The Black Friday Game for the 2025 NFL season features the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Chicago Bears at Lincoln Financial Field. We’ll be diving into all of the big standalone games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 13 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.
MORE: Head to the Pro Picks page for best bets from all of our VSiN hosts and analysts!
How To Watch Bears vs. Eagles
When: Friday, November 28 at 3:00 pm ET
Where: Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Channel: Prime Video
Bears vs. Eagles Odds
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Wednesday, November 26. Look around for the best prices!
Moneyline: Eagles -325, Bears +260
Spread: Eagles -7 (-105), Bears +7 (-115)
Total: Over 44.5 (-108), Under 44.5 (-112)
Bears vs. Eagles Analysis
Philadelphia had won-and-covered in four straight games before last week’s 21-point collapse against Dallas. However, the Eagles were hardly impressive even while winning games. Of course, the same can also be said about the Bears, who are now 8-3 despite having a pedestrian statistical profile. But the vibes definitely seem worse surrounding Philadelphia.
The Bears are actually in the same tier as the Eagles when looking at EPA per play on rbsdm, which can be a great resource for bettors. Also, if you exclude the first two weeks of the season, Chicago has been a bit stronger than Philadelphia there. Since starting 0-2, the Bears are in the third tier of NFL teams. The Eagles are right outside of it.
I’m just not sure Philadelphia should be favored by a touchdown. I have been a bit higher than most on the Eagles throughout the course of this season, but it’s pretty clear there’s something wrong with this offense. Since Week 10, the Eagles have an EPA per play of -0.090. Philadelphia hasn’t been able to establish Saquon Barkley, and a different Eagles receiver is seemingly upset every week. At some point, this is just what Nick Sirianni’s team is. They’re excellent on the defensive side of the ball, but they’re lost on offense — and that could have something to do with Kellen Moore having taken the Saints head coaching job.
If Philadelphia can’t go out and play a good game offensively, beating Chicago by a significant margin will be difficult. This Bears team might leave a little to be desired on defense, but they’re a top-10 group when looking at EPA per play (0.063). Ben Johnson has worked some of his magic in Year 1 on the sidelines, even with a team that isn’t perfect. Caleb Williams has made some strides under center, plus the Chicago running game has a little juice. That said, the Bears should be able to turn in some successful drives in this game. That means the Eagles will need to do the same.
It should also be noted that Philly is just 19-19-3 against the spread as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 under Sirianni. The Eagles are also 8-14 ATS when coming off one or more consecutive losses since Sirianni took over, and we have seen that this team has a tendency to let the negativity of bad losses fester.
Bears vs. Eagles Player Props
D’Andre Swift Over 37.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
The Bears have been turning to Kyle Monongai more and more recently, but I don’t think Swift’s total should be this low. The former Philadelphia rusher has had at least 38 rushing yards in eight of the 10 games he has played this season. He has also had at least 80 yards four times. Swift is just a dangerous runner with the ball in his hands, so I don’t see Johnson going away from him completely. I also don’t see him abandoning Swift in a meeting with his former team. That said, I think it’s worth taking a shot on Swift to have a decent outing in the Black Friday game. Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 42.23 rushing yards.
Bears vs. Eagles Pick
I think there’s a decent chance the Eagles win this game, but I don’t see them doing it by more than a score. That’s why I’m grabbing the Bears to cover 7.5, paying up a little to grab an extra half-point. Chicago’s defense might not be great, but it should be good enough to avoid getting carved up by a struggling Philly offense. And the Bears are good enough to move the ball on anyone. I’m also taking the Swift prop.
Bet: Bears +7.5 (-125 – 1.5 units) & Swift Over 37.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
