Ironies in sports can be a whole lot of fun. The Seahawks are a prime example, as they went to Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA in Week 18 with the NFC West Division on the line and beat the 49ers 13-3 to take down the No. 1 seed and get what turned out to be a pretty important bye, seeing as how they got a week off before beating San Francisco once again and then the Rams at home. Now, they’ll play for a Super Bowl on their rival’s home turf, which would make it that much sweeter if they win.
The Patriots hit the road for the first time in the playoffs and eked out a win over the Broncos in a game that started out by being played at Empower Field and finished inside of a snow globe. They’ll be asked to go further west for Super Bowl LX, but the weather should be much warmer and much nicer.
With that, the stage is set for the Super Bowl in 2026, as we’ll have a rematch of Super Bowl XLIX with Seahawks vs. Patriots. None of the main characters from that game are still on the field for their respective teams, but if we get a Super Bowl that comes anywhere close to the drama of that game, we’ll be in for a good show.
Be sure to keep an eye on our DraftKings NFL Betting Splits and exclusive Circa NFL Betting Splits throughout the two weeks leading up to the game.
Here is the Super Bowl LX NFL Betting Odds Report:
Odds as of Sunday, January 25 at 8:55 p.m. PT
Super Bowl LX: Seahawks (-5, 45.5) vs. Patriots
Sunday, Feb. 8, 6:30 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock)
Lookahead lines had the Seahawks around -3.5 against the Patriots, but another uninspiring performance from the New England offense led to both an adjustment in the line and immediate action on the Seahawks.
DraftKings still opened -3.5, while Circa and others in the market opened -4. Most were quickly bet up to -5, though DK still held firm at 4.5, maybe expecting (hoping?) their heavily East Coast clientele to eventually hold the line. The Seahawks are trending to be the biggest favorite in a Super Bowl since Super Bowl XLIII (2009) between the Steelers and Cardinals, where Pittsburgh (-7) won, but Arizona covered.
Seattle knocked off one of the best and highest power-rated teams in the league over the course of the season, while the Patriots beat Jarrett Stidham. It’s a simplified way to look at things, but the NFL is driven heavily by perception and recency bias and a game that will be scrutinized in every which way possible for the next two weeks needs a good starting point with the opening odds.
The Patriots are not a team built on explosive plays, but it is definitely concerning that they’ve mustered barely over 450 yards in the last two postseason games. Old Man Winter and Mother Nature conspired to make things even tougher against two good defenses in the Texans and Broncos, but a lot of people poked a lot of holes in the Patriots because of their weak regular season schedule and their numbers en route to the Big Game aren’t going to quiet those detractors.
That said, the Patriots defense has been legit. They won’t get the credit that they probably deserve for the Stidham game, but they completely suffocated the Chargers in the Wild Card Round and forced five takeaways in the Divisional Round against Houston. It is very hard to have more yards per play than the other team when your offensive output is 3.2, but the Patriots held the Broncos to 3.1 YPP and had two more takeaways without a giveaway of their own.
But, still, the Seahawks are absolutely going to be viewed as the stronger team and it’s hard to argue. Also, how good is this coaching staff for turning Sam Darnold into a conference champion quarterback. I’m sure Jets fans had dreams of the one-time third overall pick taking them to a Super Bowl, but here we are five teams and eight years later and he’s playing for the Lombardi Trophy.
For as good as the metrics look for the Patriots defense, the Seahawks played an objectively more difficult schedule and allowed just 4.6 yards per play during the regular season. While they did get lit up by the Rams for over eight yards per play and nearly 500 yards, Maye isn’t walking into Levi’s Stadium with Davante Adams and Puka Nacua.
We’ll have a lot more time to dissect everything about this game with two weeks before kickoff. Our 2026 Super Bowl Betting Guide will come out on Tuesday, February 3, including best bets and MVP picks from VSiN hosts and contributors, and Steve Makinen’s Super Bowl simulation. We’ll have all kinds of picks, predictions, prop bets, strategies, and betting tips this week and next week as well, so this is just the beginning. Keep it locked in here at VSiN.com.
Seahawks vs. Patriots Matchup (Coming soon)
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