The Sunday Night Football matchup in Week 8 of the 2024 NFL season features the San Francisco 49ers hosting the Dallas Cowboys at Levi’s Stadium. We’ll be diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 8 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.

MORE: Head to the Pro Picks page for best bets from all of our VSiN hosts and analysts!

 

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How To Watch Cowboys vs. 49ers

When: Sunday, October 27th at 8:20 pm ET

Where: Levi’s Stadium in San Francisco, California

Channel: NBC/Peacock

Cowboys vs. 49ers Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Friday, October 25th. Look around for the best prices!

Moneyline: 49ers -198, Cowboys +164

Spread: 49ers -4 (-110), Cowboys +4 (-110)

Total: Over 47 (-112), Under 47 (-108)

Cowboys vs. 49ers Analysis

The 49ers were once 7-point favorites in this game. That was back when it opened on October 15th. But this is all the way down to 4 in some shops, and a lot of that has to do with San Francisco’s lengthy injury report. The 49ers are down a lot of bodies in the receiving game, and they’ll seemingly be without Christian McCaffrey for another two games. San Francisco has also lost some key pieces on defense. It also seems like some sharp money has been hitting the Dallas side, and that’s the side I’ll be on in this game.

I know the Cowboys looked awful in a 47-9 loss to the Lions last game, but they had the bye week to sort out some of their issues. And under head coach Mike McCarthy, Dallas has proven that it can make the most of the extra preparation time. The Cowboys are 3-1 both straight-up and against the spread after the bye week under McCarthy, who also happens to be 14-6 SU and 14-5-1 SU after bye weeks throughout his career. Meanwhile, the 49ers are just 12-17 ATS as home favorites of 7 or less under Kyle Shanahan. They’re also 14-21 SU and 15-20 ATS in October games with Shanahan on the sidelines, so this is a time of year in which San Francisco historically struggles.

The real concern in this game is the Dallas rushing defense. The Cowboys are last in the league in Rush EPA per play allowed (0.131), and we all know that the 49ers can run the football. But backing Dallas is putting some trust in Mike Zimmer, who is a proven defensive coordinator in this league. The Cowboys likely spent most of these last couple of weeks preparing to slow down the 49ers running game, and they should be able to do it — at least to some degree. And if they don’t get absolutely shredded on the ground, they’ll be in good shape when it comes to keeping this close. The reason for that is that Brock Purdy looks lost without his full arsenal of pass-catchers. Purdy lit up the Seahawks two weeks ago, but he was awful in a loss to the Cardinals the week before that. And last week, Purdy completed just 54.8% of his passes and threw three interceptions in a home loss to the Chiefs.

I also don’t see any reason the Cowboys can’t move the ball against the 49ers defense. This has been a rocky season for Dak Prescott and company, but San Francisco is just 20th in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (0.046) since Week 5. This has been a very beatable defense for weeks now, and the Cowboys have had a lot of time to look for ways to attack it.

Cowboys vs. 49ers Player Props

Jake Ferguson Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Only two teams in the league have allowed more receiving yards to opposing tight ends than the 49ers this season. And a lot of the damage has been done in this recent three-week stretch. In a Week 5 loss to the Cardinals, San Francisco allowed Trey McBride to catch six passes for 53 yards. Then, in a win over the Seahawks, the 49ers gave up six catches for 63 yards to Noah Fant. And last week, Noah Gray and Travis Kelce combined to catch eight passes for 83 yards. With all of that in mind, I’d be pretty surprised if Jake Ferguson doesn’t reach the 39-yard mark in Week 8. Before finishing with just 11 yards in the loss to Detroit, Ferguson had at least 49 yards in three straight games. He’s a sturdy pass-catching weapon and Prescott knows what he has in him.

Cowboys vs. 49ers Pick

I’m not sure I’ve ever given out two official bets in a primetime writeup, but I’m actually playing Dallas +4.5 and Ferguson to go Over his receiving prop as part of my Week 8 NFL best bets. I think the Cowboys are live in this game, as they’re coming off the bye week and getting the 49ers at the perfect time. But you can find 4.5 out there and you might as well take it with very little juice.

Bet: Cowboys +4.5 (-111) & Ferguson Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

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