The Thursday Night Football matchup in Week 10 of the 2024 NFL season features the Baltimore Ravens hosting the Cincinnati Bengals at M&T Bank Stadium. We’ll be diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to the Week 10 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.

MORE: Head to the Pro Picks page for best bets from all of our VSiN hosts and analysts!

 

***Top NFL Resources***

*It's the VSiN Black Friday Special. Take advantage of the largest savings of the year by upgrading to VSiN Pro. For a limited time, you can secure Pro access until May 1st for only $60.*

How To Watch Bengals vs. Ravens

When: Thursday, November 7th at 8:15 pm ET

Where: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland

Channel: Prime Video

Bengals vs. Ravens Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Tuesday, November 5th. Make sure you look around for the best prices!

Moneyline: Ravens -265, Bengals +215

Spread: Ravens -6 (-108), Bengals +6 (-112)

Total: Over 53 (-108), Under 53 (-112)

Bengals vs. Ravens Analysis

This is an exciting Thursday night matchup. The Bengals probably aren’t in contention to win the AFC North this season, as they dug too deep of a hole for that. However, Cincinnati can really use a win in order to keep its playoff hopes alive, while Baltimore is battling Pittsburgh for the top spot in the division. So, this is going to be a game that is played with a playoff-like intensity — much like the one that saw the Ravens escape with a 41-38 overtime victory in Paycor Stadium a couple of weeks ago.

There’s no reason to argue over which team deserves to be favored in this game. Baltimore should absolutely be laying points. However, my first thought when seeing the spread was that it seems like a little too many. While the Ravens are second in the league in EPA per play (0.211), the Bengals are currently seventh (0.085). Meanwhile, these teams are both right with one another in EPA per play allowed, with Baltimore ranking 25th (0.057) and Cincinnati ranking 26th (0.059). That said, this feels like a game in which both teams will simply trade off marching the ball down the field, and the winner will end up being the team that has it last. In that case, I’d rather have the points — and might actually take it with some juice at +7, while also sprinkling the moneyline.

However, I strongly believe that the best bet to make in this game is the Over. With two top-10 offenses in both EPA per play and Offensive DVOA, along with two bottom-10 defenses in EPA per play allowed, I just don’t see either defense coming up with too many timely stops in this one.

The Over is 6-3 in the nine games that the Bengals have played this season, and it’s also 8-1 in the nine games the Ravens have played. These two also flew Over the number when they met in Cincinnati earlier in the year. The Over is also 4-1 in the five games that Cincinnati has played as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last two seasons, and it’s 3-0 when the team is avenging a same-season loss against an opponent in that time. That says that this Bengals offense can take advantage of a second look at a defense. That’s not surprising considering how good Joe Burrow is. Meanwhile, the Over is also 4-1 in the five games that the Ravens have played against teams that allow 130.0 or more rushing yards per game over the last two years. So, they should be able to score plenty with Derrick Henry attacking a soft Cincinnati defensive line.

The only thing I’m a little worried about is the weather report, which calls for scattered showers. Keep an eye on that as the game gets closer. If it’s pouring, you won’t want to bet the total.

Bengals vs. Ravens Player Props

Joe Burrow Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-145)

I like this game to go Over the total, but I also like the Bengals to play a big part in that. With that in mind, I’d be pretty surprised if Burrow doesn’t have a big game with his arm. After all, Burrow just threw for five touchdowns in a win over the Raiders last week. He’s really cooking, and he has now thrown for at least two touchdowns in six of his last eight games. That includes a five-touchdown performance against this Baltimore defense. Sure, this one will be played on the road, meaning a tougher environment. But Burrow isn’t really the type to get rattled. That said, I’m ignoring the juice and backing him to have at least two passing touchdowns here. I mentioned earlier that the Ravens are 25th in EPA per play allowed this season, but they’re 29th in Dropback EPA per play allowed (0.168). The secondary is the main weakness of this Baltimore defense.

Bengals vs. Ravens Pick

If you shop around, you should be able to find this total at 52.5. And as long as the total isn’t 53, I’d strongly suggest going Over here. I know it can be a little hard for offenses to get going on Thursday nights, but these are two very talented offensive teams. And I don’t trust either defense as far as I can throw them. I think we’re going to see a shootout here, and I also think this is a good game to load up on player props.

Bet: Over 52.5 (-110)

RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR