Week 9 NFL Odds
We’ve reached the halfway point of the season. Week 9 NFL games over an 18-game schedule mean that we are 50% of the way to the playoffs and the playoff picture is pretty murky in both conferences right now, as we have a lot of pretty good teams, a lot of pretty bad teams, and a lot of in-between teams struggling to find consistency. Each week, it feels like we get a different version of several teams.
Eight teams in each conference are over .500 entering Monday Night Football to close out Week 8 – and Zachary Cohen has your Commanders vs. Chiefs preview – but three of them are from the AFC West and three from the NFC West. There are also three teams in the NFC North, leaving the Eagles and Buccaneers as the only winners in their respective divisions as of now.
Heading into Week 9, only four teams in the AFC have a streak one way or the other of 3+ games. And only two (or three – GB) have a streak of 3+ games one way or the other and two of them are losing streaks for the Saints and Cardinals. Success almost never comes early in the NFL and this season seems to be proof of that for the vast majority of teams.
Let’s look at the early Week 9 NFL odds, as four teams – Browns, Jets, Eagles, and Bucs – are on byes.
Be sure to keep an eye on our DraftKings NFL Betting Splits and exclusive Circa NFL Betting Splits throughout the week.
Here is the Week 9 NFL Odds Report:
Odds as of Sunday, October 26 at 7:30 p.m. PT
Ravens (-7, 50) at Dolphins
Thursday, 8:15 p.m ET
The Dolphins drove a dagger through the hearts of many Survivor players this past week, as they had no problems disposing of the Falcons in Atlanta. It was a shockingly disparate performance from what we saw two weeks ago in Cleveland. But, it didn’t really move the needle a ton in terms of the betting market, as this line was -7 in the lookahead markets and was either -7 or -7.5 after re-opening. Superbook was as high as -8 last week, though the fact that Lamar Jackson wasn’t healthy enough to go this past Sunday is a mild cause for concern, given that he seems to be healing slowly. One area we did see an adjustment was on the total, as this one was under 50 and is now 50 or higher market-wide.
Per the KillerSports database, this is the second road favorite of 7 or more points for a Thursday Night Game this season. The Eagles were -7.5 and lost outright to the Giants, but teams in that role are 22-5 SU and 16-11 ATS dating back to 2000.
Bears (-1.5, 51) at Bengals
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
The Bengals managed to completely fumble away a win against the Jets. It was the type of game that could have really gotten Cincinnati back in the playoff chase with Joe Burrow hopefully returning sometime later this season, but the defense collapsed like a house of wet playing cards in the fourth quarter and the hapless, woeful Jets came away with one of the most stunning wins in a long time. Meanwhile, the Bears were no match for the Snoop Huntley-led Ravens in a pretty big setback for a team that had won four in a row, but maybe it was coming since two of those wins were by a point. Still, they are road favorites in a back-to-back road situation.
49ers (-2.5, 47.5) at Giants
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
This past Sunday was a rough one for the Giants as the team’s heart and soul suffered a disturbing ankle injury. Cam Skattebo’s season is over, as he’ll join Malik Nabers on the sidelines. New York also gave up 38 points to the Eagles just two weeks after beating them 34-17 on Thursday Night Football in Philly. The 49ers, no strangers to injury themselves, may get Brock Purdy back here, as Mac Jones struggled badly against a ferocious Texans defense. As big of a loss as Skattebo is, it’s worth noting that this line was -2.5 or -3 on the lookahead and is still there.
Falcons at Patriots (-5.5, 45)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
The Falcons have problems. Like major problems. Michael Penix Jr. couldn’t play in Week 8 and Kirk Cousins looked simply awful in the blowout loss to Miami. New England, meanwhile, started a little slow against the Browns, but ultimately beat them comfortably to extend their winning streak out to five games. Superbook was -3 on the lookahead here and DraftKings was -2.5, so we’ve absolutely seen an adjustment and a warranted one at that.
