The following NF betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NFL games of Week 9. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s NFL board.

 

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NFL betting trends and systems for this week’s NFL games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

NFL Streaks Betting System #6: NFL road teams that have lost their last three games ATS and are facing a team with more than a 50% winning percentage better than them are 15-30 SU but 33-10-2 ATS (76.7%) in their last 45 tries.
System Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (+14 at LAR) 

* There have been 33 Thursday Night Football games since 2012 with a total of 50 or greater, and they went Under at a 22-11 rate (66.7%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BAL-MIA (o/u at 51.5) 

Pre-bye week system #9: Fade any teams heading into their bye week and playing as underdogs of more than 7 points (Record: 43-7 SU and 35-14-1 ATS since 2008, 71.4%, +19.6 units, 40% ROI, Grade 70)
System Match (FADE): TENNESSEE (+8.5 vs LAC) 

Post-bye week system #1: Play road favorites coming out of their bye week. (Record: 115-47 SU and 95-63-4 ATS since ’99, 60.1%, +25.7 units, 16.3% ROI, Grade 63)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): JACKSONVILLE (-3.5 at LVR), SEATTLE (-3 at WAS) 

* DETROIT has dominated divisional foe Minnesota recently, going 9-0 SU and ATS since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-8.5 vs MIN) 

* In non-conference games, re-tread coaches have really struggled, going 44-60 ATS (42.3%) over the last decade, including 17-30 ATS (36.2%) over the last 3+ seasons.
System Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND (-5.5 vs ATL) 

* HOUSTON is on a 17-57 SU and 26-47 ATS (35.6%) slide vs. elite teams with a point differential of >=+4.5 PPG since 2010
Trend Match (FADE): HOUSTON (-1.5 vs DEN) 

#1 TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen Effective Strength Ratings: KC-BUF UNDER 52.5 (projections have total at 47.5) 

These are some of the top situational NFL betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action: 

(309) BALTIMORE (2-5) at (310) MIAMI (2-6)
* BALTIMORE is 44-25 ATS (63.8%) in road/neutral games since 2017
* BALTIMORE’s Lamar Jackson is 32-11 SU and 27-15 ATS in a game following up scoring 30+ points since 2018
* BALTIMORE’s Lamar Jackson is 11-5 SU but 5-11 ATS in the last 16 games vs. poor teams with a winning percentage <=33%
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 1 FADE of BALTIMORE (-7.5 at MIA)

* MIAMI is on a 34-20 SU and 33-20 ATS surge vs. teams with a losing record since 2019
* MIAMI is 62-32 ATS (66%) at home since 2014
* MIAMI’s Mike McDaniel is on a 3-15 SU and 5-13 ATS skid as a single-digit underdog
* MIAMI’s Tua Tagovailoa is 11-3 SU and 10-3-1 ATS vs. teams with poor point differentials of <=-4.5 PPG since 2022
Trends Match: 3 PLAYS, 1 FADE of MIAMI (+7.5 vs BAL) 

(451) CHICAGO (4-3) at (452) CINCINNATI (3-5)
* CHICAGO is 22-13 SU and 22-12 ATS vs. poor defenses allowing >=27 PPG since 2015
* CHICAGO is 24-36-1 ATS (40%) when coming off a SU loss since 2019
* CHICAGO is 30-48 ATS (38.5%) in road/neutral games since 2016
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of CHICAGO (-3 at CIN)

* CINCINNATI is 27-18 ATS (60%) as an underdog since 2020
* CINCINNATI is 73-58 SU and 80-51 ATS when playing on normal rest (7 days) since 2012
Trends Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (+3 vs CHI) 

(453) SAN FRANCISCO (5-3) at (454) NY GIANTS (2-6)
* NY GIANTS’ Brian Daboll boasts a decent 14-21 SU and 20-16 ATS record when coming off an outright loss since 2022
Trend Match (SLIGHT PLAY): NY GIANTS (+2.5 vs SF)

* SAN FRANCISCO’s Kyle Shanahan is 45-31 Over the total when his team is on normal rest (seven days) since 2017
* NY GIANTS’ Brian Daboll is on 23-12 Under the total surge as a single-digit underdog
* NY GIANTS are 59-32 Under the total (64.8%) since 2020
* NY GIANTS are 26-7 Under the total as home underdogs since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): SF-NYG (o/u at 48.5) 

(455) ATLANTA (3-4) at (456) NEW ENGLAND (6-2)
* ATLANTA is on a 12-21 SU and 8-25 ATS skid on normal rest (seven days)
* ATLANTA is 16-35 ATS (31.4%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
* NEW ENGLAND is 30-6 SU and 28-8 ATS when riding a three-game or more outright winning streak since 2016
Trends Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (-5.5 vs ATL) 

(457) INDIANAPOLIS (7-1) at (458) PITTSBURGH (4-3)
* PITTSBURGH is 25-8 SU and 24-9 ATS coming off a game allowing 30+ points since 2013
* PITTSBURGH is 18-11 SU and 19-10 ATS vs. teams with better records since 2013
* PITTSBURGH’s Mike Tomlin is on 31-25 SU and 37-17 ATS run as a single-digit underdog
Trends Match (PLAY): PITTSBURGH (+3 vs IND)

* PITTSBURGH is 104-74 Under the total (58.4%) since 2015
* PITTSBURGH’s Aaron Rodgers is 13-7 Under the total vs. teams with a better record since 2014
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): IND-PIT (o/u at 50.5) 

