The second of three Thanksgiving Day matchups for the 2024 NFL season features the Dallas Cowboys hosting the New York Giants at AT&T Stadium. We’ll be diving into all of the big standalone games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 13 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.

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How To Watch Giants vs. Cowboys

When: Thursday, November 28th at 4:30 pm ET

Where: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas

Channel: FOX

Giants vs. Cowboys Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Tuesday, November 26th. Look around for the best prices!

Moneyline: Cowboys -185, Giants +154

Spread: Cowboys -3.5 (-110), Giants +3.5 (-110)

Total: Over 37.5 (-108), Under 37.5 (-112)

Giants vs. Cowboys Analysis

It’s insane that Tommy DeVito and Cooper Rush are the starters in a national television game, and it’s even more insane that we’re all going to watch it. Of course, DeVito has to shed his questionable tag and play through a forearm injury to make that happen. So, maybe it’ll be Drew Lock against Rush. But either way, we’re going from Monday night’s Harbaugh Bowl (or “Harbowl”) to a Toilet Bowl. This is the Cranberry sauce of the Thanksgiving Day offering. And perhaps the sickest part about all of it is that I’m expecting a decent amount of points!

I know the quarterback play in this game is going to be questionable, but the defenses in this game can give you nightmares. New York is 27th in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (0.068) and Dallas is 30th (0.091). Also, both teams happen to have weaknesses that should allow the opposing offense to move the ball a little bit.

For New York, the league’s 26th-ranked defense in Dropback EPA per play allowed (0.130) is concerning. Rush threw for 247 yards and two touchdowns against a similarly bad Washington secondary, and he finished the game with a Passer Rating of 117.6. I don’t see much preventing him from doing the same thing here, especially with how easily CeeDee Lamb (also questionable) will be able to create separation against these Giants defensive backs.

As for Dallas, it’s the league-worst defense when it comes to Rush EPA per play (0.092) that is concerning. New York has an elusive running back in Tyrone Tracy Jr., and he should be able to find some holes against this porous defensive line. That should allow DeVito to make some throws down the field, if he’s able to play. This matchup creates something of a Shaquille O’Neal “BBQ Chicken Alert.” However, in this case, it’s “Chicken Cutlet Alert.” I expect DeVito to take advantage. And if it’s not him, I like Lock to have a big game. New York would probably be better off with Lock under center anyway.

I know you generally want good offenses when looking at an Over, but bad defenses can be just as good. There’s a reason the Over is 7-4 in Cowboys games this year, and it’s 4-1 when they play in Jerry World. Getting to face this Dallas defense without having to deal with any weather is huge. And the Cowboys will feel similarly about getting to take on the Giants.

Overall, I’m not even looking at the sides in this game. I don’t want to have to expect a clean performance from either of these teams. Let’s just root for chaos like we saw at the end of the Cowboys-Commanders game last week.

Giants vs. Cowboys Player Props

Tyrone Tracy Jr. Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Tracy was punished for a fumble against the Buccaneers last game, but he’s still going to be the lead back against the Cowboys. And if he can avoid another costly mistake, he should run wild here. Before running for just 42 yards on nine carries last game, Tracy had rushed for at least 66 yards in three consecutive games. Tracy is averaging 5.1 yards per carry on the year, and the 25-year-old has reached 100 yards three times. Tracy will now be working against a Dallas defense that is miserable when it comes to defending the run. The Cowboys are the worst team in the league when it comes to Rush EPA per play, and Tracy has the juice required to break off some big plays against them. Honestly, this might be ladder situation.

Giants vs. Cowboys Pick

This total is just way too low. These defenses can’t be trusted to prevent big plays, making five touchdowns and a field goal a very reasonable ask. I actually wouldn’t be surprised if this game is played in the high 40s. These quarterbacks stink, but they’re good enough to cash in against awful defenses inside a dome.

Bet: Over 37.5 (-105)

UPDATE (4:00 pm ET on 11/27): It now looks like Drew Lock will be in for Tommy DeVito. That gives me more confidence in the Over hitting, and I also lean towards taking New York with the points.

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