The following NFL betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NFL games of Week 17. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s NFL board.

 

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NFL betting trends and systems for this week’s NFL games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.

* In Post Thanksgiving Day games where there is only one-win difference between the opponents, and oddsmakers have installed the team with the better record as a favorite of 3-points or more, that favored team is 75-18 SU and 60-31 ATS (65.9%) since 2017.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): DETROIT (-7.5 at MIN), TAMPA BAY (-5.5 at MIA) 

* BUFFALO boasts a 16-3 SU and ATS record as a short favorite of less than 3-points since 2017
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-1.5 vs PHI) 

* Thursday Night Football road teams coming off a home loss the prior Sunday have rebounded incredibly with a 23-24 SU and 30-16-1 ATS (65.2%) record in their last 47 tries.
System Match (PLAY): DENVER (-13.5 at KC) 

* NFL teams that have won their last five games outright or more have gone 52-14 SU and 40-24-2 ATS (62.5%) since 2003 as road favorites against divisional opponents.
System Match (PLAY): JACKSONVILLE (-6.5 at IND) 

* Washington: 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS in the last 13 home rematch games
Trend Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (+7 vs DAL) 

* Home teams are 13-2-1 SU and 13-3 ATS in 16 of the Steelers-Browns series
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (+3 vs PIT) 

* Since 2021, veteran QBs in their first season with new teams have struggled horribly against non-conference opponents, going 19-36 SU and 17-38 ATS (30.9%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): ARIZONA (+7 at CIN), LAS VEGAS (-1.5 vs NYG) 

#1 TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the MAKINEN BETTORS RATINGS: BAL-GB OVER 40.5 (projections have total at 44.5) 

These are some of the top situational NFL betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action: 

(401) DALLAS (6-8) at (402) WASHINGTON (4-11)
* DALLAS is 28-12 SU and 25-15 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2020
* DALLAS is 22-18 SU and 15-24 ATS when playing on short rest (<7 days) since 2010
* DALLAS is 24-18 ATS (57.1%) in road/neutral games since 2021
* DALLAS’ Dak Prescott is 33-6 SU and 30-9 ATS in divisional games since 2017
Trends Match: 3 PLAYS, 1 FADE of DALLAS (-7 at WAS)

* WASHINGTON is 23-40 ATS (36.5%) when coming off a SU loss since 2019
* WASHINGTON is 18-34 ATS (34.6%) vs. divisional opponents since 2017

* WASHINGTON’s Dan Quinn is 13-6 SU and 12-7 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2019
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of WASHINGTON (+7 vs DAL)

* WASHINGTON is 30-11 Over the total when playing on short rest (<7 days) since 2011
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DAL-WAS (o/u at 50.5) 

(403) DETROIT (8-7) at (404) MINNESOTA (7-8)
* DETROIT’s Jared Goff is 17-8 SU and 17-7-1 ATS in divisional games since 2021
* DETROIT’s Dan Campbell is on a 15-1 SU and 14-2 ATS streak coming off an outright loss
* MINNESOTA is 20-28 ATS (41.7%) at home since 2020
Trends Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-7.5 at MIN)

* MINNESOTA’s Kevin O’Connell is 18-10 Over the total vs. teams with a winning record since 2022
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DET-MIN (o/u at 43.5) 

(405) DENVER (12-3) at (406) KANSAS CITY (6-9)
* DENVER is 26-41 ATS (38.8%) as a favorite since 2017
Trend Match (FADE): DENVER (-13.5 at KC)

* KANSAS CITY is 11-21-1 ATS (34.4%) vs. divisional opponents since 2020
* KANSAS CITY is 18-9 ATS (66.7%) as an underdog since 2016
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of KANSAS CITY (+13.5 vs DEN)

* DENVER is 106-74 Under the total (58.9%) since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): DEN-KC (o/u at 36.5) 

(409) BALTIMORE (7-8) at (410) GREEN BAY (9-5)
* BALTIMORE is 13-16 SU but 21-8 ATS as an underdog since 2018
* BALTIMORE is 47-26 ATS (64.4%) in road/neutral games since 2017
Trends Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (+3 at GB)

* GREEN BAY’s Matt Lafleur is 25-16-1 SU but 16-26 ATS as a single-digit favorite since 2021
* GREEN BAY is 38-22 ATS (63.3%) at home since 2019
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of GREEN BAY (-3 vs BAL) 

(411) HOUSTON (10-5) at (412) LA CHARGERS (11-4)
* HOUSTON CJ Stroud is 17-11 Under the total in the last 28 games with his team coming off a win
* HOUSTON DeMeco Ryans is on 19-6 Under the total surge vs. teams with a winning record
* LA CHARGERS Jim Harbaugh is on 11-2 Under the total surge vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG
* LA CHARGERS are 69-36 Under the total when coming off an outright win since 2013
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): HOU-LAC (o/u at 39.5)

* LA CHARGERS are 41-52-1 ATS (44.1%) at home since 2014
Trend Match (FADE): LA CHARGERS (-2.5 vs HOU) 

(407) ARIZONA (3-12) at (408) CINCINNATI (5-10)
* ARIZONA is 41-20 SU and 37-24 ATS vs. poor teams with winning percentages <=33% since 2012
* ARIZONA is 35-24 ATS (59.3%) in road/neutral games since 2019
* ARIZONA is 35-25 ATS (58.3%) as an underdog since 2021
Trends Match (PLAY): ARIZONA (+7 at CIN)

* CINCINNATI is 74-61 SU and 82-53 ATS when playing on normal rest (7 days) since 2012
* CINCINNATI’s Zac Taylor boasts a 23-6 SU and 20-7 ATS record as a favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2022
Trends Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (-7 vs ARI) 

