Week 7 NFL Odds
Week 7 NFL action is on the horizon. It feels crazy to say that we’re already this far into the season, but things are moving quickly and they’re just going to continue to ramp up as the games increase in importance. We do have some interesting lines for Week 7 based on the adjustments that were made after another week’s worth of results went into the ledger.
This week lacks marquee matchups for the most part, which will happen when teams like the Bills and Ravens are on bye weeks, although Baltimore obviously isn’t having the type of season that we’re accustomed to seeing. Nevertheless, we do still have four teams that have to finish up Week 6 action and Zachary Cohen has you covered for Bills vs. Falcons and Bears vs. Commanders during the Monday Night Football doubleheader.
While we still have pending bets and some other reasons to be following MNF, it is time to turn the page to Week 7.
Be sure to keep an eye on our DraftKings NFL Betting Splits and exclusive Circa NFL Betting Splits throughout the week.
Here is the Week 7 NFL Odds Report:
Odds as of Sunday, October 12 at 11:00 p.m. PT
Steelers (-5.5, 42.5) at Bengals
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET
As usual, we begin with a division game, as the AFC North takes center stage on the short week. The Steelers are laying a hefty road number against the Bengals, as Joe Flacco’s arrival for Cincy didn’t really do a whole lot to move the needle and the Steelers took care of their affairs against the Browns as they returned to action following the bye week. Lookahead markets were -3.5, -4, or -4.5, so we’ve seen a bit of an adjustment for the road team on a short week.
Rams (-3, 45.5) vs. Jaguars (London)
Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET
Even though Jacksonville is very familiar with playing in London and is basically London’s “home team” at this point with how often they’ve been over there, the Jaguars are getting points against the Rams. A home setback against the Seahawks coupled with the Rams’ free and easy 17-3 win over the Ravens didn’t really adjust this number much at all. Obviously it is a second week on the road for the Rams, so maybe that’s part of the handicap, but any 3.5s in the lookahead market are now 3. In fact, Circa was still showing 2.5 as of Sunday night.
Raiders at Chiefs (-10.5, 45.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
Fresh off of an impressive win against the Lions, the Chiefs are laying double digits at home against the Raiders. Las Vegas did what they were supposed to do by doubling up the Titans 20-10, but Kansas City’s win was more of a needle mover to say the least. It came in primetime against a really good opponent and it added more fuel to the “Chiefs are back” fire, as Kansas City certainly looks like a different team with some of their pass-catching weapons back. DraftKings went from 10.5 to 11.5, which is likely to be the trend here.
Dolphins at Browns (-2.5, 40.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
Goodness, how bad are the Dolphins? You actually have to lay points with Dillon Gabriel and the Browns this week if you want to back Cleveland. The Browns failed to score a touchdown in Week 6 with three field goals and now you have to bet on them as a favorite. I’m really curious to see how this line is approached because the reality is that Cleveland probably shouldn’t lay a number against anybody. The total did move down based off of the lookahead numbers with another poor offensive showing from the Browns.
Patriots (-7, 42) at Titans
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
Speaking of uncomfortable numbers to lay, is anybody eager to give up a touchdown head start with the Patriots on the road? Tennessee’s 20-10 loss to the Raiders coupled with New England’s win over the Saints pushed this one from -6 or -6.5 on the lookaheads up to -7 at some places. You could still pay a little extra vig as of Sunday night to get this one under a touchdown. I’m very curious to see how this line goes because it does feel like you’re paying a premium to fade the Titans, but Tennessee hasn’t given bettors many reasons to back them.
Eagles (-2.5, 42.5) at Vikings
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
The Vikings were one of two teams idle in Week 6, as Minnesota and Houston enjoyed their one week off of the regular season. The Eagles, meanwhile, acted as if they had this week off, losing on Thursday night to the Giants. Given how things have gone with Carson Wentz, bettors were looking to back the Eagles, pushing the lookahead number from -2.5 to -3 at some shops. Now, though, we’re back to 2.5 across the board with Philly’s poor effort in primetime on Thursday.
Panthers at Jets (-1, 43)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
Sheesh. The winless Jets, who clearly have the worst coach in the NFL in Aaron Glenn, are a favorite this week. That might be more egregious than the Browns laying a number, if we’re being honest. The Jets are also coming back from London, where they suffered a very disappointing loss to the Broncos. The Panthers actually beat the Cowboys and pulled this line down to 1 or 1.5 after it was 2.5 on the lookahead numbers. I really can’t help but think that we see Carolina favored by the time this game kicks off.
Colts at Chargers (-1, 48.5)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
This is a fun line to follow. The Colts and Chargers both took care of business and won this past weekend, but neither team was overly impressive in doing so. The Colts narrowly bested Jacoby Brissett and the Cardinals, while the Chargers had all sorts of issues with the Dolphins. I think this line seems pretty accurate and fair, especially with the long travel for Indy. But, I do agree with the notion that the Colts should be favored on a neutral field, which is what this line implies. This one was all over the place from PK to -1.5 in the market on Sunday night, which was not a far departure from where the lookahead numbers had it.
Giants at Broncos (-7, 40.5)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
This is the good stuff right here. I am going to watch this line closely. Denver did not look good at all in London against the Jets. They won, but Bo Nix looked bad and the Broncos have just been a disappointment overall this season. The Giants, meanwhile, seem to have a new life with Jaxson Dart and Cam Skattebo, who appear to be a different kind of “Bash Brothers”. THis line was mostly -8 on the lookahead, but with Denver coming back off the London trek and the Giants off of a noteworthy win against the Eagles, I wouldn’t be shocked to see this line come down again.
Packers (-6.5, 44.5) at Cardinals
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
With some lingering concerns about Kyler Murray coupled with the Packers taking care of their affairs against the Bengals, this line has been bumped. It was more like 4.5 on the lookahead, but it is now 6.5 and there is even a stray 7 out there. It is a bit of a trip out to the desert for the Packers, but this reposted line makes it appear as though that isn’t even a factor. Hard to argue with that, given that Green Bay just came off of their bye and Arizona is returning off of a bit of a trip of their own.
Buccaneers at Lions (-5.5, 52.5)
Monday, 7 p.m. ET
We get another Monday Night Football doubleheader next week, as the Bucs and Lions play the earlier of the two games. This one is actually a more traditional doubleheader because Game 2 is in Seattle at 10 p.m. ET. The Bucs just keep battling their way through adversity, as they won another game and knocked off the 49ers to improve to 5-1. The Lions, meanwhile, didn’t look the part against the Chiefs in the standalone spotlight. The books were slow to re-post this number, but I wanted to mention the game given that the lookahead number was more like 4.5 and DraftKings had it sitting 5.5 as of Sunday night. Can’t say I understand this line.
Texans at Seahawks (-3, 41.5)
Monday, 10 p.m. ET
The late Monday Night Football game is this one, as the Texans come off of the bye to visit Seattle. The Seahawks did what they needed to do with a very impressive road win against the Jaguars. I feel like we have a chance to see 3.5 show up on this game. Seattle’s getting great play on both sides of the ball. While some may remember the last time we saw Houston, they blew out a Lamar Jackson-less Ravens bunch. They also beat the Titans prior to that, but Seattle looks to be an upper echelon NFL team this season and the Texans lost to two of those in the Rams and Buccaneers. I think we’ll see the sportsbooks put out some Seattle -3.5 feelers early in the week at lower limits just to see what they need to do moving forward.
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