(459) CAROLINA (4-4) at (460) GREEN BAY (5-1)
* CAROLINA is on a 2-17 SU and 5-14 ATS slide vs. elite teams with PPG differentials >=+4.5
* CAROLINA is 22-33 ATS (40%) in non-divisional conference games since 2018
* GREEN BAY is 94-20 SU and 72-40 ATS as a home favorite since 2009
Trends Match (PLAY): GREEN BAY (-13.5 vs CAR)

* GREEN BAY’s Jordan Love is on 15-7 Over the total surge when his team is coming off a win
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CAR-GB (o/u at 44.5) 

(461) MINNESOTA (3-4) at (462) DETROIT (5-2)
* MINNESOTA is 63-47 Over the total (57.3%) since 2019
* MINNESOTA’s Kevin O’Connell is 17-7 Over the total vs. teams with a winning record since 2022
Trends Match (PLAY OVER): MIN-DET (o/u at 48.5)

* MINNESOTA is 4-23 SU and 8-20 ATS as a divisional road underdog since 2010
* MINNESOTA is 33-26 ATS (55.9%) when coming off a SU loss since 2014
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of MINNESOTA (+8.5 at DET)

* DETROIT is 19-6 SU and ATS when coming off a double-digit win since 2018
* DETROIT is 16-8 SU and 20-5 ATS when playing with extra rest (>7 days) since 2019
* DETROIT’s Jared Goff is 17-6 SU and 17-5-1 ATS in divisional games since 2021
* DETROIT’s Jared Goff is 10-6 SU but 5-11 ATS as a home favorite of more than 7 points since 2018
Trends Match: 3 PLAYS, 1 FADE of DETROIT (-8.5 vs MIN) 

(463) DENVER (6-2) at (464) HOUSTON (3-4)
* DENVER is 103-70 Under the total (59.5%) since 2015
* DENVER is 19-6 Under the total when coming off a double-digit victory since 2017
* HOUSTON’s DeMeco Ryans is on an 11-1 Under the total streak as a home favorite
* HOUSTON’s DeMeco Ryans is on a 15-6 Under the total surge vs. teams with a winning record
* HOUSTON’s CJ Stroud is 14-9 Under the total in the last 22 games with his team coming off a win
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): DEN-HOU (o/u at 39.5)

* HOUSTON is on a 17-57 SU and 26-47 ATS slide vs. elite teams with a point differential of >=+4.5 PPG since 2010
Trend Match (FADE): HOUSTON (-1.5 vs DEN)

(465) LA CHARGERS (5-3) at (466) TENNESSEE (1-7)
* LA CHARGERS are 65-34 Under the total when coming off an outright win since 2013
* LA CHARGERS are on 27-12 Under the total surge in Sunday games
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): LAC-TEN (o/u at 43.5)

* TENNESSEE is on an 8-35 SU and 9-33-1 ATS skid in Sunday games
* TENNESSEE is 34-51-1 ATS (40%) in non-divisional conference games since 2014
Trends Match (FADE): TENNESSEE (+8.5 vs LAC) 

(467) JACKSONVILLE (4-3) at (468) LAS VEGAS (2-5)
* JACKSONVILLE is on 17-3 Under the total surge when coming off a loss to an NFC foe
* JACKSONVILLE is 43-33 Under the total (56.6%) since 2021
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): JAX-LVR (o/u at 45.5)

* JACKSONVILLE’s Trevor Lawrence boasts a 7-3 SU and 9-1 ATS record with his team coming off a double-digit loss since 2022
* JACKSONVILLE is 32-43 ATS (42.7%) when coming off a SU loss since 2018
* JACKSONVILLE is 21-28 ATS (42.9%) as a favorite since 2018
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of JACKSONVILLE (-3.5 at LVR)

* LAS VEGAS’ Geno Smith is 8-11 SU but 11-8 ATS with his team coming off a double-digit loss since 2013
* LAS VEGAS is 36-51 ATS (41.4%) when coming off a SU loss since 2015
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of LAS VEGAS (+3.5 vs JAX) 

(469) NEW ORLEANS (1-7) at (470) LA RAMS (5-2)
* LA RAMS are 55-43 Under the total (56.1%) since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NO-LAR (o/u at 43.5)

* NEW ORLEANS is 37-25 ATS (59.7%) in road/neutral games since 2018
* LA RAMS’ Sean McVay is 9-6 SU but 5-9 ATS when his team plays with extra rest since 2022
* LA RAMS’ Sean McVay is just 9-15 SU and 6-16 ATS in its last 24 November games
Trends Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (+14 at LAR)

(471) KANSAS CITY (5-3) at (472) BUFFALO (5-2)
* KANSAS CITY’s Andy Reid is on 10-4 Under the total streak vs. elite offenses scoring >=27 PPG
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): KC-BUF (o/u at 52.5)

* KANSAS CITY is 27-8 SU and 24-11 ATS when riding a three-game or more ATS winning streak since 2014
* KANSAS CITY’s Patrick Mahomes boasts a 31-11 SU and 26-14 ATS record vs. teams with elite point differentials of >=+4.5 since 2019
* KANSAS CITY is 57-40-1 ATS (58.8%) in road/neutral games since 2014
Trends Match (PLAY): KANSAS CITY (-2.5 at BUF)

* BUFFALO is 41-29 ATS (58.6%) in non-divisional conference games since 2017
* BUFFALO is 21-7 SU and 22-6 ATS vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG since 2018
Trends Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (+2.5 vs KC) 

(473) SEATTLE (5-2) at (474) WASHINGTON (3-5)
* SEATTLE is 20-3 Under the total as road favorite vs. non-divisional NFC foes since 2013
* WASHINGTON is 28-11 Over the total when playing on short rest (<7 days) since 2011
Trends Match: 1 PLAY OVER, 1 PLAY UNDER in SEA-WAS (o/u at 47.5)

