The Sunday Night Football matchup in Week 15 of the 2024 NFL season features the Seattle Seahawks hosting the Green Bay Packers at Lumen Field. We’ll continue diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 15 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.
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How To Watch Packers vs. Seahawks
When: Sunday, December 15th at 8:20 pm ET
Where: Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington
Channel: NBC/Peacock
Packers vs. Seahawks Odds
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Friday, December 13th. Look around for the best prices!
Moneyline: Packers -135, Seahawks +114
Spread: Packers -2.5 (-115), Seahawks +2.5 (-105)
Total: Over 45.5 (-112), Under 45.5 (-108)
Packers vs. Seahawks Analysis
Our DraftKings betting splits page shows that most bettors are looking to Green Bay in the Sunday night game, but the Packers have gone from -3 to -2.5. The numbers show some reverse line movement that signals sharp action on the Seahawks. Our Circa betting splits page tells a similar story — in a clearer way. Well, I’m also looking to the Seattle side in this game. However, instead of taking the points, I’m just grabbing the moneyline at plus-money odds.
Since Week 9, the Seahawks are second in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (-0.107). They have also been especially good against the run. Their Rush EPA per play allowed in that span is -0.226, which bodes well for a team that is looking to slow down Josh Jacobs and a good Green Bay running game. If Seattle can slow down the run, that will then make things pretty difficult on Jordan Love. And Love has been running hot and cold this year. It’s also no coincidence that he has thrown for 1,577 yards with 15 touchdowns and only seven picks at home. He also has a completion percentage of 64.6% in Green Bay. On the road, Love is completing just 59.7% of his passes, and his TD-INT ratio is 6-4. Well, this game will be played in one of the toughest road environments in football. On top of all of that, Love has been picked in eight of his 11 games this season. If he coughs the ball up one or two times here, the Packers are in trouble.
The Seattle defense should be able to do its job. That means that Seahawks offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb just needs to do his. This Seattle offense has been inconsistent this year, but the unit has had its moments. One of them came last week, when Seahawks really got the ground game going. Zach Charbonnet rushed for 134 yards and two scores in the win, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Seattle can hammer the ball between the tackles here. That would then allow Geno Smith to take some shots down the field, and we know this Seahawks team can hit the occasional explosive play. Also, Seattle used Charbonnet very well as a receiver out of the backfield last week. He had seven catches for 59 yards. I just think the Seahawks backs are going to be very impactful in this spot. Kenneth Walker III is doubtful here, but Charbonnet can carry the load. And Kenny McIntosh has a little juice.
Seattle is also 5-2 straight-up in games with lines of +3 to -3 this year, so you can throw out the fact that Matt LaFleur is 21-16 SU in games with those lines since becoming Green Bay’s head coach. Let’s just focus on the fact that this is one of the strongest home-field advantages in the sport, and the Seahawks are as hot as anybody in the NFL. Getting a team like this at plus-money odds feels like a gift.
Packers vs. Seahawks Player Props
Jordan Love Over 0.5 Interceptions (-130)
Love hasn’t thrown an interception in three games, but he had thrown one in eight straight before this recent stretch. Also, two of the last three games were played in Green Bay. With that in mind, I think it’s fair to expect a mistake from Love in a return to a difficult road atmosphere. This Seattle defense has 11 interceptions on the year. Only nine teams in the league have more than that. And the Seahawks have several excellent defensive backs, making this a tough matchup for any quarterback.
Packers vs. Seahawks Pick
I don’t think Love is all that healthy right now, and I definitely don’t trust him on the road. The Seahawks also have one of the best defenses in football, so Love is going to need to have his A-game in order for the Packers to find a way. Green Bay might be marginally better than Seattle, but I believe the Seahawks should be favored here. So, I’m playing this one as one of my Week 15 NFL best bets.
Bet: Seahawks ML (+126)