Colts (-3, 49) at Steelers
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
The Colts just keep on chugging right along, as they are the only team in the NFL with one game that they didn’t win. Shane Steichen continues to push all the right buttons with Daniel Jones and the defense has played solidly as well. Indianapolis’s +116 point differential is far and away the highest in the NFL, so they’ve earned their 7-1 record. The Steelers don’t have the most impressive roster on paper, but they continue to exceed expectations for Mike Tomlin, even though they played a bad fourth quarter against Green Bay. With Pittsburgh in a late-night dog fight on Sunday and the Colts having breezed to a win over the lowly Titans, Indy is in better shape, but will they meet their match in what is forecast to maybe be a sloppy game? This one went from 2.5 to 3 once the Steelers’ result vs. Green Bay came in.
Panthers at Packers (-12.5, 43.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
I don’t think anybody had delusions of grandeur about Andy Dalton injecting life into the Panthers in place of Bryce Young, but they looked rather bad against the Bills. And now they take on another one of the NFL’s better teams. Not much really changed with this line, as Green Bay was -10 on the lookahead at Superbook and 10.5 at both DraftKings and Fanduel. An adjustment from -10 or -10.5 up to -12.5 doesn’t cross any key numbers or alter the landscape in the grand scheme of things, other than to show the growing gap between these two teams.
Vikings at Lions (-9.5, 48.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
Well-rested teams square off here, as the Lions are off of a bye and the Vikings played on Thursday night, albeit out in LA. It was an awful showing for Minnesota, as they lost 37-10. This line looked more like 7.5 before the Vikings’ no-show at SoFi. Carson Wentz also took an absolute beating in that game, leaving some health questions for the most important position on the field. On the other side, the Lions are fresh and ready to go.
Broncos (-1.5, 39.5) at Texans
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
The Broncos held up their end of the bargain against an awful Cowboys defense and maybe that was the game that Bo Nix needed to get his swagger back. Or maybe, Dallas is just that bad and we’ll have to see how Denver functions against a fellow elite defense in Houston. The Texans shut down the 49ers and C.J. Stroud threw for over three bills, so it was a really good day for their team on Sunday. Maybe Houston is getting on track after a slow start. Maybe Denver, who rides a five-game winning streak into this one, is just on a higher level. That seems to be the case, as they were a road favorite on the lookahead line and are still a road favorite now.
Chargers (-10, 43.5) at Titans
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
You don’t see this situation a lot, as a West Coast team heads east and lays double digits in the process. But, the Chargers are on some extra rest following Thursday’s demolition of the Vikings and the Titans got beaten badly again, so you can understand why the line looks this way. This line was -7.5 or -8.5 in the lookahead markets, but as is often the case with two opposite performances, we saw an adjustment up 1.5 to 2.5 points. That’s about as big as you’ll see without a notable injury.
Jaguars (-3, 43.5) at Raiders
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
The 4 p.m. window begins with Jacksonville in Las Vegas. Both teams are off of a bye, so there’s really nothing noteworthy to discuss here. It does deserve a mention that this line was -2 or -2.5 last week when it opened at Superbook and Fanduel, but went to 3 rather quickly and stopped there.
Saints at Rams (-13.5, 44.5)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
The Rams are laying a big number with a fairly low total in this one, but it’s hard to see anybody excited about backing the Saints, even if the numbers seem to point in that direction. Tampa Bay is decimated by injuries and New Orleans still provided no resistance, failing to score a touchdown in the contest. The Saints defense is pretty decent all things considered, but the offense is putrid. The Rams do not have a bad offense and are very fresh coming off of the bye. This line was 11.5 or 12.5 before a Sunday evening adjustment.
Cardinals at Cowboys (-3, 53.5)
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
Even with a bad Dallas performance and Arizona not able to have a good or bad performance by virtue of the bye week, not much moved with this line. We did see the total tick up after the Cowboys surrendered 44 points to a fairly dormant Denver offense in Week 8. Otherwise, nothing really moved. Superbook did have 3.5 on this game last week and got bet down to 3. Fanduel had 2.5 and got bet to 3 and stayed there. Market confidence is very low in Arizona right now and deservedly so.
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