(413) SEATTLE (12-3) at (414) CAROLINA (8-7)
* SEATTLE is 20-5 Under the total as road favorite vs. non-divisional NFC foes since 2013
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): SEA-CAR (o/u at 42.5)

* CAROLINA is 24-34 ATS (41.4%) in non-divisional conference games since 2018
Trend Match (FADE): CAROLINA (+7 vs SEA) 

(415) NY GIANTS (2-13) at (416) LAS VEGAS (2-13)
* NY GIANTS are 61-37 Under the total (62.2%) since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NYG-LVR (o/u at 41.5)

* LAS VEGAS is 40-55 ATS (42.1%) when coming off a SU loss since 2015
* LAS VEGAS is 11-19 SU and 8-22 ATS vs. poor teams with point differentials of <=-4.5 PPG since 2018
* LAS VEGAS is 17-22 ATS (43.6%) as a favorite since 2019
Trends Match (FADE): LAS VEGAS (-1.5 vs NYG) 

(417) PITTSBURGH (9-6) at (418) CLEVELAND (3-12)
* PITTSBURGH is 32-19 SU but 15-34 ATS vs. poor offenses scoring <19 PPG since 2011
* PITTSBURGH’s Aaron Rodgers is 11-14 SU and 7-18 ATS as a single-digit road favorite since 2021
Trends Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH (-3 at CLE)

* CLEVELAND is 37-47 ATS (44%) at home since 2015
* CLEVELAND is 23-41 ATS (35.9%) vs. divisional opponents since 2015
Trends Match (FADE): CLEVELAND (+3 vs PIT)

* PITTSBURGH is 108-78 Under the total (58.1%) since 2015
* PITTSBURGH’s Aaron Rodgers is 23-9 Over the total as a single-digit road favorite since 2015
* PITTSBURGH is 37-13 Under the total vs. poor teams with point differentials <=-4.5 PPG since 2013
* PITTSBURGH is 31-10 Under the total as a road favorite since 2014
* CLEVELAND’s Kevin Stefanski is 24-16 Over the total vs. teams with a winning record since 2020
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS OVER, 3 PLAYS UNDER in PIT-CLE (o/u at 33.5)

(419) NEW ORLEANS (5-10) at (420) TENNESSEE (3-12)
* NEW ORLEANS is 40-26 ATS (60.6%) in road/neutral games since 2018
* NEW ORLEANS is 23-10 SU and 22-11 ATS when riding a three-game or more ATS winning streak since 2011
* TENNESSEE is on a 10-40 SU and 14-35-1 ATS skid in Sunday games
Trends Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (-2.5 at TEN)

* TENNESSEE is 11-2 Under the total when coming off an upset win since 2022
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NO-TEN (o/u at 39.5) 

(421) TAMPA BAY (7-8) at (422) MIAMI (6-9)
* TAMPA BAY is 31-40 ATS (43.7%) when coming off SU loss since 2016
* TAMPA BAY is 39-56 ATS (41.1%) as a favorite since 2014
Trends Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (-5.5 at MIA)

* MIAMI is on a 37-22 SU and 35-23 ATS surge vs. teams with a losing record since 2019
* MIAMI’s Mike McDaniel is on a 4-18 SU and 6-16 ATS skid as a single-digit underdog
* MIAMI is 63-35 ATS (64.3%) at home since 2014
* MIAMI is 31-20 ATS (60.8%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
Trends Match: 3 PLAYS, 1 FADE of MIAMI (+5.5 vs TB)

* TAMPA BAY’s Todd Bowles is on 16-4 Under the total run as road favorite
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): TB-MIA (o/u at 45.5) 

(423) JACKSONVILLE (11-4) at (424) INDIANAPOLIS (8-7)
* JACKSONVILLE is 24-30 ATS (44.4%) as a favorite since 2018
* JACKSONVILLE’s Trevor Lawrence is 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS with his team coming off an upset win since 2022
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of JACKSONVILLE (-6.5 at IND)

* INDIANAPOLIS is 17-21 SU but 26-12 ATS vs. elite teams with point differentials of >=+4.5 PPG since 2015
* INDIANAPOLIS is 32-15 SU and 33-12 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss since 2011
Trends Match (PLAY): INDIANAPOLIS (+6.5 vs JAX) 

(425) NEW ENGLAND (12-3) at (426) NY JETS (3-12)
* NY JETS are 20-38 ATS (34.5%) vs. divisional opponents since 2016
Trend Match (FADE): NY JETS (+13.5 vs NE) 

(427) PHILADELPHIA (10-5) at (428) BUFFALO (11-4)
* PHILADELPHIA’s Jalen Hurts is 23-13 Under the total in his last 36 road games
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): PHI-BUF (o/u at 43.5)

* BUFFALO’s Sean McDermott boasts a 16-3 SU and ATS record as a short favorite of less than 3-points since 2017
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-1.5 vs PHI) 

(429) CHICAGO (11-4) at (430) SAN FRANCISCO (11-4)
* CHICAGO is 35-44 ATS (44.3%) in non-divisional conference games since 2015
* CHICAGO is 33-49 ATS (40.2%) in road/neutral games since 2016
* CHICAGO is 33-46-1 ATS (41.8%) as an underdog since 2019
Trends Match (FADE): CHICAGO (+3 at SF)

* SAN FRANCISCO’s Brock Purdy is 4-6 SU and 2-8 ATS in the last 10 starts following up a game in which his team scored 30+ points
Trend Match (FADE): SAN FRANCISCO (-3 vs CHI)

* SAN FRANCISCO is on 16-2 OVER the total surge as a home favorite of -3 to -7 points
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CHI-SF (o/u at 52.5) 

