The Thursday Night Football matchup in Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season features the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Washington Commanders at Lincoln Financial Field. We’ll continue diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to the Week 11 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.

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How To Watch Commanders vs. Eagles

When: Thursday, November 14th at 8:15 pm ET

Where: Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Channel: Prime Video

Commanders vs. Eagles Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Tuesday, November 12th. Make sure you look around for the best prices!

Moneyline: Eagles -180, Commanders +150

Spread: Eagles -3.5 (-105), Commanders +3.5 (-115)

Total: Over 48.5 (-112), Under 48.5 (-108)

Commanders vs. Eagles Analysis

This is a massive game in the NFC East. Philadelphia is currently sitting atop the standings, but that’s because the team has one less loss and Washington has played one more game. This is also the first of two meetings between these teams, meaning the Commanders can really take control of this division by finding a way to win on the road. That puts a lot of pressure on the Eagles. But Philadelphia does come into this one on a five-game winning streak. The Eagles have also won three of their last four games by at least 20 points. On top of that, they’re 11-2 straight-up and 10-2-1 against the spread as home favorites of 7 or less under Nick Sirianni. And if you care about a head-to-head history that doesn’t include Jayden Daniels, the Eagles are 11-3 SU and 7-5-2 ATS in their last 14 games against the Commanders.

I don’t care much about the recent history between these teams. Washington’s offense has been incredible all year, and that’s something we haven’t seen from the Commanders in some time. However, Washington still has a lot of work to do on the defensive side of the ball. So, while the scheme might look different with Dan Quinn running the show, it’s hard to imagine this being a tough game for Jalen Hurts. The Commanders are one of the worst teams in the league when it comes to EPA per play allowed (0.050), and their Dropback EPA per play (0.100) is responsible for that. So, this should be a great opportunity for Hurts to put up some numbers. And Hurts comes into this game after having thrown for nine touchdowns with only one pick over the last six games. Hurts has also had a Passer Rating of at least 115.0 in five consecutive contests. Hurts is just in a nice groove as a passer right now, so this secondary shouldn’t pose much of a challenge for him. I know Quinn had some success slowing Hurts down in Dallas, but those defenses were a lot more talented than Washington’s.

I’m also curious to see what the Commanders will do if Hurts is shredding them through the air. Overcommitting means opening up more holes for Saquon Barkley, who has been one of the best running backs in football this year. Also, Hurts is fully capable of making big plays with his legs. In fact, he has rushed for eight touchdowns over the last four weeks, and he has also rushed for 123 yards over the last two weeks.

With this Philadelphia offense rolling coming into this game, it’s just hard not to like the team’s chances of winning. The Eagles also happen to be sixth in the NFL in Dropback EPA per play allowed (-0.060), so this secondary should be up for the challenge of slowing down Daniels and an explosive Commanders passing attack. Defensive coordinator Vic Fangio just has to make sure his defense is ready for Daniels’ ability to run. The Eagles also have to make sure they have eyes on Austin Ekeler at all times. If Brian Robinson Jr. does play, Philadelphia should be ready to stop him. The Eagles are seventh in the NFL in Rush EPA per play allowed (-0.144), and Robinson is your standard between-the-tackles runner. But Ekeler can be slippery as a runner, and he’s an excellent pass catcher. Those are the types of guys that can give Philadelphia’s defense trouble.

Commanders vs. Eagles Player Props

A.J. Brown To Score a TD (+130)

Brown hasn’t scored a touchdown in three games, but he has a great shot at changing that here. Last year, Brown scored two touchdowns in both of the games he played against the Commanders. And while this Washington team has been a little more reliable defensively under Quinn, it’s just very easy to throw on this Washington secondary. That’s why the team went out and traded for cornerback Marshon Lattimore. And that isn’t going to fix all of the team’s problems.

Taking Brown to go Over his receiving yards prop is another option. Washington has struggled to defend opposing WR1s, with George Pickens being the most recent one to punish this secondary. But I like the plus-money odds on Brown to actually score. Not only is he a big-play threat over the top, but he’s also a big body that the Eagles can use in the red zone.

Commanders vs. Eagles Pick

I might come in with a play on this game if the Eagles get to -2.5. I’ll also be looking out for moneyline opportunities in the -160 range. However, as of right now, all I have is a lean on Philadelphia. While I have enjoyed watching this Commanders team, the Eagles are much better defensively. And EPA per play might say that Washington is significantly better offensively, but I have just as much trust in Philadelphia on that side of the ball. When you combine all of that with the Eagles having home-field advantage, it’s hard to imagine the Commanders winning this game. But I’m not looking to lay more than a field goal in a big divisional game. I also don’t have strong thoughts on the total.

Lean: Eagles -3 (-116)

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