It’s time for Week 9 of the 2025 NFL season. I strongly suggest you check out the Week 9 NFL Betting Hub, where you’ll find all of the features and picks from my talented co-workers. On top of that, we never stop pumping out good NFL content on our live shows. That’s the beauty of being a subscriber. As a company, we’re relentless in our effort to get you prepared for these games. With that out of the way, let’s get into the fun stuff. Keep reading for my Week 9 NFL best bets and Week 9 NFL player props.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for college football best bets from all of our analysts
Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans – 1:00 pm ET
Jim Harbaugh hasn’t coached the Chargers as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points, but he was 0-3 against the spread in that situation with the 49ers. Los Angeles is also just 1-2 ATS on the road this season. This is also a game with a pretty low point total. The number is down at 43.5, which makes it hard to believe the Chargers will be able to win by margin.
Obviously, Tennessee has been one of the worst teams in football this year. That makes the Titans a tough sell against a team that earned a 27-point victory on Thursday Night Football in Week 8. However, Los Angeles’ offensive line is still a bit of a question mark, with guys working their way back in from injury. Meanwhile, the Tennessee front seven has started to do some better work in getting into the opposing backfield. Well, if the Titans can put some pressure on Justin Herbert, there’s a good chance this game ends up being closer than expected.
It’s also very possible to run on this Chargers defense. We have seen some big rushing performance against Los Angeles this year, and that should give Tennessee a shot at establishing the run. That would then take some pressure off Cam Ward and give him the opportunity to make some big plays with his arm.
However, this is really just about the numbers. A 9.5-point spread is a little too big for a Chargers team that hasn’t been all that impressive. Our VSiN projections have an estimated line of L.A. -5.1 in this one. That’s way off the actual line. So I’m firing up a play on Tennessee to cover — and I’m also sprinkling the moneyline.
Bet: Titans +9.5 (-105) & Titans ML (+400 – 0.25 units)
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills – 4:25 pm ET
I’m playing Kansas City in this week’s massive AFC showdown. The Chiefs are currently better than the Bills in both EPA per play (0.186 vs. 0.175) and EPA per play allowed (-0.031 vs. -0.005). Also, the numbers are even more drastic since the start of Week 3. If you throw away the first two games of the year, Kansas City’s EPA per play is 0.228 and the team’s EPA per play allowed is -0.100. Meanwhile, Buffalo’s EPA per play is 0.130 and the team’s EPA per play allowed is -0.026.
It’s just a little hard to imagine this Bills team getting off the field regularly. Buffalo is absolutely miserable against the run, so Kansas City should be able to move the ball on first down — even with a messy running back situation. And the Chiefs are as explosive as ever in the passing game right now, as Rashee Rice is back and completes one of the best groups of weapons Patrick Mahomes has ever had to work with.
Kansas City is also a little more reliable defensively, which is a big part of the reason the Chiefs have owned the Bills in the playoffs. I also like that that Kansas City’s slow start to the year means that the team has a sense of urgency on a weekly basis. The Chiefs need to keep winning in order to claim the division.
Bet: Chiefs ML (-127 – 1.5 units)
Additional Week 9 Best Bets
Ravens-Dolphins Over 50.5 (-110) – CLICK HERE for my Ravens-Dolphins Thursday Night Football betting preview!
Vikings +9 (-110) vs. Lions
Broncos ML (+110) vs. Texans
Bryce Young Over 5.5 Rushing Yards (-114) vs. Packers
Tyler Warren Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115) vs. Steelers
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2025 Record: 50-44 (+7.93 units)
