Week 8 NFL Betting Trends:
The following NFL betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NFL games of Week 8. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s NFL board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top NFL betting trends and systems for this week’s NFL games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
* PITTSBURGH’s Aaron Rodgers is 20-5 SU amd ATS with his team coming off a divisional loss since 2010
Trend Match (PLAY): PITTSBURGH (+3 vs GB)
* In Monday Night Football games pitting non-conference opponents (AFC vs. NFC), home teams are 29-30 SU but 18-39-2 ATS (31.6%) in the last 59.
System Match (FADE): KANSAS CITY (-12.5 vs WAS)
* Dating back to 2006, veteran starting quarterbacks in their first seasons with new teams have gone 36-33 SU and 46-23 ATS (66.7%) when playing as road underdogs of +5.5 points or fewer.
System Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (+3 at LAC)
Rematch System #2: Teams that won by 21 or more points in the opening game between teams are 85-28 SU and 70-43 ATS (61.9%) in the rematch
System Match (PLAY): INDIANAPOLIS (-14 vs TEN)
NFL Streaks Betting System #2: NFL teams that have won their last three games outright, with the first being in upset fashion, then being favored in the latter games, are 90-22 SU and 70-42 ATS (62.5%) in the follow-up game when favored by 3 points or more.
System Match (PLAY ALL): NEW ENGLAND (-7 vs CLE), DENVER (-3.5 vs DAL)
Pre-bye week system #1: Play on any team heading into their bye week when facing a divisional opponent, assuming the opponent is not in the same situation. (Record: 54-25-1 ATS since ‘13, 68.4%, +26.5 units, 33.5% ROI, Grade 70)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PHILADELPHIA (-7.5 vs NYG), TAMPA BAY (-4.5 at NO)
* Under the total is 12-4 in the NYG-PHI NFC East rivalry at Lincoln Financial Field since 2010
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NYG-PHI (o/u at 43.5)
#1 Underpriced underdog according to the Makinen Effective Strength Ratings: NY JETS +6.5 at Cincinnati (projections have line at CIN -0.6)
Team/Coach/QB Specific Situational NFL Betting Trends
These are some of the top situational NFL betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:
(109) MINNESOTA (3-3) at (110) LA CHARGERS (4-3)
* MINNESOTA is 32-18 SU and 33-15 ATS versus AFC opponents since 2014
* MINNESOTA is 33-25 ATS (56.9%) when coming off a SU loss since 2014
Trends Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (+3 at LAC)
* LA CHARGERS Jim Harbaugh owns a solid 33-11 SU and 29-13 ATS NFL mark as a favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2011
* LA CHARGERS’ Justin Herbert is 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS with his team coming off a double-digit loss since 2021
* LA CHARGERS are 37-52-1 ATS (41.6%) at home since 2014
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 1 FADE of LA CHARGERS (-3 vs MIN)
* MINNESOTA is 62-47 Over the total (56.9%) since 2019
* MINNESOTA’s Kevin O’Connell is 16-7 Over the total vs. teams with a winning record since 2022
* LA CHARGERS’ Justin Herbert is 11-5 Over the total in the last 16 games when his team is coming off a non-divisional AFC loss
Trends Match (PLAY OVER): MIN-LAC (o/u at 44.5)
(261) NY JETS (0-7) at (262) CINCINNATI (3-4)
* NY JETS own ugly 11-48 SU and 19-38 ATS record as road underdogs since 2016
* NY JETS are on an 8-24 SU and 8-23 ATS skid when coming off an upset loss since 2011
* NY JETS are 23-46 ATS (33.3%) in road/neutral games since 2017
* CINCINNATI’s Zac Taylor boasts a 22-5 SU and 19-6 ATS record as a favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2022
* CINCINNATI is 49-28 ATS (63.6%) in non-divisional conference games since 2015
Trends Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (-6.5 vs NYJ)
(263) SAN FRANCISCO (5-2) at (264) HOUSTON (2-4)
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Kyle Shanahan is 26-16 Under the total as a single-digit underdog since 2017
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Kyle Shanahan is 45-30 Over the total when his team is on normal rest (7 days) since 2017
* HOUSTON’s DeMeco Ryans is on a 10-1 Under the total streak as a home favorite
* HOUSTON’s CJ Stroud is on 14-5 Under the total surge vs. teams with winning records
Trends Match: 3 PLAYS, 1 UNDER in SF-HOU (o/u at 41.5)
* SAN FRANCISCO is 19-29 ATS (39.6%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Kyle Shanahan is on 4-6 SU and 0-10 ATS skid when coming off a home win
Trends Match (FADE): SAN FRANCISCO (+1.5 at HOU)
(265) CHICAGO (4-2) at (266) BALTIMORE (1-5)
* CHICAGO is 22-12 SU and 22-11 ATS vs. poor defenses allowing >=27 PPG since 2015
* CHICAGO is 30-47 ATS (39%) in road/neutral games since 2016
* CHICAGO is 31-44-1 ATS (41.3%) as an underdog since 2019
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of CHICAGO (+6.5 at BAL)
* BALTIMORE is 14-13 SU and 19-7 ATS vs. elite teams with winning percentages >=66.7% since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (-6.5 vs CHI)
(267) MIAMI (1-6) at (268) ATLANTA (3-3)
* MIAMI is 29-19 ATS (60.4%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
* MIAMI’s Mike McDaniel is on 2-15 SU and 4-13 ATS skid as a single-digit underdog
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of MIAMI (+7.5 at ATL)
* ATLANTA is 22-37 ATS (37.2%) at home since 2018
* ATLANTA is 37-61 ATS (37.8%) as a favorite since 2014
* ATLANTA is 16-34 ATS (32%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
* ATLANTA is on 12-20 SU and 8-24 ATS skid on normal rest (7 days)
