As I indicated in the first part of what is to be a three-part series on expanding the trends offered in the VSiN NFL Analytics Report, there have been a lot of definitive NFL head coach, team, and quarterback tendencies that have developed in recent years in the league that I haven’t stressed enough for readers. That all changes now. Going forward, for the Analytics Report each week, we will be fitting these new trends to that week’s games, pointing out each and every time they will apply.

This second part of the three-part series reveals some of the top NFL head coach trends that have emerged. Note that even though the current team is listed for each trend, the data used to develop the angle may or may not include the previous team(s) that the coach has been with. Also, if an NFL head coach is not listed, most likely the sample size wasn’t big enough or the angles definitive enough to consider it a tendency. Obviously, there could be some overlap with the team trends piece from earlier.

 

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The final piece in the three-part series will cover quarterback trends. 

* ARIZONA: Jonathan Gannon is on 6-0 Over the total streak vs. elite teams with winning percentages >=66.7% 

* ATLANTA: Raheem Morris is on a 10-14 SU and 8-16 ATS slide in home games
* ATLANTA: Raheem Morris is on 9-3 OVER the total surge vs. teams with a losing record 

* BALTIMORE: John Harbaugh is 16-4 Under the total in January games since 2012
* BALTIMORE: John Harbaugh is 13-14 SU but 21-6 ATS as an underdog since 2018
* BALTIMORE: John Harbaugh is on an 8-2 SU and 9-0 ATS run vs. elite offenses scoring >=27 PPG 

* BUFFALO: Sean McDermott is 7-1 SU but 1-7 ATS as a double-digit favorite since 2022
* BUFFALO: Sean McDermott is 26-13 Under the total when coming off an outright loss since 2017
* BUFFALO: Sean McDermott is on an impressive 18-6 SU and 19-5 ATS run vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG
* BUFFALO: Sean McDermott boasts a 14-3 SU and ATS record as a short favorite of less than 3 points since 2017

* CHICAGO: Matt Eberflus is 7-10 SU and 5-11 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2022
* CHICAGO: Matt Eberflus is on a 16-8 Over the total surge when coming off an outright loss
* CHICAGO: Matt Eberflus is on a 6-0 SU and ATS streak at home

* CINCINNATI: Zac Taylor is on 12-6 SU and 14-4 ATS run vs. elite teams with winning percentages >=66.7%
* CINCINNATI: Zac Taylor boasts a 17-4 SU and 15-4 ATS record as a favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2022

* CLEVELAND: Kevin Stefanski is on a 7-17 SU and 6-16 ATS slide when coming off an outright win
* CLEVELAND: Kevin Stefanski is 15-6 Under the total vs. teams with a losing record since 2020
* CLEVELAND: Kevin Stefanski is 19-8 Over the total vs. teams with a winning record since 2020
* CLEVELAND: Kevin Stefanski is on 9-3 SU and 9-3 ATS run when coming off an outright home loss 

* DALLAS: Mike McCarthy is just 6-9 SU and 3-12 ATS in the last 15 games when coming off a double-digit win
* DALLAS: Mike McCarthy is just 13-28-1 SU and 14-28 ATS vs. teams with a winning record since 2017
* DALLAS: Mike McCarthy boasts a 13-1 SU and 11-3 ATS record in the last 14 games vs. poor teams being outscored by 4.5 PPG or more
* DALLAS: Mike McCarthy is on 9-0 Over the total streak as a home favorite of more than 7 points 

* DENVER: Sean Payton is 35-16 Under the total when coming off a double-digit win since 2013
* DENVER: Sean Payton is 15-7 SU and 17-4 ATS in the last 22 games when coming off an outright road loss

* DETROIT: Dan Campbell is 13-5 Under the total in games after allowing 30+ points since 2015
* DETROIT: Dan Campbell is on a 5-12 SU and 6-11 ATS skid vs. poor teams with winning percentages <=33%
* DETROIT: Dan Campbell is 10-1 SU and ATS when his team is playing with extra rest (>7 days) since 2022
* DETROIT: Dan Campbell is on a 9-0 SU and ATS streak coming off an outright loss 

* GREEN BAY: Matt Lafleur is 14-12 SU and 8-18 ATS as a single-digit favorite since 2021
* GREEN BAY: Matt Lafleur boasts an impressive record of 13-5 SU and 15-3 ATS as an underdog of +3 to +7 points since 2019
* GREEN BAY: Matt Lafleur is 11-1 Over the total when coming off an upset win since 2021 

* HOUSTON: DeMeco Ryans is on 7-0 Under the total streak as a home favorite
* HOUSTON: DeMeco Ryans is on 10-3 Under the total surge vs. teams with a winning record

* INDIANAPOLIS: Shane Steichen is on 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS run vs. poor offensive teams scoring <19 PPG

* JACKSONVILLE: Doug Pederson is 18-4 Under the total in November games since 2016
* JACKSONVILLE: Doug Pederson is 3-12 SU and ATS vs. poor defenses, allowing >=27 PPG since 2016
* JACKSONVILLE: Doug Pederson is just 12-10 SU and 5-17 ATS as a single-digit home favorite since 2018
* JACKSONVILLE: Doug Pederson is 37-23 Over the total in road games since 2016
* JACKSONVILLE: Doug Pederson owns a 14-7 SU and 15-5 ATS record when coming off an upset win since 2017 