* SEATTLE’s Sam Darnold is 9-11 SU and 6-13-1 ATS in his last 20 starts vs. teams with losing records
* SEATTLE is 43-53-1 ATS (44.8%) when coming off a SU win since 2015
Trends Match (FADE): SEATTLE (-3 at WAS)

* WASHINGTON is 21-36 ATS (36.8%) when coming off a SU loss since 2019
* WASHINGTON’s Dan Quinn is 1-9 SU and 0-10 ATS when coming off a non-conference defeat since 2016
Trends Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (+3 vs SEA)

(475) ARIZONA (2-5) at (476) DALLAS (3-4)
* ARIZONA is 33-22 ATS (60%) in road/neutral games since 2019
* ARIZONA is 33-19 ATS (63.5%) as an underdog since 2021
Trends Match (PLAY): ARIZONA (+2.5 at DAL)

* DALLAS is 27-10 SU and 24-13 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2020
* DALLAS’ Dak Prescott is 18-6 SU and 17-7 ATS when his team is playing with extra rest (>7 days) since 2016
* DALLAS is 30-24 ATS (55.6%) in non-divisional conference games since 2019
Trends Match (PLAY): DALLAS (-2.5 vs ARI)

NFL Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NFL games and detail the results of the follow-up game for these teams. 

SHUTOUTS ARE EXTREMES
Teams that get shut out in a game have been solid bounce back teams in the next outing, going 29-36 SU but 39-24-2 ATS (61.9%) since 2012.
System Match (PLAY ATS): LAS VEGAS (+3.5 vs JAX) 

BLOWOUT GAMES ARE RED FLAGS
NFL teams that lose on a point spread by 30 points or more in any given game have rebounded nicely the next week when playing as road underdogs of 3 points or more, going 9-22-2 SU but 22-10-1 ATS (68.8%) in their last 33 tries.
System Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (+5.5 at NE) 

DON’T DISMISS TEAMS OFF DREADFUL OFFENSIVE OUTINGS
 NFL teams that lost, scored 7 points or fewer, and had 10 or fewer first downs in a game have performed admirably as underdogs in the next contest, 22-37 SU but 38-21 ATS (64.4%) over the last decade-plus.
System Match (PLAY): LAS VEGAS (+3.5 vs JAX)

The following NFL betting trends and systems come from a log of all the Thursday night (TNF), Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night (MNF) games since the start of the 2019 season. Only Thursday night games were included in the TNF study, not the day games played on Thanksgiving. The Sunday night games only included those games played on Sunday night, not all of the games covered by the NBC SNF crew, which also included some Wednesday and Saturday contests. The games analyzed were only regular-season games.

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

· There has been some interesting data regarding the first and second halves of the season in terms of Thursday night games. In the first half of the season, or Weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 30-24 SU but 19-33-2 ATS (36.5%) in the last 54. Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in Weeks 9 and later are 44-27 SU and 42-26-3 ATS (61.8%). There seems to be a fundamental edge to playing at home with less rest late in the season.
System Match (PLAY): MIAMI (+7.5 vs BAL)

·  Home underdogs on TNF have really struggled of late, going 8-22 SU and 12-18 ATS (40%) in their last 30, scoring just 16.5 PPG. In terms of totals, 18 of the last 28 (64.3%) TNF games featuring a home dog went Under.
System Match (FADE): MIAMI (+7.5 vs BAL)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BAL-MIA (o/u at 51.5)

·  More on totals, there have been 33 TNF games since 2012 with a total of 50 or greater, they went Under at a 22-11 rate (66.7%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BAL-MIA (o/u at 51.5) 

Under the total TNF Team Trends
Miami 8-3-1 Under the last 12
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): BAL-MIA (o/u at 51.5)

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

·   Home underdogs have been competitive on Sunday night football, going 20-25-1 SU and 26-18-2 ATS (59.1%) dating back to 2017.
System Match (PLAY): WASHINGTON (+3 vs SEA)

·  SNF teams coming off losses have proven not ready for the big time, as they have gone just 14-27 SU and 15-26 ATS (36.6%) in their last 41 tries against teams off a win.
System Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (+3 vs SEA)

·  Momentum has been big for hosts overall, as home teams on SNF coming off a loss in their last games are just 16-23-1 SU and 17-22-1 ATS (43.6%) in their last 40, but those coming off a win are on a current 28-10 SU and 22-16 ATS (57.9%) surge.
System Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (+3 vs SEA)

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

·  In non-divisional conference matchups on MNF, hosts are on a 23-21 SU and 27-17 ATS (61.4%) surge since 2019.
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS (-2.5 vs ARI)

· Won/lost records have mattered on MNF, as teams with the better record are 46-40 SU but just 33-51-2 ATS (39.3%) in the last 86 MNF games not matching teams with identical records.
System Match (FADE): DALLAS (-2.5 vs ARI)

Good MNF Team Trends
Dallas 7-4 SU and ATS in the last 11
Trend Match (PLAY): DALLAS (-2.5 vs ARI)

Bad MNF Team Trends                               
Arizona 3-7 ATS in the last 10
Trend Match (FADE): ARIZONA (+2.5 at DAL) 

Under the total MNF Team Trends
Arizona 8-2 Under in the last 10
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): ARI-DAL (o/u at 54.5) 

If you’ve picked up from each of the team trends sections that certain teams are consistently doing well or poorly, or are going Over or Under regularly, you’re right. Here are some overall primetime game trends that you’re going to want to consider:

Good PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Baltimore 28-14 SU and 25-16-1 ATS in the last 42
Trend Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (-7.5 at MIA)

Dallas 16-8 ATS in the last 24
Trend Match (PLAY): DALLAS (-2.5 vs ARI)

Bad PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Washington 14-25 and 13-25-1 ATS in primetime since 2013
Trend Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (+3 vs SEA)

Under the total PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Miami 13-4 to the Under
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): BAL-MIA (o/u at 51.5)

Seattle 12-6 Under in the last 18
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): SEA-WAS (o/u at 47.5)

NFL Streaks Provide Some Advantages for Bettors

The following betting systems focus on winning and losing streaks. Below are the ones that have qualifying plays for this week’s action. 