(431) LA RAMS (11-4) at (432) ATLANTA (6-9)
* LA RAMS are on 24-8 SU and 25-7 ATS December run since 2018
* LA RAMS’ Sean McVay is 10-6 SU but 6-9 ATS when his team plays with extra rest since 2022
* LA RAMS are 28-15 ATS (65.1%) when coming off a SU loss since 2019
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 1 FADE of LA RAMS (-7.5 at ATL)

* ATLANTA’s Raheem Morris is on a 14-20 SU and 12-22 ATS slide in home games
Trend Match (FADE): ATLANTA (+7.5 vs LAR)

* LA RAMS are 58-48 Under the total (54.7%) since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): LAR-ATL (o/u at 49.5) 

NFL Late-Season Betting Systems

NFL PTD Betting System #1 – There have been a couple of sweet line range spots in which to bet late regular-season home favorites in post-Thanksgiving action recently. When they’ve been -1 to -2.5, they’ve gone 57-40 SU and 54-42 ATS (56.3%) since 2015. When they’ve been in the -3.5 to -7 line range, they’ve gone 145-87 SU and 112-79 ATS (58.6%), since New Year’s 2017.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): -1 to -2.5 line range – LA CHARGERS (-1.5 vs HOU), LAS VEGAS (-1.5 vs NYG), BUFFALO (-1.5 vs PHI)
-3.5 to -7 line range – CINCINNATI (-7 vs ARI) 

NFL PTD Betting System #2 – On late-season totals, there has been a PTD opportunity in games with the lowest numbers, as those games with posted totals of 40 or less have gone Over at an 81-68 (54.4%) rate since 2015.
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): DEN-KC (o/u at 36.5), HOU-LAC (o/u at 39.5), PIT-CLE (o/u at 33.5), NO-TEN (o/u at 39.5) 

NFL PTD Betting System #4 – There has been a sweet spot for betting late-season road favorites in the non-Sunday late-season games recently, and that is in the -3 to -9.5 line range, as these PTD chalk options are 38-7 SU and 29-15 ATS (65.9%) since 2017.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): DALLAS (-7 at WAS), DETROIT (-7.5 at MIN), LA RAMS (-7.5 at ATL)

NFL PTD Betting System #5 – NFL PTD teams coming off a game in which they lost by a TD or less as a 7-point or more favorite have bounced back well, going 27-11 SU and 23-15 ATS (60.5%) in the follow-up contest since 2015.
System Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-7.5 at MIN) 

NFL PTD Betting System #6 – Losing to a non-divisional conference foe at home can prove to be a negative momentum builder for NFL PTD teams, especially when hitting the road as an underdog the next week, as these teams have gone just 19-59 SU and 29-49 ATS (37.2%) in the follow-up game since 2015.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BALTIMORE (+3 at GB), ARIZONA (+7 at CIN), NY GIANTS (+1.5 at LVR) 

NFL PTD Betting System #7 – NFL PTD teams coming off close upset losses (<=10-point margin) on the road have gone 55-37 SU and 53-38 ATS (58.2%) in the follow-up game.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): KANSAS CITY (+13.5 vs DEN), TAMPA BAY (-5.5 at MIA) 

NFL PTD Betting System #9 – NFL PTD teams scoring less than 17 points in a road loss have been big Under teams in the follow-up game, particularly as home underdogs, as they are 64-48 Under the total (57.1%) in this situation dating back to 2015.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): KANSAS CITY (+13.5 vs DEN), NY JETS (+13.5 vs NE)

NFL PTD Betting System #10 – NFL PTD teams allowing 30 points or more in a road loss have been big Under teams in the follow-up game, going 138-99 Under the total (58.2%) in the next contest since ’16.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): LA RAMS (-7.5 at ATL)

NFL PTD Betting System #11 – There is a dangerous late-season spot for red-hot home teams (on winning streaks of 3-games or more) in NFL PTD games, and that is when they are not favored by a lot (<7 points) or underdog against a divisional rival. These teams have gone just 23-22 SU and 16-27 ATS (37.2%) dating back to 2015.
System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (+7.5 vs DET)

NFL PTD Betting System #12 – Another winning streak killer comes in PTD games when teams on winning streaks of 4-games or more hit the road and aren’t favored by a big amount (>7 points) or are underdogs. These teams have gone 37-45 SU and 31-50 ATS (38.3%) dating back to 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): HOUSTON (+1.5 at LAC), JACKSONVILLE (-6.5 at IND), SEATTLE (-7 at CAR) 

NFL PTD Betting System #13 – In NFL PTD games since 2010, teams on losing streaks of at least three games outright but boasting good defensive stats (allowing <21.5 PPG) are 25-38 SU but 40-23 ATS (63.5%).
System Match (PLAY): KANSAS CITY (+13.5 vs DEN) 

NFL PTD Betting System #14 – In NFL PTD games since 2010, teams on winning streaks of at least three games but not good offensively (scoring <22 PPG) have been terrible wagers, going 25-34 SU and 20-39 ATS (33.9%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): MINNESOTA (+7.5 vs DET), NEW ORLEANS (-2.5 at TEN) 

NFL PTD Betting System #15 – Concerning late-season won-lost records, in PTD games where there is only one-win difference between the opponents, and oddsmakers have installed the team with the better record as a favorite of 3 points or more, that favored team is 75-18 SU and 60-31 ATS (65.9%) since 2017.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): DETROIT (-7.5 at MIN), TAMPA BAY (-5.5 at MIA) 

NFL PTD Betting System #17 – Not surprisingly, some of the worst teams to back late in the season are those that can’t score well and are on the road, as teams averaging less than 19 PPG offensively and playing on the road in PTD games have struggled to a 52-150 SU and 79-120 ATS (39.7%) record since 2015.
System Match (FADE): NEW ORLEANS (-2.5 at TEN)

NFL Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NFL games and detail the results of the follow-up game for these teams. 