Trends Match (FADE): ATLANTA (-7.5 vs MIA)
* ATLANTA’s Raheem Morris is on 10-8 Over the total surge vs. teams with a losing record
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MIA-ATL (o/u at 44.5)
(269) BUFFALO (4-2) at (270) CAROLINA (4-3)
* BUFFALO’s Sean McDermott is 28-14 Under the total when coming off an outright loss since 2017
* BUFFALO’s Josh Allen is 36-21 Under the total on the road since 2018
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): BUF-CAR (o/u at 46.5)
* BUFFALO is 31-25 ATS (55.4%) in road/neutral games since 2019
* CAROLINA is 21-29 ATS (42%) at home since 2019
* CAROLINA is on a 2-16 SU and 5-13 ATS slide vs. elite teams with PPG differentials >=+4.5
Trends Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-7 at CAR)
(271) NY GIANTS (2-5) at (272) PHILADELPHIA (5-2)
* NY GIANTS are 59-31 Under the total (65.6%) since 2020
* NY GIANTS’ Brian Daboll is on 23-11 Under the total surge as a single-digit underdog
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): NYG-PHI (o/u at 43.5)
* NY GIANTS’ Brian Daboll boasts a decent 14-20 SU and 20-15 ATS record when coming off an outright loss since 2022
Trend Match (PLAY): NY GIANTS (+7.5 at PHI)
* PHILADELPHIA’s Nick Sirianni boasts a 24-3 SU and 18-8 ATS record as a single-digit home favorite since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-7.5 vs NYG)
(273) CLEVELAND (2-5) at (274) NEW ENGLAND (5-2)
* CLEVELAND is 5-20 SU and 4-21 ATS when coming off a game having allowed <=14 points since 2014
* CLEVELAND’s Kevin Stefanski is on a 7-20 SU and 6-19 ATS slide when coming off an outright win
* NEW ENGLAND is 29-6 SU and 27-8 ATS when riding a three-game or more outright winning streak since 2016
Trends Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (-7 vs CLE)
* CLEVELAND’s Kevin Stefanski is 22-14 Over the total vs. teams with a winning record since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CLE-NE (o/u at 40.5)
(275) TAMPA BAY (5-2) at (276) NEW ORLEANS (1-6)
* TAMPA BAY’s Todd Bowles is on 14-4 Under the total run as a road favorite
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): TB-NO (o/u at 46.5)
* TAMPA BAY is 30-35 ATS (46.2%) when coming off SU loss since 2016
* TAMPA BAY is 38-51 ATS (42.7%) as a favorite since 2014
Trends Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (-4.5 at NO)
* NEW ORLEANS is 25-45 ATS (35.7%) at home since 2017
Trend Match (FADE): NEW ORLEANS (+4.5 vs TB)
(277) TENNESSEE (1-6) at (278) INDIANAPOLIS (6-1)
* TENNESSEE is 21-14 SU and 21-13 ATS when coming off a home loss since 2015
* TENNESSEE is on a 8-34 SU and 9-32-1 ATS skid in Sunday games
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of TENNESSEE (+14 at IND)
* INDIANAPOLIS’s Shane Steichen is on a 14-3 SU and 13-4 ATS run vs. poor offensive teams scoring <19 PPG
Trend Match (PLAY): INDIANAPOLIS (-14 vs TEN)
(279) DALLAS (3-3) at (280) DENVER (5-2)
* DALLAS’s Dak Prescott owns a poor 22-29-1 SU and 17-35 ATS record vs. teams with winning records since 2016
* DALLAS’ Dak Prescott is on a 3-12-1 SU and 5-11 ATS skid as a single-digit underdog
* DALLAS is 23-16 ATS (59%) in road/neutral games since 2021
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of DALLAS (+3.5 at DEN)
* DENVER is 25-37 ATS (40.3%) as a favorite since 2017
Trend Match (FADE): DENVER (-3.5 vs DAL)
* DALLAS’ Dak Prescott is 11-2 Over the total with his team coming off a home win since 2022
* DENVER is 103-69 Under the total (59.9%) since 2015
Trends Match: 1 PLAY OVER, 1 PLAY UNDER in DAL-DEN (o/u at 50.5)
(281) GREEN BAY (4-1) at (282) PITTSBURGH (4-2)
* GREEN BAY’s Matt Lafleur is 21-14-1 SU but 13-23 ATS as a single-digit favorite since 2021
* PITTSBURGH is 25-7 SU and 24-8 ATS coming off a game allowing 30+ points since 2013
* PITTSBURGH is 18-10 SU and 19-9 ATS vs. teams with better records since 2013
* PITTSBURGH’s Mike Tomlin is on 31-24 SU and 37-16 ATS run as a single-digit underdog
* PITTSBURGH’s Aaron Rodgers is 20-5 SU and ATS with his team coming off a divisional loss since 2010
* PITTSBURGH’s Aaron Rodgers is 5-4 SU and 6-3 ATS (66.7%) in the last nine as a home underdog. The average line was +2.5, Team average PF: 24.7
Trends Match (PLAY): PITTSBURGH (+3 vs GB)
* GREEN BAY is 26-12 Over the total as a road favorite since 2015
* GREEN BAY’s Jordan Love is on 14-7 Over the total surge when his team is coming off a win
* PITTSBURGH is 104-73 Under the total (58.8%) since 2015
* PITTSBURGH’s Aaron Rodgers is 13-6 Under the total vs. teams with a better record since 2014
Trends Match: 2 PLAY OVERS, 2 PLAYS UNDER in GB-PIT (o/u at 45.5)
(283) WASHINGTON (3-4) at (284) KANSAS CITY (4-3)
* WASHINGTON is 21-35 ATS (37.5%) when coming off SU loss since 2019
* WASHINGTON’s Dan Quinn is 7-15 SU and 6-15 ATS vs. AFC since 2016
Trends Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (+12.5 at KC)
* KANSAS CITY is 21-11 SU but 7-23 ATS when coming off a game of scoring 30+ points since 2020
* KANSAS CITY’s Andy Reid is on 17-4 SU and 14-6 ATS surge in non-conference games
* KANSAS CITY’s Patrick Mahomes is 35-2 SU but 13-23-1 ATS (36.1%) in his last 37 games as a favorite of more than 7 points. The average line was -10.7, Team average PF: 27.8
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of KANSAS CITY (-12.5 vs WAS)
* KANSAS CITY is 76-40 Under the total as a home favorite since 2010
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): WAS-KC (o/u at 47.5)
NFL Extreme Stats Next Game Systems
These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NFL games and detail the results of the follow-up game for these teams.
