Week 13 NFL Odds
Week 13 has arrived, bringing three Thanksgiving games and a Black Friday game to the forefront. With the holiday schedule, no teams are on a bye, so we’ll have 16 games for the first time since Week 4. A pretty strong case could be made that the four holiday games are the best Week 13 NFL games, especially if Joe Burrow comes back for the Bengals against the Ravens. There are some interesting games and tough scheduling spots for Sunday, but no heavyweight battles.
Except for the Panthers vs. 49ers Monday Night Football game, everybody else has turned the page to Week 13 and we’ve got a little more to talk about this week, so let’s get into it and then you can check out Zach Cohen’s MNF preview.
Be sure to keep an eye on our DraftKings NFL Betting Splits and exclusive Circa NFL Betting Splits throughout the week.
Here is the Week 13 NFL Odds Report:
Odds as of Sunday, November 23 at 8:30 p.m. PT
Packers at Lions (-3, 49)
Thursday, 1 p.m. ET
We start with a real good one in the NFC North, as the Lions host the Packers. Detroit needed a 59-yard field goal and a 69-yard TD run in overtime to beat the Giants, while the Packers had very few issues with the Vikings in a convincing 23-6 win. Jordan Love was only 14-of-21 for 139 yards for the Packers, which might get lost in how well the defense played, but Love’s recent play had been a concern for bettors of late. And with that in mind, even with Detroit coming off of an overtime game, this line mostly went from -2.5 to -3 with varying juice.
Chiefs (-3.5, 52.5) at Cowboys
Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET
It was a good Sunday for both the Chiefs and Cowboys, but it didn’t come easy. The Cowboys erased a 21-point deficit to knock off the Eagles and pick up an enormous win in terms of the NFC Wild Card picture. The Chiefs also scored a big win for their AFC Wild Card hopes, as they beat the Colts in overtime. Indy blew an 11-point lead in the fourth quarter and the Chiefs kicked a 27-yard field goal with just 1:57 left, so they basically played an extra period. The impressive effort from Dallas, an extra period, and a short week all combined to take this line from -4.5 or -4 to -3.5 and we saw a bump in the total of a point or so.
Bengals at Ravens (-7, 51.5)
Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET
Joe Burrow was expected to try and give it a go against the Patriots in Week 12, but the Bengals, who are a country mile from a playoff spot, opted to err on the side of caution. Let’s see what they do in Week 13, as the Ravens look to keep pushing forward after a slow start. We’ve seen a lot of pinballing out of this line, with the Ravens -11.5 at Fanduel before the Burrow news dropped about being a full participant in practice last week. Then it went to 10.5. Then 9.5. DraftKings opened 10 and went to 9.5 and then down to 7.5 before a bump back to 8.5. Either way, this one has been north of a TD and PAT throughout. Will that change if Burrow is confirmed? We’ll see.
Bears at Eagles (-7, 44.5)
Friday, 3 p.m. ET
This may very well be the game of the week. The Bears are 8-3, but they are also -3 in point differential. So, many are viewing them as a significant negative regression candidate. The Eagles are also 8-3, and, let’s be honest, they are just +30 in point differential, so it’s not like they’re mowing through the schedule. It is a short week with a rookie head coach and a second-year QB, so that could be held against the Bears, but the Eagles also just gave one away to the rival Cowboys. The rogue 7.5s in the lookahead market came down to 7 and DraftKings took the move down to 6.5.
Texans at Colts (-3.5, 44.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
To Sunday we go with a big game in the AFC South standings. The Colts still have a two-game lead on Houston and a one-game lead on the Jaguars after falling short against the Chiefs. But, the Texans are surging with three straight wins, two of them without CJ Stroud. We’ll see if Stroud gets cleared from concussion protocol or if Davis Mills will get another crack, but we may not know that until later in the week. Houston is on some extra rest after winning on Thursday Night Football and you know Indy put a lot into the KC game. The hooks are still holding here on 3.5, but this lookahead line was 4.5 at DraftKings.
Cardinals at Buccaneers (TBD)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
An early start for the Cardinals here against a Buccaneers bunch badly looking to bounce back after falling to the Rams this past week. The long travel for Arizona may be negated a little bit by a very late arrival home for Tampa Bay after playing (and getting crushed) on Sunday Night Football, plus they lost Baker Mayfield in the game to injury before halftime. Mayfield returned to the sideline with his arm in a sling. This line was -6 or -6.5 in the lookahead markets and will look a lot different now with Baker probably out for Week 13.
