The third of three Thanksgiving Day matchups for the 2025 NFL season features the Baltimore Ravens hosting the Cincinnati Bengals at M&T Bank Stadium. We’ll be diving into all of the big standalone games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 13 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.
MORE: Head to the Pro Picks page for best bets from all of our VSiN hosts and analysts!
How To Watch Bengals vs. Ravens
When: Thursday, November 27th at 8:20 pm ET
Where: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland
Channel: NBC / Peacock
Bengals vs. Ravens Odds
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Tuesday, November 25th. Look around for the best prices!
Moneyline: Ravens -360, Bengals +285
Spread: Ravens -7 (-110), Bengals +7 (-110)
Total: Over 51.5 (-110), Under 51.5 (-110)
Bengals vs. Ravens Analysis
The Bengals might be a miserable 3-8 this season, but the team still has a chance to win the division. That’s how bad the AFC North has been this year. It isn’t crazy to think that Cincinnati can finish atop the standings with a 9-8 record, and that’s precisely why the Bengals are bringing Joe Burrow back after his toe surgery. If they were out of the playoff picture, they might have considered sitting him the rest of the year.
Burrow hasn’t played since Week 2, when he exited Cincinnati’s 31-27 win over Jacksonville with 76 passing yards and a touchdown. Since then, we’ve seen Jake Browning and Joe Flacco under center for a Bengals team that has been absolutely awful in a few key areas. For starters, Cincinnati is last in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (0.188), and the passing defense has been an embarrassment. That puts a lot of pressure on the offense, but the offensive line has been leaky. That hasn’t made anything easier on a subpar quarterback room.
Cincinnati is simply going to need Burrow to be Superman, as this offense will need to be ready to win some high-scoring games. Plus, Burrow isn’t going to have much time to throw, so he’s going to have to be sharp immediately. If he’s slow to process things and struggles to read the defense in his first game back, there’s a good chance Baltimore pounces and never looks back.
The good news for Burrow is that this Ravens defense isn’t as tough as some of the ones we’ve seen under John Harbaugh. Baltimore is just 19th in the league in EPA per play allowed (0.022), and the team is also 23rd in the NFL in Pass Rush Win Rate (34%). That means Burrow could have some time to throw here. Baltimore is also just 16th in the league in EPA per play (-0.015) over the last three weeks, and Lamar Jackson has been struggling to get the passing game going. That said, if Burrow is dialed in right out the gate, a good argument can be made that Cincinnati is getting far too many points here — especially with this being a divisional game.
I have some reservations about Bengals head coach Zac Taylor, but Cincinnati is 22-11 against the spread as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points under him. The Bengals are also 3-1 straight-up and 4-0 ATS in road games with totals of 49.5 or higher under Taylor. So, his teams have done pretty damn well in expected shootouts. Meanwhile, the Ravens haven’t been reliable as a cover team in these situations. Under Harbaugh, they’re below .500 when it comes to covering as home favorites — and favorites of 3.5 to 9.5.
Our analytics expert Steve Makinen also had an estimated line of Baltimore -6.2 for this one, so there’s some value in grabbing the points with the road underdog.
Bengals vs. Ravens Player Props
Ja’Marr Chase Anytime Touchdown (-115)
If you like the Bengals to cover against the Ravens, how can you not like Chase to find the end zone? Chase is coming back from a one-game suspension this week, and his presence is needed now more than ever. Tee Higgins is going to miss this game with an injury, meaning Burrow is going to absolutely pepper Chase with targets. Plus, he’ll be doing so in a game that could turn into a shootout.
It’s normally Higgins that draws some of the red-zone targets in this offense, so there’s a few more to go around here. However, I don’t anticipate this being a game in which Burrow tries to get cute. When Cincinnati is down near the end zone, he’s going to look his star wideout’s way. There’s also a chance he connects with Chase on a deep one.
Bengals vs. Ravens Pick
I really like Cincinnati to keep this within one score, but I’m buying a half of a point to get this to 7.5. I’m not sure it’s 100% necessary, but I’d rather be protected in the event this game is decided by a touchdown. However, Cincinnati feels like the right side, and this is a game I think the Bengals can win. The Ravens haven’t looked sharp over the last few weeks, meaning Burrow could have a chance to steal this one late. I’m also playing Chase to score a touchdown.
Bet: Bengals +7.5 (-132 – 1.5 units), Bengals ML (+295 – 0.5 units), Chase Anytime TD (-115)