SHUTOUTS ARE EXTREMES
Teams off a home shutout win have actually been dreadful in the next outing recently in the NFL, going 16-21 SU and 13-23-1 ATS (36.1%) in their last 37 games following up that extremely good defensive performance.
System Match (FADE): KANSAS CITY (-12.5 vs WAS)
TNF, SNF, and MNF Team NFL Betting Trends and Systems
The following trends and systems come from a log of all the Thursday night (TNF), Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night (MNF) games since the start of the 2019 season. Only Thursday night games were included in the TNF study, not the day games played on Thanksgiving. The Sunday night games only included those games played on Sunday night, not all of the games covered by the NBC SNF crew, which also included some Wednesday and Saturday contests. The games analyzed were only regular-season games.
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
· There has been some interesting data regarding the first and second half of the season in terms of Thursday night games. In the first half of the season, or Weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 29-24 SU but 18-33-2 ATS (35.3%) in the last 53. Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in Weeks 9 and later are 44-27 SU and 42-26-3 ATS (61.8%). There seems to be a fundamental edge to playing at home with less rest late in the season.
System Match (FADE): LA CHARGERS (-3 vs MIN)
· There has been a wild trend that has developed over the last 4+ seasons regarding TNF road teams coming off a home loss the prior Sunday, as they have rebounded incredibly with a 21-22 SU and 27-15-1 ATS (64.3%) record.
System Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (+3 at LAC)
· Unfortunately, home cooking has not solved the ills for Thursday home teams coming off a loss in their most recent game, as they have been a brutal bet over the last five seasons, going 29-34 SU and 25-37-1 ATS (40.3%).
System Match (FADE): LA CHARGERS (-3 vs MIN)
SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
· Home underdogs have been competitive on Sunday night football, going 20-24-1 SU and 26-17-2 ATS (60.5%) dating back to 2017.
System Match (PLAY): PITTSBURGH (+3 vs GB)
· In SNF games pitting non-conference opponents (AFC vs. NFC), home teams are just 28-25 SU and 21-30-2 ATS (41.2%) in the last 53. Under the total is also 32-13 (71.1%) in the last 45.
System Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH (+3 vs GB)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): GB-PIT (o/u at 45.5)
· SNF teams coming off of losses have proven not ready for the big time, as they have gone just 14-26 SU and 15-25 ATS (37.5%) in their last 40 tries against teams off a win.
System Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH (+3 vs GB)
· Momentum has been big for hosts overall, as home teams on SNF coming off a loss in their last games are just 16-22-1 SU and 17-21-1 ATS (44.7%) in their last 39, but those coming off a win are on a current 28-10 SU and 22-16 ATS (57.9%) surge.
System Match (FADE): PITTSBURGH (+3 vs GB)
Over the total SNF Team Trend
Green Bay 16-7 Over the total since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): GB-PIT (o/u at 45.5)
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
· Laying 7 points or more has for long not been a good strategy on MNF, as favorites of 7 points or more are 48-15 SU but just 23-38-2 ATS (37.7%) since 2012.
System Match (FADE ATS): KANSAS CITY (-12.5 vs WAS)
· In MNF games pitting non-conference opponents (AFC vs. NFC), home teams are 29-30 SU but 18-39-2 ATS (31.6%) in the last 59.
System Match (FADE): KANSAS CITY (-12.5 vs WAS)
· Won/lost records have mattered on MNF, as teams with the better record are 45-40 SU but just 32-51-2 ATS (38.6%) in the last 85 MNF games not matching teams with identical records.
System Match (FADE): KANSAS CITY (-12.5 vs WAS)
Good MNF Team Trend
Kansas City 13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS since 2012
Trend Match (PLAY): KANSAS CITY (-12.5 vs WAS)
If you’ve picked up from each of the team trends sections that certain teams are consistently doing well or poorly, or are going Over or Under regularly, you’re right. Here are some overall primetime game trends that you’re going to want to consider:
Good PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trend
Green Bay 19-8-1 SU and 20-7-1 ATS in the last 28
Trend Match (PLAY): GREEN BAY (-3 at PIT)
Bad PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trend
Washington 14-24 and 13-24-1 ATS in primetime since 2013
Trend Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (+12.5 at KC)
Under the total PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trend
Minnesota 26-13 Under primetime record since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIN-LAC (o/u at 44.5)
NFL Streaks Provide Some Advantages for Bettors
The following betting systems focus on winning and losing streaks. Below are the ones that have qualifying plays for this week’s action.
