It’s time for Week 8 of the 2024 NFL season. I strongly suggest you check out the Week 8 NFL Betting Hub, where you’ll find all of the features and picks from my talented co-workers. On top of that, we never stop pumping out good NFL content on our live shows. That’s the beauty of being a subscriber. As a company, we’re relentless in our effort to get you prepared for these games. With that out of the way, let’s get into the fun stuff. Keep reading for my Week 8 NFL best bets and Week 8 NFL predictions.

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Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns – 1:00 pm ET

The Over is 6-1 in the seven games the Ravens have played this year. I was on the Over in last week’s meeting with the Buccaneers, and I immediately wanted to be on this one. I know this is a divisional road game, but I just don’t think Baltimore’s offense will have a hard time scoring here. Sure, the Browns still have some talented players scattered throughout their defense, but they’re just 15th in the league in Rush EPA per play allowed (-0.088). That’s not going to be good enough to slow down this Ravens running game. Derrick Henry is up to 873 yards with eight touchdowns in seven games, and he’s looking like the NFL’s version of Ashton Jeanty. And if Cleveland struggles to contain Henry, that will only make it easier on Lamar Jackson to light the Browns secondary up.

However, I also see the Browns offense having some success in this game. As wild as it might be to say, Jameis Winston is an upgrade under center for Cleveland. And his presence should allow Kevin Stefanski to run his offense the right way. Winston might make a mistake or two in the game. That’s just what you get when you have him out there. But he’s going to take shots down the field, and Baltimore is just 28th in the NFL in Dropback EPA per play allowed (0.182). This secondary is very beatable. So, I can see this being a classic Winston game in which he throws for a lot of yards, throws for multiple scores and also has a few turnovers.

Bet: Over 44.5 (-109)

Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals – 1:00 pm ET

The Bengals defense has been getting better and better by the week. While Cincinnati is just 24th in the league in EPA per play allowed (0.049) this season, the team is 10th in the league in EPA per play allowed (-0.123) over the last two weeks. It definitely helps that the Bengals faced the Giants and Browns, but they have been handling what’s in front of them. And it’s not like the Eagles have been consistent offensively this year. Philadelphia has scored 21 or fewer points in four of its six games. That might not cut it against a Cincinnati team that has Joe Burrow firing on all cylinders.

On the season, Burrow is up to 1,759 passing yards with 14 touchdowns and only two picks. He is also third in the NFL in PFF’s passing grade (85.7). Burrow now goes to work against an Eagles team that is 17th in the NFL in Dropback EPA per play allowed (0.038). I just wouldn’t be surprised if Burrow absolutely torches the Philadelphia secondary, and that’s one of the reasons I mentioned him as an MVP bet at 17-1 odds on Make It Rain with Adam Schein the other day. If Burrow plays well here and then the Bengals take care of business against the Raiders, they’ll suddenly be 5-4 and back in the playoff picture.

Overall, I just don’t think this version of the Eagles is good enough to go on the road and beat a strong team in such a tough environment. Since 2022, Philadelphia is actually 0-6 against the spread when playing a road game after having just played on the road. The Eagles have also lost those games by an average of 8.3 points per game. And I’m just playing the Bengals to win this outright. Also, in that same span, Cincinnati is 11-2 straight-up when coming off a road win. The Bengals have won those games by an average of 6.7 points per game.

Bet: Bengals ML (-138 – 2 units)

Additional Week 7 Best Bets

Rams +3 (-105 – 2 units) vs. Vikings – Click here for my Vikings vs. Rams preview!

Last Week

Broncos ML (-125) vs. Saints
Eagles -3 (-116) vs. Giants
49ers ML (-116 – 2 units) vs. Chiefs
DeMario Douglas Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-113) vs. Jaguars
Nick Chubb Over 37.5 Rushing Yards (-113) vs. Bengals
Tony Pollard Over 63.5 Rushing Yards (-110) vs. Bills
Chargers ML (-122 – 1.5 units) vs. Cardinals 
Ravens-Buccaneers Over 48.5 (-128 – 1.5 units)

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2024 NFL Best Bets Record: 19-20 (-2.70 units)

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