* KANSAS CITY: Andy Reid is on 9-0 Under the total streak vs. elite offenses scoring >=27 PPG
* KANSAS CITY: Andy Reid is 18-10 SU but just 6-20 ATS coming off a game scoring 30+ points since 2020
* KANSAS CITY: Andy Reid is 31-10 Under the total as a home favorite of 7 points or more since 2011
* KANSAS CITY: Andy Reid is on 13-3 SU and 12-3 ATS surge in non-conference games
* KANSAS CITY: Andy Reid boasts a sensational 15-3 SU and 17-1 ATS record as a road underdog since 2016 

* LA CHARGERS: Jim Harbaugh is on 6-0 Under the total streak as a divisional home favorite
* LA CHARGERS: Jim Harbaugh is on 10-1 Under the total surge vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG
* LA CHARGERS: Jim Harbaugh owns a solid 28-7 SU and 25-8 ATS NFL mark as a favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2011 

* LA RAMS: Sean McVay is 5-4 SU but 0-8 ATS when his team plays with extra rest since 2022
* LA RAMS: Sean McVay is just 7-13 SU and 4-14 ATS in the last 20 November games
* LA RAMS: Sean McVay is 17-7 SU and 19-5 ATS in December games since 2018
* LA RAMS: Sean McVay is on a nice 13-5 SU and 14-3 ATS run when playing on short rest since 2018

* MIAMI: Mike McDaniel is on 0-8 SU and ATS skid as a single-digit underdog
* MIAMI: Mike McDaniel is 12-5 SU and 13-4 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2022 

* MINNESOTA: Kevin O’Connell is on 2-5 SU and 0-7 ATS skid as a home favorite
* MINNESOTA: Kevin O’Connell is 11-4 Over the total vs. teams with a winning record since 2022 

* NEW ORLEANS: Dennis Allen is 12-2 Under the total vs. teams with a worse record since 2022
* NEW ORLEANS: Dennis Allen is on a 3-14 SU and 3-13 ATS skid as a home underdog
* NEW ORLEANS: Dennis Allen is on 10-9 SU and 12-6 ATS run vs. poor offenses scoring <19 PPG since 2012 

* NY GIANTS: Brian Daboll is on 15-5 Under the total surge as a single-digit underdog
* NY GIANTS: Brian Daboll boasts a decent 11-11 SU and 15-8 ATS record when coming off an outright loss since 2022 

* PHILADELPHIA: Nick Sirianni is 7-3 SU but 0-9 ATS vs. poor teams being outscored by 4.5 PPG or more since 2022
* PHILADELPHIA: Nick Sirianni is 11-1 Under the total in the last 12 games when coming off an outright loss
* PHILADELPHIA: Nick Sirianni boasts a 14-2 SU and 11-4 ATS record as a single-digit home favorite since 2021
* PHILADELPHIA: Nick Sirianni is 17-4 Over the total when coming off a home win since 2021 

* PITTSBURGH: Mike Tomlin is on a crazy 32-8 Under the total run as a road favorite
* PITTSBURGH: Mike Tomlin is 30-16 SU but 13-31 ATS vs. poor offensive teams scoring <19 PPG since 2011
* PITTSBURGH: Mike Tomlin is on 27-19 SU and 32-12 ATS run as a single-digit underdog
* PITTSBURGH: Mike Tomlin boasts a 23-5 SU and 22-6 ATS record when coming off a game allowing 30+ points since 2013 

* SAN FRANCISCO: Kyle Shanahan is on 3-4 SU and 0-7 ATS skid when coming off a home win
* SAN FRANCISCO: Kyle Shanahan is 24-12 Under the total as a single-digit underdog since 2017
* SAN FRANCISCO: Kyle Shanahan is 41-26 Over the total when his team is on normal rest (7 days) since 2017
* SAN FRANCISCO: Kyle Shanahan is 13-3 SU and ATS in its last 16 games vs. poor offensive teams scoring <19 PPG
* SAN FRANCISCO: Kyle Shanahan is on 13-1 Over the total surge as home favorites of -3 to -7 points 

* TAMPA BAY: Todd Bowles is on a 0-9 SU and 0-7 ATS skid as a home underdog of +3 to +7 points
* TAMPA BAY: Todd Bowles is just 4-11 SU and 2-12 ATS when his team plays with extra rest (>7 days) since 2017
* TAMPA BAY: Todd Bowles is on 12-2 Under the total run as a road favorite
* TAMPA BAY: Todd Bowles is 11-4 Over the total vs. teams with a better record since 2017 

* WASHINGTON: Dan Quinn is 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS when coming off a non-conference defeat since 2016
* WASHINGTON: Dan Quinn is on a 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS skid when coming off an upset loss
* WASHINGTON: Dan Quinn is 4-14 SU and 3-14 ATS vs. AFC since 2016
* WASHINGTON: Dan Quinn is 22-10 OVER the total in games after scoring 30+ points since 2015
* WASHINGTON: Dan Quinn is 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2019

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