NFL Streaks Betting System #5: NFL teams that have won their last four games outright while outscoring opponents by fewer than 30 total points in that span have gone 62-15 SU and 50-25-2 ATS (66.7%) in the next game when favored.
System Match (PLAY): DENVER (*if they become favored at Houston, +1.5 currently) 

NFL Streaks Betting System #6: NFL road teams that have lost their last three games ATS and are facing a team with more than a 50% winning percentage better than them are 15-30 SU but 33-10-2 ATS (76.7%) in their last 45 tries.
System Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (+14 at LAR) 

NFL Streaks Betting System #7: NFL road teams that have lost their last three games outright and are facing a team with more than a 50% winning percentage better than them are 13-79 SU but 61-31 ATS (66.3%) as underdogs of 5.5 points or more since 2006.
System Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (+14 at LAR) 

NFL Streaks Betting System #9: NFL teams that have lost their last three games ATS are 22-65 SU but 52-33-2 ATS (61.2%) when playing as road dogs to non-divisional conference foes since 2003.
System Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (+14 at LAR) 

NFL Streaks Betting System #14: NFL teams playing on Monday Night Football after losing at least their last five games outright have gone 6-14 SU but 15-5 ATS (75%) in their last 20 tries.
System Match (PLAY ATS): ARIZONA (+2.5 at DAL)

The following NFL betting trends and systems are from the long-running article series detailing pre-bye week performance in the NFL. These records are from only in-season bye weeks and do not include playoffs or preseason. 

Pre-bye week system #4
Play on home teams in their pre-bye week game when it comes Week 8 or later on the NFL annual schedule. (Record: 75-39-2 ATS since 2010, 65.8%, +32.1 units, 28.2% ROI, Grade 68)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CINCINNATI (+3 vs CHI), TENNESSEE (+8.5 vs LAC), DALLAS (-2.5 vs ARI) 

Pre-bye week system #5
Play on home underdogs heading into their bye week. (Record: 36-23-3 ATS since 2015, 61%, +10.7 units, 18.1% ROI, Grade 62)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CINCINNATI (+3 vs CHI), TENNESSEE (+8.5 vs LAC) 

Pre-bye week system #7
Play against any home team in the +4.5 to -4.5 line range heading into their bye week on Monday Night. (Record: 12-7 SU and 15-4 ATS since 1996, 78.9%, +10.6 units, 55.8% ROI, Grade 65)
System Match (FADE): DALLAS (-2.5 vs ARI) 

Pre-bye week system #9
Play against any teams heading into their bye week and playing as underdogs of more than 7 points (Record: 43-7 SU and 35-14-1 ATS since ’08, 71.4%, +19.6 units, 40% ROI, Grade 70)
System Match (FADE): TENNESSEE (+8.5 vs LAC)

* Please note that the systems above and all of the following trends only include bye week games from the regular season schedule, not playoffs. 

Cincinnati Bengals Pre-Bye Week Game – 11/2 vs. Chicago Bears
· Cincinnati has gone 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS in its last 13 pre-bye week games at home
Trend Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (+3 vs CHI)

·  The Bengals are on a 7-2 Over the total surge in pre-bye week games vs. NFC foes
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CHI-CIN (o/u at 51.5) 

Dallas Cowboys Pre-Bye Week Game – Mon 11/3 vs. Arizona Cardinals
· Dallas went 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS under former head coach Mike McCarthy following a 3-8 ATS skid prior
Trend Match (SLIGHT PLAY): DALLAS (-2.5 vs ARI)

· The Cowboys are 6-1 Over the total in their last seven pre-bye week games versus non-divisional NFC foes
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): ARI-DAL (o/u at 54.5) 

Kansas City Chiefs Pre-Bye Week Game – 11/2 at Buffalo Bills
· Kansas City has won its last six pre-bye week games, going 5-1 ATS
Trend Match (PLAY): KANSAS CITY (-2.5 at BUF) 

Tennessee Titans Pre-Bye Week Game – 11/2 vs. Los Angeles Chargers
· The Titans are 10-2 Over the total in their last 12 pre-bye week home games, with a total point production of 47.5 PPG
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): LAC-TEN (o/u at 43.5)

·  Tennessee has gone 5-2 ATS in its last seven pre-bye week contests as an underdog
Trend Match (PLAY): TENNESSEE (+8.5 vs LAC)

Post-Bye Week Trends and Systems

The following NFL betting trends and systems are from the long-running article series detailing pre- and post-bye week performance in the NFL. These records are from only in-season bye weeks and do not include playoffs or preseason 

Post-bye week system #1:
Play on road favorites coming out of their bye week. (Record: 115-47 SU and 95-63-4 ATS since ’99, 60.1%, +25.7 units, 16.3% ROI, Grade 63)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): JACKSONVILLE (-3.5 at LVR), SEATTLE (-3 at WAS) 