NFL Streaks Betting System #1: NFL teams that have lost their last three games ATS, all when favored, are on a 44-17 SU and 34-25-2 ATS (57.6%) run when favored in the next game as well.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LA CHARGERS (-3 vs MIN), BUFFALO (-7 at CAR), GREEN BAY (-3 at PIT)
NFL Streaks Betting System #2: NFL teams that have won their last three games outright, with the first being in upset fashion, then being favored in the latter games, are 90-22 SU and 70-42 ATS (62.5%) in the follow-up game when favored by 3 points or more.
System Match (PLAY ALL): NEW ENGLAND (-7 vs CLE), DENVER (-3.5 vs DAL)
NFL Streaks Betting System #10: NFL teams that have lost their last four games ATS are 22-26 SU but 28-18-2 ATS (60.9%) in their last 48 games versus non-conference foes.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LA CHARGERS (-3 vs MIN), BALTIMORE (-6.5 vs CHI), BUFFALO (-7 at CAR), GREEN BAY (-3 at PIT)
NFL Streaks Betting System #12: NFL teams that have lost at least their last three games outright have gone 64-38 SU but 42-56-4 ATS (42.9%) when favored by 3 points or more since 2013.
System Match (FADE): BALTIMORE (-6.5 vs CHI)
Pre-Bye Week Systems and Trends
The following systems and trends are from the long-running article series detailing pre-bye week performance in the NFL. These records are from only in-season bye weeks and do not include playoffs or preseason.
Pre-bye week system #1:
Play on any team heading into their bye week when facing a divisional opponent, assuming the opponent is not in the same situation. (Record: 54-25-1 ATS since 2013, 68.4%, +26.5 units, 33.5% ROI, Grade 70)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PHILADELPHIA (-7.5 vs NYG), TAMPA BAY (-4.5 at NO)
Pre-bye week system #2:
Play Under the total on any team heading into their bye week when facing a divisional opponent, assuming the opponent is not in the same situation. (Record: 37-15-2 since ‘13, 71.2%, +20.5 units, 39.4% ROI, Grade 70)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): NYG-PHI (o/u at 43.5), TB-NO (o/u at 46.5)
Pre-bye week system #3
Play on favorites of 7 points or more heading into their bye week. (Record: 78-6-1 SU and 56-27-2 ATS since ’02, 67.5%, +26.3 units, 31.7% ROI, Grade 72)
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-7.5 vs NYG)
Pre-bye week system #4
Play on home teams in their pre-bye week game when it comes Week 8 or later on the NFL annual schedule. (Record: 74-39-2 ATS since 2010, 65.5%, +31.1 units, 27.5% ROI, Grade 68)
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-7.5 vs NYG)
Pre-bye week system #9
Play against any teams heading into their bye week and playing as underdogs of more than 7 points (Record: 43-7 SU and 35-14-1 ATS since 2008, 71.4%, +19.6 units, 40% ROI, Grade 70)
System Matches (FADE ALL): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR CLEVELAND (+7) at NE and NY JETS (+6.5) at CIN
* Please note that the systems above and all of the following trends only include bye week games from the regular season schedule, not playoffs.
Cleveland Browns Pre-Bye Week Game – 10/26 at New England Patriots
· Cleveland is on a 3-11 SU and ATS slide in pre-bye week games, including 0-3 SU and ATS in road/neutral games
Trend Match (FADE): CLEVELAND (+7 at NE)
· The Browns are 15-7-1 Under the total in pre-bye week games since ‘02
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): CLE-NE (o/u at 40.5)
New York Jets Pre-Bye Week Game – 10/26 at Cincinnati Bengals
· The Jets are on an 8-3 ATS run in pre-bye week road games
· The Jets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as pre-bye week underdogs
Trends Match (PLAY): NY JETS (+6.5 at CIN)
Philadelphia Eagles Pre-Bye Week Game – 10/26 vs. New York Giants
· The Eagles lost an 8-game pre-bye week SU and ATS winning streak last year, falling 33-16 at Tampa Bay
· Philadelphia is on a 6-0 SU and ATS streak in pre-bye week games vs. divisional foes, outscoring them 24.7-13 on average
Trends Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-7.5 vs NYG)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pre-Bye Week Game – 10/26 at New Orleans Saints
· Tampa Bay has won three straight pre-bye week games ATS after a brutal 2-10-1 ATS skid prior
· The Buccaneers haven’t been a good pre-bye week game overall lately, but they are 4-3 ATS in their last seven such games vs. divisional foes
Trends Match (SLIGHT PLAY): TAMPA BAY (-4.5 at NO)
Post-Bye Week Systems and Trends
The following systems and trends are from the long-running article series detailing pre- and post-bye week performance in the NFL. These records are from only in-season bye weeks and do not include playoffs or preseason
Post-bye week system #1:
Play on road favorites coming out of their bye week. (Record: 114-47 SU and 94-63-4 ATS since ’99, 59.1%, +24.7 units, 15.7% ROI, Grade 63)
System Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-7 at CAR)
Post-bye week road favorites subsystems:
– vs. non-conference opponents. (Record: 34-16-3 ATS since 2000, 68 %, +16.4 units, 32.8% ROI, Grade 65)
System Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-7 at CAR)
Post-bye week system #2:
Play against home teams coming out of their bye week against non-conference opponents. (Record: 25-23 SU and 30-16-2 ATS since 2015, 65.2%, +12.4 units, 27% ROI, Grade 66)
System Match (FADE): BALTIMORE (-6.5 vs CHI)
Post-bye week system #7:
Play Under the total with road teams coming off their bye week (Record: 40-20-1 since 2021, 66.7%, +18 units, 30% ROI, Grade 65)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BUF-CAR (o/u at 46.5)
Post-bye week system #9:
Play Under the total in games where a team is coming out of its bye week after losing in upset fashion before the bye. (Record: 33-16-1 Under since 1992, 67.3%, +15.5 units, 31.6% ROI, Grade 62)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BUF-CAR (o/u at 46.5)
** Please note that the systems above and all of the following trends only include bye week games from the regular season schedule, not playoffs.
