 units for a ROI of -22.6%.
System Match (FADE): LA LAKERS

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 2+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 494-413 ATS record, good for 54.5%. This is over a 3% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +39.7 units of profit and a ROI of 4.4%.
System Match (PLAY): ORLANDO

DK NBA Betting Splits system #8: Naturally, with super majority handles doing well on non-conference and non-divisional conference games as compared to the overall, the area where these groups would figure to struggle would be in divisional games. The super-majority number is a little higher, however, 67% in fact. When this super-majority number has backed a team in divisional games over the last three seasons, they are just 137-153 ATS, good for 47.2%. This is over a 4% drop off compared to the overall majority figures and has resulted in -31.3 units of loss and a ROI of -10.8%.
System Match (FADE): LA LAKERS

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. It is generally believed that most NBA bettors prefer taking Overs. When any majority number have favored the Under option over the last three seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 434-351, good for 55.3%, +47.9 units, and a ROI of +6.1% since January ’23.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): ORL-PHI

DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: There has been some decent success for number of bets majorities when they don’t get too heavily invested. In fact, majorities on either side of the total (Over or Under) of 57% or less have gone 346-301 (53.5%) for +14.9 units and a ROI of +2.3% since January ’23.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): OVER – ATL-WSH

DK NBA Betting Splits system #14: Majority handle Under bettors have been successful when sticking to their guns despite DraftKings raising the total off of its opening number. These Under majorities have gone 176-126 (58.3%) since January ’23 by not getting baited into this totals trap. This has been the most profitable angle of all in terms of ROI, producing +37.4 units of profit for 12.4%.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): ORL-PHI

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:

Ratings Matches:
1. PHILADELPHIA +2.5 (+2.7)
2. WASHINGTON +10.5 (+1.5)
3. LA CLIPPERS +6.5 (+0.3)

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: PHILADELPHIA +2.5 (+6.0)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:

Ratings Matches:
1. ATLANTA -10.5 (+4.4)
2. LA LAKERS -6.5 (+2.5)
 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:

Ratings Matches:
1. ORL-PHI OVER 230.5 (+2.2)
2. LAC-LAL OVER 228.5 (+0.6)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: ATL-WSH UNDER 236.5 (-1.2)

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. PHILADELPHIA +2.5 (+2.9)
2. WASHINGTON +10.5 (+2.2)
3. LA CLIPPERS +6.5 (+0.1)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: ORL-PHI OVER 230.5 (+0.1)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. ATL-WSH UNDER 236.5 (-1.8)
2. LAC-LAL UNDER 228.5 (-0.3)

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