We all have different approaches when it comes to betting on sports. Some like playing sides and totals, others like me lean heavily on prop plays. We also all have different thresholds on what is too much “juice” when making a bet.
I have gone through every NHL game this season with a favorite of (-300) or greater and further breaking down when the favorite reaches the (-400+) territory. NHL favorites this season (-300+) are 36-12. If you bet to win $100.00 on each of these games, you would be down $515. If you isolated the games where the favorite was (-400+), those favorites are 14-3 but you would still be down, $5.00.
Where you can make your money is playing the full game Under (28-18-2) with the favorite at (-300+) and an even better (5-12) to the Under when the favorite is (-400+). The strongest play though is betting the Underdog to score a first period goal. You should be getting “plus money” on these wagers with a favorite of (-300+). The Underdog has scored in 29 of the 48 games overall and 13 of the 17 games when the favorite is (-400+).
My reasoning behind these great numbers for the Underdog is simply that the favorite is taking their opponent too lightly to start the game.