Baltimore Ravens Post-Bye Week Game: 10/26 vs. Chicago Bears
· Baltimore has gone Over the total in six of its last seven post-bye week games
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CHI-BAL (o/u at 49.5)
· The Ravens are 9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS in their previous nine post-bye week games vs. NFC foes
Trend Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (-6.5 vs CHI)
Buffalo Bills Post-Bye Week Game: 10/26 at Carolina Panthers
· Buffalo is on a 10-0 SU and 7-2-1 ATS run in post-bye week games, and is 21-10-2 ATS dating back to 1993
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-7 at CAR)
· The Bills are on a 5-0 Under the total run in post-bye week games, allowing just 14.4 PPG
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): BUF-CAR (o/u at 46.5)
Handicapping NFL Rematch Games
The following trends and betting systems come from same season rematch data over the last 14 seasons
Best NFL rematch teams lately
– Tennessee: 16-11 SU and 15-12 ATS surge
Trend Match (PLAY): TENNESSEE (+14 at IND)
Worst NFL rematch teams lately
– Philadelphia: just 10-12 SU and 7-14-1 ATS in the last 22 rematch games
Trend Match (FADE): PHILADELPHIA (-7.5 vs NYG)
Low scoring rematch teams
– Indianapolis: 13-6 Under run in home rematch games
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): TEN-IND (o/u at 47.5)
Rematch Betting Systems
1) Teams that won by 21 or more points in the opening game between teams are 85-28 SU and 70-43 ATS (61.9%) in the rematch
System Match (PLAY): INDIANAPOLIS (-14 vs TEN)
2) Teams that lost the prior game to an opponent but now have a record 20% or better outright have gone 45-16 SU and 38-23 ATS (62.3%) in the rematch contest
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-7.5 vs NYG)
NFL Rookie/Retread Coaching Systems
This material is from the VSiN piece entitled Analyzing the New NFL Head Coaches for 2025 detailing systems that apply to rookie coaches Ben Johnson (Chicago), Brian Schottenheimer (Dallas), Liam Coen (Jacksonville), Kellen Moore (New Orleans), and Aaron Glenn (NY Jets) as well as retread coaches Pete Carroll (Las Vegas) and Mike Vrabel (New England).
Rookie Coach Systems
(Games this week: NYJ(+6.5)-CIN, TB-NO(+4.5), CHI(+6.5)-BAL, DAL(+3.5)-DEN)
– Since 2015, rookie coaches have gone 114-130-4 ATS (46.7%) versus divisional opponents. These are not groundbreaking betting numbers by any means, but they could serve as a foundational concept that the more familiar the opponent, the less successful the rookie coach.
System Match (FADE): NEW ORLEANS (+4.5 vs TB)
– Among the key challenges new head coaches face is stringing wins together. After wins, they’ve done measurably worse, going 48-72-6 ATS (40%) since December 2020.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CHICAGO (+6.5 at BAL), DALLAS (+3.5 at DEN)
Retread Coach Systems
(Game this week: CLE-NE(-7))
– Retread head coaches have been brutal bets as favorites. As favorites since 2015, they’ve gone 95-68 SU but just 62-90-11 ATS, for 40.8%!
System Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND (-7 vs CLE)
– Retread head coaches have shown a tendency to start very slow at their new franchises. Since 2015, in Weeks #1-#10 of their first seasons, they’ve combined to go 105-138 ATS (43.2%).
System Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND (-7 vs CLE)
– There seems to be a noteworthy trend of momentum that comes with these retread head coaches. Since 2015, when coming off a win or tie, these coaches have posted a modest 82-78 ATS (51.3%) record in their first seasons, including 32-25 ATS (56.1%) since mid-‘22. When coming off a loss, the record has been an ugly 138-176 ATS (43.9%) in that same time span.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (-7 vs CLE)
NFL Rookie Quarterback Systems
These systems take into account rookie quarterback records in their first seasons. They include game logs of any rookie who started seven or more games in that first season. The starters this week include Cam Ward (Tennessee), Dillon Gabriel (Cleveland), and Jaxson Dart (NY Giants).