BIG TIME OFFENSIVE PERFORMANCES
Teams that scored 45 or more points in their prior game have gone 24-15 SU but 12-27 ATS (30.8%) when favored at home by 3 or more points since 2012.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CINCINNATI (-7 vs ARI), SAN FRANCISCO (-3 vs CHI) 

The following NFL betting trends and systems come from a log of all the Thursday night (TNF), Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night (MNF) games since the start of the 2019 season. Only Thursday NIGHT games were included in the TNF study, not the day games played on Thanksgiving. The Sunday night games only included those games played on Sunday night, not all of the games covered by the NBC SNF crew, which also included some Wednesday and Saturday contests. The games analyzed were only regular-season games.

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

There has been some interesting data regarding the first and second half of the season in terms of Thursday night games. In the first half of the season, or Weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 30-24 SU but 19-33-2 ATS (36.5%) in the last 54. Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in Weeks 9 and later are 49-30 SU and 45-31-3 ATS (59.2%). There seems to be a fundamental edge to playing at home with less rest late in the season.
System Match (PLAY): KANSAS CITY (+13.5 vs DEN)

Home underdogs on TNF have really struggled of late, going 9-23 SU and 13-19 ATS (40.6%) in their last 32, scoring just 16.4 PPG. In terms of totals, 20 of the L30 (66.7%) TNF games featuring a home dog went Under.
System Match (PLAY): KANSAS CITY (+13.5 vs DEN)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): DEN-KC (o/u at 36.5)

There has been a wild trend that has developed over the last 4+ seasons regarding TNF road teams coming off a home loss the prior Sunday, as they have rebounded incredibly with a 23-24 SU and 30-16-1 ATS (65.2%) record.
System Match (PLAY): DENVER (-13.5 at KC)

Unfortunately, home cooking has not solved the ills for Thursday home teams coming off a loss in their most recent game, as they have been a brutal bet over the last five seasons, going 31-35 SU and 27-38-1 ATS (41.5%).
System Match (FADE): KANSAS CITY (+13.5 vs DEN) 

Good TNF Team Trend
Kansas City 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in the last seven
Trend Match (PLAY): KANSAS CITY (+13.5 vs DEN)

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Home favorites of less than a TD on SNF have historically been solid, going 61-43-2 ATS (58.7%) in their last 106.
System Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-3 vs CHI)

Momentum has been big for hosts overall, as home teams on SNF coming off a loss in their last games are just 16-27-1 SU and 18-25-1 ATS (41.9%) in their last 44, but those coming off a win are on a current 31-11 SU and 25-17 ATS (59.5%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-3 vs CHI) 

Bad SNF Team Trend
Chicago 0-8 and 1-7 ATS in the last eight, seven losses by double-digits
Trend Match (FADE): CHICAGO (+3 at SF) 

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

NFL home underdogs on Monday Night are on a run of 17-21 SU but 20-17-1 ATS (54.1%) dating back to September 2021. The last 36 of these games have seen Under the total go 24-10-2 (70.6%) as well, games producing just 41 PPG.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): ATLANTA (+7.5 vs LAR)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): LAR-ATL (o/u at 49.5)

Laying 7 points or more has long not been a good strategy on MNF, as favorites of 7 points or more are 51-15 SU but just 26-38-2 ATS (40.6%) since 2012.
System Match (FADE): LA RAMS (-7.5 at ATL)

In non-divisional conference matchups on MNF, hosts are on a 25-23 SU and 29-19 ATS (60.4%) surge since 2019.
System Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (+7.5 vs LAR)

Won/lost records have mattered on MNF, as teams with the better record are 51-42 SU but just 38-53-2 ATS (41.8%) in the last 93 MNF games not matching teams with identical records.
System Match (FADE): LA RAMS (-7.5 at ATL) 

If you’ve picked up from each of the team trends sections that certain teams are consistently doing well or poorly, or are going Over or Under regularly, you’re right. Here are some overall primetime game trends that you’re going to want to consider:

Bad PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Chicago 5-14 SU and 7-12 ATS in the last 19
Trend Match (FADE): CHICAGO (+3 at SF)

Denver 12-21 SU and 11-20-2 ATS in the last 33
Trend Match (FADE): DENVER (-13.5 at KC) 

Under the total PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Atlanta 17-3 to the Under in the last 20
LA Rams 17-8 Under surge
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): LAR-ATL (o/u at 49.5)

Denver 19-7 Under since 2017
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): DEN-KC (o/u at 36.5) 

NFL Streaks Provide Some Advantages for Bettors

The following betting systems focus on winning and losing streaks. Below are the ones that have qualifying plays for this week’s action. 

