The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Wednesday, October 22, 2025. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

 

Here are the top head-to-head series trends in play for all of today’s games:

(505) CLEVELAND (0-0) at (506) NEW YORK (0-0)
* Under the total is on an extended 15-3 run in the CLE-NYK series, including eight straight at New York
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): CLE-NYK (o/u at 228.5) 

(507) BROOKLYN (0-0) at (508) CHARLOTTE (0-0)
* Underdogs are 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS run in the BKN-CHA set
Trend Match (PLAY): BROOKLYN (+4.5 at CHA) 

(509) MIAMI (0-0) at (510) ORLANDO (0-0)
* Over the total is 4-1 in the last five of the MIA-ORL divisional rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MIA-ORL (o/u at 214.50 

(511) TORONTO (0-0) at (512) ATLANTA (0-0)
* Road teams/underdogs are on a 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS run in the TOR-ATL series
Trend Match (PLAY): TORONTO (+5.5 at ATL)

(513) PHILADELPHIA (0-0) at (514) BOSTON (0-0)
* Over the total is 6-1 in the last seven of the PHI-BOS divisional set
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): PHI-BOS (o/u at 229.5) 

(515) DETROIT (0-0) at (516) CHICAGO (0-0)
* Favorites are on an 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS run in the DET-CHI divisional rivalry in the Windy City
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-2.5 at CHI) 

(517) NEW ORLEANS (0-0) at (518) MEMPHIS (0-0)
* Memphis has covered five of the last seven ATS in meetings with NOP
Trend Match (PLAY): MEMPHIS (-4.5 vs NOP) 

(519) WASHINGTON (0-0) at (520) MILWAUKEE (0-0)
* Washington is 4-1 ATS in the last five games versus MIL
Trend Match (PLAY): WASHINGTON (+10.5 at MIL) 

(521) LA CLIPPERS (0-0) at (522) UTAH (0-0)
* Home teams are on a wild 17-5 SU and 17-4-1 ATS run in the LAC-UTA  series since early 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): UTAH (+10.5 vs LAC) 

(523) SAN ANTONIO (0-0) at (524) DALLAS (0-0)
* Dallas is 4-0 SU and ATS when hosting SAS in the last two seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): DALLAS (-2.5 vs SAS) 

(525) SACRAMENTO (0-0) at (526) PHOENIX (0-0)
* Favorites are on a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS run in the SAC-PHX divisional series at Phoenix
Trend Match (PLAY): PHOENIX (-3.5 vs SAC) 

(527) MINNESOTA (0-0) at (528) PORTLAND (0-0)
* Over the total is 7-2 in the last nine of the MIN-POR Northwest series at Portland
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MIN-POR (o/u at 220.5)

The following are 40 of the top team-specific NBA betting trends that have developed over the last few seasons when considering scheduling situations. Like the league-wide systems introduced earlier, naturally, there are reasons that certain teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures.

* SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 Over the total playing on 3+ Days Rest since Feb ’22
10/22 – Over the total in SAN ANTONIO-DALLAS
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): SAS-DAL (o/u at 226.5)

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:00 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the full 2024-25 season, the sample contained 1,321 games, and for the most part, to summarize, majority handle bettors were much more successful than majority number of bets groups on point spreads & totals, while both struggled on money lines. The full season performance by the majority handle on totals last year in the NBA was better than any other sport I have covered. In fact, these were the results: 

–  Majority handle on point spreads: 660-614 ATS (51.8%), -15.4 UNITS – ROI: -1.2%
–  Majority number of bets on point spreads: 618-645 ATS (48.9%), -91.5 UNITS – ROI: -7.2%
–  Majority handle on money lines: 842-458 (64.8%). -123.18 UNITS – ROI: -9.5%
–  Majority number of bets on money lines: 886-421 (67.8%). -137.95 UNITS – ROI: -10.6%
–  Majority handle on totals: 708-594 (54.4%). +54.6 UNITS – ROI: +4.2%
–  Majority number of bets on totals: 670-621 (51.9%), -13.1 UNITS – ROI: -1% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #1: When 63% or more of the handle was on the side of a home team playing as a 4-point favorite or less (or as an underdog) on ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 170-136 ATS (55.6%) over the last three seasons, good for +20.4 units of profit and an ROI of 6.7%. This is a fairly profitable system that the public seems to get right consistently.  If you see nearly 2/3 of the handle backing a host in an expected competitive NBA game this season, it’s a solid bet to follow it.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BOSTON, DALLAS 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 748-665 ATS (52.9%) over the last three seasons. This has produced a profit of +16.5 units and an ROI of 1.2%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. Remember, handle is the total amount of money on a game. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): TORONTO, DETROIT, NEW ORLEANS, LA CLIPPERS, MINNESOTA 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #3: It is a somewhat rare situation but when there was a majority handle backing a home underdog in the NBA over the last three seasons, that group produced a 94-70 ATS record (57.3%).  This has netted +17 units and an ROI of 10.4%. As a general rule, most bettors tend to bet favorites. This lot of 164 games was only about 4.0% of the total sample size.
System Match (PLAY): NEW YORK 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #5: Concerning number of bets. When 70% or more of the number of bets has been on a home side of an ATS wager since January 2023, this “super” majority group has gone just 92-129 ATS (41.6%), well below the overall performance of all majorities. This has resulted in a net loss of -49.9 units for an ROI of -22.6%.
System Match (FADE): MILWAUKEE