(Games this week: CLE(+7)-NE, NYG(+7.5)-PHI, TEN(+14)-IND)
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #5 – Rookie quarterbacks have struggled on the road, particularly late in the season
The results of rookie quarterbacks on the road lately are startling. Since the start of the 2013 season, rookie starters have combined for a record of 140-127 ATS (52.4%) in home games but just 123-146 ATS (45.7%) in road/neutral games.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CLEVELAND (+7 at NE), NY GIANTS (+7.5 at PHI), TENNESSEE (+14 at IND)
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #6 – Don’t fall for the big underdog point spreads with rookie quarterbacks
Since 2015, rookie starting quarterbacks facing underdog lines of 6.5 points or more have won just 23 games, going 23-125 SU and 60-84-4 ATS (41.7%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): CLEVELAND (+7 at NE), NY GIANTS (+7.5 at PHI), TENNESSEE (+14 at IND)
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #10 – By type of opponent, divisional matchups have been toughest for rookie starting quarterbacks
Since 2015, rookie QBs are just 50-108 SU and 66-87-4 ATS (43.1%) versus divisional opponents.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NY GIANTS (+7.5 at PHI), TENNESSEE (+14 at IND)
Since 2018, rookie QBs have fared well against non-divisional conference opponents, going 55-68 SU but 69-53 ATS (56.6%).
System Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (+7 at NE)
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #11 – Losses have tended to snowball for rookie QBs
In their last 172 starts with their teams coming off outright losses, rookie QBs have gone just 57-119 SU and 79-94-2 ATS (45.7%). This trend dates back to 2018.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NY GIANTS (+7.5 at PHI), TENNESSEE (+14 at IND)
NFL Veteran Quarterback Leading New Team Systems
These systems take into account veteran quarterback records in their first season with a new team. They include game logs of 32 different veteran QBs since 2004 who have played at least eight years in the NFL and started extensively on a previous team. This week, there are three different QBs finding themselves in a new place: Aaron Rodgers (Pittsburgh), Joe Flacco (Cincinnati), Carson Wentz (Minnesota).
(Games this week: MIN(+3)-LAC, NYJ-CIN(-6.5), GB-PIT(+3))
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #2 – Veteran quarterbacks are best for their new teams in the month of October
I just showed how these veteran QBs in new places struggle a bit out of the gate. Well, these QBs have rebounded nicely in October, going 48-41 SU and 47-39-3 ATS (54.7%) since ’09.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MINNESOTA (+3 at LAC), CINCINNATI (-6.5 vs NYJ), PITTSBURGH (+3 vs GB)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #4 – Non-Sunday games have been a struggle for veteran QBs with their new teams
Veteran quarterbacks have struggled under the spotlight of non-Sunday games lately, going 27-42 SU and 27-41-1 ATS (39.7%) in their last 69 such tries for their new teams.
System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (+3 at LAC)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #5 – Veteran quarterbacks thrive with their new teams at home
The results since 2005 of veteran quarterbacks playing with their new teams at home are quite impressive, as they have gone 129-83 SU and 111-90-11 ATS (55.2%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CINCINNATI (-6.5 vs NYJ), PITTSBURGH (+3 vs GB)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #6 – By type of opponent, non-divisional conference matchups have been best for veteran starting quarterbacks in their first season with new teams
Since 2005, veteran QBs in their first season with new teams have fared well against non-divisional conference opponents, going 87-73 SU and 86-72-2 ATS (54.4%).
System Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (-6.5 vs NYJ)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #7 – Non-conference matchups have been an absolute struggle for veteran starting quarterbacks in their first season with new teams over the last four years
Since 2021, veteran QBs in their first season with new teams have struggled horribly against non-conference opponents, going 18-29 SU and 15-32 ATS (31.9%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): MINNESOTA (+3 at LAC), PITTSBURGH (+3 vs GB)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #8 –Veteran QBs have shown an inability to strong win streaks together recently
In their last 63 starts with their new teams coming off outright victories, new incoming veteran QBs have gone just 30-33 SU and 24-38-1 ATS (38.7%). This trend dates back to 2021.
System Match (FADE): CINCINNATI (-6.5 vs NYJ)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #11 – Veteran quarterbacks are consistent bets as smaller road underdogs with new teams
Dating back to 2006, veteran starting quarterbacks in their first seasons with new teams have gone 36-33 SU and 46-23 ATS (66.7%) when playing as road underdogs of +5.5 points or fewer.
System Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (+3 at LAC)
Strategies Using NFL DraftKings Betting Splits Data
One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals.
In an article published in the 2025 NFL Betting Guide, Steve Makinen outlined 12 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of Wednesday at 4:00 p.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage.
Here is a quick tabulation on how DK bettors performed in the 2024 season:
– Majority handle on point spreads: 141-131 ATS (51.8%)
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 140-130 ATS (51.9%)
– Majority handle on totals: 143-133 (51.8%)
– Majority number of bets on totals: 147-131 (52.9%)
These are very good wrap up numbers by the standards that have been established in most of the similar reports I have done for other sports. Considering NFL betting is king, it’s nice to see recreational bettors like those at DraftKings holding their own. With that in mind, here are the systems with updated language and records heading into the ’25 season.
NFL DK Betting Splits system #1: Over the past two seasons, when more than 68% of the handle has been on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group is just 71-81 ATS (46.7%). The number for this “super-majority” in college football was closer to 75%. In other words, if you see over 2/3 of the handle backing one side in an NFL game this season, it’s consistently profitable to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): LA CHARGERS, BUFFALO, NEW ENGLAND, DALLAS, PITTSBURGH, KANSAS CITY
NFL DK Betting Splits system #2: In NFL divisional games of 2022-24, DK majority handle bettors have been awful, as this majority group is just 117-148 ATS (44.2%). With the obvious generality that public bettors love favorites, it’s clear that they don’t value the stakes of these rivalry games and what they mean for the competitors.