NFL Streaks Betting System #1: NFL teams that have lost their last three games ATS, all when favored, are on a 50-23 SU and 40-31-2 ATS (56.3%) run when favored in the next game as well.
System Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY (-5.5 at MIA) 

NFL Streaks Betting System #8: NFL teams that have lost their last five games ATS but were playing against a team with whom they have at least an equal won-lost record have gone 23-19 SU and ATS (54.8%) in their last 42 tries.
System Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY (-5.5 at MIA) 

NFL Streaks Betting System #10: NFL teams that have lost their last four games ATS are 26-28 SU but 33-19-2 ATS (63.5%) in their last 54 games versus non-conference foes.
System Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY (-5.5 at MIA)

NFL Streaks Betting System #11: NFL teams that have won their last five games outright or more have gone 52-14 SU and 40-24-2 ATS (62.5%) since 2003 as road favorites against divisional opponents.
System Match (PLAY): JACKSONVILLE (-6.5 at IND) 

NFL Streaks Betting System #12: NFL teams that have lost at least their last three games outright have gone 66-42 SU BUT 43-61-4 ATS (41.3%) when favored by 3 points or more since 2013.
System Matches (FADE ALL): DALLAS (-7 at WAS), TAMPA BAY (-5.5 at MIA)

Handicapping NFL Rematch Games

The following trends and betting systems come from same season rematch data over the last 14 seasons 

Best NFL rematch teams lately
Dallas: 21-6 SU and 20-7 ATS since ‘17
Trend Match (PLAY): DALLAS (-7 at WAS)

Detroit: 16-4-1 ATS run in rematches
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-7.5 at MIN) 

Worst NFL rematch teams lately
Cleveland: lengthy 10-30-1 ATS rematch skid in the last 41
Trend Match (FADE): CLEVELAND (+3 vs PIT)

Denver: 8-17 SU and 10-15 ATS L25 tries
Trend Match (FADE): DENVER (-13.5 at KC)

Minnesota current 7-15 SU and 6-16 ATS slide
Trend Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (+7.5 vs DET)

NY Jets: 6-23 SU and 9-19-1 ATS skid
Trend Match (FADE): NY JETS (+13.5 vs NE)

Worst NFL home rematch teams lately
Cleveland: Lost 12 of the last 15 home rematch games ATS! (6-9 SU)
Trend Match (FADE): CLEVELAND (+3 vs PIT)

Washington: 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS in the last 13 at home
Trend Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (+7 vs DAL) 

Worst NFL road rematch teams lately
Denver: Lost 13 of last 14 road rematches outright (3-11 ATS)
Trend Match (FADE): DENVER (-13.5 at KC)

Jacksonville: ugly 3-20 SU and 10-13 ATS road rematch skid
Trend Match (FADE): JACKSONVILLE (-6.5 at IND)

New England: surprising 5-14 SU and 4-15 ATS record in the last 19 road’s
Trend Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND (-13.5 at NYJ) 

Best NFL revenge teams lately
Detroit: current 9-2 ATS run in revenge opportunities
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-7.5 at MIN) 

Worst NFL revenge teams lately
Cleveland: 5-12 SU and 5-11-1 ATS in the last 17 revenge games
Trend Match (FADE): CLEVELAND (+3 vs PIT)

 Indianapolis: 3-10 ATS skid in revenge mode
Trend Match (FADE): INDIANAPOLIS (+6.5 vs JAX) 

Best NFL teams in rematches after winning last game lately
Dallas: on 13-4 SU and ATS run following up a series win
Trend Match (PLAY): DALLAS (-7 at WAS) 

Worst NFL teams in rematches after winning last game lately
 Denver: 6-9 SU and 4-11 ATS in the last 15 facing against team it beat last
Trend Match (FADE): DENVER (-13.5 at KC)

High-scoring rematch team
Minnesota: Over in 13 of the last 19 rematch games
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DET-MIN (o/u at 43.5) 

Low-scoring rematch team
 Indianapolis: 13-7 Under run in home rematch games
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): JAX-IND (o/u at 48.5) 

Noteworthy NFL head-to-head second-time (and 3rd) around trends
Dallas: 8-2-1 Overs vs. WAS
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DAL-WAS (o/u at 50.5)

Jacksonville: 9-1 ATS in the last 10 rematch games vs. Indianapolis
Trend Match (PLAY): JACKSONVILLE (-6.5 at IND)

New England: 8-1 SU and ATS second-time around run vs. NYJ, allowing a mere 9.0 PPG
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (-13.5 at NYJ)

Rematch Betting Systems
 Teams that won by 21 or more points in the opening game between teams are 89-28 SU and 72-45 ATS (61.5%) in the rematch
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS (-7 at WAS)

In rematch games where point spreads have changed 17-points or more from the prior contest, the team that the line moved favorably towards is on a 38-1 SU and 28-11 ATS (71.8%) run
System Match (PLAY): DENVER (*if they are favored by 13.5 or more at KC)

Teams playing on the road in revenge mode and averaging 28.0 PPG or more offensively have gone 21-8 SU and 21-9 ATS (70%) in their last 30 revenge tries
System Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-7.5 at MIN)

NFL Rookie/Retread Coaching Systems

This material is from the VSiN piece entitled Analyzing the New NFL Head Coaches for 2025 detailing systems that apply to rookie coaches Ben Johnson (Chicago), Brian Schottenheimer (Dallas), Liam Coen (Jacksonville), Kellen Moore (New Orleans), and Aaron Glenn (NY Jets) as well as re-tread coaches Pete Carroll (Las Vegas) and Mike Vrabel (New England). 

Rookie Coach Systems

(Games this week: DAL(-7)-WAS, JAX(-6.5)-IND, NO(-2.5)-TEN, NE-NYJ(+13.5), CHI(+3)-SF)

Rookie head coaches have won as big favorites, but covering point spreads has been a different story. In fact, as favorites of 6 points or more since 2015, rookie head coaches are 55-12 SU, good for 82.1% outright, but have gone just 28-37-2 ATS, a covering rate of just 43.1%.
System Matches (FADE ALL): DALLAS, JACKSONVILLE

In a trend that seems to make sense as far as familiarity is concerned, the more familiar the opponent, the less successful rookie head coaches have been. Since 2015: Divisional games 122-136-4 ATS (47.3%).
System Match (FADE): DALLAS, JACKSONVILLE, NY JETS

After wins, rookie coaches have done measurably worse in that same time frame, 61-80-7 ATS (43.3%) in their last 148.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CHICAGO, NEW ORLEANS, JACKSONVILLE

