The Sunday Night Football matchup in Week 12 of the 2024 NFL season features the Los Angeles Rams hosting the Philadelphia Eagles at SoFi Stadium. We’ll be diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 12 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.
MORE: Head to the Pro Picks page for best bets from all of our VSiN hosts and analysts!
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How To Watch Eagles vs. Rams
When: Sunday, November 24th at 8:20 pm ET
Where: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California
Channel: NBC/Peacock
Eagles vs. Rams Odds
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Friday, November 22nd. Look around for the best prices!
Moneyline: Eagles -155, Rams +130
Spread: Eagles -2.5 (-122), Rams +2.5 (+102)
Total: Over 49 (-110), Under 49 (-110)
Eagles vs. Rams Analysis
The Rams might not seem like a good defensive team, but poor showings in Weeks 1 and 2 made them look a lot worse than they really are. Since Week 3, Los Angeles is 11th in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (-0.026), which would be good for a top-10 mark in the league over the course of the entire season. The big difference is that the Rams have been much sturdier against the run. Since Week 3, they’re seventh in the league in Rush EPA per play allowed (-0.146).
The reality is that Los Angeles can be trusted to low down Saquon Barkley in this game, and that’s not something that other teams have been able to do. Barkley, who has rushed for 1,137 yards with eight touchdowns and also has 23 catches for 210 yards and another two scores, is the betting favorite to win the NFL Offensive Player of the Year award. And not only does Barkley do a ton of damage with his legs, but the threat of the run is huge for the rest of the offense. Jalen Hurts is more dangerous as a runner because defenses have to respect Barkley as a runner. And Philadelphia takes a lot of shots down the field off play-action passes, which are also more effective because of Barkley. Hurts has the highest play action YPA amongst full-time starting quarterbacks. With that in mind, the Rams defense will be in good shape if it just continues to hold the line when it comes to defending the run. And it doesn’t hurt that the secondary doesn’t have to deal with DeVonta Smith, who was ruled out with a hamstring issue on Friday.
Offensively, this is a pretty good matchup for the Rams. Los Angeles’ offensive line has been a weakness this year. Pro Football Focus has the Rams as their 20th-ranked unit up front. But the Eagles have a somewhat inconsistent pass rush. They’re eighth in the league in pass rush win rate this year, according to ESPN. That’s great. However, the effort comes and goes. Also, Vic Fangio is very aggressive in dialing up pressure. The issue with that is Matthew Stafford can be trusted to get the ball out quickly. And that’s especially true when he has his full suite of pass-catchers, which he will in this game. So, if Philadelphia is relentlessly trying to get after him, that actually could be problematic. That would leave places for Stafford to exploit the defense with quick throws to the short-to-intermediate portion of the field.
Overall, I’m very high on Philadelphia. That’s part of the reason I invested a little in Nick Sirianni to win Coach of the Year at 100-1 last week. But this feels like a bad matchup for the Eagles, and that’s not even factoring in the fact that they had to fly across the country.
Philadelphia is also just 9-12-1 against the spread as a road favorite under Sirianni. Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 13-11-1 ATS when playing teams with winning percentages of 75.0% or higher under Sean McVay. And for as much as I like Sirianni, I do give a pretty strong edge to McVay when it comes to the battle on the sidelines.
As far as the total goes, I don’t really have any thoughts either way. However, the number has gone up from 47 to 49 in some spots. The public also seems to be favoring the Over, according to our VSiN NFL betting splits.
Eagles vs. Rams Player Props
Matthew Stafford Over 34.5 Passing Attempts (-118)
There’s a reason I exclusively talked about Stafford and the passing game earlier. That’s because Philadelphia is sixth in the league in Rush EPA per play allowed (-0.166), and there’s not much at all (0.003) keeping the Eagles from third. That said, it might be hard for Kyren Williams and the Los Angeles running game to get going. Sure, McVay is going to try it. The running game is so important to this team’s identity. But I’m not sure the Rams will be able to find success, and that should put a lot on Stafford’s plate.
Stafford had also attempted at least 44 passes in back-to-back games before throwing just 27 times against the Patriots last week. And overall, he has hit the 35-attempt mark in four of the 10 games he has played this season. With this being a good passing matchup, I see it happening for the fifth time. For what it’s worth, Stafford threw the ball 37 times in a meeting with Philadelphia last year.
Eagles vs. Rams Pick
I’m going to take the field goal with the Rams in this one, and it’s one of my Week 12 NFL best bets — albeit one of the smaller ones. You have to pay up a little more to take Los Angeles than you would with Philadelphia, but this really should end up being a close game. So, why not have three points in your pocket?
Bet: Rams +3 (-115)