Post-bye week system #3:
Play against home underdogs coming out of their bye week. (Record: 46-19 SU and 37-26-2 ATS since ’99, 58.7%, +8.4 units, 13.3% ROI, Grade 59)
System Match (FADE): LAS VEGAS (+3.5 vs JAX) 

Post-bye week system #5:
Play against double-digit favorites coming off their bye week. (Record: 19-8-1 ATS since 2014, 70.4%, +10.2 units, 37.8% ROI, Grade 62)
System Match (FADE): LA RAMS (-14 vs NO) 

Post-bye week system #6:
Play against road teams coming off their bye week and facing a non-divisional conference opponent. (Record: 24-14 SU and 26-12 ATS since ’19, 68.4%, +12.8 units, 33.7% ROI, Grade 65)
System Matches (FADE ALL): JACKSONVILLE (-3.5 at LVR), SEATTLE (-3 at WAS), ARIZONA (+2.5 at DAL)

Post-bye week system #7:
Play Under the total with road teams coming off their bye week (Record: 40-21-1 since 2021, 65.6%, +16.9 units, 27.7% ROI, Grade 65)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): JAX-LVR (o/u at 45.5), SEA-WAS (o/u at 47.5), ARI-DAL (o/u at 54.5) 

Post-bye week system #8:
Play against teams coming off their bye week after a loss to a divisional opponent prior to the bye. (Record: 25-19 SU and 28-13-3 ATS since 2008, 68.3%, +13.7 units, 33.4% ROI, Grade 62)
System Match (FADE): LAS VEGAS (+3.5 vs JAX) 

Post-bye week system #10:
Play Under the total in games where a team is coming out of its bye week after yielding 35+ points before the bye. (Record: 23-12-1 Under since 2014, 65.7%, +9.8 units, 28% ROI, Grade 62)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): JAX-LVR (o/u at 45.5) 

** Please note that the systems above and all of the following trends only include bye week games from the regular season schedule, not playoffs. 

Arizona Cardinals Post-Bye Week Game: MON 11/3 at Dallas Cowboys
· Arizona has gone 10-4 ATS in its last 14 post-bye week road games
·  The Cardinals are on skids of 1-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in post-bye week games, including 0-2 SU and ATS under head coach Gannon
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of ARIZONA (+2.5 at DAL) 

Detroit Lions Post-Bye Week Game: 11/2 vs. Minnesota Vikings
· Detroit is 9-3-1 SU and 11-2 ATS in post-bye week games since 2012
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-8.5 vs MIN)

· The Lions are on a 3-0 ATS and 3-0 Under the total streaks in post-bye week divisional games
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIN-DET (o/u at 48.5) 

Jacksonville Jaguars Post-Bye Week Game: 11/2 at Las Vegas Raiders
· Jacksonville is on a 9-3-1 ATS post-bye week run vs. AFC foes
·  The Jaguars are just 1-6 SU and 3-3-1 ATS in their last seven post-bye week games
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of JACKSONVILLE (-3.5 at LVR)

Los Angeles Rams Post-Bye Week Game: 11/2 vs. New Orleans Saints
· The Rams are on a 0-4 ATS post-bye week skid after going 10-3-1 ATS in prior 14
Trend Match (FADE): LA RAMS (-14 vs NO)

· The Rams are on a 5-1 Under the total run in post-bye week home games
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NO-LAR (o/u at 43.5) 

Las Vegas Raiders Post-Bye Week Game: 11/2 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
· The Raiders are on a 1-7 SU and 1-6-1 ATS skid in post-bye week games overall
Trend Match (FADE): LAS VEGAS (+3.5 vs JAX)

· The Raiders are on a 5-1 Over the total surge in post-bye week home games
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): JAX-LVR (o/u at 45.5) 

Seattle Seahawks Post-Bye Week Game: 11/2 at Washington Commanders
· In post-bye week games vs. non-divisional NFC foes, Seattle is on a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS surge
Trend Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (-3 at WAS)

· The Seahawks have gone Under the total in seven of last eight post-bye week road games
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): SEA-WAS (o/u at 47.5)

NFL Rookie/Retread Coaching Systems

This material is from the VSiN piece entitled Analyzing the New NFL Head Coaches for 2025 detailing systems that apply to rookie coaches Ben Johnson (Chicago), Brian Schottenheimer (Dallas), Liam Coen (Jacksonville), Kellen Moore (New Orleans), and Aaron Glenn (NY Jets) as well as retread coaches Pete Carroll (Las Vegas) and Mike Vrabel (New England). 

Rookie Coach Systems

(Games this week: CHI(-3)-CIN, JAX(-3.5)-LVR, NO(+14)-LAR), ARI-DAL(-2.5)) 

– Rookie head coaches haven’t been good at covering point spreads at home over the last decade – 155-182-10 ATS (46%).
System Match (FADE): DALLAS 

– Since 2015, in games #1-#4 of their first seasons, they’ve combined to go 87-89-4 ATS, good for 49.4%. In games #5-#12, they’ve gone 156-171-11 ATS (47.7%). To close the season in games #13-#17, the record has been 89-89-1 ATS (50%). Again, not awe-inspiring patterns, but there is some foundation to this.
System Match (FADE): CHICAGO, JACKSONVILLE, NEW ORLEANS, DALLAS 

Retread Coach Systems

(Games this week: ATL-NE(-5.5), JAX-LVR(+3.5)) 

– Retread head coaches have been brutal bets as favorites. As favorites since 2015, they’ve gone 96-68 SU but just 63-90-11 ATS, for 41.2%!
System Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND 

– In non-conference games, they have really struggled, going 44-60 ATS (42.3%) over the last decade, including 17-30 ATS (36.2%) over the last three seasons.
System Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND 

– Retread head coaches have shown a tendency to start very slow at their new franchises and finish their first seasons more successfully when it comes to covering point spreads. Since 2015, in Weeks #1-#10 of their first seasons, they’ve combined to go 106-138 ATS (43.4%), while in weeks #11 and later, they’ve gone 81-74 ATS (52.3%).

System Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND, LAS VEGAS 

– There seems to be a noteworthy trend of momentum that comes with these re-tread head coaches. Since 2015, when coming off a win or tie, these coaches have posted a modest 83-78 ATS (51.6%) record in their first seasons, including 33-25 ATS (56.9%) since mid-2022. When coming off a loss, the record has been an ugly 138-176 ATS (43.9%) in that same time span.
System Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND
System Match (FADE): LAS VEGAS

NFL Rookie Quarterback Systems

These systems take into account rookie quarterback records in their first seasons. They include game logs of any rookie that started seven or more games in that first season. The starters this week include Cam Ward (Tennessee), JJ McCarthy (Minnesota), Tyler Shough (NO Saints), and Jaxson Dart (NY Giants).

(Games this week: LAC-TEN(+8.5), SF-NYG(+2.5), MIN(+8.5)-DET, NO(+14)-LAR) 

NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #5 – Rookie quarterbacks have struggled on the road, particularly late in the season
The results of rookie quarterbacks on the road lately are startling. Since the start of the 2013 season, rookie starters have combined for a record of 140-127 ATS (52.4%) in home games but just 123-149 ATS (45.2%) in road/neutral games.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MINNESOTA, NEW ORLEANS 

NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #6 – Don’t fall for the big underdog point spreads with rookie quarterbacks
Since 2015, rookie starting quarterbacks facing underdog lines of 6.5 points or more have won just 23 games, going 23-128 SU and 60-87-4 ATS (40.8%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): TENNESSEE, MINNESOTA, NEW ORLEANS 

NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #10 – By type of opponent, divisional matchups have been toughest for rookie starting quarterbacks
Since 2015, rookie QBs are just 50-110 SU and 66-89-4 ATS (42.6%) versus divisional opponents.
System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA

Since 2018, rookie QBs have fared well against non-divisional conference opponents, going 55-69 SU but 69-54 ATS (56.1%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): TENNESSEE, NEW ORLEANS, NY GIANTS 

NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #11 – Losses have tended to snowball for rookie QBs
In their last 172 starts with their teams coming off outright losses, rookie QBs have gone just 57-121 SU and 79-96-2 ATS (45.1%). This trend dates back to 2018.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TENNESSEE, NEW ORLEANS, MINNESOTA, NY GIANTS 

NFL Veteran Quarterback Leading New Team Systems

These systems take into account veteran quarterback records in their first season with a new team. They include game logs of 32 different veteran QBs since 2004 who have played at least eight years in the NFL and started extensively on a previous team. This week, there are three different QBs finding themselves in a new place: Aaron Rodgers (Pittsburgh), Joe Flacco (Cincinnati), and Geno Smith (Las Vegas).

(Games this week: IND-PIT(+3), CHI-CIN(+3), JAX-LVR(+3.5)) 

NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #5 – Veteran quarterbacks thrive with their new teams at home
The results since 2005 of veteran quarterbacks playing with their new teams at home are quite impressive, as they have gone 129-85 SU and 111-92-11 ATS (54.7%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PITTSBURGH, CINCINNATI, LAS VEGAS 

NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #6 – By type of opponent, non-divisional conference matchups have been best for veteran starting quarterbacks in their first season with new teams
Since 2005, veteran QBs in their first season with new teams have fared well against non-divisional conference opponents, going 87-74 SU and 86-73-2 ATS (54.1%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PITTSBURGH, LAS VEGAS 

NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #7 – Non-conference matchups have been an absolute struggle for veteran starting quarterbacks in their first season with new teams over the last four years
Since 2021, veteran QBs in their first season with new teams have struggled horribly against non-conference opponents, going 18-31 SU and 15-34 ATS (30.6%).
System Match (FADE): CINCINNATI 

These are the top head-to-head series trends between teams from recent years’ action: 

(309) BALTIMORE at (310) MIAMI
* BALTIMORE is 6-1 ATS in the last seven games when visiting Miami, but did lose last time
Trend Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (-7.5 at MIA)

(451) CHICAGO at (452) CINCINNATI
* Underdogs are 4-0 SU and ATS in the CHI-CIN series at Cincinnati since 1995
Trend Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (+3 vs CHI)

(453) SAN FRANCISCO at (454) NY GIANTS
* SAN FRANCISCO is 5-1 ATS in the last six matchups with NYG
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-2.5 at NYG) 

(455) ATLANTA at (456) NEW ENGLAND
* NEW ENGLAND is on a 7-0 SU and ATS surge versus ATL since 2001
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ENGLAND (-5.5 vs ATL) 

(457) INDIANAPOLIS at (458) PITTSBURGH
* Over the total is 5-0 in the IND-PIT series since 2019, and is 9-2 to the Over in the last 11 matchups in Pittsburgh
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): IND-PIT (o/u at 50.5)

* Home teams are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 of the IND-PIT series
Trend Match (PLAY): PITTSBURGH (+3 vs IND) 

(459) CAROLINA at (460) GREEN BAY
* CAROLINA is 3-5 SU but 6-2 ATS in the last eight matchups with Green Bay
Trend Match (PLAY ATS): CAROLINA (+13.5 at GB) 

(461) MINNESOTA at (462) DETROIT
* DETROIT has dominated divisional foe Minnesota recently, going 9-0 SU and ATS since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (-8.5 vs MIN) 