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 2+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 494-413 ATS record, good for 54.5%. This is over a 3% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +39.7 units of profit and an ROI of 4.4%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CHARLOTTE, MILWAUKEE, LA CLIPPERS 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #8: Naturally, with super majority handles doing well on non-conference and non-divisional conference games as compared to the overall, the area where these groups would figure to struggle would be in divisional games. The super-majority number is a little higher, however, 67% in fact. When this super-majority number has backed a team in divisional games over the last three seasons, they are just 137-153 ATS, good for 47.2%. This is over a 4% drop off compared to the overall majority figures and has resulted in -31.3 units of loss and an ROI of -10.8%.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ORLANDO, BOSTON, DETROIT, MINNESOTA 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #9: There has been a massive disparity of success levels for majority groups on handle when they back the home or road team on money line wagers. On home teams, these majorities have gone 1252-561 over the last three seasons but for -220.99 units and an ROI of -12.2%. On road teams, these majorities have gone 943-612 but for just -6.38 units and an ROI of -0.4%. This 11.8% disparity warrants fading ML majorities on home teams and at least considering ML majorities when they opt for road teams until something definitively changes.
System Matches: FADE ALL MAJORITY HOME TEAM MONEYLINES 

These last four systems involve totals. 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. It is generally believed that most NBA bettors prefer taking Overs. When any majority number have favored the Under option over the last three seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 434-351, good for 55.3%, +47.9 units, and an ROI of +6.1% since January 2023.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DET-CHI, LAC-UTA 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #12: There has been some decent success for number of bets majorities when they don’t get too heavily invested. In fact, majorities on either side of the total (Over or Under) of 57% or less have gone 346-301 (53.5%) for +14.9 units and an ROI of +2.3% since January 2023.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): OVER – DET-CHI
UNDER – NOP-MEM

DK NBA Betting Splits system #13: The average NBA game total since January of 2023 has been a bit less than 228. In NBA games with “low” totals, or those less than 220, majority handle bettors have gone an impressive 396-334 (54.2%), while majority number of bets groups are a bit less at 386-348 (52.6%). Both groups have proven profitable regardless of which side of the total they have chosen.
System Match (PLAY OVER): MIA-ORL

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details five different betting systems for teams based upon various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons. 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #5:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the last five seasons, depending on what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 114-92 (55.3%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 225-176 (56.1%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, Over the total was 291-226 (56.3%).
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): WSH-MIL (spread at MIL -10.5, o/u at 227.5), LAC-UTA (spread at LAC-10.5, o/u at 225.5)

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted.

NO QUALIFYING EXTREME STATS SYSTEMS YET

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1(tie). SACRAMENTO +3.5 (+1.6)
UTAH +10.5 (+1.6)
3. TORONTO +5.5 (+0.6) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1(tie). DETROIT -2.5 (+1.3)
MINNESOTA -4.5 (+1.3)
3. MEMPHIS -4.5 (+0.8) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. PHILADELPHIA +3.5 (+3.8)
2. NEW ORLEANS +4.5 (+3.1)
3. UTAH +10.5 (+2.4) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ORLANDO -8.5 (+0.6)
2. DALLAS -2.5 (+0.2)
3. DETROIT -2.5 (+0.1) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SAS-DAL OVER 224.5 (+2.1)
2. LAC-UTA OVER 225.5 (+1.9)
3. WSH-MIL OVER 227.5 (+1.3) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MIA-ORL UNDER 214.5 (-6.1)
2. PHI-BOS UNDER 229.5 (-3.4)
3. BKN-CHA UNDER 227.5 (-2.4) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1(tie). UTAH +10.5 (+1.4)
SACRAMENTO +3.5 (+1.4)
3. PORTLAND +4.5 (+1.1) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DETROIT -2.5 (+3.6)
2(tie). CHARLOTTE -4.5 (+1.4)
ORLANDO -8.5 (+1.4) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. LAC-UTA OVER 225.5 (+2.3)
2(tie). TOR-ATL OVER 236.5 (+1.5)
WSH-MIL OVER 227.5 (+1.5) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MIA-ORL UNDER 214.5 (-7.9)
2. BKN-CHA UNDER 227.5 (-4.4)
3. PHI-BOS UNDER 229.5 (-4.2)

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