System Matches (FADE ALL): PHILADELPHIA, NEW ORLEANS, INDIANAPOLIS
NFL DK Betting Splits system #3: Similarly to #2 above, in that same time span, when the majority number of bets staked its side in a NFL divisional game, this majority group is just 118-150 ATS (44%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): NY GIANTS, TAMPA BAY, INDIANAPOLIS
NFL DK Betting Splits system #4: In NFL non-conference games of 2023 and 2024, DK majority number of bets groups were actually quite sharp, going 79-64 ATS (55.2%). This is obviously quite the opposite performance level of #3 above, and unfortunately for bettors, there are two fewer non-conference tilts than divisional contests for each team on the schedule every year. Of course, if strategically playing both spots according to these systems, every game in either situation is an opportunity.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): LA CHARGERS, SAN FRANCISCO, CHICAGO, ATLANTA, BUFFALO, DALLAS, PITTSBURGH, KANSAS CITY
NFL DK Betting Splits system #5: Since the start of the 2023 season, when the majority number of bets have backed road favorites for an ATS wager, these majority groups are actually 100-87 ATS (53.5%). I will tell you that there are only 15 games or fewer each year when this group will actually back the home dog. Watch this one closely, as backing road favorites in the NFL consistently has never been a consistent winning strategy.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): BUFFALO, TAMPA BAY
NFL DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority handle was on road underdogs for an ATS wager over the last two years, these majority groups have surprisingly struggled, 27-36 ATS (42.9%). This goes against the logic I have discovered in other sports, which says that when the public goes “against the grain”, they can do well. Quite the opposite here. As you can see, it is rare, just 63 games in two full seasons.
System Matches (FADE ALL): SAN FRANCISCO, MIAMI, DALLAS
NFL DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority handle and number of bets have backed a team in an ATS wager in the higher-profile, non-Sunday afternoon games over the last two seasons, these majority groups are just 100-114 ATS (46.7%) and 101-111 ATS (47.6%), respectively. This set of games includes all the Thursday, Saturday, Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night contests. These numbers were improved along with the overall majority figures last year, but I wouldn’t expect that to continue.
System Matches (FADE ALL): LA CHARGERS, PITTSBURGH, KANSAS CITY
NFL DK Betting Splits system #8: In another rare winning record, when the majority number of bets has backed the team with fewer season wins in a 2023 or 2024 NFL game for an ATS wager, this majority group was 46-38 ATS (54.8%). This has proven to be a situation in which going against the grain pays off.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): NY GIANTS, DALLAS
DK Betting Splits system #9: The average NFL total in 2023 was 43.0. Last year, it ballooned back up to 44.6. In games where the totals reached 46.5 or higher and odds makers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, majority number of bettors have gauged these games incredibly well the last two years, going 96-72 ATS (60.8%)! We’ll see how that trend holds in 2025.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – BUF-CAR, TB-NO, DAL-DEN, WAS-KC
UNDER – CHI-BAL, TEN-IND
DK Betting Splits system #10: When 56% or more of the number of bets have been on the Under in an NFL game total over the last 2-1/2 seasons, this majority group has been quite sharp, 56-45 ATS (55.4%). This number for a “super-majority” in the NFL is quite low, evidence of how rarely the betting public bets the low side of a total. Incidentally, the same majority figure for handle has also produced a 74-62 (54.4%) record.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): NYJ-CIN, CHI-BAL, MIA-ATL, BUF-CAR, NYG-PHI, WAS-KC
DK Betting Splits system #11: The magic mark for super majority on handle for betting Overs was 74% or higher, and this group performed miserably in 2023 and 2024 with a record of 46-69 (42.6%). To me, this has been a long-standing belief, but when the Over looks too obvious, it usually loses. On number of bets, this same super majority percentage produced a slightly improved 30-37 (44.8%) record, still poor though.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL INSTEAD): CLE-NE, TB-NO, DAL-DEN
DK Betting Splits system #12: Call this one the Over trap, but when a super-majority (>=64%) of handle has been on the Over, but DraftKings moved the opening total lower throughout the week, this majority group has lost big, going just 70-92 (43.2%) over the past three seasons. Almost as if they were trying to bait more people into taking the Over. This is a classic example of where those behind the counter are smarter than those trying to cash the tickets.
