The Thursday Night Football matchup in Week 17 of the 2024 NFL season features the Chicago Bears hosting the Seattle Seahawks at Soldier Field. We’ll continue diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 17 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.

MORE: Head to the Pro Picks page for best bets from all of our VSiN hosts and analysts!

 

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How To Watch Seahawks vs. Bears

When: Thursday, December 26th at 8:15 pm ET

Where: Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois

Channel: Prime Video (Amazon)

Seahawks vs. Bears Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Tuesday, December 24th. Look around for the best prices!

Moneyline: Seahawks -192, Bears +160

Spread: Seahawks -3.5 (-118), Bears +3.5 (-102)

Total: Over 43.5 (-108), Under 43.5 (-112)

Seahawks vs. Bears Analysis

There’s seemingly no one who wants a piece of the Bears in this game. Our VSiN DraftKings betting splits page shows almost 90% of the bets and handle on the Seahawks. Our Circa bettings splits page is pretty much identical. Normally, I’d jump at the opportunity to fade a public favorite like this, as it never seems to go well when you’re with a serious majority of bettors. But I can’t get there with Chicago, so I won’t be on either side in this one.

The Seahawks are the stronger team when it comes to both EPA per play allowed (-0.009 vs. 0.020) and EPA per play (-0.020 vs. -0.056). Seattle also needs to win this game in order to stay alive as a playoff team. The Seahawks can still win the NFC West, and they’re also alive in the race for a wild card. Meanwhile, the Bears aren’t playing for anything right now. So, there’s a clear difference in motivation. However, it’s still hard to lay more than a field goal with a team that is just 1-3 against the spread versus teams with losing records this year. It’s also difficult to lay this many points in a road game that will be played in relatively cold conditions. And that’s especially true with an up-and-down offense. Sure, Geno Smith and Co. are a little more reliable than Chicago offensively, but the offense is still very hard to trust. Seattle is also extremely banged up at running back, which is normally a strength for this team.

If I did have to play something in this game, I probably would go with the Under. The Bears have gone Over in two of their last three games, and they gave up 30 points in the only one that stayed Under. But those games came against San Francisco, Minnesota and Detroit. This Seattle offense shouldn’t be nearly as tough to stop. Also, Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald is a very good defensive mind, so he should be able to make Caleb Williams uncomfortable — which is something most teams have done.

Seahawks vs. Bears Player Props

Caleb Williams Over 26.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Williams has rushed for at least 27 yards in four of his last five games, and he has also done so in nine of the 15 games he has played this season. Williams isn’t a run-first quarterback. In fact, he strongly prefers to sit in the pocket and throw. However, the Chicago offensive line forces him to move a lot, and he’ll likely need to use his legs here. Seattle has some good defensive backs, and the team is 10th in the league in Dropback EPA per play (0.025) since Week 10. Well, if Williams looks to throw and doesn’t see anybody with space, he’s going to take off and run.

Seahawks vs. Bears Pick

I won’t be taking anything in this game, which is fine with me. I had something on Christmas Day, plus I’ll have a lot more over the weekend. But if I needed to take something, I’d go with the Under. I don’t see this being a game in which both offenses will come out looking sharp. After all, this game will be played on a short week, and it features two offenses that are in the bottom half of the league in EPA per play. And if you’re a little more traditional, these teams have combined to score just 41.5 points per game this season.

Lean: Under 43.5 (-110)

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