Week 6 of the NFL season brings us another Monday Night Football doubleheader, as the Atlanta Falcons host the Buffalo Bills and the Washington Commanders host the Chicago Bears. Our VSiN suite of tools — including the Opta AI Player Projections, WR-CB Matchup Tool, and NFL Player Prop Analyzer — can help bettors identify edges and uncover value in the player markets. Keep reading for some of the most advantageous spots for Monday, and make sure you check out the pages themselves. While we’re identifying three good ones below, we have plenty more of these elsewhere on the website! Subscribe and become a VSiN Pro for access to everything we have to offer!
Biggest Opta AI Player Prop Edge
CLICK HERE to check out all of our Opta AI NFL Player Prop Projections! We have more of these for the two Monday games, and we’ll have !
Michael Penix Jr. Over 222.5 Passing Yards (-115): Our Opta AI player projections have Penix Jr. throwing for 245.40, which is an edge to the Over of 20.90 on the DraftKings Sportsbook total of 224.5. However, you can get Penix Jr. to go Over 222.5 at BetMGM, meaning an even bigger edge there. Penix Jr. just threw for 313 yards in a win over Washington last week, so let’s see if he can turn in another big performance against Buffalo. It helps that this is a home game. Penix has been much better when playing at Mercedes-Benz Stadium early in his career.
Best WR Matchup
CLICK HERE to check out all of the WR-CB matchup data we have (from Fantasy Points)!
Commanders wideout Jaylin Lane vs. Bears cornerback Tyrique Stevenson: Stevenson has really good PFF grades this year, but he’s looking better as a run defender than a coverage player. That’s probably part of the reason why our WR-CB Matchup Tool has Lane with a +0.13 matchup in this game, which is a higher number than anybody else in this one. That’s interesting because Lane’s receiving yard prop is down at 18.5. Lane hasn’t yet had at least 19 receiving yards in a game this season, but let’s see if that changes with this lineup — plus the absence of McLaurin and Noah Brown.
Player Prop Trend
CLICK HERE to take a look at our NFL Prop Analyzer! Find out who has been consistently going Over/Under their player prop totals.
Bijan Robinson Over 110.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-110): This season, Robinson is averaging 146.0 total rushing and receiving yards per game, and our Prop Analyzer shows that he has gone Over his combined rushing and receiving mark three times in his four games. Well, Robinson will now face a Buffalo team that hasn’t been good against the running game, so he should do a number with his running game here. However, with two receiving yard games with 100+ yards, why not look into taking him to go Over his rushing and receiving total.