System Match (PLAY UNDER INSTEAD): TB-NO
This Week’s NFL Strength Ratings
The following NFL betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. NY JETS +6.5 (+1.8)
2. CHICAGO +6.5 (+1.4)
3. PITTSBURGH +3 (+1.3)
4. MINNESOTA +3 (+0.8)
5. SAN FRANCISCO +1.5 (+0.7)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. TAMPA BAY -4.5 (+1.9)
2. INDIANAPOLIS -14 (+1.8)
3. PHILADELPHIA -7.5 (+1.2)
4. ATLANTA -7.5 (+0.8)
5. BUFFALO -7 (+0.5)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. NY JETS +6.5 (+5.9)
2. TENNESSEE +14 (+3.2)
3. CLEVELAND +7 (+3.0)
4. CAROLINA +7 (+2.9)
5. CHICAGO +6.5 (+1.6)
This week’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: DENVER -3.5 (+0.2)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1(tie). CHI-BAL OVER 49.5 (+0.9)
NYG-PHI OVER 43.5 (+0.9)
3. NYJ-CIN OVER 44.5 (+0.8)
4. MIN-LAC OVER 44.5 (+0.2)
5. CLE-NE OVER 40.5 (+0.1)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BUF-CAR UNDER 46.5 (-1.9)
2. TEN-IND UNDER 47.5 (-1.0)
3. GB-PIT UNDER 45.5 (-0.4)
4(tie). SF-HOU UNDER 41.5 (-0.1)
MIA-ATL UNDER 44.5 (-0.1)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. NY JETS +6.5 (+6.6)
2(tie). TENNESSEE +14 (+4.8)
MIAMI +7.5 (+4.8)
4. CLEVELAND +7 (+2.1)
5. WASHINGTON +12.5 (+2.0)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BUFFALO -7 (+7.1)
2. BALTIMORE -6.5 (+5.8)
3. PHILADELPHIA -7.5 (+3.2)
4. GREEN BAY -3 (+2.6)
5. DENVER -3.5 (+2.2)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SF-HOU OVER 41.5 (+3.5)
2. NYG-PHI OVER 43.5 (+1.5)
3. DAL-DEN OVER 50.5 (+1.4)
4(tie). MIN-LAC OVER 44.5 (+1.3)
GB-PIT OVER 45.5 (+1.3)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1(tie). BUF-CAR UNDER 46.5 (-2.3)
TEN-IND UNDER 47.5 (-2.3)
3(tie). CLE-NE UNDER 40.5 (-1.8)
TB-NO UNDER 46.5 (-1.8)
5. NYJ-CIN UNDER 44.5 (-1.3)
Comparing Effective Yards Per Play Ratings to This Week’s Matchups
Here are the top six of this weekend’s games, as far as differential of Effective Play-by-Play ratings versus actual point spreads, with home field advantage built into the differences. Starting in Week 4 of the 2025 season, these plays are 12-12 ATS (50%).
1. (265) CHICAGO BEARS at (266) BALTIMORE RAVENS
Actual Home Line: BALTIMORE RAVENS -6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: BALTIMORE RAVENS -17.3
Difference: 10.8, Favors: BALTIMORE RAVENS
2. (261) NEW YORK JETS at (262) CINCINNATI BENGALS
Actual Home Line: CINCINNATI BENGALS -6.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: CINCINNATI BENGALS +2.7
Difference: 9.2, Favors: NEW YORK JETS
3. (267) MIAMI DOLPHINS at (268) ATLANTA FALCONS
Actual Home Line: ATLANTA FALCONS -7.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: ATLANTA FALCONS -14.3
Difference: 6.8, Favors: ATLANTA FALCONS
4. (281) GREEN BAY PACKERS at (282) PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Actual Home Line: PITTSBURGH STEELERS +3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: PITTSBURGH STEELERS +8.7
Difference: 5.7, Favors: GREEN BAY PACKERS
5. (269) BUFFALO BILLS at (270) CAROLINA PANTHERS
Actual Home Line: CAROLINA PANTHERS +7
Effective Play-by-Play Line: CAROLINA PANTHERS +2.7
Difference: 4.3, Favors: CAROLINA PANTHERS
6. (283) WASHINGTON COMMANDERS at (284) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS Actual Home Line: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -12.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -8.3
Difference: 4.2, Favors: WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
Top Head-to-Head Series NFL Betting Trends
These are the top head-to-head series NFL betting trends between teams from recent years’ action:
(109) MINNESOTA at (110) LA CHARGERS
* Road teams have covered four of last five ATS in the MIN-LAC nonconference series
Trend Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (+3 at LAC)
(261) NY JETS at (262) CINCINNATI
* CINCINNATI is on a 4-1 SU and 3-1-1 ATS run versus NYJ since 2013
Trend Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (-6.5 vs NYJ)
(263) SAN FRANCISCO at (264) HOUSTON
* SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in all five meetings with Houston since 2006
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (+1.5 at HOU)
(265) CHICAGO at (266) BALTIMORE
* Road teams have covered three straight ATS in the CHI-BAL non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY): CHICAGO (+6.5 at BAL)
(267) MIAMI at (268) ATLANTA
* Favorites are 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven of the MIA-ATL set
Trend Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (-7.5 vs MIA)
(269) BUFFALO at (270) CAROLINA
* BUFFALO is 3-0-1 ATS in meetings with Carolina since 2009
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-7 at CAR)
(271) NY GIANTS at (272) PHILADELPHIA
* Under the total is 12-4 in the NYG-PHI NFC East rivalry at Lincoln Financial Field since 2010
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NYG-PHI (o/u at 43.5)
(273) CLEVELAND at (274) NEW ENGLAND
* NEW ENGLAND has owned Cleveland historically, going 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS since 2001
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (-7 vs CLE)
(275) TAMPA BAY at (276) NEW ORLEANS
* Road teams have gone 7-3 SU and 9-1 ATS in the last 10 of the Bucs-Saints NFC South series
Trend Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY (-4.5 at NO)
(277) TENNESSEE at (278) INDIANAPOLIS
* INDIANAPOLIS has covered five straight ATS versus Tennessee
Trend Match (PLAY): INDIANAPOLS (-14 vs TEN)
(279) DALLAS at (280) DENVER
* DENVER is 7-2 SU and ATS in all nine meetings with Dallas since 1992
Trend Match (PLAY): DENVER (-3.5 vs DAL)
(281) GREEN BAY at (282) PITTSBURGH
* Over the total is on 5-1 overall run in the Packers-Steelers series and 4-0 run when played in Pittsburgh
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): GB-PIT (o/u at 45.5)
(283) WASHINGTON at (284) KANSAS CITY
* KANSAS CITY has won and covered all eight matchups with Washington since 1992, beating the point spread by an average of 14.875 per game
Trend Match (PLAY): KANSAS CITY (-12.5 vs WAS)