Rookie head coaches have also struggled in the revenge spot. When taking on a team they lost to earlier that season, they are just 32-45 SU and 35-42 ATS (45.5%) in the follow-up contest since 2015.
System Match (FADE): NY JETS

Retread Coach Systems

(Games this week: NYG-LVR(-1.5), NE(-13.5)-NYJ)

Retread head coaches have been brutal bets as favorites since 2015: 99-69 SU but just 65-93-11 ATS, for 41.1%!
System Matches (FADE ALL): LAS VEGAS, NEW ENGLAND

In non-conference games, they have really struggled, going 46-63 ATS (42.2%) over the last decade, including 19-33 ATS (36.5%) over the last 3+ seasons.
System Match (FADE): LAS VEGAS

When coming off a loss, the record has been an ugly 143-180 ATS (44.3%) since 2015.
System Match (FADE): LAS VEGAS

When having beat a team the first time around, these coaches have gone just 12-22-1 ATS (35.3%) in the rematch games since 2014.
System Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND

NFL Rookie Quarterback Systems

These systems take into account rookie quarterback records in their first seasons. They include game logs of any rookie who started seven or more games in that first season. The starters this week include Cam Ward (Tennessee), Shedeur Sanders (Cleveland), Quinn Ewers (Miami), Max Brosmer (Minnesota), Tyler Shough (NO Saints), Brady Cook (NY Jets), and Jaxson Dart (NY Giants). 

(Games this week: DET-MIN(+7.5), PIT-CLE(+3), NO(-2.5)-TEN(+2.5), TB-MIA(+5.5), NE-NYJ(+13.5), NYG(+1.5)-LVR)

NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #5 – Rookie quarterbacks have struggled on the road, particularly late in the season
The results of rookie quarterbacks on the road lately are startling. Since the start of the 2013 season, rookie starters have combined for a record of 149-137 ATS (52.1%) in home games but just 132-158 ATS (45.5%) in road/neutral games. In later season road games, week 10-EOY, they are just 45-116 SU and 68-91-2 ATS (42.8%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): NEW ORLEANS, NY GIANTS 

NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #6 – Don’t fall for the big underdog point spreads with rookie quarterbacks
Since 2015, rookie starting quarterbacks facing underdog lines of 6.5-points or more have won just 25 games, going 25-140 SU and 66-95-4 ATS (41%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): MINNESOTA, NY JETS 

NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #9 – Rookie quarterbacks are not good bets as small road dogs
Over the last 12 seasons, rookie starting quarterbacks have proven not worthy of backing as small road underdogs, going 23-55 SU and 33-43-2 ATS (43.4%) when catching +4.5 points or fewer.
System Match (PLAY): NY GIANTS 

NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #10 – By type of opponent, divisional matchups have been toughest for rookie starting quarterbacks
Since 2015, rookie QBs are just 54-117 SU and 72-94-4 ATS (43.4%) versus divisional opponents.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MINNESOTA, CLEVELAND, NY JETS

Since 2022, rookie QBs are 22-26 SU but 26-19-3 ATS (57.8%) versus non-conference foes.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NEW ORLEANS, TENNESSEE, MIAMI, NY GIANTS 

NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #11 – Losses have tended to snowball for rookie QBs
In their last 207 starts with their teams coming off outright losses, rookie QBs have gone just 64-143 SU and 93-111-2 ATS (45.6%). This trend dates back to 2018.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CLEVELAND, MIAMI, NY JETS, NY GIANTS 

NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #12 – Non-Sunday games have been a respite for rookie QBs
Rookie quarterbacks have fared reasonably well under the spotlight of non-Sunday games lately, going 22-24 SU but 29-15-2 ATS (65.9%) in their last 46 such tries.
System Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA 

NFL Veteran Quarterback Leading New Team Systems

These systems take into account veteran quarterback records in their first season with a new team. They include game logs of 32 different veteran QBs since 2004 who have played at least eight years in the NFL and started extensively on a previous team. This week, there are three different QBs finding themselves in a new place: Aaron Rodgers (Pittsburgh), Jacoby Brissett (Arizona), and Geno Smith (Las Vegas). 

(Games this week: PIT(-3)-CLE, ARI(+7)-CIN, NYG-LVR(-1.5)) 

NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #5 – Veteran quarterbacks thrive with their new teams at home
The results since 2005 of veteran quarterbacks playing with their new teams at home are quite impressive, as they have gone 132-98 SU and 119-100-11 ATS (54.3%).
System Match (PLAY): LAS VEGAS 

NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #7 – Non-conference matchups have been an absolute struggle for veteran starting quarterbacks in their first season with new teams over the last four years
Since 2021, veteran QBs in their first season with new teams have struggled horribly against non-conference opponents, going 19-36 SU and 17-38 ATS (30.9%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): ARIZONA, LAS VEGAS 

NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #8 –Veteran QBs have shown an inability to string win streaks together recently
In their last 69 starts with their new teams coming off outright victories, new incoming veteran QBs have gone just 32-37 SU and 26-42-1 ATS (38.2%). This trend dates back to 2021.
System Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH 

NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #10 – Veteran quarterbacks have been atrocious in the road favorite role with new teams
Since the start of the 2004 season, veteran starting quarterbacks playing their first seasons with new teams have performed terribly in the road favorite role, 47-36 SU but 30-52-1 ATS (36.6%).
System Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH

Strategies Using NFL DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. 

In an article published in the 2025 NFL Betting Guide, Steve Makinen outlined 12 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of Wednesday at 9:30 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage.

