The Sunday Night Football matchup in Week 14 of the 2024 NFL season features the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Los Angeles Chargers at Arrowhead Stadium. We’ll continue diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 14 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.

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How To Watch Chargers vs. Chiefs

When: Sunday, December 8th at 8:20 pm ET

Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri

Channel: NBC/Peacock

Chargers vs. Chiefs Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Saturday, December 7th. Look around for the best prices!

Moneyline: Chiefs -218, Chargers +180

Spread: Chiefs -4 (-110), Chargers +4 (-110)

Total: Over 43 (-112), Under 43 (-108)

Chargers vs. Chiefs Analysis

In the first meeting between these teams, the Chiefs earned a 17-10 win at SoFi Stadium. However, Los Angeles is 6-2 since that game. The Chargers also have a Dropback EPA per play of 0.091 over the last eight games. It was -0.070 from Weeks 1 through 4. Justin Herbert simply needed some time to get used to his new group of pass catchers, as Los Angeles lost quite a bit of talent from last year to this year. This passing game is far from explosive, but Herbert should theoretically be more comfortable against the Chiefs this time around. However, not having Ladd McConkey (questionable) would be a big blow. The rookie has been awesome for Los Angeles recently, and it would be hard for the Chargers to compete in this game with a group of “weapons” that includes Will Dissly, Quentin Johnston and Joshua Palmer. So, if you’re looking to back Los Angeles, make sure McConkey is a go before putting any money on it.

With McConkey carrying a questionable tag, it’s hard not to have a slight lean on Kansas City. After all, the Chiefs are fourth in the NFL in Rush EPA per play allowed (-0.150), so they should be able to make things very tough on the Chargers running game. That would also make life difficult on Herbert. And we know that Steve Spagnuolo is going to be sending pressure to make Herbert uncomfortable anyway.

Kansas City has also had some extra time to rest for this game. The Chiefs played in the Black Friday game in Week 13, so they had Saturday and Sunday to get a jumpstart on preparation for the Chargers. Extra time for an Andy Reid team is dangerous. Los Angeles is also just 1-3 straight-up and 1-2-1 against the spread as an underdog this season.

It’s also easy to say that the Chiefs are coasting through the season, but we’re nearing the business end of the year and Kansas City is in a race for the top seed in the AFC. And after losing to the Bills in Buffalo, the Chiefs surely have to be prioritizing home-field advantage. That said, I think Kansas City is going to be extremely locked in here. The Chiefs can’t afford to let home games get away right now.

I also have a slight lean on the Under in this one. A quick look at the VSiN betting splits page shows that bettors are flocking to the Over, but the number has gone down from 44.5 to 43. That signals some sharp money on the Under. And it isn’t hard to imagine this being a game in which both teams pound the rock and look to win at the line of scrimmage. That’s how the first meeting between these two played out.

Chargers vs. Chiefs Player Props

Will Dissly Over 3.5 Receptions (-146)

While I like the Chiefs to win this game, my favorite play in this one is for Will Dissly to have at least four catches. Dissly has had at least four receptions in six of his last eight games, and he has been targeted at least six times in four of the last seven games. Herbert has a good connection with his tight end, and Kansas City is giving up 7.8 targets to opposing tight ends per game. That’s the second-highest mark in the NFL. When you combine that with the fact that McConkey is banged up, this is looking like a big Dissly game.

Chargers vs. Chiefs Pick

I definitely like the Chiefs to win this game, but I’m not thrilled about laying 4 in a matchup I expect to be somewhat lower in scoring. That said, I’d suggest going for the Dissly play. He should be a big part of the team’s offense, and Kansas City hasn’t proven it can slow down opposing tight ends.

Bet: Dissly Over 3.5 Receptions (-146)

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