Tuley: Thursday Best Bets in NHL, MLB 5/11

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Wednesday Best Bet Results

Wednesday was a mixture of work in the Tuleyโ€™s Takes home office (prepping for the NFL schedule release today) and going to my youngest sonโ€™s band concert.
As for our plays, we went 0-1-1 but actually felt kind of proud as we made the following statement in yesterday morningโ€™s column: โ€œIโ€™m passing on the NBA and NHL playoff games as all 4 favorites are in the zig-zag role, so itโ€™s looking like a chalky night.โ€

 

The faves went on to go 4-0 with the Knicks and Warriors covering in the NBA and the Maple Leafs and Oilers winning in the NHL, so we feel our โ€œdog-or-pass approachโ€ did its job of saving us money. A lot of my readers over the years have told me that they follow me because they feel itโ€™s a โ€œbuy signโ€ on chalk if Iโ€™m unable to make a case for the dog, so even though I didnโ€™t bet any of the favorites last night, I hope it still led to others having some winners.
I lost on my Padres First 5 Innings +105 Best Bet as they trailed the Twins 2-0 through 5 innings on the way to a 4-3 loss in 10 innings. The push was on the Marlins First 5 +115 at the Diamondbacks as they were tied 4-4 through 5, though the Marlins did go on to win 5-4 for those who bet my play that way.
For me and my followers, weโ€™re still 15-8-5 (65.2%) so far in May for a net profit of $846.21 based on $100 flat bets, according to the VSiN PRO Picks page.
Letโ€™s look for more Best Bets on Thursdayโ€™s schedule. Weโ€™re passing in the NBA again as the Celtics and Suns are favored in the zig-zag role.

NHL Thursday Best Bet

Devils +110 at Hurricanes: We backed the Hurricanes on the road on Tuesday to take back control of this series with a 3-1 lead, but weโ€™ll come right back on the Devils in the zig-zag spot. While the zig-zag is more associated with the NBA playoffs, itโ€™s been even more successful at 9-3 this round and 33-21 overall, according to my ATS Report at VSiN.com. Heck, dogs are 34-30 straight-up with 2 pick-โ€™ems while road teams are 39-27, so we see no reason to avoid taking the Devils to extend this series just like they bounced backed to win 8-4 in Game 3 after dropping the first two games.

MLB Thursday Best Bet

Twins First 5 +105 vs. Padres: We have a short MLB schedule on Thursday and I like this dog the best. Iโ€™ve never been a huge fan of Yu Darvish (2-2, 3.19 ERA) and we get Minnesotaโ€™s Bailey Ober (2-0, 0.98 ERA) to start. The only other dog I really considered was the Yankees F5 +105, but itโ€™s still hard to fade the Rays and I probably wonโ€™t play it. Note: this is an early start at 1:10 p.m. ET/10:10 a.m. PT on โ€œgetaway dayโ€ as the Padres leave after the game for their weekend series in L.A., though the Twins are staying at home to host the Cubs.