NFL Week 11 Early Best Bets from Mike Somich:
If you are looking for a recap of the Week 9 action with early bets in Week 10, make sure to check out Sharp Money! All the Week 10 bets will be on the Thursday podcast, so make sure to subscribe!
Before we look at Week 11, let’s recap Week 9.
Week 7 Results
Houston Texans vs. Seattle Seahawks (-2.5, Total 42.5)
The Bet: Seahawks -2.5
Colts +7.5 / Cowboys +8.5 Teaser
Nice to have a sweep in both CLV and the final results!
Record: 9-6
CLV: 14-1
Week 8 Results
The Bet: Green Bay Packers -3
The Bet: Houston Texans -2
We swept both bets in CLV and wins!
Record: 8-5
CLV: 12-1
Week 9 Results
The Bet: Indianapolis Colts -1.5
The Bet: Under 44.5 Panthers / Packers
We crushed the CLV with the Colts and took the L, but got CLV and the win with the Under.
Record: 9-6
CLV: 14-1
Early Week 11 Bets
Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5, Total 46.5) vs. Denver Broncos
While we have seen this side move, this opened Chiefs -1.5; the total has not adjusted. While I do believe we will have a slightly better offensive line for the Chiefs, I am still worried that this Denver pass rush will dominate that side of the ball. Kansas City’s defense has stood up against nearly every offense they have faced, and I do not see Bo Nix cutting them up here. Let’s play the under on the good side of 46 before this total moves.
The Bet: Chiefs/Broncos Under 46.5 (FanDuel)
Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5, Total 48.5)
We have seen a move toward the over here, which is surprising to me since both teams added on the defensive side of the ball on Tuesday. I love this spot for the Lions, yes, it will be back-to-back road games, but the travel is not extreme, and they get an extra day of rest as Philly exits a tougher Week 10 road contest on Monday night against the Packers.
We do not have a fully healthy Eagles team either, with issues at the RB, WE and OL. If there are any additional injuries, this will move to the Detroit side, so let’s lock in the dog now.
The Bet: Detroit Lions +1.5
