The second of two Monday Night Football matchups in Week 15 of the 2024 NFL season features the Las Vegas Raiders hosting the Atlanta Falcons at Allegiant Stadium. We’ll continue diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 15 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.
MORE: Head to the Pro Picks page for best bets from all of our VSiN hosts and analysts!
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How To Watch Falcons vs. Raiders
When: Monday, December 16th at 8:30 pm ET
Where: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada
Channel: ESPN
Falcons vs. Raiders Odds
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Sunday, December 15th. Look around for the best prices!
Moneyline: Falcons -270, Raiders +220
Spread: Falcons -5.5 (-112), Raiders +5.5 (-108)
Total: Over 44.5 (-108), Under 44.5 (-112)
Falcons vs. Raiders Analysis
Our VSiN DraftKings betting splits page and Circa betting splits page show that most bettors prefer the Falcons in this game. It’s understandable. While this has been an up-and-down season for Atlanta, the team is still 6-7 on the year. Las Vegas is just 2-11. The Falcons are also 14th in the NFL in EPA per play (0.027), while the Raiders are last in the league (-0.149). Also, Las Vegas might have an edge defensively, but it’s a small one. The Raiders are 25th in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (0.050) and the Falcons are 27th (0.062). That difference is also probably made up with Maxx Crosby being out for the season with an ankle injury.
Despite all of that, it’s a little hard to trust Atlanta in this spot. While the Falcons’ season-long numbers are favorable, they have been a shell of themselves over the course of this current four-game losing streak. In fact, over the last five weeks (a span that includes four Atlanta games), the team has an EPA per play of just -0.054. That’s hardly better than Las Vegas’ -0.062. Meanwhile, the Raiders have been the stronger team defensively in this recent stretch. They have an EPA per play allowed of 0.118 since Week 10, while the Falcons have an EPA per play allowed of 0.145.
Considering these teams have been playing very similarly on both sides of the ball lately, it actually might make sense to take the points with the home team. After all, you can say a lot about how bad the Las Vegas quarterback situation is, but Kirk Cousins has completed just 61.8% of his passes for zero touchdowns and six interceptions in the month of December. Atlanta’s fans have even been calling for rookie Michael Penix Jr. lately.
The Raiders are also 6-4 against the spread in home games under Antonio Pierce, and they’re also 4-2 ATS when facing teams with losing records under Pierce.
Another way to attack this might just be to take the Under. Neither offense is playing all that well right now. However, I don’t like going Under in games with two bad defenses — especially in offense-friendly conditions.
Falcons vs. Raiders Player Props
Jakobi Meyers Over 60.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
No matter who is under center for the Raiders, you can probably count on a good game from Meyers. The 28-year-old has had at least 67 receiving yards in three straight games, and he has gone Over his total in this game in seven of the 11 games he has played this season. Meyers will now be going up against a Falcons team that is 29th in the NFL in Dropback EPA per play allowed (0.142). It’s never fun relying on a bad quarterback, but Meyers consistently creates separation and he’s the top wideout in this Vegas offense. So, while the quarterback play might not be inspiring, trust in the fact that Meyers has been targeted at least 10 times in four of the last five games. He’s going to get a ton of chances to make plays.
Falcons vs. Raiders Pick
The Falcons have looked like a much better team than the Raiders over the course of this season, but that hasn’t been the case over the last five weeks. Atlanta is falling apart with Cousins struggling to find a rhythm, and I’m not sure a straightforward win can be expected on the road. So, I’m taking Vegas with the points, even though I absolutely hate watching this Raiders offense.
Bet: Raiders +5.5 (-108)
