Regular season win totals for the 2025 NFL season were released this week. We have already discussed some of them on our live programming, and we’re going to continue to keep you up to speed on everything that happens in the NFL up until the start of Week 1. So, while it might seem like football is a long ways away, it’s always football season for VSiN Pro subscribers.

I’ll personally start diving into the NFL more as the 2025 NFL Draft approaches, so be on the lookout for more content from me. However, I did see some win totals that I wanted to pounce on, even though I usually save these types of plays for the end of the offseason. Keep reading for a few of the ones I couldn’t pass up.

 

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New England Patriots Over 7.5 Wins (-125)

Going from four wins to eight might seem like a big ask, but the Patriots should be able to flip the script rather quickly. Going from Jerod Mayo to Mike Vrabel is a huge upgrade on the sidelines. Josh McDaniels is also a good offensive coordinator for Drake Maye, who should be awesome in Year 2 under center. Maye was actually 12th amongst starting quarterbacks in Completion Percentage Over Expected (2.8%) as a rookie, and he already looks like a dangerous runner — he averaged 8.8 yards per carry last season. With New England having signed Morgan Moses and Garrett Bradbury, Maye has a more stable group blocking for him. All of that should lead to a solid Patriots offense. New England also loaded up quite a bit defensively, signing Milton Williams, Harold Landry III and Robert Spillane to add to a group that should already be better with Vrabel just being around. This is just a more talented team, a better coached team and a bit of a buy-low team, checking a lot of boxes in an Over play. New England will also play home games against seven opponents that had losing records last year. Tack on another four road games against opponents that were below .500 and this could honestly be a team to target with alternate Overs.

Home: Falcons, Bills, Panthers, Browns, Dolphins, Giants, Jets, Raiders, Steelers
Road: Ravens, Bills, Bengals, Dolphins, Saints, Jets, Buccaneers, Titans

New York Giants Over 5.5 Wins (+125)

Last season, the Giants were 29th in the NFL in Dropback EPA per play (0.176) and the quarterback situation was an absolute nightmare. Well, New York did some decent work in addressing both problems. The Giants signed cornerback Paulson Adebo, who had a PFF coverage grade of 80.5 in 2023. If Adebo is fully recovered from a broken femur that required surgery last October, he’ll instantly be the best corner on New York’s roster. The Giants also added Jevon Holland, who was an elite safety in 2023 but tailed off in 2024. Those two should make this secondary a lot better, and we should continue to see some improvements from youngsters Andru Phillips and Deonte Banks. Then, at quarterback, New York added Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston to the room for the 2025 season. Say what you want about both, but they’re huge upgrades at starter and backup. Wilson was seemingly blamed for all of Pittsburgh’s late-season struggles last year, but he looked like a middle-of-the-pack quarterback whenever George Pickens was healthy. If he performs at a similar level in 2025, the Giants will be a much better football team. Unfortunately, New York doesn’t have the same soft schedule New England does. But what the Giants do have is a head coach that won’t survive another disastrous season, meaning they will treat every game like life or death. They also have an underrated roster.

Home: Cowboys, Eagles, Commanders, Packers, Chiefs, Chargers, Vikings, 49ers
Road: Cowboys, Eagles, Commanders, Bears, Broncos, Lions, Raiders, Patriots, Saints

Carolina Panthers Over 5.5 Wins (-120)

The Panthers will play 11 games against opponents with losing records from 2024. Four of them will come at home, and another seven will come on the road. That alone means we should see a better season for a Carolina team that was very competitive to end the 2024 season. But Carolina also added some talent on defense, including Tershawn Wharton, Bobby Brown III and Tre’von Moehrig. Bryce Young should also be more comfortable in his second year in Dave Canales’ offense, and we saw the third-year signal-caller do some great things towards the end of last year. Realistically, heading into last season, Carolina was pegged as a sleeper team after beefing up the offensive line and making some big short-term investments. Sure, the Panthers ended up disappointing a bit, but sometimes we’re a year early in predicting the success of young teams.

Home: Falcons, Saints, Buccaneers, Rams, Seahawks, Bills, Dolphins, Cowboys
Road: Falcons, Saints, Buccaneers, Cardinals, 49ers, Patriots, Jets, Packers, Jaguars

Minnesota Vikings Over 8.5 Wins (-125)

Kevin O’Connell is coming off a 14-win season in Minnesota. Of course, there’s some concern about the quarterback position, as Sam Darnold signed a three-year, $100.5 million deal with the Seahawks. But O’Connell has proven that he can build out an elite offense no matter who is under center. So, whether it’s Aaron Rodgers or J.J. McCarthy taking the snaps at quarterback, how can you not like Minnesota to win at least nine games? This team actually has some more talent than it had a year ago. Jonathan Allen should be a force along the defensive line for Brian Flores’ top-five defense, and Javon Hargrave is also going to cause some chaos up front. I also wouldn’t be stunned if Jeff Okudah finds his legs in Flores’ system, and we know Isaiah Rodgers is a serviceable corner. The Vikings also beefed up the offensive line, bringing in Will Fries and Ryan Kelly. So, whoever ends up starting at quarterback will have more time to throw to the guys that O’Connell schemes open. I think this team will reach double digits in wins again, which is why it was my biggest play of the four.

Home: Bears, Lions, Packers, Ravens, Bengals, Eagles, Commanders, Falcons
Road: Bears, Lions, Packers, Browns, Cowboys, Giants, Steelers, Seahawks, Chargers

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