Jaguars (-7, 42.5) at Titans
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
Another AFC South matchup here, as the Jaguars head to Nashville laying a touchdown against the Titans. Tennessee lost again in Week 12, but put up a very good effort against the Seahawks as a 12.5-point pup at home. The Jaguars come to town laying a big number off of an overtime win against the Cardinals. So it’s back-to-back road games off of overtime for Jacksonville, which is often a pretty strong angle for situational bettors to fade. We’ll wait and see if that happens here, as this one hasn’t really moved from the lookahead number of -7.
Saints at Dolphins (-6, 42)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
It’s been a pretty incredible turnaround for the Dolphins this season. It sure seemed like Mike McDaniel would be fired and the team would go into utter turmoil, but the Dolphins hit their bye week as winners of two in a row, including an international showdown with the Commanders. The Saints came back from their bye with more of the same, dropping a 24-10 decision to Kirk Cousins and the Falcons. Circa was one of the few books showing 6 on Sunday night, while the rest were showing 5.5. The reality is that it’s hard to get any Saints money, so the Circa number at 6 feels like foreshadowing as to where the rest of the market will go.
Falcons (-2.5, 40) at Jets
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
It’s hard to know what the Jets were expecting going with Tyrod Taylor over Justin Fields, but they did score the first touchdown against the Ravens. Then proceeded to be outscored 23-3 the rest of the way in another double-digit loss. The Falcons won with the aforementioned Cousins in place of Michael Penix, whose season is over. Atlanta laying a road number feels a little bit strange, but it speaks to where the Jets are right now and the fact that Aaron Glenn gets outcoached on a weekly basis. Lookahead lines placed this one at -1 or -1.5, but even the two disparate performances weren’t enough to give us a 3 here. At least not yet.
Vikings at Seahawks (-8.5, 42)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
The Sam Darnold Revenge Game! Minnesota’s lackluster effort without a TD against the Packers caused an adjustment here, as this game now looks like 8.5 after mostly being 7 with extra juice or 7.5. Even though the Seahawks failed to cover against the Titans, they held a 20-point lead late in the third quarter and a cosmetic TD in the final minute of the game gave Tennessee the cover. The Seahawks continue to stand out in a lot of areas and the Vikings stand out in all the bad ones, so here we are.
Bills (-3.5, 47.5) at Steelers
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
We’ll wait to see if Aaron Rodgers returns for Pittsburgh here, but the bigger story is how bad the Bills looked on Thursday Night Football. Josh Allen spent his weekend getting his number retired in Laramie, while the Steelers spent theirs losing to the Bears. It was a competitive 31-28 game and Mason Rudolph played okay, but the defense faltered. Home-field advantage isn’t worth what it used to be in the NFL, but would anybody be comfortable laying over a TD with Buffalo at home? That’s what this line sort of implies and I have to say, I think some Steelers money shows up here. Circa had 3.5, while DraftKings and Fanduel both had 4.5 as of Sunday night. The lookahead line was mostly 3.5, but I don’t see what Buffalo did to deserve more respect.
Raiders at Chargers (-9.5, 41)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
I would expect the arrow to point north on this game. The Chargers had their bye last week, while the Raiders were busy losing to Shedeur Sanders and the Browns. DraftKings and others were already up to 10 as of Sunday night, an adjustment from 8.5. I still don’t think 9.5 or 10 are enough to get much Raiders love back in this game, especially with LA off the bye. This looks like a number likely to grow and the Chargers look like a popular Survivor pick for those who haven’t used them yet.
Broncos (-6.5, 43.5) at Commanders
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
Not much to say here, as both the Broncos and Commanders were on byes in Week 12. Therefore, this line didn’t move much at all from the lookahead number. There is a small chance that Jayden Daniels returns this week. If so, the line will come down. If not, we’re probably sitting around 6 or 6.5 for a while.
Giants at Patriots (-7.5, 47.5)
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
It took the Patriots a little while to get going against the Bengals, but they were able to run their winning streak out to nine games. It looks like it will go to 10 given this line for the game against the Giants. But, the Giants had a really strong effort against the Lions and probably should have won that game, as Jake Bates had to hit a 59-yarder to keep the game alive and the Giants led by 10 early in the fourth quarter. That gritty and gutsy effort did little to this line, as it was 7 with extra juice or 7.5 on the lookahead and that’s still where we are.
Bookmark the Week 13 NFL Hub to get all of this week’s NFL betting content!
