After a tough loss to the Denver Broncos last week, the Philadelphia Eagles will be looking to get back in the win column when they face the New York Giants in the Week 6 Thursday Night Football game. We’ll be diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 6 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.
MORE: Head to the Pro Picks page for best bets from all of our VSiN hosts and analysts!
How To Watch Eagles vs. Giants
When: Thursday, October 9 at 8:15 pm ET
Where: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey
Channel: Prime Video (Amazon)
Eagles vs. Giants Odds
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook accurate as of Tuesday, October 7. Look around for the best prices!
Moneyline: Eagles -375, Giants +295
Spread: Eagles -7 (-118), Giants +7 (-102)
Total: Over 40.5 (-112), Under 40.5 (-108)
Eagles vs. Giants Analysis
It’s pretty clear that the sharps like the Under in this Thursday Night Football matchup. When lookahead lines first became available for this one, the total was set at 43.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Now, despite our VSiN betting splits showing nearly 70% of the tickets favoring the Over, the total is down at 40.5.
There’s no reason to argue with the respected money on this game. Philadelphia is 3-2 to the Under this season, and the team is coming off a game in which 38 total points were scored against Denver. Meanwhile, New York is 4-1 to the Under on the year, and the team has played four games in which 40 or fewer points have been scored this season. So, if you’re sitting there thinking that 40.5 is way too low, the Giants have done it in 80% of their games.
The Under has also hit in three straight meetings between these teams, and it has also come in five times in their last six. Also, four of those five Unders saw the two teams going Under the number for this Thursday night meeting.
These are also two bad offenses right now. The Eagles are 17th in the NFL in EPA per play (0.030), which isn’t nearly as high as it should be given the talent on the roster. But the Giants are every bit as bad offensively as their -0.084 EPA per play, which is the fifth-worst mark in the league.
It should also be noted that, since 1983, Thursday games with totals between 35.5 and 42 points are are 62-30 to the Under with an average total points scored of 34.8 points per game.
If you’re looking to take a side here, it’s hard not to view this as Philadelphia or pass. This Eagles team hasn’t been very good this season, but look what the New Orleans Saints defense just did to Jaxson Dart. The rookie threw two interceptions in that game, and he also lost a fumble. That tape is going to have Philadelphia defensive coordinator Vic Fangio salivating. Fangio, who doesn’t blitz as much as some of the other top defensive coordinators in this league, is going to have some looks that confuse Dart. And, even without the Eagles sending a ton of pressure, there’s a good chance they get home for some sacks — or just live in the backfield. Their defensive line is good enough to get by this O-Line without extra bodies rushing.
The Eagles offense is also due to start playing better soon. Perhaps the meeting Jalen Hurts, Saquon Barkley, and A.J. Brown had this week will get them all on the same page. This is definitely the right opponent if you’re looking to get right. The Giants are 26th in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (0.102).
Eagles vs. Giants Player Props
Lean: Jalen Hurts Over 196.5 Passing Yards (-112)
I have another way to get involved with Hurts’ passing yards in this game (see below), but our Opta AI player projections have a big edge on his Over in Week 6. They have Hurts throwing for 230.72 yards, which is 34.22 higher than his DraftKings Sportsbook total of 196.5. Hurt has thrown for at least 226 yards in two of the last three games, so it’s reasonable to expect at least 200 here. The Giants aren’t as bad defensively as they are offensively, but they’re just 18th in the NFL in Dropback EPA per play allowed (0.121).
Eagles vs. Giants Pick
I don’t normally get involved with the crazy stuff, but I’m actually playing a same-game parlay here. I’m going with Philadelphia to win, Hurts to throw for at least 150 yards, and Brown to finish with at least 40 receiving yards. I can’t see the Giants winning this game outright, but I’m not trying to lay 7.5 with the Eagles in a divisional road game. As far as the props go, Hurts might be more likely to throw for 250 than fewer than 150. And a big day in the passing game probably isn’t possible without Brown at least doing something.
SAME GAME PARLAY: Eagles ML, Hurts 150+ Passing Yards, Brown 40+ Receiving Yards (-121)
