Week 7 of the NFL season brings another loaded slate of player prop opportunities across the league. Well, our VSiN suite of tools — including the Opta AI Player Projections, WR-CB Matchup Tool, and NFL Player Prop Analyzer — can help bettors identify edges and uncover value in the player markets. Keep reading for some of the most advantageous spots of the weekend, and make sure you check out the pages themselves. While we’re identifying three good ones below, we have dozens of these elsewhere on the website! Subscribe and become a VSiN Pro for access to everything we have to offer!
Biggest Opta AI Player Prop Edge
CLICK HERE to check out all of our Opta AI NFL Player Prop Projections! We have over 100 projections on the OptaAI pages for Week 7!
Patrick Mahomes Under 265.5 (-115): Our OptaAI player projections have Mahomes throwing for 210.83 yards against the Raiders. This is obviously a matchup that looks quite strong for the Chiefs, and we’ll also see the return of Rashee Rice here. However, the projections see a huge edge to the Under. In fact, Mahomes’ projections are 46.68 yards lower than his total at DraftKings Sportsbook, and you can get an even bigger edge by going Under his 265.5-yard total at BetMGM. While this might be a game in which Mahomes finds it easy to throw, the Chiefs are favored by nearly two touchdowns. Perhaps that means the game script will call for a run-heavy second half, meaning Mahomes falls short of the mark.
Best WR Matchup
CLICK HERE to check out all of the WR-CB matchup data we have (from Fantasy Points)!
Patriots WR Stefon Diggs vs. Titans corner Jalyn Armour-Davis: One of the WR-CB Matchup Tool’s favorite matchups this week is Diggs getting to work against Armour-Davis. Diggs, who is questionable for this game, has been cooking lately. Before having only three catches for 28 yards against the Saints last week, he had gone for 100+ in back-to-back games. Well, if he can shed his injury tag and get on the field for this one, a play on Over 50.5 yards at FanDuel could be worth it. Armour-Davis’ PFF coverage grade is 51.4, putting him 85th out of 109 players at the position. This might even be a game in which you’ll want to ladder Diggs. He’s +300 to have 80+ yards and +630 to have 100+. That said, keep an eye on his status and get ready to take some shots. I’m going to hope for the best in regards to the injury, so I’m making this one of my Week 8 best bets.
Player Prop Trend
CLICK HERE to take a look at our NFL Prop Analyzer! Find out who has been consistently going Over/Under their player prop totals.
Zach Charbonnet Under 51.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-111): Our NFL Prop Analyzer shows Charbonnet is 5-0 to the Under on his combined rushing and receiving yard prop this year. This week, another Under feels like a real possibility. Seattle is going up against a Houston defense that is third in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (-0.103), and the Texans are excellent against both the run and the pass. On top of that, Charbonnet isn’t a three-down back. Kenneth Walker III is the team’s starter and could get a bulk of the touches on any given week.
