NFL Futures Best Bets:

Now that the NFL has returned to our lives, it’s time for the Tuesday article to return as well! It’s been a solid season already. If you’ve been listening to The Handle (with Matt Brown and me, 3-6 p.m. ET on Saturday and Sunday), then hopefully you have a Jared Goff MVP ticket in at 40-1 (now 16-1), Lions to win the NFC North at +150 (now +135, I would still bet this, I have fair value at +105) and the Falcons to win the NFC South at +150 (now -120, I would not still bet this). With all the new bets that have popped up over the last week, here are some of my favorite NFL futures best bets that recently made it into my account.

NFC North Exact 1-2

If you missed the boat on the Lions +150 to win the division and you want to look for a better number that is still available, look to the exact order market. I’ve talked about the Lions ad nauseam this offseason, so I won’t go into too much detail, but they will be better this year. You have young players like St. Brown, Gibbs, LaPorta, and Williams, who are all eligible to take a step forward on the offensive side, 14 of the 17 games will be played in a dome, and they added on defense on the D-Line and secondary. They should improve on both sides of the ball.

 

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While the Packers’ win total has steamed, the separation between the Packers and Bears is still far too close. Green Bay’s biggest move was switching defensive coordinators, which should provide immediate dividends on that side of the ball. The offense has young players all over the place who are expected to improve this season, in addition to Jordan Love, who now has a season under his belt.

I cannot buy the Bears at the current price. The defense played very well late in the season, but the rates are unsustainable. While they will be a better overall team, the Packers have a far better chance of finishing second in the NFC North

NFL Futures Best Bet: NFC North 1-2 Detroit – Green Bay +320

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards o/u 750.5

I was banging the drum for this one the last two weeks on The Handle and the number still hasn’t moved. I love the Over here. I’m a believer in rookie wide receiver Keon Coleman, I bet his TD prop o4.5 for the season +100 (it’s still available), but the biggest beneficiary to Diggs and Davis hitting the road, from a target perspective, will be Kincaid.

In his rookie campaign, he caught 73 passes on 91 targets for 673 yards. With Diggs and Davis exiting, the Bills will need to replace 241 targets and 1,929 yards of production. Since Allen now has a season under his belt with Kincaid and trusts him, I project he’s looking at between 120-140 targets if he plays 17 games. If that plays out, the low range for his yardage is just shy of 900 yards.

NFL Futures Bet: Kincaid Over 750.5 Yards

Here are a couple of NFL futures best bets in my account that I would still play:

Bo Nix OROY 22-1 (now 16, playable to 14-1)

Kyren Williams Most Rush Yards 12-1

Last Winless Team: Patriots 5-1

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