Here is a quick tabulation on how DK bettors performed in the 2024 season: 

– Majority handle on point spreads: 141-131 ATS (51.8%)
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 140-130 ATS (51.9%)
– Majority handle on totals: 143-133 (51.8%)
– Majority number of bets on totals: 147-131 (52.9%) 

These are very good wrap up numbers by the standards that have been established in most of the similar reports I have done for other sports. Considering NFL betting is king, it’s nice to see recreational bettors like those at DraftKings holding their own. With that in mind, here are the systems with updated language and records heading into the 2025 season. 

NFL DK Betting Splits system #1: Over the past two seasons, when more than 68% of the handle has been on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group is just 71-81 ATS (46.7%). The number for this “super-majority” in college football was closer to 75%. In other words, if you see over 2/3 of the handle backing one side in an NFL game this season, it’s consistently profitable to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): DALLAS, DETROIT, DENVER, HOUSTON, GREEN BAY, CINCINNATI, CAROLINA, NEW ORLEANS, TAMPA BAY, JACKSONVILLE, NEW ENGLAND, LAS VEGAS, BUFFALO, SAN FRANCISCO, LA RAMS 

NFL DK Betting Splits system #2: In NFL divisional games of 2022-24, DK majority handle bettors have been awful, as this majority group is just 117-148 ATS (44.2%). With the obvious generality that public bettors love favorites, it’s clear that they don’t value the stakes of these rivalry games and what they mean for the competitors.
System Matches (FADE ALL): DALLAS, DETROIT, DENVER, PITTSBURGH, JACKSONVILLE, NEW ENGLAND

NFL DK Betting Splits system #3: Similarly to #2 above, in that same time span, when the majority number of bets staked its side in an NFL divisional game, this majority group is just 118-150 ATS (44%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): DALLAS, DETROIT, DENVER, PITTSBURGH, JACKSONVILLE, NEW ENGLAND 

NFL DK Betting Splits system #4: In NFL non-conference games of 2023 and 2024, DK majority number of bets groups were actually quite sharp, going 79-64 ATS (55.2%). This is obviously quite the opposite performance level of #3 above, and unfortunately for bettors, there are two fewer non-conference tilts than divisional contests for each team on the schedule every year. Of course, if strategically playing both spots according to these systems, every game in either situation is an opportunity.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): GREEN BAY, CINCINNATI, NEW ORLEANS, BUFFALO

NFL DK Betting Splits system #5: Since the start of the 2023 season, when the majority number of bets have backed road favoritesfor an ATS wager, these majority groups are actually 100-87 ATS (53.5%). I will tell you that there are only 15 games or fewer each year when this group will actually back the home dog. Watch this one closely, as backing road favorites in the NFL consistently has never been a consistent winning strategy.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): DALLAS, DETROIT, DENVER, PITTSBURGH, NEW ORLEANS, TAMPA BAY, JACKSONVILLE, NEW ENGLAND, LA RAMS 

NFL DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority handle was on road underdogs for an ATS wager over the last two years, these majority groups have surprisingly struggled, 27-36 ATS (42.9%). This goes against the logic I have discovered in other sports, which says that when the public goes “against the grain,” they can do well. Quite the opposite here. As you can see though, it is rare, just 63 games in two full seasons.
System Match (FADE): HOUSTON 

NFL DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority handle and number of bets have backed a team in an ATS wager in the higher-profile, non-Sunday afternoon games over the last two seasons, these majority groups are just 100-114 ATS (46.7%) and 101-111 ATS (47.6%) respectively. This set of games includes all the Thursday, Saturday, Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night contests. These numbers were improved along with the overall majority figures last year, but I wouldn’t expect that to continue.
System Matches (FADE ALL): DALLAS, DETROIT, DENVER, HOUSTON, GREEN BAY, SAN FRANCISCO, LA RAMS 

NFL DK Betting Splits system #8: In another rare winning record, when the majority number of bets has backed the team with fewer season wins in a 2023 or 2024 NFL game for an ATS wager, this majority group was 46-38 ATS (54.8%). This has proven to be a situation in which going against the grain pays off.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): HOUSTON, CAROLINA

DK Betting Splits system #9: The average NFL total in 2023 was 43.0. Last year, it ballooned back up to 44.6. In games where the totals reached 46.5 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, majority number of bettors have gauged these games incredibly well the last two years, going 96-72 ATS (60.8%)! We’ll see how that trend holds in 2025.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – DAL-WAS, ARI-CIN, JAX-IND, CHI-SF, LAR-ATL 

DK Betting Splits system #11: The magic mark for super majority on handle for betting Overs was 74% or higher, and this group performed miserably in 2023 and 2024 with a record of 46-69 (42.6%). To me, this has been a long-standing belief, but when the Over looks too obvious, it usually loses. On number of bets, this same super majority percentage produced a slightly improved 30-37 (44.8%) record, still poor though.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL INSTEAD): DET-MIN, DEN-KC, HOU-LAC, BAL-GB, PIT-CLE, JAX-IND, CHI-SF, LAR-ATL 

DK Betting Splits system #12: Call this one the Over trap, but when a super-majority (>=64%) of handle has been on the Over, but DraftKings moved the opening total lower throughout the week, this majority group has lost big, going just 70-92 (43.2%) over the past three seasons. Almost as if they were trying to bait more people into taking the Over. This is a classic example of where those behind the counter are smarter than those trying to cash the tickets.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL INSTEAD): DET-MIN, DEN-KC, BAL-GB, PIT-CLE, PHI-BUF 

This Week’s NFL Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. KANSAS CITY +13.5 (+4.9)
2. TENNESSEE +2.5 (+3.3)
3. MIAMI +5.5 (+2.9)
4. NY GIANTS +1.5 (+2.1)
5. MINNESOTA +7.5 (+1.9) 