(463) DENVER at (464) HOUSTON
* Under the total is 7-2 in the last nine of the Broncos-Texans series
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): DEN-HOU (o/u at 39.5)

(465) LA CHARGERS at (466) TENNESSEE
* Home teams are 11-2 SU and 10-2-1 ATS in the last 13 non-neutral meetings between LAC and TEN
Trend Match (PLAY): TENNESSEE (+8.5 vs LAC) 

(467) JACKSONVILLE at (468) LAS VEGAS
* Under the total is 6-1 in the last seven of the JAX-LVR series at the Raiders
Trend Match (PLAY): JAX-LVR (o/u at 45.5)

(469) NEW ORLEANS at (470) LA RAMS
* Home teams are 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS in the Saints-Rams series since 2009
Trend Match (PLAY): LA RAMS (-14 vs NO) 

(471) KANSAS CITY at (472) BUFFALO
* BUFFALO is 5-1 ATS in the last six regular-season matchups with Kansas City
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (+2.5 vs KC) 

(473) SEATTLE at (474) WASHINGTON
* Under the total is 4-0 in the last four meetings between SEA and WAS at Washington
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): SEA-WAS (o/u at 47.5) 

(475) ARIZONA at (476) DALLAS
* ARIZONA is 7-1 SU and ATS in the last eight games with non-divisional conference foe Dallas
Trend Match (PLAY): ARIZONA (+2.5 at DAL) 

Strategies Using NFL DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. In an article published in the 2025 NFL Betting Guide, Steve Makinen outlined 12 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of Wednesday at 2:30 p.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage. 

Here is a quick tabulation on how DK bettors performed in the 2024 season: 

– Majority handle on point spreads: 141-131 ATS (51.8%)
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 140-130 ATS (51.9%)
– Majority handle on totals: 143-133 (51.8%)
– Majority number of bets on totals: 147-131 (52.9%) 

These are very good wrap-up numbers by the standards that have been established in most of the similar reports I have done for other sports. Considering NFL betting is king, it’s nice to see recreational bettors like those at DraftKings holding their own. With that in mind, here are the systems with updated language and records heading into the ’25 season. 

NFL DK Betting Splits system #1: Over the past two seasons, when more than 68% of the handle has been on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group is just 71-81 ATS (46.7%). The number for this “super-majority” in college football was closer to 75%. In other words, if you see over 2/3 of the handle backing one side in an NFL game this season, it’s consistently profitable to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BALTIMORE, CHICAGO, SAN FRANCISCO, NEW ENGLAND, INDIANAPOLIS, GREEN BAY, DETROIT, LA CHARGERS, JACKSONVILLE, LA RAMS, SEATTLE, DALLAS 

NFL DK Betting Splits system #2: In NFL divisional games of 2022-24, DK majority handle bettors have been awful, as this majority group is just 117-148 ATS (44.2%). With the obvious generality that public bettors love favorites, it’s clear that they don’t value the stakes of these rivalry games and what they mean for the competitors.
System Match (FADE): DETROIT

NFL DK Betting Splits system #3: Similarly to #2 above, in that same time span, when the majority number of bets staked its side in an NFL divisional game, this majority group is just 118-150 ATS (44%).
System Match (FADE): DETROIT 

NFL DK Betting Splits system #4: In NFL non-conference games of 2023 and 2024, DK majority number of bets groups were actually quite sharp, going 79-64 ATS (55.2%). This is obviously quite the opposite performance level of #3 above, and unfortunately for bettors, there are two fewer non-conference tilts than divisional contests for each team on the schedule every year. Of course, if strategically playing both spots according to these systems, every game in either situation is an opportunity.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): CHICAGO, NEW ENGLAND

NFL DK Betting Splits system #5: Since the start of the 2023 season, when the majority number of bets have backed road favorites for an ATS wager, these majority groups are actually 100-87 ATS (53.5%). I will tell you that there are only 15 games or fewer each year when this group will actually back the home dog. Watch this one closely, as backing road favorites in the NFL has never been a consistent winning strategy.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): BALTIMORE, CHICAGO, SAN FRANCISCO, INDIANAPOLIS, LA CHARGERS, JACKSONVILLE, SEATTLE

NFL DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority handle was on road underdogs for an ATS wager over the last two years, these majority groups have surprisingly struggled, 27-36 ATS (42.9%). This goes against the logic I have discovered in other sports, which says that when the public goes “against the grain,” they can do well. Quite the opposite here. As you can see, it is rare, just 63 games in two full seasons.
System Match (FADE): DENVER 

NFL DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority handle and number of bets have backed a team in an ATS wager in the higher-profile, non-Sunday afternoon games over the last two seasons, these majority groups are just 100-114 ATS (46.7%) and 101-111 ATS (47.6%), respectively. This set of games includes all the Thursday, Saturday, Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night contests. These numbers were improved along with the overall majority figures last year, but I wouldn’t expect that to continue.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BALTIMORE, SEATTLE, DALLAS 

DK Betting Splits system #9: The average NFL total in 2023 was 43.0. Last year, it ballooned back up to 44.6. In games where the totals reached 46.5 or higher and odds makers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, majority number of bettors have gauged these games incredibly well the last two years, going 96-72 ATS (60.8%)! We’ll see how that trend holds in 2025.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – CHI-CIN, SF-NYG, IND-PIT, MIN-DET, KC-BUF, SEA-WAS, ARI-DAL
UNDER – BAL-MIA 

