NFL Week 3 Best Bets from Will Hill:

Green Bay Packers at Tennessee Titans (-2.5)

I don’t buy the rumors that Jordan Love will return this week for the Packers. With a division game on deck against the Vikings next week, it makes sense for the Packers to let Love sit until he’s fully healthy, especially considering they already stole a victory last week with backup Malik Willis. The Titans once again blew a game with boneheaded mistakes in their Week 2 loss vs. the Jets, but the defense played another solid game and is one of the more underrated units in the NFL. Willis led a mostly one-dimensional attack last week in the Packers’ victory over the Colts, but I expect the Titans to be much more prepared for the run, and stack the box against an unproven Willis, who will find things much tougher in this road test. A desperate Titans team should find the win column for the first time.

NFL Best Bet: Tennessee Titans – 2.5

 

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San Francisco 49ers (-6; 43.5) at Los Angeles Rams

Plenty of offensive weapons for both of these teams- the problem is not many of those players will see the field in this game. Cooper Kupp, Puca Nacua, Deebo Samuel and Christian McCaffrey are all out, and George Kittle may also miss this one. The Rams have already dealt with a season’s worth of injuries along the offensive line, as well. Brock Purdy threw two interceptions in last week’s loss to the Vikings, and with the diminished supporting cast, I expect a conservative, run-heavy gameplan from the 49ers. Divisional games typically trend towards being lower-scoring, and with all of the missing firepower for both offenses, I think the under is the way to go here.

NFL Best Bet: Under 43.5

Los Angeles Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3; 36)

Speaking of low scoring, the Steelers are an “Under” team until proven otherwise. They have a clear MO, run the ball, play good defense and punt/kick field goals when 4th down arrives – all ideal for “under” bettors. Their two wins have been 18-10 and 13-6, meanwhile the Chargers are undefeated as well, with 22-10 and 26-3 victories. Two old school coaches in Jim Harbaugh and Mike Tomlin, two solid defenses, and not a lot of offensive weapons on either side. This one may not be a thing of beauty, but this is how the Steelers play seemingly every week, and it’s worked for the most part in the regular season over the last few seasons despite underwhelming QB play. 17 points may be enough to win this one.

NFL Best Bet: Under 36

San Francisco 49ers Under 11.5 wins -125 (DraftKings)

Perhaps you wait a week or two to make this bet considering their next two games are against the beat-up Rams and then the Patriots. But the 49ers themselves are already all beaten up, and they already have a loss on their ledger. The defending NFC champs still have to deal with a first- place schedule, and have games against the Lions, Bills, Chiefs, Cowboys and Packers. They also get the Dolphins later in the season when Tua Tagavailoa may be healthy and available. Meanwhile, their four games against the Cardinals and Seahawks now look tougher than they did before the season, as both teams look slightly better than expected. Getting to 12 wins again with all of these obstacles is asking a lot considering their schedule, combined with all of their injuries.

NFL Best Bet: San Francisco 49ers Under 11.5 Wins

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