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SAN FRANCISCO -3 (+2.5)
2. BUFFALO -1.5 (+1.6)
3. PITTSBURGH -3 (+1.3)
4. SEATTLE -7 (+1.1)
5. CINCINNATI -7 (+0.8) 

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. KANSAS CITY +13.5 (+4.5)
2. ATLANTA +7.5 (+2.8)
3. ARIZONA +7 (+2.0)
4. CAROLINA +7 (+1.6)
5. INDIANAPOLIS +6.5 (+1.5) 

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SAN FRANCISCO -3 (+2.6)
2. PITTSBURGH -3 (+1.5)
3. NEW ENGLAND -13.5 (+1.2)
4. TAMPA BAY -5.5 (+1.0)
5. LA CHARGERS -1.5 (+0.1) 

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. PIT-CLE OVER 33.5 (+8.6)
2. BAL-GB OVER 40.5 (+4.4)
3. HOU-LAC OVER 39.5 (+3.2)
4. DET-MIN OVER 43.5 (+1.7)
5. SEA-CAR OVER 42.5 (+1.4) 

This week’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. JAX-IND UNDER 48.5 (-2.8)
2. CHI-SF UNDER 52.5 (-1.3)
3. TB-MIA UNDER 45.5 (-0.7)
4. DEN-KC UNDER 36.5 (-0.4) 

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. KANSAS CITY +13.5 (+6.5)
2. NY GIANTS +1.5 (+3.2)
3. TENNESSEE +2.5 (+2.7)
4. MIAMI +5.5 (+1.8)
5. NY JETS +13.5 (+1.7) 

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SAN FRANCISCO -3 (+3.2)
2. BUFFALO -1.5 (+1.6)
3. DETROIT -7.5 (+1.5)
4. SEATTLE -7 (+0.8)
5. PITTSBURGH -3 (+0.7) 

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BAL-GB OVER 40.5 (+4.0)
2. PHI-BUF OVER 44.5 (+2.8)
3. HOU-LAC OVER 39.5 (+2.6)
4. PIT-CLE OVER 33.5 (+2.4)
5. NO-TEN OVER 39.5 (+2.1) 

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. JAX-IND UNDER 48.5 (-7.2)
2. TB-MIA UNDER 45.5 (-1.2)
3. DAL-WAS UNDER 50.5 (-0.8)
4. CHI-SF UNDER 52.5 (-0.6)
5. NE-NYJ UNDER 42.5 (-0.2)

These are the top head-to-head series NFL betting trends between teams from recent years’ action:

(401) DALLAS at (402) WASHINGTON
* DALLAS is 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS versus Washington since the start of the 2021 season
Trend Match (PLAY): DALLAS (-7 at WAS) 

(403) DETROIT at (404) MINNESOTA
* DETROIT is 9-1 ATS in the 10 meetings with Minnesota
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-7.5 at MIN)

* Over the total is 9-2 in the last 11 of the series as well
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DET-MIN (o/u at 43.5)

(405) DENVER at (406) KANSAS CITY
* DENVER is 7-1 ATS in the last eight games with Kansas City
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-7.5 at MIN)

* Under the total is 6-1 in the last seven of the series at Arrowhead Stadium as well
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): DEN-KC (o/u at 36.5) 

(409) BALTIMORE at (410) GREEN BAY
* Home teams are 6-1 ATS in the BAL-GB set since 1998
Trend Match (PLAY): GREEN BAY (-3 vs BAL) 

(411) HOUSTON at (412) LA CHARGERS
* Over the total has converted in three straight matchups between HOU and LAC
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): HOU-LAC (o/u at 39.5) 

(407) ARIZONA at (408) CINCINNATI
* Road teams are 4-1 ATS in the last five of the ARI-CIN series
Trend Match (PLAY): ARIZONA (+7 at CIN) 

(413) SEATTLE at (414) CAROLINA
* Over the total has converted in all eight games with SEA and CAR since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): SEA-CAR (o/u at 42.5) 

(415) NY GIANTS at (416) LAS VEGAS
* Under the total is 7-3 in the last 10 of the NYG-LVR non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NYG-LVR (o/u at 41.5) 

(417) PITTSBURGH at (418) CLEVELAND
* Home teams are 13-2-1 SU and 13-3 ATS in the last 16 of the Steelers-Browns series
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (+3 vs PIT) 

(419) NEW ORLEANS at (420) TENNESSEE
* Road teams are 6-0 ATS in the last six of the NO-TEN series
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (-2.5 at TEN)

(421) TAMPA BAY at (422) MIAMI
* TAMPA BAY is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in the series with in-state foe Miami since 1997
Trend Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY (-5.5 at MIA)

(423) JACKSONVILLE at (424) INDIANAPOLIS
* OVER the total is 6-0 in the last six meetings between JAX and IND
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): JAX-IND (o/u at 48.5)

* Underdogs are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 of the series as well
Trend Match (PLAY): INDIANAPOLIS (+6.5 vs JAX) 

(425) NEW ENGLAND at (426) NY JETS
* Under the total is 8-1 in the last nine of the Patriots-Jets series at MetLife Stadium
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NE-NYJ (o/u at 42.5) 

(427) PHILADELPHIA at (428) BUFFALO
* PHILADELPHIA is 3-0 SU and ATS in the series with Buffalo since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (+1.5 at BUF) 

(429) CHICAGO at (430) SAN FRANCISCO
* Favorites are 7-1 SU and ATS in the last eight of the Bears-49ers series in San Francisco
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-3 vs CHI) 

(431) LA RAMS at (432) ATLANTA
* Over the total is on an extended 17-6 run in the LAR-ATL set
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): LAR-ATL (o/u at 49.5)

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