DK Betting Splits system #10: When 56% or more of the number of bets have been on the Under in an NFL game total over the last 2-1/2 seasons, this majority group has been quite sharp, 56-45 ATS (55.4%). This number for a “super-majority” inthe  NFL is quite low, evidence of how rarely the betting public bets the low side of a total. Incidentally, the same majority figure for handle has also produced a 74-62 (54.4%) record.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY UNDER ALL): BAL-MIA, CAR-GB 

DK Betting Splits system #11: The magic mark for super majority on handle for betting Overs was 74% or higher, and this group performed miserably in 2023 and 2024 with a record of 46-69 (42.6%). To me, this has been a long-standing belief, but when the Over looks too obvious, it usually loses. On the number of bets, this same super majority percentage produced a slightly improved 30-37 (44.8%) record, still poor though.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL INSTEAD): CHI-CIN, SF-NYG, MIN-DET, LAC-TEN, KC-BUF 

DK Betting Splits system #12: Call this one the Over trap, but when a super-majority (>=64%) of handle has been on the Over, but DraftKings moved the opening total lower throughout the week, this majority group has lost big, going just 70-92 (43.2%) over the past three seasons. Almost as if they were trying to bait more people into taking the Over. This is a classic example of where those behind the counter are smarter than those trying to cash the tickets.
System Match (PLAY UNDER INSTEAD): ATL-NE

This Week’s NFL Strength Ratings

The following NFL betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BUFFALO +2.5 (+3.1)
2. CINCINNATI +3 (+2.7)
3. MIAMI +7.5 (+1.5)
4(tie). LAS VEGAS +3 (+1.2)
CAROLINA +13.5 (+1.2) 

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SEATTLE -3 (+2.3)
2. LA CHARGERS -8.5 (+1.6)
3. DETROIT -8.5 (+1.2)
4. DALLAS -2.5 (+1.0)
5. NEW ENGLAND -5.5 (+0.9) 

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. TENNESSEE +8.5 (+3.4)
2(tie). MIAMI +7.5 (+3.1)
NEW ORLEANS +14 (+3.1)
4. NY GIANTS +2.5 (+2.6)
5. PITTSBURGH +3 (+0.7)

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SEATTLE -3 (+3.0)
2. CHICAGO -3 (+1.3)
3. HOUSTON -1.5 (+1.0)
4. DETROIT -8.5 (+0.7)
5. GREEN BAY -13.5 (+0.3) 

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. CAR-GB OVER 43.5 (+0.9)
2. SEA-WAS OVER 47.5 (+0.7)
3. CHI-CIN OVER 51.5 (+0.2)
4(tie). DEN-HOU OVER 39.5 (+0.1)
JAX-LVR OVER 44.5 (+0.1) 

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. KC-BUF UNDER 52.5 (-5.0)
2. BAL-MIA UNDER 51.5 (-2.6)
3. MIN-DET UNDER 48.5 (-1.1)
4. ARI-DAL UNDER 54.5 (-1.0)
5. ATL-NE UNDER 44.5 (-0.7) 

This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ATLANTA +5.5 (+5.4)
2. BUFFALO +2.5 (+4.2)
3. NEW ORLEANS +14 (+3.7)
4. CINCINNATI +3 (+3.4)
5. PITTSBURGH +3 (+2.4)

This week’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DALLAS -2.5 (+2.0)
2. SEATTLE -3 (+1.8)
3. HOUSTON -1.5 (+0.6) 

This week’s Top 4 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DEN-HOU OVER 39.5 (+3.5)
2. ATL-NE OVER 44.5 (+2.9)
3. IND-PIT OVER 50.5 (+1.5)
4. CAR-GB OVER 43.5 (+0.4) 

This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SF-NYG UNDER 48.5 (-4.1)
2. CHI-CIN UNDER 51.5 (-2.9)
3. KC-BUF UNDER 52.5 (-2.1)
4. SEA-WAS UNDER 47.5 (-1.8)
ARI-DAL UNDER 54.5 (-1.8)

Comparing Effective Yards Per Play Ratings to This Week’s Matchups

Here are the top six games for this weekend’s games, as far as differential of Effective Play-by-Play ratings versus actual point spreads, with home field advantage built into the differences. Starting in Week 4 of the 2025 season, these plays are 15-15 ATS (50%). 

1. (473) SEATTLE SEAHAWKS at (474) WASHINGTON COMMANDERS
Actual Home Line: WASHINGTON COMMANDERS +3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: WASHINGTON COMMANDERS +11.3
Difference: 8.3 – Favors: SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

2. (455) ATLANTA FALCONS at (456) NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Actual Home Line: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -5.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +0.8
Difference: 6.3 – Favors: ATLANTA FALCONS 

3. (467) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS at (468) LAS VEGAS RAIDERS
Actual Home Line: LAS VEGAS RAIDERS +3.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: LAS VEGAS RAIDERS -1.2
Difference: 4.7 – Favors: LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 

4. (465) LA CHARGERS at (466) TENNESSEE TITANS
Actual Home Line: TENNESSEE TITANS +8.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: TENNESSEE TITANS +13
Difference: 4.5 – Favors: LA CHARGERS 

5. (459) CAROLINA PANTHERS at (460) GREEN BAY PACKERS
Actual Home Line: GREEN BAY PACKERS -13.5
Effective Play-by-Play Line: GREEN BAY PACKERS -17.8
Difference: 4.3 – Favors: GREEN BAY PACKERS 

6. (457) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS at (458) PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Actual Home Line: PITTSBURGH STEELERS +3
Effective Play-by-Play Line: PITTSBURGH STEELERS +6.1
Difference: 3.1 – Favors: INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR